DEEP DIG Part I: Anyone Seen Malik Jefferson? Why Strong "Taking Over" Means Little, More ...

Alex Dunlap

Any Updates on Desmond Harrison?
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Jan 18, 2005
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The Deep Dig
Oklahoma State Part I: Defense

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. . .

Market Shares and Futures

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Here’s how the productivity rankings are tallied, as always, Deep Dig data and statistics are likely to differ from “official” statistics kept by the university:

Solo Tackles: 1 point
Assisted and Boundary-Assisted Tackles: .5 points
Touches-Down and Untouched Force-Outs: 0 points
Sacks: 2 points
QB Hits: 1 point
QB Pressures: 1 point
TFL: 2 points
Batted Passes: 1 point
Fumbles Caused: 3 points
Fumbles Recovered: 1.5 points
Run-Stuffs: 1 point (on top of tackle if applicable)
Pass Break-Ups: 1 point
Blowups (a PBU that ‘blows up’ the opposing WR): 2 points
Interceptions: 3 points
Defensive Touchdowns: 6 points
Missed Tackles: -1 point

FOR DBs ONLY (new in 2016)

Lockdown Bonus: A bonus awarded (3 points for CB, 2 points for S and Nickel*) that can be whittled down by the following negatives stats:
Completions allowed: -.5 points
Burns: -2 points
* points per total snaps in the game. If a player was only a 50% snap participant as an outside cornerback, the lockdown bonus he’d start out with would be only 1.5 points.

Standings in the Deep Dig’s Productivity Market Share Rankings represent the number of points the player has scored to this point in the season per the Deep Dig’s official records.

The rankings will be updated weekly through the season as players move in and out of the Top 10 and market-shares shift toward the future. For now, Malik Jefferson, a preseason defensive MVP for the entire conference, is in danger of losing his billing as the best player on even his own (bad) defense.

We hope you’re sitting down.

. . .

THE TOP 10 RANKINGS (through four games)
(Player) (% total team productivity created) (movement in ranking from last week)

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1. LB Malik Jefferson - 9.80% (even)

2. LB/FOX Breckyn Hager - 8.22% (+4)

3. LB Anthony Wheeler - 8.05% (-1)

4. DE Charles Omenihu - 7.87% (-1)

5. S Jason Hall - 7.79% (+2)

6. DT Poona Ford - 7.00% (-2)

7. FOX Malcolm Roach - 6.82% (+1)

8. DT Chris Nelson - 6.12% (even)

9. DT Paul Boyette - 5.77% (-4)

10. FOX Naashon Hughes - 3.50% (NR)

Falling out of the Top 10: S Deshon Elliott (previously No. 10)

. . .

Defensive Snap Counts and Quick Hits

Click here for official participation log

NOSE

93 Paul Boyette - 52 snaps (51 at NT, 1 at DT)
94 Gerald Wilbon - 2 snaps (1 at NT, 1 at DT)

TACKLE

95 Poona Ford - 47 snaps (46 at DT, 1 at NT)
97 Chris Nelson - 39 snaps (21 at DT, 18 at NT)

Looking back at the game as a whole, it doesn’t really seem like the defensive line was a huge issue — after all, it was the continued grab-assing and worthless play from the secondary that truly doomed Texas. We’ll get to that group soon, but first we address a concern on the DL:

Both “starting” interior defensive linemen, Poona Ford and Paul Boyette both fell in the rankings; Boyette significantly. There were flashes from the defensive line in the game — certainly from off the edges — but rarely from the big men inside at the one and the three-techniques. Chris Nelson was, by far, the most impactful interior defender versus Oklahoma State and will be thought of by the Deep Dig as a superior option to Paul Boyette until proven otherwise.

Nelson has the hands and counters of Poona Ford coupled with the power and first step of Paul Boyette while being more balanced (and a more forceful anchoring defender) than either at this time.

It’s fair to say at this time, given the way everything is trending, that an injury to Chris Nelson would be more detrimental to the Texas defense that one to Ford or Boyette over the course of the season.

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END

90 Charles Omenihu - 41 snaps
91 Bryce Cottrell - 19 snaps
55 Jordan Elliott - 2 snaps

FOX

32 Malcolm Roach - 48 snaps
40 Naashon Hughes - 18 snaps

Malcolm Roach’s first start at Texas should be one of many moving forward. It’s impossible to see this staff or the (presumably) new one in 2017 ever going back to Naashon Hughes. It was one of a few big changes Strong made over the bye week in reintegrating himself with the defense and rolling out the beginnings of some changes.

