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Just a Bit Outside: Way too early look at Michigan

Travis Galey

@travisgaley
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Aug 12, 2012
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Texas and Michigan have met only once in their illustrious histories and it was a game for the ages.

The two titans met in the "The Granddaddy of Them All,” the 2005 Rose Bowl. Texas, which was 10-1 heading into the game, got the Rose Bowl bid over Cal, triggering Aaron Rodgers, who had lead his Cal Bears to an identical 10-1 record. (Cal would go on to lose to Texas Tech 45-31 in the Holiday Bowl.)

Vince Young used the game as his coming out party on the national stage. The sophomore passed for 180 yards, one touchdown and one interception. But as a runner, he was unstoppable. Young carried the ball 21 times for 192 yards and four touchdowns.

And in the end, it was Dusty Mangum kicking a 37-yard game-winning field goal as time expired.

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The Horns used that win to propel themselves to an undefeated season the next year, capped off with yet another Rose Bowl win.

Now, Texas and Michigan will meet for only the second time ever, this one at Michigan Stadium and there is a chance history could repeat itself. A win at ‘The Big House’ could propel this team to a national title run.

I looked into Michigan’s roster and watched Michigan’s spring game so you don’t have to.

BREAKING DOWN MICHIGAN

QUARTERBACK:

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Of course, the Wolverines are the defending national champions, but the team that Texas faces in September will be very different from the team that took the field in Houston in January.

Gone is head coach Jim Harbaugh along with four assistant coaches, including defensive coordinator Jesse Minter.

Gone is, well, basically the entire offense. Quarterback JJ McCarthy, running back Blake Corum, both starting wide receivers and all five starting offensive linemen have all moved on. Tight end Colston Loveland happens to be the only returning starter (and he’s a good one).

New head coach Sherrone Moore, who was the offensive coordinator last season, will have his hands full trying to decide who will lead the Wolverines at QB this season.

Many have assumed that Texas native Alex Orji (Sachse, TX) would take over as the starter and that may still happen, but he has not yet earned the job.

Orji has been described as the most dynamic athlete on the Wolverines squad (not just quarterback, but among all of the players). His ability to make a defense pay with his legs is next level.

On this touchdown run during the spring game, at least two defenders had good angles to tackle him for a loss and they came up short.

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However, Orji’s ability as a passer is a work in progress.

He has some passes where he looks very good; setting his feet, leading the receiver and placing the ball where only his receiver can make the play.

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While Orji is fantastic when he leaves the pocket and goes on the run, his movement within the pocket is very poor. He has a tendency to get happy feet and rush passes when he’s under pressure.

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Orji finished the day 11-17 for 95 yards and had that one rush for 18 yards and a touchdown.

Following the spring game, head coach Sherrone Moore says Orji has more working in his favor than just his ability to run and throw.

“He’s gotten better every single day,” said Moore. “He studies the game at a high level. He’s a great leader, has the ‘it’ factor of people trying to follow him and then obviously he’s a superb athlete.”

Moore wants to run a “smash mouth” style of football. The Wolverines are going to run the ball and they’re going to run the ball a lot. That fact alone may give Orji a leg up in the race to be a starter. His ability to get out of pressure and keep drives alive with his feet make it harder for defenses. It also will open up enough holes in the secondary that Orji could end up being a serviceable passer, at worst.

Yet, if Moore wants a passer at quarterback then senior quarter Davis Warren could end up being the starter.

You will hear a LOT about Warren’s story throughout the next season … but it’s a good one so I will repeat it.

Warren’s senior season of high school was cancelled due to COVID. The year before that, he battled (and beat) leukemia. That one-two punch meant the California native never got to start a game in high school and was therefore not a highly-recruited prospect.

Warren decided to walk on at Michigan and became the scout team quarterback. He eventually won a scholarship and a place on the team. Now, as a senior, he is in contention to become a starter.

“His story and what he’s been through, he’s just a dude that’s never gonna give up,” Moore said about his QB prospect. “He keeps fighting and keeps clawing.”

Warren has full command of the offense. He makes quick reads and gets rid of the ball in a timely manner. He is also the direct opposite of Orji when it comes to pocket movement (a skill that I think is the most underrated aspect of being a quarterback).

Watch this play during the spring game where Warren comes under pressure but he makes a small movement to his left to buy him enough time to get the ball out to his tight end for a big gain.

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Warren was 6-9 in the spring game totaling 136 yards and two touchdowns.

“What I saw from Davis today is what I see from Davis every day in practice,” Michigan offensive coordinator Kirk Campbell told reporters after the game. “Nothing rattles him. He’s got a great arm, as you guys got to see on display today.”

Moore said the quarterback competition probably won’t be decided until just before Michigan’s week one game against Fresno State.

