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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (The case against making the playoff ...)

I dunno. Texas peaked in October that year. Barely survived Ohio State.
BS. That team got better and better each week and peaked in November. The Fiesta Bowl was nothing but a typical let down game because everyone knew we deserved to be playing for it all. We would have crushed Florida that could only manage 28 against that terrible OU defense.
 
@Ketchum
Option B in the poll question is phrased in such a manner that ensures the 30 point loss to Bama is a predetermined outcome. This leaves Texas with ZERO chance of winning that game. We all know that's not how it works in the real world. Every competitor wants a shot at the champ - no matter how small the percentage. In the real world, that percentage is always greater than ZERO. But, not how it's phrased in this poll question. It is a guaranteed (predetermined) blowout loss. Thinking otherwise, is reading something into option B that is not stated therein. I'm pretty sure that this is why the results are closely divided down the middle.

Rephrase Option B to say: Run the table, win the Big 12, make the playoff, have a very slim chance of beating Bama and a very high probability of getting blown out by Bama, finish 1st or 6th?

Life is about taking chances. Option B, as phrased in the poll question, gives Texas no chance to beat Bama.
I think a lot more people would choose option B if it were not a predetermined outcome.

As for me, this week, I'm choosing the invisible option
C.) Beat Ok State and go 1-0 in week 8!
 
Great analysis and very well stated. Any good power 5 conference school would have a very small chance of beating Alabama and they would have at least a small chance of being competitive. Big upsets are a constant reality in every sport because sports teams have the element of human error, which is inherently unpredictable. Look at testaverde’s 5 picks in the 1987 Fiesta Bowl, which allowed Penn Ststa to beat a far superior team. You never know for sure what will happen!
 
Ten 10 best concerts? I’ll try to do ten favorites. No special order.

Robert Earl Keen Jr at Cactus Cafe
Frank Zappa at Palmer Auditorium
Stevie Ray Vaughan at Houston Music Hall
The Kinks at the Summit in Houston
Supertramp at the Houston Coliseum
Yes at the Houston Coliseum
T-Birds/ZZ Top/Rolling Stones at the Astrodome
Jethro Tull at The Summit
Shawn Phillips at Houston Music Hall
Electric Light Orchestra at the Summit has to be here for the flying saucer

It occurs to me that if I am honest I have to put somewhere in that list seeing Johnny Cash/June Carter in Branson, even though it means admitting that I was in Branson. But I got to meet both after the show and it was kind of a big deal for me. Great show.

No one cares but show other shows that I thought about including, and now keep thinking about - Lyle Lovett with his Large Band, Marshall Tucker Band, Queen, David Bowie, The Tubes, The Eagles, Ray Charles, B.B. King, The Stray Cats, Carolyn Wonderland, Crosby Stills Nash, Zappa Plays Zappa (With Dweezil), Kansas, The Doobie Brothers.

Recently a couple of shows that I also really enjoyed and would see again - Postmodern Jukebox at Moody Theatre and Delta Rae at One World Theatre.

I promise I’ll stop now.
 
Choosing to miss the playoffs would be like choosing to win the NIT over making the NCAA tournament and losing in the first round. STUPID!
 
@Ketchum
Option B in the poll question is phrased in such a manner that ensures the 30 point loss to Bama is a predetermined outcome. This leaves Texas with ZERO chance of winning that game. We all know that's not how it works in the real world. Every competitor wants a shot at the champ - no matter how small the percentage. In the real world, that percentage is always greater than ZERO. But, not how it's phrased in this poll question. It is a guaranteed (predetermined) blowout loss. Thinking otherwise, is reading something into option B that is not stated therein. I'm pretty sure that this is why the results are closely divided down the middle.

Rephrase Option B to say: Run the table, win the Big 12, make the playoff, have a very slim chance of beating Bama and a very high probability of getting blown out by Bama, finish 1st or 6th?

Life is about taking chances. Option B, as phrased in the poll question, gives Texas no chance to beat Bama.
I think a lot more people would choose option B if it were not a predetermined outcome.

As for me, this week, I'm choosing the invisible option
C.) Beat Ok State and go 1-0 in week 8!

Gets it.

If I have to choose between the already predetermined outcomes, I could very well make a case that option A is better for the program.

If you’re just straight up asking if I’d rather make the playoff than not, without knowing the outcome, of course I’ll choose the playoff.
 
Buy or Sell? Jason Garrett in all likelihood is gone after the season is over? Buy or Sell If Jason is gone, Jerry decides to tries to hit another home run coaching pick and makes another college rockstar pick ala Jimmy Johnson with a Lincoln Kennedy, Dabo Swinney, Urban Meyer, Bob Stoops, type of hire? Buy or Sell, The Dallas Cowboys start shopping around for a QB to push Dak Prescott in next year's draft?
 
