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OT: A Milei Economic Miracle?

HllCountryHorn

Unofficial history mod
Gold Member
Aug 14, 2010
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Fascinating:

Nov 29 • 18 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
In 2023, Argentina was dying:​
• Central Bank $12B in debt​
• 50% poverty rate​
• 7,500% inflation​
Then Javier Milei became President.​
11 months in, he's pulling off the greatest economic turnaround ever.​
In a 2-hour pod with Lex Fridman, he revealed exactly how he did it🧵 Image
When Milei took office in Dec 2023, Argentina was imploding:​
• Inflation in the first half of December was at 7,500%​
• GDP down 15% over the previous decade​
• Central bank reserves: minus $12 billion​
• Nearly 50% in poverty​
The situation was worse than anyone imagined...​
The government's finances were in complete meltdown:​
A massive 15% fiscal deficit (5% treasury, 10% central bank).​
The central bank had interest-bearing liabilities worth 4x the monetary base.​
Meaning: They could quintuple the money supply overnight if those debts came due.​
Hyperinflation seemed inevitable. Until Milei stepped in:​
His first move was radical but necessary:​
He slashed government ministries from 18 to 9 (now 8).​
Then systematically removed 50,000 government employees.​
The establishment called him "El Loco" - The Madman.​
But there was method to his madness:​
Milei understood something profound about government spending:​
The true tax burden isn't what citizens pay in taxes.​
It's the total size of the state apparatus itself.​
Every peso spent by government is a peso taken from productive citizens.​
So he went even further:​
He eliminated entire categories of spending:​
• Stopped all discretionary transfers to provinces​
• Halted public works projects​
• Removed economic subsidies​
• Cut out social program intermediaries who were stealing half the funds​
In January - his first month - he achieved the impossible:​
For the first time in 113 years, Argentina achieved true fiscal balance.​
The other 10 years without deficit? They weren't paying their debts.​
Milei executed the largest fiscal adjustment in Argentina's history:​
15 points of GDP in just 6 months.​
The results were unprecedented...​
A quick summary:​

• Wholesale inflation: Plummeted from 54% to 2% monthly
• Core monetary inflation: Down to 0.2% monthly
• Poverty: Reduced from 57% to 46%
• GDP: Recovered to December levels
• Real wages: Growing above inflation

But here's what makes it truly remarkable:
He achieved this with minimal political support:

• Just 15% of representatives
• Only 10% of senators
• No hyperinflation trigger to reset expectations
• No price controls
• No fixed exchange rate

Previous stabilization plans relied on these tools.

Milei did it through pure fiscal discipline.
His deregulation ministry removes 1-5 regulations every day.​
They have 3,200 more reforms planned.​
When complete, Argentina will surpass the economic freedom levels of:​
• Ireland at its peak​
• Switzerland​
• Australia​
The impact is already visible:​
JP Morgan has revised growth projections upward for next year.

But perhaps most importantly:

Milei proved you can fix a broken economy without:
• Devastating the poor
• Causing social collapse
• Losing public support

His approval rating today exceeds his initial popularity.
The experts said it couldn't be done.​
That shock therapy would destroy the country.​
That you needed slow, gradual change.​
Milei proved them wrong.​
And he did it in less than a year.​
His guiding principle?

"What's the point of living without freedom?"

Sometimes the most revolutionary act is simply telling the truth - and having the courage to act on it.

But Milei understood something deeper:
In today's world, bold ideas need bold voices.​
Milei didn't just implement policies.​
He built trust at scale by clearly communicating his vision with Lex.​
His authenticity became his competitive advantage.​
This is the future of leadership:​
Not just having good ideas, but being able to share them effectively.​
Building trust before you need it & creating impact while you sleep.​
Think about it:​
How many world leaders in history have gone on 2-hour podcasts to face unfiltered questions?​
For founders and leaders watching this:​
Your ideas deserve to be heard.​
Your insights can create massive impact.​
But only if you know how to share them effectively.​
The world knows who Milei is because he projected his ideas.​
 
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