Final 538 Prediction — Harris Favored

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Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Harris is ever so slightly favored. Seems to be the trend. IF, IF Harris wins it will be because independents broke late for Harris.

The Iowa poll was obviously an eyebrow raising poll.

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”

www.desmoinesregister.com

I doubt Harris wins Iowa — but this particular pollster has nailed the last several elections

 

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