Overall, a decent rationale. Go with a known strength against an unknown.
https://athlonsports.com/college-football/rick-neuheisel-predicts-college-football-upset-on-saturday
"I think Georgia has found something in Arian Smith and Dillon Bell. I think Carson Beck has two guys he can go to; they were unbelievable in that second half as a desperate team, they were unbelievable against Mississippi State," Neuheisel said. "I think they can challenge Texas's secondary, which has really not been challenged... I think that makes the game and Georgia's got the DNA to win these types of games, I'm taking the Dawgs."