It really doesn't matter. It's all about 1-0. If we get to the Playoffs, it'll be because we deserve to be there and I believe we'll be ready.
 
1978 . . .

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I think this notion of Bama beating us by 30 is nonsense. The best team they've played to date (the aggies, I guess) they beat by 22. We'll see how it goes against LSU for them but I don't think we would get blown out by any team
 
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I’m slightly surprised Ketch mother let him attend 2 Live crew concert at age 13.

That was definitely a not safe for kids rap group. Lol.
 
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Bushland is a 3A program now(...was 4A last year) played for a state title against Steve Edmond and Daingerfield a few years a back. It's 10 miles west of Amarillo.

Have friends on staff there. They have sent out a few NFL kids like Crockett Gilmore and Weston Richburg.

State quarterfinals last year in 4A losing to Graham.

With that said, Texas should get after TC.
 
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Before I even go down the rabbit hole wearing a bunny suit, let me admit for the record that I'm a "go-for-it" kind of guy, which means I'm definitely not a natural advocate for the cautious nature of the debate I'm about to put in front of you.

But, I get it.

I'll also admit that a pretty convincing case can be made for laying up, if you will.

The conversation goes like this ... I was talking with a friend of mine about the parallels that somewhat exist between the 2008 and 2018 seasons with much of the focus centering on what happened at the end of the season to the Colt McCoy-led squad vs. what could happened at the end of the season for a Sam Ehlinger-led squad.

My friend's contention was with hindsight, he believed the Longhorns were better off winning the Fiesta Bowl against Ohio State and missing the championship game altogether than making the national title game and losing to Tim Tebow's Gators based on these three factors.

a. Winning the Fiesta Bowl against the Buckeyes represented one of the best bowl trips/wins as a Longhorns fan that he'd ever had, ranking only behind the two Rose Bowls.

b. Losing out to the Sooners in 2008 for the championship game lit a fire under the program to make things right in 2009, which led to a Big 12 title and a national title game appearance, one he believes they would have won if McCoy had not been injured in that game. He also believes that if Texas had lost the national championship game in 2008, it might have created the type of hangover that the 2009 Sooners suffered, something that missing the 2008 title game absolutely assured wouldn't happen to the Longhorns.

c. Texas finished 2008 ranked higher than the Sooners.

As the conversation continued, I asked him the following ... if he could choose one of the two following outcomes, which would he take?

a. Winning the Big 12 title, but finishing No. 5 in the playoff rankings, thus missing the playoffs. However, the Longhorns would go on to win a major bowl game, finish in the top 5 of the final rankings and have the fuel needed to push them for a big 2019 run.

b. Winning the Big 12 title and making the playoffs as the No. 4 seed, but losing to Alabama by 30+ and finishing outside of the top five in the final rankings.

He picked option B.

I told him I'd pick option B if you could tell me that Texas might have a 5-percent chance of winning the game and only a 95-percent chance of a 30+ point loss.

More than anything, I suppose it comes down to whether you feel like ending the season on a high note in a slightly less high-profile situation has a greater value than ending the season on a low note in a much higher profile situation.

It's the kind of thing you talk about in a bye week, I suppose.

Interestingly enough, the results of a Twitter Poll proved to be much closer than I expected.



No. 2 - Pre-Halloween in Stillwater ...

Just handle your business.

That would be my message to Tom Herman's players this week, as they prepare for one of those prime-time match-ups against a team that looks overpowered on paper, but can turn its entire season around with a win against a top-10 team in front of the entire nation.

Oklahoma State is a battered and confused team. With losses in three of its last four games, including two straight at home by a combined 89-59 score, I'm not even sure if the Cowboys know who the hell is going to play quarterback for the majority of the game. I guess it'll be Taylor Cornelius, but that could change in a hurry if the Longhorns get ahead early.

On paper, Texas should clean Oklahoma State's clock.

Of course, if paper decided football games, Purdue would have lost to Ohio State by multiple scores on Saturday night instead of the skull-destruction that occurred.

So, if you're Texas, put your head down and prepare for the best shot Oklahoma State might have and then you hit the back with a harder shot. And another. And another.

This weekend is an opportunity for the Longhorns to show more backbone on the road than they did in losing to Maryland and messing around with Kansas State in the only two true road games they have played this season. Championship teams just find a way to get it done in games like this.

Just handle your business ... and win ... by any means necessary.

No.3 - If I had a vote that mattered ...

1. Alabama



*Grand Canyon-sized gap*



2. Clemson
3. Notre Dame
4. LSU
5. Georgia
6. Texas
7. Oklahoma
8. Michigan
9. Washington State
10. Florida

(Weekend musing about the Top 10)

* Alabama is on its way to being discussed as one of the greatest teams in college football history. There's not enough hyperbole in the world for that team at the moment.

