Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (Talking Buechele, Carrington, Shaka and more...)

Discussion in 'Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend Archive' started by Ketchum, Jan 21, 2018.

  1. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    [​IMG]

    "Longhorn sophomore QB Shane Buechele will undergo surgery on a torn adductor (hip)/abdominal muscle he sustained in the Texas Bowl. The surgery is scheduled for tomorrow (Thursday, Jan. 18), he will begin treatments and rehabilitation soon after and he is expected to be ready to return in time for spring practice, which begins on Monday, March 5."

    Texas Press Release on January 17

    I am not a doctor and I sure as hell don't play one on TV.

    Or the Internet for that matter.

    I'm just a regular human that hopes he can apply common sense to as many situations as I possibly can. When I read this statement in my in-box on Wednesday, the common sense siren in my head started to blare for all of the wrong reasons.

    Buechele had surgery on a torn adductor (hip)/abdominal muscle on Thursday and hopes to return to football activities in six weeks?

    Why was my BS meter going off?

    Well, as I've stated, I'm no expert on the subject, but a six-week timeline simply doesn't meet the timeline of most of the torn adductor (hip)/abdominal muscle surgeries that I've seen in the sports world in recent memory. For instance, UFC fighter Daniel Cormier was out of action for several months last year after undergoing the same surgery. Tim Howard was also sidelined several months last year when he suffered the injury in November of 2016.

    Yet, while my memory was correct about similar injuries needing more than six weeks of recovery time, it turns out that my BS meter was wrong because a little homework on the matter revealed that if the press release statement might have leaned towards the most aggressive of recovery times, it isn't at all out of the question.

    I came across a story on NOLA.com detailing the a torn adductor (hip) surgery that ex-Longhorn Kenny Vaccaro underwent last month and came across the following info from the Washington Orthopedics & Sports Medicine.

    "Surgery for (adductor muscle strains) is rarely necessary.

    "Avulsion injuries, in which the tendon is pulled away with its bony attachment, may require operative reattachment. Some cases of complete muscle tendon tears may require surgery. Repair involves an open incision over the site of injury and reattachment of the tendon origin, or suture repair of torn soft tissue. Surgery is also necessary in patients with chronic pain whose symptoms do not respond to conservative treatment.

    From the same article, Charles W. Thomas (a General Surgeon with Southern Surgical Specialists in New Orleans) reported that, "Without operative intervention, up to three months of conservative treatment. After a procedure for a true sports hernia, anywhere from 3-6 weeks for recovery time."

    After taking all of the information available on the subject, it seems like it's an injury that usually takes between 4-8 weeks to recover from before the rehab process really picks up. It's impossible to predict where Buechele's own recovery time will be, but it's reasonable to think that he will be coming out of the rehab process at the six-week mark and will be somewhat limited at the start of spring drills.

    If Buechele is limited, an already very interesting Texas quarterback situation in the spring will become outright fascinating because it would then open the door for true freshmen Cameron Rising and Casey Thompson to receive reps with the second-team offense that they otherwise wouldn't get if Buechele is 100-percent healthy.

    A healthy Buechele will likely share first- and second-team reps with Sam Ehlinger, but if he's limited at the start of camp and can't participate without limitations, Ehlinger would likely take all of the first-teams reps while Buechele is limited, while the freshmen would take the rest of the snaps.

    For Rising and Thompson, this would be a huge opportunity to make an instant impression on a coaching staff begging for someone to make one. Typically, incoming freshmen are limited to scout team work throughout their first seasons in college and reps at the expense of older players with the first- or second-team offenses are limited.

    Given the need for this program to get much better quarterback play, I'd bet on either Rising or Thompson or both getting an extended look, and thus receiving more second-team reps if they can show just a little that it is warranted.

    Without making a mountain out of a molehill, I'm merely pointing out that the first week of camp will be headlined by the events at the quarterback position.

    Oh, and in the process, most of us learned a little about the adductor surgery rehab process.

    No. 2 – The value of Bryan Carrington ...


