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The Offense is Tipping Its Plays (Deep Dig)

Alex Dunlap

Any Updates on Desmond Harrison?
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Jan 18, 2005
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Skill Player Snap Counts and Game-by-Game Percentages of Offensive Snaps (2019 Regular Season)

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Tight End Total Snap Counts and Alignment Data (2019 Regular Season)

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Deep Dig OL Grading Scale (each snap by each player is graded as its own independent event)

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OL Grades (Kansas)

LT Samuel Cosmi - 77 snaps
1 QB hit allowed
3 knockdowns, 1 pin
DEEP DIG GRADE: 79.15

LG Parker Braun - 77 snaps
1 holding penalty, 1 false-start penalty
2 knockdowns
DEEP DIG GRADE: 77.81

C Zach Shackelford - 77 snaps
1 sack allowed
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.42

RG Junior Angilau - 77 snaps
1 QB hit allowed
1 holding penalty, 1 false-start penalty
DEEP DIG GRADE: 75.38

RT Derek Kerstetter - 77 snaps
1 TFL, 1 pressure allowed
1 knockdown
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.68

OL Grades by Week (2019)

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OL Snaps per Disruption Allowed (2019)

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Quick Hits and Thoughts

@Ketchum has touched on this off and on for the last two seasons, but never have we seen it more pronounced than in the game versus TCU:

The Texas offense is tipping its plays.

The reason it was more pronounced in this game, and easier to notice, is because it was clear that Gary Patterson had identified the tell and notified his linebackers. The offense was handicapped from the start.

The tell? How the running back was aligned in reference to Sam Ehlinger pre-snap. We received a DM from a poster on Orangebloods during the game who seemed frustrated about something very simple: when the running back was lined up "behind" Ehlinger, he would always notice a run play to follow. When the RB was lined up next to Ehlinger or just slightly staggered, it was a pass play. The poster, maniacally frustrated, said that "Patterson knows," and the Texas staff isn't doing anything to fix it.

It was a perfect assignment for the Deep Dig.

Here's how this shook out: There were 73 plays versus TCU where a running back was lined up somewhere in the backfield alongside Ehlinger. On 31 of those plays, the running back was clearly lined up "behind" him, meaning either in pistol, or in a fashion to where, if looking from the sideline directly down the yard marker, one player would not block your view of the other. If it would, that was considered an "even" or staggered alignment. All things very easy for the eyeballs to gauge from the defensive side of the football, thanks to the miracles of human depth perception and natural visual acuity. There were 42 snaps where the running back was lined up alongside Ehlinger, or just ever-so-slightly staggered, as described above.

Of the 31 times the running back was lined up clearly behind Ehlinger, Texas ran the football 23 times, or 74% of the time.

Of the 42 times the running back lined up at an equivalent or slightly staggered depth to Ehlinger, Texas dropped back to throw the football in all but one of those instances where Roschon Johnson was handed the football coming directly across Ehlinger's body on a relatively rare outside-zone call.

For Patterson and his defense's sake, they could basically depend on this pre-snap, run-versus-pass read like clockwork.

Maybe the Texas staff was setting the defense up to expose them? Could it have been a Galaxy-Brain move all along, as the enemy linebackers cheated with their steps upfield to stuff run lanes and make the job of the Horns offensive line and running backs even harder? If the Texas staff knew WHY the LBs were coming downhill with such veracity to spill over possible zone lanes, maybe they could have used that to their advantage in order to catch Patterson with his pants down, hand firmly in the cookie jar?

Because throwing when the RB was lined up in the typical run-game alignment was successful.

While Ehlinger was operating at his season-worst 45.8% completion percentage (the second-worst game of his career accuracy-wise), he had a completion percentage of 62.5% when catching TCU off-guard in these scenarios.

Take into consideration, though, that on the other side of the coin, the running back aligned adjacently to Ehlinger only ran the football one time out of 42. That means that, out of 73 total snaps, Texas didn't give away whether it would run or whether it would pass on only 9 of 73 plays.

That's 12.3% of the time. Patterson will take knowing whether a run or a pass is coming on 88% of snaps every day of the week and twice on Sunday.

That is not how you "set the sucker up" to beat him and catch him cheating. The relative success Texas had when deviating from its baseline offensive coaching tendencies was, for all intents and purposes, surely accidental.

At least Brennan Eagles learned a good lesson from the sideline, watching John Burt fruitlessly run glorified wind sprints in his place during the loss.
 
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