* Ohio State has been weighed, it has been measured and it has been found wanting. I enjoyed the hell out of that beat-down.

* Clemson is starting to find its feet with Trevor Lawrence.

* Michigan has at least another loss in them.

* Is this Washington State team the best group that Mike Leach has ever had? I think it might be, with all due respect to the 2008 Red Raiders.

* Is Texas A&M underrated at No. 16? I don't know how you could justify ranking West Virginia over them, one loss vs. two losses, or not.

No. 4 - Can you imagine this kid at Texas right now? ...


Maybe the better question is, "Can you imagine how much money would be spent and to what lengths college basketball programs across the country would go if he was an AAU player with a future shoe deal?

Honestly, I'm out of words to describe how good this kid has been this year.

What an evaluation by Tom Herman and Co., it's just too bad that the kid wanted to stay close to home. It happens.

No. 5 - Story time with Uncle Ketch ...

I've never told anyone this before, but I was on the ground floor when the infamous Gotch Yarborough incident occurred back in the late 90s.

For those that don't know the story, a mystery recruit by the name of "Gotch Yarborough" popped up on a Sunday morning, as he was supposed to be a secret official visitor from Canada.

What's remembered about that situation was that former UT recruiting analyst David Garvin reported on the fictional prospect. What I've never told anyone before until now is that I spoke with Garvin right before he reported it.

All these years later, I can remember sitting in the KEYE-TV newsroom talking to Garvin, who I had a very good relationship with at the time, about the situation.

Truth be told, I didn't catch it. I remember telling Garvin that none of the details made sense and that the situation needed to be vetted more. Something just didn't add up.

And then Garvin reported it.

Gotch Yarborough ... aka ... Gotch Ya Bro.

All these years later, if I had seen the obvious, I might have been able to prevent the situation from ever occurring.

No. 6 - Compare and contrast ...

Assuming Oklahoma State starts Taylor Cornelius this weekend at quarterback, the Longhorns will be facing a guy that was an unranked, zero-star prospect coming out of Bushland High School. Yes, Bushland is in the state of Texas.

I thought it might be interesting to see who the top 6 quarterbacks (all state 100 prospects) from the Lone Star State were back in 2014.

1. Jerrod Heard (Texas) - Record-setting moments at quarterback as a redshirt freshman, but was moved to receiver and has not quite lived up to the expectations of a top-10 prospect.

2. Patrick Mahomes (Texas Tech) - Your fantasy football team has probably heard of him.

3. Foster Sawyer (TCU) -
Didn't last long at TCU and played only two seasons at SFA before leaving the sport.

4. David Blough (Purdue) -
A four-year starter for the Boilermakers, who has emerged as one of the best quarterbacks in the Big 10 as a senior in 2018.

5. Aaron Sharp (UCLA) -
Left UCLA and played at Blinn Junior College, but I can't find him on a roster beyond that.

6. Grayson Muehlstein (TCU) -
Has never really made a dent on the depth chart for the Horned Frogs.

No. 7 – Buy or Sell …
BUY-SELL.gif


BUY or SELL: Now seeing Herman’s body of work for almost two seasons, can we say the football world got it right about him being the "Up and Coming" coach that you better go get for your program?

(Buy) To the victor go the spoils. Herman has his team in the top 10, contending for a conference title and his recruiting has been mostly aces for the last two seasons. I still don't know who in the hell would have been the back-up choice if it wasn't him.

BUY or SELL: Sam is at least 90 percent against OK St and not a liability?

(Sell) I don't think Ehlinger will be anywhere near 100-percent, but I do expect him to play. I think he's a guy who will need to be managed as a runner for a week or two. I'm not sure that I'm calling his number in the power run game this week and that makes the Texas offense a lesser unit than you'd like for it to be.

BUY or SELL: Texas Dodged a bullet With Urban Meyer?

(Buy) I suppose it depends on what you want to dodge. I wonder how many Texas fans would sell their souls for a national title, like he's won for Ohio State, because I think he'd absolutely have won a title as the head coach at Texas. Fans can convince themselves of a lot of things because of the euphoria that winning provides.

BUY or SELL: Keaontay Ingram starts against the mullet?

(Sell) I think Tre Watson is going to be the starter all season, even if Ingram receives more carries moving forward.

BUY or SELL: The way this season is playing out, LSU at home next year will be the most hyped regular season game since ‘05 Ohio State?

(Sell) The Ohio State rematch in 2006 was a No. 1 vs. No. 2 battle. If you're talking about pre-season hype, yes, I think a likely battle between top-10 teams will be much-discussed this off-season.

BUY or SELL; Texas, at the end of the day, will finish with a strong class at OL and DL?