    As the legend of Bryan Carrington has exploded into orbit over the last few weeks, especially since he took to the road this week with much fanfare as the interim 10th assistant coach, two things occurred to me.

    a. Most Longhorns fans likely don't have any idea what he does when he's not acting 10th assistant coach.
    b. Most Longhorns fans likely don't have any idea what kind of value he brings to the table on a per dollar basis.

    Let's start with his current job - assistant director of athletics. As Jason Suchomel outlined earlier this week, Carrington is a do-everything-monster behind the scenes in recruiting. While most non-coaching staff members have a limited impact on the day-in and day-out success in recruiting based on the fact that everything they do is restricted to work from the office, Carrington has proven to be a critical piece of Tom Herman's recruiting puzzle. His ability to relate to the athletes Texas is recruiting allowed him to become a weapon this past week when he was released into the recruiting wild as the temporary 10th assistant coach.

    You can make a case that Carrington is one of the five most important people in the entire program. Certainly top 10.

    So, guess what I found out when did I little investigative work using the salaries database over at TexasTribune.com?

    The median salary of the five assistant directors at Texas is $52,500 per year. Carrington makes a mere $35,805 per year, which ranks fourth among those that are listed with the same job title within the athletic department.

    In an athletic department that broke $215 million in revenue last year, but had nearly that much money in expenses, Carrington’s return on investment has to be at the top of a short pile.

    The Nick Sabans of the college football world, who are constantly looking to add more nuclear recruiting weapons to their already robust nuclear recruiting weapons artillery, will surely come calling at some point.

    Texas needs to take every measure possible to make sure Carrington is a foundation piece for Herman's program.

    Translation?
    [​IMG]

    No. 3 – Speaking of numbers I found interesting ...

    According to the database on TexasTribune.com, here is what Tom Herman's staff earned in 2017.

    * $767,950 (Todd Orlando)
    * $511,703 (Tim Beck)
    * $350,509 (Craig Naivar)
    * $296,933 (Oscar Giles)
    * $296,933 (Derek Warehime)
    * $294,715 (Stan Drayton)
    * $245,984 (Drew Mehringer)
    * $220,796 (Corby Meekins)
    * $209,376 (Jason Washington)

    My biggest takeaway?

    As Tom Herman's recruiting coordinator and one of his best position coaches, Jason Washington is vastly underpaid.
    [​IMG]

    No. 4 - A name to file away ...

    On paper, this guy definitely feels like an improvement over the returning players. Make a call, Tom.


    No. 5 – U-G-L-Y, you ain't got no alibi, you ugly ...

    You could see the butt-kicking that Texas took from West Virginia on Saturday coming from a mile away.

    The Mountaineers, a legit Final Four-level team, were riding a two-game losing streak and were desperate to save their Big 12 title hopes, while the Longhorns were coming off of one of the best performances of the Shaka Smart era. Anyone with a brain could see that Texas was unlikely to win in Morgantown BEFORE these dynamics were added to the match-up, but once the events from the last week unfolded the way they did, you couldn't help having the sense that Texas was hopeless entering the game.

    My expectations for Texas was a double-digit loss.

    My expectations for Texas was not one of the worst regular-season losses in the history of the school.

    Considering the level of disgust by a large segment of the Texas fan base surrounding the Texas basketball program, and specifically Shaka Smart, it was the wrong time for an old fashioned mollywhopping, but an old fashioned mollywhopping the Longhorns received. Texas fans have every right to be angry today about the result from Saturday. You don't have to shut up when such a result takes place.

    Yet, Smart and his team need to shake it off because Monday night's home game against Iowa State is the more important worry. As I wrote a week ago, it is imperative that Texas win two out of three in a three-game stretch that includes Texas Tech, West Virginia and Iowa State. As bad as Saturday afternoon was, the bottom line with this season and this team's needs didn't change. If the Longhorns beat the Cyclones, they will have accomplished what they needed to over an eight-day stretch.

    A win on Monday will leave the team with an overall 13-7 record and a 4-4 mark in Big 12 play. While a 13-7 record isn't the goal of the program, it's far from a disaster.