Screen-Shot-2016-10-04-at-11.25.17-AM.png

At least we now know that someone on the staff is capable of recognizing what talent it is important to have on the field when your goal should be to get pressure on the passer. As we'll soon see, Roach is by far the most productive player on the Texas defense on a per-snap basis, and given volume of snaps, he's in prime position to take over the top spot outright.

Want to know why Strong made a public announcement that he’d be taking over defensive play-calling moving forward? (Like he wasn’t already in over his head with a head-coaching role and dual responsibility over a Keystone Cops, bumbling embarrassment of a special teams unit).

It’s because he had to make his friend Vance Bedford a scapegoat and get one more out. It’s his last one. It’s business and it’s for show. Texas fans should not expect to see anything much different on defense despite more hollow promises of improvement and “fixing it” from Strong.

“You just look at it and we just have to execute.”
- A dejected Charlie Strong at approximately 2/3 of his press conferences at Texas.​

It would take an entirely separate column to recount every time this beaten-down Texas fanbase has had to swallow this drivel and move forward on blind hope. The reason nothing will change this time is twofold:

1) Because Strong’s fingerprints were all over the gameplan versus OSU as it is. It was clear that Texas did numerous things to switch up the defense, showing new looks, fronts, alignments and blitz concepts that were never before seen in the previous two seasons. Trust us, we've watched and charted every play. Fans have already seen a good bit of the “new” defense that Strong will have the pleasure of unrolling under the worst possible circumstances at the Cotton Bowl.

2) Because, despite any detailed changes in scheme, the overall picture never changes. You don’t just start becoming organized and paying attention to detail. That is not a one-week fix, that is a culture that needs building and constant reinforcement. For all the good things Charlie Strong has done to revamp Mack Brown’s “soft culture” at Texas, the new culture is not one of preparedness or orientation to detail by any stretch.

SAM/“Double Fox”

44 Breckyn Hager - 53 snaps
23 Jeffery McCulloch - 9 snaps
41 Erick Fowler - 3 snaps

Breckyn Hager, Malcolm Roach and Brandon Jones were the exact three players the Deep Dig demanded become at least 50% snap participants in our most recent transmission, and sure enough, not only were all three more involved versus OSU — all three actually started.

Breckyn Hager should, for now, be thought of as the second-best player on the defense and the first real threat to Malik Jefferson’s perch atop the rankings since Hassan Ridgeway left town.

Breckyn Hager has created 8.22% of the Texas defense’s productivity on 134 total snaps, while Malik Jefferson leads with only 9.80% over almost a hundred more snaps (230).

So, if the program is indeed in the business of listening to the Deep Dig’s advice and analysis, the recommendation of a rapidly growing contingent of our dark basement would be for Coach Strong to fire every member of his staff, then himself, collect the $10 million remaining on his contract and leave town on the first Greyhound bus.

“Private jets are for good coaches,” one of our regulars grumbled.

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MIKE

46 Malik Jefferson - 61 snaps
30 Tim Cole - 12 snaps

Malik Jefferson’s share of the Texas defensive productivity continues to fall and he’s in grave danger of being overtaken in any game moving forward. In short, the first four games of Jefferson’s 2016 season, when taken as an individual set, are probably about as disappointing as those of the collective defense as a whole. Here’s why: Malik Jefferson was the preseason Big 12 DPOY but has played mostly like a JAG. The Texas defense was expected to be serviceable-to-just-below-average and has instead been an abysmal, soul-and-happiness-killing disaster.

Jefferson only leads the team in two of 16 advanced statistics tracked by the Deep Dig: run-stuffs (7) and batted passes (2). He’s also tied for third on the team with four missed tackles, just behind Sheroid Evans (7) and Kevin Vaccaro (6). (Much more on missed tackles in a bit, TOO much more).

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WILL

45 Anthony Wheeler - 54 snaps
35 Edwin Freeman - 17 snaps

Wheeler was benched toward the end of the game for Edwin Freeman for letting a slot receiver run free up the seam to his coverage responsibility; resulting in a “how does that guy get that open?”-moment from fans.

Wheeler was also credited for a missed tackle on a play unlike any other we’ve ever charted at the Deep Dig. It wasn’t as much of a miss as it was a failed attempt.

He just stood there, in open space as a tackler, and did not attempt a tackle.

It’s like he was frozen in place.

SECONDARY

NICKEL

11 PJ Locke - 11 at nickel

RIGHT CORNER

1 Sheroid Evans - 47 snaps (41 at RCB, 6 at LCB)
2 Kris Boyd - 21 snaps

LEFT CORNER

9 Davante Davis - 45 snaps (38 at LCB, 7 at RCB)
24 John Bonney - 29 snaps (27 at LCB, 2 at nickel)

SAFETY

31 Jason Hall - 38 snaps
14 Dylan Haines - 36 snaps
18 Kevin Vaccaro - 28 snaps
19 Brandon Jones - 28 snaps (23 at safety, 3 at nickel, 2 at cheetah)
4 Deshon Elliott - 13 snaps

- Texas tried to get a youth injection into the secondary to start the game with Brandon Jones and Kevin Vaccaro, but eventually turtled back up to the old standbys in Dylan Haines and Jason Hall for the majority of the second half.