(Sell) Not if by strong you mean at the level Texas needs it to be.

BUY or SELL: Collectively, outside of Alabama and probably Clemson, this year shows a lot of parity. We are rated too high and are not a typical top 10 ...yet?

(Sell) I'm not sure that "typical top 10" means anything anymore. To your point about parity, I find there to be very little difference between teams in the No. 6-10 range than the teams in the 10-20 range on an annual basis.

BUY or SELL: Texas football is clearly headed in the right direction but Texas fans have eaten the cheese and an OB meltdown is in our near-term future?

(Buy) Orangebloods is always a second away from a meltdown if the football team loses a game.

BUY or SELL: Devin Duvernay could be as successful as Rondale Moore if he had better QBing (better deep throws) and he was used more effectively (getting him the ball in space)?

(Sell) Nope. Moore is special.

No. 8 – Eternal Randomness of the Spotty Sports Mind …


... A few years ago, I would have been wrecked by the type of loss Dallas suffered on Sunday, but the ball bouncing off the crossbar as time expired just created a shrug. I've seen and lived it so many times that it's hard to fall for Lucy's ball-holding trick to my emotions any more.

... I don't care what any of you say, I love NBA basketball in November.

... I'm not sure what to think about the brawl in the Rockets/Lakers game on Saturday. The older I get, the weirder it is for me to see guys essentially get away with things that would otherwise be crimes for the rest of us. Of course, who gets spit in the face at work? That whole sense was just bizarre.

... The Texans might not be hitting on cylinders, but with a four-game win streak, they’re back to being the team to beat in the AFC South. Color me impressed with Sunday's performance. Oh, and special shout out to Deshaun Watson, who had to take a 12-hour bus trip to Jacksonville because the team thought his lungs might be endangered if forced to take a flight. Damn.

... I thought the Titans should have played for overtime.

... Cam Newton did the damn thing on Sunday in Philly.

... It's crazy to me that Terrell Suggs is still playing in the NFL. I was 23 years old the first time I heard the name of the former five-star tight end prospect. I'm now 42.

... Joe Hart having five goals shoot past him 24 hours after Man City named a training pitch after him was some cold stuff, man.

... I can't believe I'm saying this, but... Wayne Rooney for MLS MVP.

... Check out this American youth star...



... Once upon a time, Kent Benson was two minutes into his NBA career when he elbowed Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in the mid-section.



Welcome to the NBA, rookie.

No. 9 - The List: Top 10 Favorite Concerts ...

It occurred to me that I need to get out and see more music in 2018, even if having four-year old twins sometimes makes such a thing hard to pull off.

But, it has to happen.

As it stands, here's my personal list of all-time favorite concerts that I've attended.

10. Toni Price at the Continental Club (1995)
9. Bon Jovi at the Frank Erwin Center (1997)
8. Bruce Springsteen at the Austin Music Hall (1996)
7. Norah Jones and Amos Lee at The Backyard (2005)
6. Joe Ely (with Teye) at Stubbs (1996)
5. Whitney Houston at Frank Erwin Center (1997)
4. Rolling Stones at Zilker Park (2006)
3. The Eagles at DKR (1995)
2. Paul McCartney at Frank Erwin Center (2003)
1. 2 Live Crew and the Geto Boys at Austin Coliseum (1989)

No. 10 – And Finally...


I have to get out more. Forget asking how many of these joints I've actually been to, it might save more time to ask me which of these I've heard of.


At the time CTH was hired, was Lincoln Riley ever considered ? as plan "B"
 
I wonder how many Texas fans would sell their souls for a national title, like he's won for Ohio State, because I think he'd absolutely have won a title as the head coach at Texas. Fans can convince themselves of a lot of things because of the euphoria that winning provides.

OTOH, one would make an excellent case that with only 1 national championship in almost half a century and only 2 conference championships in the past 23 years, Longhorn fans haven't been demanding enough.
 
You young guys, sheesh. Missed the great ones.

Stones
Dead at the Downs
McCartney
Harrison
Willie and Waylon
Stevie Ray
Fleetwood Mac
ZZ Top
Hendrix
Elvis
 
Mr favorite concerts:

1. The Who (w/ SRV opening) - Cotton Bowl 1989
2. Eagles - Texas Stadium 1994
3. Stones - Cotton Bowl 1989
4. Van Halen - Starplex (or whatever it’s currently called) 2015
5. AC/DC - Seen them several times, and they always kick ass.
 
Next year Jake Smith will equal Rodale Moore for Texas.
JS is not that quick and fast as Rondalle and he's 5 inches taller. He'll be more like Jordan Shipley than Rondale. RM is more like Darren Sproles at KSU...small, fast, quick and strong as hell for their size.

Hook'em
 
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