    The bottom line for this year's team is that it needs to qualify for the NCAA Tournament. That's the minimum level of success in any season for the Texas program. Once there, it can try to change a few narratives with a couple of wins. Is that likely? Probably not. Is it outside the realm of possibilities? Certainly not.

    No. 6 – The elephant in the room ...
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    In the aftermath of my writing that angry rant about the men's basketball team in the middle of one of its best performances of the season (and just hours after it was announced that Andrew Jones had been diagnosed with leukemia), it seems many of you have struggled to get beyond the two most memorable words from the column to the point that you can't wrap your mind around the actual message that was issued.

    Clearly, this is my fault, as a good carpenter never blames his tools.

    Therefore, let me circle back and reiterate my bigger picture thoughts in an effort to become as close to 100-percent clear as possible.

    Ready?

    1. Shaka Smart's overall body of work through two-plus seasons isn't remotely good enough. Period.
    2. Last season wasn't poor, it was a disaster.
    3. Shaka Smart isn't going to lose his job this year, especially if he gets this team into the Tournament.
    4. Even if he makes the Tournament this year, there will be significant and deserved pressure to deliver more in year four.
    5. If that doesn't happen and some serious steps forward aren't made, he's not likely going to make it in Austin much longer.

    If those thoughts are believed to have been penned from Crazy-town, so be it, but if you're going to label me a citizen of Crazy-town, at least get my Crazy-town thoughts correct, instead of making assertions from Silly-town.

    No. 7 – Buy or Sell …
    [​IMG]

    BUY or SELL: The 2018 Texas recruiting class finishes in the top four?

    (Buy) Using the Rivals rankings, I'm going to say yes, but it's going to be close.

    BUY or SELL: Texas signs a grad transfer QB?

    (Sell) I think it's certainly possible, but with four quarterbacks on the roster, including two players with starting experience fighting for the job, I'm going to suggest that the smart money is on Texas not adding a quarterback.

    BUY or SELL: Herb Hand is the next Greg Robinson? Among other reasons, he's there if it goes full Manny this season.

    (Sell) I feel you, but I really believe Tom Herman is going to direct the offense this season in a way that is different than last season. I doubt he'll be involved in every play called, but I think he will be in control.

    BUY or SELL: The Texas 2018 starting offensive line has three starters on it that are not currently on campus?

    (Sell) I have the over/under at 1.5 and not 2.5.

    BUY or SELL: Derek Warehime is demoted after NSD2 and a new coach is hired in his place?

    (Sell) Until I hear something different from sources we trust, I believe that the 2018 coaching staff is in place. Our sources just aren't indicating that a major move is set to take place in the coming weeks or months.

    BUY or SELL: The Aggies made a huge mistake thinking a guy named Jimbo and elderly Brewster will be able to successfully recruit against the Herman-machine?

    (Sell) I'm going to wait and see how things go in the spring before grabbing the shovel to dig graves for these old-timers. That being said, I know where my shovel is. A good boy scout is always prepared.

    BUY or SELL: If we land grad-transfer OL Calvin Anderson, your season win total prediction for next year goes up one game?

    (Sell) Connor Williams might have been worth a win, but I think Anderson serves as a piece of a bigger puzzle.

    BUY or SELL: After watching yesterday's basketball game vs. West Virginia, your unequivocal support for Shaka Smart is now equivocal?

    (Sell) If anyone needs remaining:

    unequivocal

    [uhn-i-kwiv-uh-kuh l]

    adjective
    1.
    not equivocal; unambiguous; clear; having only one possible meaning or interpretation:
    an unequivocal indication of assent; unequivocal proof.
    2.
    absolute; unqualified; not subject to conditions or exceptions:
    The cosigner of a note gives unequivocal assurance that it will be paid when due.

    BUY or SELL: Texas makes the NCAA tournament?

    (Buy) I'm going to give this team wins at home against Iowa State, Ole Miss, Kansas State, Baylor and Oklahoma State, which gets it to 17 wins. I think this team is capable of beating Oklahoma at home, Texas Tech in Lubbock, TCU if Fort Worth and Kansas State in Manhattan. Don't ask me why because it's nothing more than a hunch, but I think Texas will win one of these games in that group of three, which would get the team to 18 wins and likely get this team in. The wiggle room is slight, though.

