One thing all the elite programs and coaches have in common is they always have a solid QB option.
Urban Meyer went from Alex Smith to Chris Leak to Tim Tebow to Braxton Miller to JT Barrett
Nick Sabah at bama had Parker Wilson, Greg McElroy, AJ McCarron, Blake sims, Jalen Hurts
Some of those guys weren't stars but solid QBs. Texas just hasn't gotten the QB position right enough to be a national power year in and year out to be a contending program. When they have gotten it right with Major, VY and Colt they've been national title contenders. Herman's ability to get the QB position right will dictate his short term success at Texas and his ability to get it right consistently will go a long way in deciding if he's as good long term as many think he will be.