- For all the trouble fans give Jason Hall as a player likely to get burned in coverage, one of our regulars pointed out this week that he really is a tremendous box-safety, and the ways to get him integrated in this way lead to monumental boosts in productivity from No. 31. To see Hall knifing off the edge and using his physicality to beat smaller pass-protectors en route to sacks was one of only a few things Texas fans can take away from the OSU game as a possible positive moving forward.

- Speaking of coverage, here are the coverage stats for DBs versus OSU:

Davante Davis - 3 pass break-ups, 3 completions allowed

John Bonney - 1 completion allowed, 1 coverage burn

Jason Hall - 1 completion allowed

Sheroid Evans, PJ Locke, Brandon Jones, Kevin Vaccaro, Deshon Elliott, Dylan Haines - no completions allowed

. . .

Snaps per production generated (through four games)
players who have not yet caused 2016 production not included; players with under 50 total defensive snaps in 2016 not included

FOX M Roach
104 total 2016 defensive snaps
5.33 snaps per production caused

FOX B Hager
134 total 2016 defensive snaps
5.70 snaps per production caused

DE C Omenihu
172 total 2016 defensive snaps
7.64 snaps per production caused

DT C Nelson
141 total 2016 defensive snaps
8.06 snaps per production caused

LB M Jefferson
230 total 2016 defensive snaps
8.21 snaps per production caused

S J Hall
185 total 2016 defensive snaps
8.31 snaps per production caused

S D Elliott
81 total 2016 defensive snaps
8.62 snaps per production caused

DT P Ford
177 total 2016 defensive snaps
8.85 snaps per production caused

LB A Wheeler
232 total 2016 defensive snaps
10.09 snaps per production caused

NCB P Locke
99 total 2016 defensive snaps
10.15 snaps per production caused

DT P Boyette
189 total 2016 defensive snaps
11.45 snaps per production caused

DE B Cottrell
52 total 2016 defensive snaps
13.00 snaps per production caused

S D Haines
121 total 2016 defensive snaps
13.43 snaps per production caused

CB H Hill
115 total 2016 defensive snaps
14.20 snaps per production caused

FOX N Hughes
145 total 2016 defensive snaps
14.50 snaps per production caused

CB D Davis
154 total 2016 defensive snaps
16.65 snaps per production caused

CB S Evans
180 total 2016 defensive snaps
23.41 snaps per production caused

S K Vaccaro
128 total 2016 defensive snaps
24.11 snaps per production caused

CB K Boyd
92 total 2016 defensive snaps
30.36 snaps per production caused

NCB J Bonney
65 total 2016 defensive snaps
162.50 snaps per production caused

. . .

Did He Play on Defense? No He Didn’t …
scholarship players on defense that have played at least a defensive snap in 2015, but did not against OSU in Week 4

CB Holton Hill (115 snaps on defense in 2016)

CB Antwuan Davis (45 snaps on defense in 2016)

DT D’Andre Christmas (5 snaps on defense in 2016)

LB Cameron Townsend (3 snaps on defense in 2016)

- Interesting game to bench your best cover-corner.

. . .

This Week in Missed Tackles …
Errrrrrrbody missin’ tackles

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Sheroid Evans - 4 missed tackles on defense
Davante Davis - 3 missed tackles on defense
Malcolm Roach - 3 missed tackles on defense
Anthony Wheeler - 3 missed tackles on defense
Malik Jefferson - 3 missed tackles on defense
Kevin Vaccaro - 3 missed tackles on defense
Edwin Freeman - 2 missed tackles on defense
Bryce Cottrell - 1 missed tackle on defense
Charles Omenihu - 1 missed tackle on defense
Chris Nelson - 1 missed tackle on defense
Poona Ford - 1 missed tackle on defense
Breckyn “Becklyn” Hager - 1 missed tackle on defense
Jeffrey McCulloch - 1 missed tackle on defense
Tim Cole - 1 missed tackle on defense
John Bonney - 1 missed tackle on defense
Brandon Jones - 1 missed tackle on defense

For a total of 30* (thirty!) missed tackles on defense versus OSU. In case Vance Bedford asks (for some reason we think he's done popping off at reporters, though).

*Most in the Deep Dig era by almost double. Manny _iaz is blushing somewhere.

. . .

As we turn our attention to Part II: Offense, we thank you, once again, for reading.
 
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