    No. 8 – Eternal Randomness of the Spotty Sports Mind …

    ... Go Patriots. Go Tom Brady. The heart and soul of every Dallas Cowboys fan is behind you for the next two weeks.

    ... Doug Pederson is 100X the coach that Jason Garrett wishes he was. Can you imagine Garrett making it work with Nick Foles? Yeah, me neither.

    ... For those of you that believe Tom Herman shouldn't call plays because Bill Belichick doesn't call plays, just know that Pederson calls the offensive plays for the Eagles and Mike Zimmer calls the defensive plays for the Vikings.

    ... I saw Nick Foles play in high school in person at least a half-dozen times. In a million years, I never thought he'd lead a team to a Super Bowl. Never. Props to the guy. He was sensational against the Vikings. Hell, better than sensational.

    ... My guess is that Rob Gronkowski had to be protected from himself once he was officially diagnosed with a concussion. I'd bet a hundy that if it had been up to him, he'd have gone back into the game.

    ... James Harrison is going to the Super Bowl as a Patriot.

    ... I had Danny Amendola as a state top-100 prospect back in 2004, but I think his only power five offer was from Texas Tech, which means that everyone outside of Mike Leach totally whiffed on this Patriots legend.

    ... I need the NBA to give me a seven-game series between the Warriors and the Rockets. Saturday night was fun.

    ... If the NBA season ended today, we'd get a LeBron James/Joel Embiid showdown in the first round. Yes, please.

    ... I'm still trying to process the Roy Halladay autopsy report. Morphine?

    ... Stipe Miocic is the truth, whether the UFC loves him as its heavyweight champion or not. He's the guy I always thought Cain Velasquez was going to be. Speaking of Velasquez, if he can get healthy, he's basically the only guy in the heavyweight division that Miocic hasn't taken care of. Velasquez just has to prove that he can get there.

    ... Someone call the Spanish authorities. I'm pretty sure Real Madrid committed a felony thus weekend against Deportivo La Coruña.

    ... Look, I think Alexis Sanchez is a wonderful player, but I'm not taking Anthony Martial off the pitch. Period.

    ... I want Sergej Milinković-Savić playing with Liverpool next season, much more so than Lemar. Put me on the record right now.

    ... Gareth Bale looked like the authentic Gareth Bale this weekend. man, that Real Madrid/PSG showdown in the Champions League is all kinds of fascinating and I have no idea which way it's going to go.

    No. 9 – Updated Oscar rankings …
    [​IMG]

    My biggest take away from watching "I, Tonya" over the weekend?

    Tonya Harding never had a chance.

    I found myself feeling shame for all of my previous thoughts about Harding after absorbing how much physical and mental abuse she had suffered throughout her entire life, while coupled with a severe lack of education or steady support system around her. I'm not excusing all of her behavior by any means, but it's much easier to understand how we got to the places we've been to with her once you understand where she came from.

    With the full context of her background, it was hard not to feel sympathy for her throughout the movie. She was an imperfect person from super-imperfect conditions and it's an American success story that she even climbed the ladders that she climbed. Yet, her fall from the top into the depths of despair could be seen from 100 miles away in retrospect.

    I found myself leaving the theater hoping that she could just be happy inside her own skin and live a fulfilling life outside of everything she's ever known in the opening chapters of her life.

    My updated Oscars rankings.

