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Pennsylvania - Russia and Tax Return Polls Not Good for Trump

mb888

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Jan 23, 2008
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"The Pennsylvania numbers provide more evidence of how much trouble Trump's attitude towards Russia could hurt him. Vladimir Putin has an 8/70 favorability rating with Pennsylvanians, and Russia as a whole comes in at 12/54. By a 43 point margin voters say they're less likely to vote for a candidate if it's perceived Russia is interfering with the election to try to help them, and by a 23 point margin they say they're less likely to vote for a candidate seen as being friendly toward Russia.

The tax return issue will also continue to dog Trump like a dog. 64% of voters think he needs to release his taxes to only 21% who don't think he needs to. Democrats (84/7) and independents (59/21) are pretty united in saying Trump has to release his returns and even a plurality of Republicans (42/36) think he needs to as well."

Source: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/08/clinton-has-narrow-lead-in-pennsylvania.html

The overall Clinton v. Trump numbers are pretty meaningless right now. But I do like to see issue specific numbers at this stage b/c they'll shape the overall numbers post-debate, where these issues are bound to come up. The numbers above are not good for Trump in a key battleground state for him.

Of particular note, the Russia numbers are not about the fact of Russian interference, but rather the perception of it. Trump needs to steer clear of the Russia issue. I don't think he'll release his tax returns (whatever the polls say) but the tax return numbers are not good at all for him.
 
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