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Texas BASEBALL v. Texas Tech - Big 12 Tourney Preview

ZachattheDisch

Texas Longhorn Baseball
Gold Member
Jun 1, 2006
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Austin, Texas
Big 12 Tournament



The Horns head North to Arlington to play in the Big 12 Tournament, Arlington being the site of horrors for the Horns. All time, the Horns are 5-11 in Arlington and have lost the last 6 games, with the last win coming in the Big 12 tourney against Oklahoma State in 2022.

Taking a look back at Texas Big 12 tournament history, there hasn’t been a massive amount of success, but that is also largely based on the fact that the Horns would not focus on the tournament as they looked ahead to hosting Regionals.

Big 12 Championship Titles (Last): 5 (2015)
Big 12 Championship Record: 46-37

If Texas wins the first game against Texas Tech, they will get Wednesday off and will play on Thursday evening at 730pm. If Texas loses to Texas Tech, they will be back in action on Wednesday at 4pm against the loser of UCF v. Cincinnati in an elimination game.

As for the Horns matchup against the Red Raiders, there are two ways to look at it. The Horns are either getting the Red Raiders at the perfect time (a massive down swing), or the Red Raiders are going to be dangerous and throw the kitchen sink at the Horns to win game one. The x factors are how poorly the Red Raiders have played against Quadrant 1 RPI teams and on the road, while the x factory for Texas is how poorly they have played in Arlington. All time, the Horns are 5-11 in Arlington and have lost the last 6 games at Globe Life Field.

Both teams can hit the ball, we all know that, but Texas pitches a little better and fields a bit better than the Red Raiders, so I give the Horns the edge in the first round matchup.



Through 55 games, here is a comparison to the Horns record in previous seasons and where they ended up.

2017: (34-20) >> 2 seed - NCAA Regional
2018: (38-17) >> 13th overall national seed - CWS
2019: (27-27) >> Missed Post Season
2020: >> Season Cancelled
2021: (40-13) >> 2nd overall national seed - CWS
2022: (38-17) >> 9th overall national seed - CWS
2023: (37-18) >> 2 seed - Super Regional
2024: 35-20 >> TBD (likely a 2 seed in NCAA Tournament)





#24 Texas Longhorns v. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Date: May 21st
Where: Globe Life Field - Arlington
Time: Tuesday at 7:30pm (subject to change due to earlier games)
TV: ESPN+


Series Matchup:
  • Texas and Texas Tech first met in 1968
  • Texas swept the Red Raiders during their first series in 1968
  • Texas last met Tech in the Big 12 Conference Tournament back in 2014 when Texas won 8-3
  • Texas has a 9-3 all-time record against Tech in the conference tournament
  • Texas holds a 123-52 series lead over the Red Raiders
  • David Pierce is 4-3 against the Red Raiders
  • In Austin – 2 series wins and 2 series losses
  • In Lubbock – 2 series wins and 1 series loss
  • Horns and Red Raiders met earlier this season in Lubbock to open Big 12 conference play.
  • Horns won that series 2-1.
  • Horns blasted Tech 22-8 in game one, lost game two 2-7, and then won the series finale 9-7
  • Horns enter the game on a 4-game win streak and are 8-2 in their last 10 games
  • Red Raiders enter the game on a 1-game losing streak and are 2-8 in their last 10 games


Records:
Texas: 35-20 (20-10 Big 12)
Texas Tech: 31-24 (12-17 Big 12)


RPI / SOS
Texas: 39 / 28
Texas Tech: 58 / 40


Texas Records Breakout:
Home: 24-12
Away: 11-5
Neutral: 0-3

Texas Tech Records Breakout:
Home: 22-7
Away: 6-15
Neutral: 3-2


Texas Quadrants Breakout:
Q1: 12-9
Q2: 5-2
Q3: 8-1
Q4: 10-8

Texas Tech Quadrants Breakout
Q1: 3-13
Q2: 5-7
Q3: 4-2
Q4: 19-2



PITCHING MATCHUPS:

TUESDAY - Texas LHP Ace Whitehead (4-1, 4.07 ERA, Texas Tech Kyle Robinson (4-7, 4.97 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 70.2 IP).

I am a bit surprised that Tech did not go with Freshman RHP Mac Heuer, who went 6 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 1 BB, and 8 K against Texas in their lone win against the Horns back in March.