    (Still need to see: All the Money in the World, Call Me By Your Name, The Florida Project, Phantom Thread, The Post and Roman J. Israel, Esq)

    Best Picture

    1. Lady Bird
    2. The Shape of Water
    3. Darkest Hour
    4. I, Tonya
    5. Get Out
    6. The Disaster Artist
    7. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
    8. Dunkirk
    9. The Big Sick
    10. Molly's Game

    Best Actor

    1. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
    2. James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
    3. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
    4. Adam Driver (The Last Jedi)
    5. Jeremy Renner (Wind River)

    Best Actress

    1. Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
    2. Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
    3. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri)
    4. Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
    5. Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)

    Best Supporting Actor

    1. Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)
    2. Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri)
    3. Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
    4. Jason Mitchell (Mudbound)
    5. Rob Morgan (Mudbound)

    Best Supporting Actress

    1. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
    2. Allison Janney (I,Tonya)
    3. Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)
    4. Carey Mulligan (Mudbound)
    5. Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour)

    Best Director

    1. The Shape of Water (Guillermo del Toro)
    2. Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)
    3. Jordan Peele (Get Out)
    4. Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
    5. Denis Villeneuve (Blade Runner 2049)

    No. 10 – And Finally …

    Don't turn away from this story. Educate yourself. Ask questions. Don't be afraid to think answers need to be demanded.





     
    1 Ketchum, Jan 21, 2018
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2018
  2. mjc3475

    mjc3475 Well-Known Member
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    First
     
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  3. McLovin327

    McLovin327 Newsletter Editor
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    Almost first.
     
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  4. Mr. LLB

    Mr. LLB Well-Known Member
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    Is there any confidence with Shane's size and injury history he is going to be back in the "best case" time frame. Why not shut it down till fall to finally get 100%?
     
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  5. danlaw08

    danlaw08 Well-Known Member
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    You spent half a page talking about Buechele's surgery and you are certainly aware of his nearly uninterrupted injury train, and yet you feel comfortable saying we will have 4 QBs without a grad transfer....

    [​IMG]
     
  6. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    I tend to think he'll be limited through spring break, which equates to the first half of camp.
     
  7. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    Comfortable?

    That's not how I would define what I think. I'm just saying that Texas doesn't have a wide-open path to starting like some other schools might. If Texas can bring added competition in, I think I've been in favor of that for about the last seven years.
     
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  8. collinhookem18

    collinhookem18 President of Kody Clemens fan club
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    I'm on the train that buechele won't even be in the two deep on Sep 1st.
    Ehlinger
    Thompson
    Buechele
    Rising
    Shaka is not going to cut it at Texas. Love the guy but he's not going to do it here. Oh and I'm ready for some Texas baseball!
     
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  9. MauiHorn

    MauiHorn Well-Known Member
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    The gymnastics story is disgusting. The Mich St Pres needs to be fired and the school sued.

    Wait til you see Phantom Thread and your list will change.

    Great write up this week!
     
  10. drunk randoke

    drunk randoke Ok cool. Hook 'em
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    Interesting on Carrington
     
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  11. Carhorn

    Carhorn Well-Known Member
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    I don't like pre judging without all the facts. Having said that, the information coming out about Nassar
    Michagan State and others is more than heinous. It is very disturbing to say the least.
     
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  12. Rotarran9116

    Rotarran9116 Sith Lord
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    Great man. Serves his community. Role model type. Shame they don't love a guy like him.
     
  13. danlaw08

    danlaw08 Well-Known Member
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    Fair enough, but better than it would appear and how you made it sound. Factors to consider:

    1. Shane seems to walk the line between too injured to play, playing injured, and moderately healthy since he has been here. I love the kid, but the odds are he will be lucky to play just a handful of games again this season. Not to mention he hasn't been lighting the world on fire when he has been on the field. A QB Grad could either beat him out, or just wait a week or two, and he will move up the depth chart, damn near guaranteed.

    2. Herman's offense REQUIRES somewhere around 10 QB runs if not more and it is well documented that his QBs tend to get banged up. This increases the odds (and absolute necessity) for a Grad QB to come in and play (unless you want to burn a shirt).

    3. Sam loves to play Hero-ball and loves to give hits, rather than slide. He isn't brittle, but each hit changes the odds. It is very possible if not likely Sam sits out at least 1 game this season. Also, with his deep ball inaccuracy and proclivity to throw game losing interceptions, he isn't exactly setting the world on fire either. A Grad QB has a shot to beat him out as well.

    So...is the path as clear as let's say our situation was last year? Maybe not. But, we definitely do not have a full QB room and we are an injury and a half away from starting a true freshman again. Not bad odds for a decent Grad QB. No?
     
