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Is It Culture or Luck? (DEEP DIG)

Alex Dunlap

Any Updates on Desmond Harrison?
Staff
Jan 18, 2005
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Travis Settlement, TX
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*****

As always, we'll give some quick analysis along with the tiered rankings (Now through Week 9 of 2023) and are derived via a proprietary scoring formula, and based on the following advanced charting statistics (please note the distinctions in how tackles, etc. are counted and why these stats will always differ from the official university stats):

Click Images to Enlarge

DEEP DIG DEFENSIVE LEGEND

***Also, Please note: -1 point has been added for any defensive penalty outside of defensive pass interference which is always considered a coverage burn and is not double-counted. Also, please note that missed tackles that result in blown contains are counted as blown contains (-1) and are not double-counted as both a blown contain and a missed tackle.

Also, please note that exact snap-count numbers may differ from other sources at times, as the Deep Dig does not count plays as defensive player snaps that are blown dead due to penalty, punts, opponent victory formations, opponent kneel downs, opponent spiked balls, extra points or other plays where the player is not technically playing on defense***

Defensive Snap Counts By Week and Percentage of Total Defensive Snaps Played Through Week 9
Deep-Dig-2023-Defensive-Player-Participation-1.jpg


Defensive Productivity Market-Share Percentages and Snaps per Production Caused Metrics Through Week 9 (snaps per disruption caused is colored coded from blue/best to white/median to red/worst - the number next to the name indicates movement in the rankings since last week):
Deep-Dig-2023-KSU-PROD.jpg


Snaps per Production Caused Metrics By Week Through Week 9
Deep-Dig-2023-S_PROD-by-week-.jpg


Quick Hits and Thoughts

It was a win and you'll take a win any way you can get it, even if it does take a few years off your life in the process.

We don't know about you, but most of us down in this dark basement were about as nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs for most of the second half. It all culminated in sheer panic when Chris Klieman, an alpha male if we've ever seen one, decided to go for the win on 4th down during overtime instead of electing to go to a second OT with a chip-in field goal.

It wasn't until the next day that we truly realized what got us to that point. Look, we'll have the offense to deal with here very shortly, and clearly there are going to be concerns with turnovers and an up-and-down (to put it mildly) game from Maalik Murphy and one that was filled with offensive mistakes. Uncharacteristic turnovers, more pre-snap penalties than we can remember from the OL this season and more. But in the end, as we moved down the stretch, Texas really did -- amazingly -- finally have a little luck on its side.

Start with the fact that if Keilan Robinson doesn't jump offsides on the extra point following K-State's final TD during regulation. Remember that little detail? If KSU chips that ball in as happens 99% of the time, they go up 28-27, and all of the sudden a field goal from Texas on the ensuing drive would have to be the final score of the game ... if things went as they did in the actual game, then of course, KSU would have answered back with a field goal of their own, except this time, not sending the game to overtime, but sending Texas to 7-2; all the while sending the fans home dejected and miserable. But that didn't happen because Robinson jumped offsides, whistles were blown and flags were thrown. The ball had to be reset, the holder was looking to his left, the deep snapper (rhythm of the delivery/set obviously compromised) snapped the ball before the holder was ready, it hits the holder in the face and we're back at tie ball game.

So, Texas gets to OT. Unable to score a TD on its first series, (in fact, unable to gain more than one stinkin' yard) Texas hands the ball back over to KSU who need a FG to tie or a TD to win. K-State's first play of overtime goes to their top receiver, Sinnott, who picks up 19 yards to the 6-yard line. This is about the time when most of us started to feel percolations in our guts of having seen this movie before, and the ending stinks.

Texas holds KSU to a short gain up the middle on first down.

Everybody remembers what happened on second down: The T'Vondre Sweat beastly batted pass. Again, there is luck involved here. Not by Sweat making an awesome play: he did that all game. He's a unicorn and a menace. Truly remarkable. No, the luck came via the fact that KSU QB Will Howard started out that play like this.

1.jpg


Somehow never realized that his best receiver (No.34 out of the slot) had run the play design about as beautifully as possible given the coverage scheme

2.jpg


And that Jerrin Thompson had less than zero leverage to the cut-side of his stem along the front of the goal line. The easiest pitch and catch imaginable and Will Howard didn't see it. Never even looked that way. While we were all crooning over a monster play by T'Vondre Sweat, no one in the stadium realized what could have just happened to send them all home in much more dampened spirits.

3.jpg



And what about the next play? The 3rd down.



Are you going to watch that and tell us that No.10 doesn't catch that ball likely 7-8 out of ten times? Just watch it back a few times and you'll see it's not a difficult grab, the receiver did a good job finding a little soft spot, Howard delivered a fine ball and he just couldn't secure it. Then 4th down happened, you throw your beer in the air, you scream at the heavens that things were never in doubt and you move on through a victory Saturday with that extra, extra-sweet feeling of already having your own victorious hay in the barn while getting to watch your rivals sweat.

And we said coming into this week that Texas needed to play, for lack of better term, a K-State brand of football this week. When we think of the old K-State teams under Snyder, we think of good, fundamental, physical teams that limit mistakes and can hang with anyone on a week-to-week basis because of these things moreso than their raw talent. Texas of course has massive talent, but this was a game where the most important position was compromised. And what Texas did -- like they have in other games this year like Alabama, Houston, and now KSU -- is they have found a way to win close and win late.

That is different. Most of what we've seen under Sark has looked much more like the Oklahoma game this year. But this has not been a season of Oklahomas.

Maybe that's culture, closing out games? That's gotta be culture, right?

Either way, we'll take it.

Onward to the offense.
 
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