Texas Tech Top Relievers:
  • Josh Sanders (4-1, 2 saves, 3.21 ERA, 25 apps, 42 IP)
  • Trendan Parish (2-1, 2 saves, 3.43 ERA, 12 apps, 21 IP)
  • Parker Hutrya (4-3, 1 save, 4.50 ERA, 20 apps, 32 IP)


Texas Tech Offensive Leaders:
  • Damian Bravo (.384 avg, 1.041 OPS, 4 HR, 43 RBI, .593 SLG%, .448 OB%, 2-2 SB)
  • Drew Woodcox (.333 avg, 1.068 OPS, 13 HR, 47 RBI, .654 S:G%, .414 OB%, 3-4 SB)
  • Austin Green (.331 avg, 1.001 OPS, 7 HR, 42 RBI, .552 SLG%, .449 OB%, 6-6 SB)
  • Kevin Bazzell (.312 avg, .898 OPS, 6 HR, 31 RBI, .488 SLG%, .410 OB%, 4-5 SB)
  • Gavin Kash (.305 avg, .938 OPS, 14 HR, 49 RBI, .570 SLG%, .368 OB%, 3-3 SB)



STATS BREAKDOWN


STATTEXASTEXAS TECH
Batting Average.290.304
OPS.911.937
Doubles122125
Triples1011
Home Runs10694
RBI377435
SLG%.533.527
Walks223299
Strikeouts494457
On-Base%.378.410
ERA4.856.25
WHIP1.481.74
Bases on Balls235272
Strikeouts448474
Wild Pitches5151
B/Avg Against.261.294
Home Runs Against6281
Errors5565
Fielding%.973.967


BIG 12 RANKS

STATTEXASTEXAS TECH
Batting Average4th2nd
Hits3rd1st
Home Runs1st3rd
RBI4th1st
SLG %1st2nd
Base on Balls10th3rd
Strikeouts11th7th
OB%8th2nd
Stolen Bases9th7th
Fielding %6th13th
ERA5th12th
Saves4th10th
Earned Runs6th12th
Walks Allowed7th13th
Strikeouts11th7th
HR Allowed8th13th
Hits Allowed9th13th
B/Avg Against6th13th




GAME PREDICTION:

I predict that Texas overcomes its Arlington nightmare to win game one against Texas Tech 7-5.

On the season, I am 36-19 with my predictions.



BIG 12 STANDINGS (Preseason Prediction v. Final)

Yup…I’ll own that loss, but at least I had Texas in the Top 3 and I guessed two of three bottom feeders. The rest was a BIG swing and miss!

ZachCoachesD1BaseballFinal Standings
TCUTCU (11)TCUOklahoma
TexasTexas (2)TexasOklahoma State
Texas TechOklahoma StateTexas TechTexas
Kansas StateTexas TechKansas StateWest Virginia
OklahomaKansas StateOklahoma StateCincinnati
Oklahoma StateOklahomaOklahomaKansas State
West VirginiaWest VirginiaWest VirginiaKansas
HoustonKansasHoustonUCF
KansasHoustonKansasTCU
UCFUCFUCFTexas Tech
BaylorBaylorCincinnatiBaylor
BYUBYUBaylorHouston
CincinnatiCincinnatiBYUBYU




BIG 12 TOURNEY:






NCAA TOURNAMENT PROJECTIONS





SEED1234
1KentuckyIllinoisCoastal CarolinaSacred Heart
2TennesseeConnecticutGeorgia TechFairfield
3Texas A&MLouisiana TechTCUOral Roberts
4North CarolinaOregonUNC GreensboroCornell
5ArkansasTexasTroySaint Louis
6ClemsonLouisianaSouth CarolinaArmy
7OklahomaNebraskaAlabamaLittle Rock
8GeorgiaWake ForestUCFAustin Peay
9Florida StateSouthern MissFloridaFlorida A&M
10Oregon StateSan DiegoVanderbiltWright State
11NC StateUC IrvineUNC WilmingtonGrand Canyon
12VirginiaWest VirginiaJames MadisonBryant
13UC Santa BarbaraArizonaNortheasternAir Force
14Indiana StateMississippi StateKansas StateBowling Green
15East CarolinaDukeCharlestonPresbyterian
16Oklahoma StateDallas BaptistLSULamar


 
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