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  14. THELAW21

    THELAW21 Political Correctness is subjective
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    stopped reading at any talk of UFC and soccer. Different strokes for different folks I reckon.
     
  15. RTR

    RTR Well-Known Member
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    On Larry Nassar and those who covered up for him, --- given my beliefs, I strongly believe in forgiveness in Heaven but my beliefs as a father lead me to understand that all who participated in the act and the subsequent cover-up are no better than Art Briles, Baylor and their many other co-conspirators maybe even worse, so.....

     
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  16. MB-HORNS

    MB-HORNS SUPERFAN
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  17. RLong68

    RLong68 Well-Known Member
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    My guess is plenty of Cowboys feel the same as I do and that is, F*ck New England.
     
  18. MikeCorleone

    MikeCorleone “It’s not personal. It’s strictly business.”
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    Looks like Ehlinger, Rising and Thompson will be getting the Spring reps.
     
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  19. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    what are you worried about pre-judging?
     
  20. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    If it's Hurts, which I have serious doubts about, I think he'd move to the front of the line. Not sure about the other guys.
     
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  21. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    No way you can be a Dallas fan and pull for the Eagles.
     
  22. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    If there's a heaven and hell, Nassar will be in the express lane for one and it won't be heaven.
     
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  23. Horn15

    Horn15 Active Member
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    I think first we should first crush his balls in a vice. After that we start the torture. Yes, I am talking about "Dr. Larry". Any punishment we give him is not cruel enough.
     
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  24. RTR

    RTR Well-Known Member
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    I don't get to judge, but if I was a betting man, I'd take the odds that he and Sandusky will get to know each other well at some point.
     
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  25. RLong68

    RLong68 Well-Known Member
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    Wrong. At this point I would pull for ISIS if they were playing NE.
     
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  26. Type O

    Type O Well-Known Member
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    Amen, Brutha. GO PATS!!!
     
  27. memhorn

    memhorn Well-Known Member
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    What are the odds Shane transfers?
     
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  28. Type O

    Type O Well-Known Member
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    I said it after the early signing period, and will say it one more time for the record - one of Rising or Thompson is 2nd string by Maryland, and one starts before season-end, whether due to a Sam injury or performance. Book it.
     
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  29. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    It's like I don't even know you.
     
  30. MikeCorleone

    MikeCorleone “It’s not personal. It’s strictly business.”
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  31. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    Hard to handicap.
     
  32. collinhookem18

    collinhookem18 President of Kody Clemens fan club
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    [​IMG]
     
  33. Type O

    Type O Well-Known Member
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    No, you are wrong. No way you are a true Cowboy fan, at least not a life-long one, or one that lived through Eagle angst in the late 70s and then the 90s.
     
  34. UTwiz

    UTwiz You're wrong, probably
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    Hurts would have to sit out 2018.
     
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  35. UT_TheUniversity

    UT_TheUniversity Day-1 Member
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    Nothing Ketchum likes more than finding or sensationalizing a victim. Go get em Ketch. Your such a swell guy.
     
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  36. RLong68

    RLong68 Well-Known Member
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    Anyone thinking rationally would calm down and consider that there's a real likelihood Hurts stays at 'bama.
     
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  37. UTwiz

    UTwiz You're wrong, probably
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    Yup.
     
  38. iluvdahorns

    iluvdahorns Well-Known Member
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    So should Tom make the call or bet on the smart money?
     
  39. danlaw08

    danlaw08 Well-Known Member
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    The Grad QB could very likely only have to beat out two true freshman at some point this season. Who do you think could do that? Just Hurts?
     
  40. FrancoBevo

    FrancoBevo Well-Known Member
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    # 10 is seriously disturbing - why is it that people sit idly by when stuff like this happens, was Dr Nassar that talented and that instrumental to US Olympics that they couldn't risk rocking the boat? That, i seriously doubt, so why keep quiet? No adult suspected a thing through ALL those years? And if people were warned, why the F was nothing done? Again, who is this clown, does he cure cancer, what?
     
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