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Emerging Stars on the Texas Defense Headlined by Jaylon Guilbeau - DEEP DIG (via MyPerfectFranchise.Net)

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As always, we'll give analysis along with the tiered rankings (now updated through 1 week of the 2022 season) which are derived via a proprietary scoring formula, and based on the following advanced charting statistics (please note the distinctions in how tackles, etc. are counted and why these stats will always differ from the official university stats):

Click Images to Enlarge

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***Please note since 2019: -1 point has been added for any defensive penalty outside of defensive pass interference which is always considered a coverage burn and is not double-counted. Please also note that since 2019, missed tackles that result in blown contains are counted as blown contains (-1) and are not double-counted as both a blown contain and a missed tackle***

Defensive Participation Log: ULM

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Defensive Snap Counts By Week and Percentage of Total Defensive Snaps Played Through Week 1:

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Defensive Productivity Market-Share Percentages and Snaps per Production Caused Metrics Through Week 1 (snaps per disruption caused is colored coded from blue/best to white/median to red/worst):


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Missed Tackles - 9

LB Jaylan Ford - 3
CB Austin Jordan - 1
EDGE Ethan Burke - 1
LB David Gbenda - 1
LB Demarvion Overshown - 1
LB Devin Richardson - 1
S Kitan Crawford - 1

Pass Rush or Fool's Gold?

Texas was clearly much more effective getting to the passer versus ULM in the 2022 opener than it was in general in 2021. Even in a game where starting EDGE Ovie Oghuofo was fairly quiet, we saw a new starting JACK DE in Barryn Sorrell really step out into the spotlight for some excellent plays (1.5 sacks, a QB hit and a separate TFL), giving hope to the possibility that he can build upon the good flashes that we saw of him in 2021 while leaving behind the core-strength issues at the point-of-attack. We saw Demarvion Overshown's sub-package role with the starters off the edge actually being somewhat of a staple of the defensive scheme. Of Overshown's 26 snaps, 12 of them, or about 46%, were as an outside linebacker/EDGE-type player where Diamonte Tucker-Dorsey entered the game to play Overshown's vacated WLB spot inside. On one of those edge snaps, we saw Overshown create the monster TFL as ULM was hovering close to the Texas goal line.

Of course, the easy (and correct) thing to wonder is: how much of this new information is predictive of future success? How much is fool's gold? ULM is a bad football team, likely the worst Texas will face in 2022. Well, let's do our best to compare apples to apples here and look at Texas' 2021 opener versus another University of Louisiana System institution: Louisiana-Lafayette. In the 2021 opener against a similarly bad opponent, Texas totaled 10 total cumulative sacks, QB hits and QB pressures on the day. In the 2022 opener versus ULM, it total 16. That is a 60% increase in activity getting to the passer. 60 percent. That's extremely significant. If we throw in TFLs, just for the heck of it, we find that Texas increased its productivity behind the enemy line of scrimmage altogether in this one by 54% when comparing the data to that of the ULL game last season.

Yes, run-stuffs were also up against ULM, as were PBUs, as were blow-ups, as were interceptions and even defensive touchdowns. But the biggest takeaway -- the one thing we all knew needed the MOST fixing coming into 2022 (the pass rush) -- gave us the most encouraging signs moving forward.

Emerging freshman stars on defense are headlined by Jaylon Guilbeau

Jaylon Guilbeau started the game at the nickel corner as you can see in the game log, and it likely had a lot to do with Jahdae Barron missing time later in fall camp with injury, but we'll say this: Guilbeau will be a star for the Texas defense sooner than later, and, unless Jahdae Barron was completely hampered by injury in this game -- rendering him only about 50% of his usual self -- Guilbeau should be the starter immediately.
Furthermore, if Barron was that badly injured, why would he be playing at a 36% clip in a game where the Texas staff didn't even need him? Why not sit him like they did Alfred Collins?

Heck, they were better off without Barron, anyway. Look at what Jaylon Guilbeau did on just 22 snaps: 1 tackle, 1 QB hit and 2 QB pressures. He was thrown at once and recorded a PBU/blow-up. Barron didn't register a single statistic in the Deep Dig although he was credited an assisted tackle by the cockamamie Texas Sports Information Department.

Regardless, the difference between the two is stark in the numbers, and was just as stark by the eyeball test. Guilbeau is a true emerging star on the Texas defense.

Some other newcomers that did some nice things included, but not necessarily limited to, EDGE Ethan Burke who was in on four total tackles and also generated a run-stuff on only 19 snaps. EDGE/DE J'Mond Tapp got in on a tackle and also had a nice QB pressure on only 15 total defensive snaps. DE Jaray Bledsoe only played six snaps, but, incredibly on such a small sample, generated one QB pressure and one separate QB hit. CB Ishmael Ibraheem created a PBU on the only time he was targeted in the game, while DT Kristopher Ross had one assisted tackle and one separate half-TFL on only 5 total snaps.

Texas needs MUCH MORE out of Jaylan Ford, but what is the real alternative?

Texas needs much more out of Jaylan Ford. He did not record a statistic in the official record books, but in the annals of the Deep Dig, he'll go down as having whiffed on a team-leading 3 missed tackles. Completely unacceptable against an inferior opponent, especially when the defensive line was actually holding up its end of the bargain. Unfortunately, we're not even sure that this stout play upfront will always be the case through the 2022 season as the schedule gets tougher.

If Ford was a net-negative for the defense against ULM, it's truly a bad sign. The tough part is, how do you replace him? His immediate backup, as you can see on the Game Log above, is Jett Bush, who was not versus ULM, nor has ever been, a picture of defensive productivity at the mike linebacker spot. Experimentation with Devin Richardson needs to be occurring behind the scenes as a possible fire-alarm glass-break, should Ford's struggles continue.
 
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