“Excited to see what happens in the summertime and then in fall camp,” Moore said. “Those guys are competing at a high level, it’s a healthy competition. They’re pushing each other so it’s been really good.”

RUNNING BACK:

There is zero doubt about who will be Michigan’s starting running back. EA Sports cover boy Donovan Edwards has already been an integral part of this Michigan offense, even while running behind now-NFL running back Blake Corrum. Edwards could have turned pro but chose to come back for one more season in Michigan.

Edwards didn’t play a lot in the spring game because he doesn’t need those carries … but this one play alone should tell you all you need to know about Edwards. He is an explosive back who also runs with enough power to break tackles.

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WIDE RECEIVERS AND TIGHT ENDS:

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Colston Loveland is the star of the show when it comes to Michigan’s pass catchers. The sole returning starter has the ability to be a first-round draft pick next year (and has shown up in multiple ‘way too early’ mock drafts).



Loveland has tremendous body control to go along with extremely sticky hands. He’s not going to blow you away as a blocker, but who cares? Michigan regularly plays with two tight ends and a heavy offensive line set so they don’t really need him to be a beefy blocker.

The wide receivers are a whole new set of starters. Tyler Morris received plenty of game snaps as a freshman and reportedly had a breakout spring putting him in line to take over as a starter. Morris describes himself as a “chain-mover,” working the middle of the field and the out routes.

Semaj Morgan, Kendrick Bell (a converted quarterback), Frederick Moore, Peyton O’Leary and portal transfer C.J. Charleston (Youngstown State) are all competing for playing time as well.

Moore, a 3-star receiver out of St. Louis, made some good plays, including a 48-yard touchdown reception.

This is a group that is underwhelming at best (outside of Colston Loveland) and extremely thin as far as depth goes.

“The legs are burning in practice,” Moore said after the spring game. “There’s only like five or six of us. I feel like we could get some help.”

OFFENSIVE LINE:

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Michigan has to replace all five starting offensive linemen and the spring game provided little ability to assess how the new unit will perform. The coaches mixed and matched the linemen on the two different teams so we haven’t seen who the starting five will be or how they’ll work together.

The line did a pretty good job in the spring game opening up holes in the run game but they struggled in pass protection. That’s because pass protection requires the line to work together in coordination to be able to pick up all of the blitzes and stunts.

The fact that Michigan hosts Texas in week two is likely going to be a problem for UM. Their line will be a work in progress and is probably going to be much better by the time they take on Ohio State than they will be early in the season.

DEFENSIVE LINE:

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Michigan’s defense probably got to the quarterback in the spring game because they are a damn good defensive line.

Starting defensive tackles Kenneth Grant and Mason Graham are as good (if not even a little better) than UT’s duo last season of Byron Murphy and T’Vondre Sweat. Both are going to be first-round draft picks.

Josiah Stewart and Derrick Moore are experienced players coming off the edge. They have also been good enough this spring to hold off TJ Guy who exploded this spring as an edge rusher. Guy will work into the edge rotation providing depth.

“TJ Guy in rotation is going to be important,” said Fox analyst Joel Klatt on his podcast following the Michigan spring game (which he attended in person). “Is he going to be asked to be in a star, leading role getting 10 sacks? No. But if he’s a guy that can have production, can be on the field in critical moments against big opponents, that’s going to help them become a bigger defense overall because the starters – like Josaiah Stewart – won’t have to play the kinds of snaps he would otherwise have to play.”

LINEBACKERS:

If the depth along the defensive line is a team strength, then the depth at the linebacker position is the direct opposite. Michigan had to go to the transfer portal to find their starting linebackers. Ernest Hausmann comes to Ann Arbor from Nebraska and Jaishawn Barham transferred in from Maryland. The third linebacker in the pecking order will be Jimmy Rolder, who picked up a sack in the spring game.

Linebacker coach Brian Jean-Mary (former of Texas) said Rolder has “a chance to be a very, very productive player.”

SECONDARY:

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Will Johnson is the undisputed star of the Wolverines secondary. Johnson will be a high first-round draft pick next spring. The junior CB has been a star since stepping onto campus and he’s now playing in his final season in Ann Arbor.

Fox Sports quoted an anonymous AFC scout who compared Johnson to Dallas Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs. Fox Sports reported that the scout said Johnson “is a big, talented athlete with a lot of upside. I expect him to take a step forward next year, and be one of, if not the top corner in the draft.”

Johnson has said he intends to prove he’s the best cornerback in the country, but he also frequently credits the defensive line for helping him make big plays, like this interception of Michael Penix Jr. during the national championship game.



The battle for the other cornerback spot and the Nickel position remains wide open.

Former Ole Miss receiver Amorion Walker transferred in to Michigan where he has been moved to defensive back.

At safety, Makari Paige decided to return to school instead of entering the NFL draft and he will be a big piece of what the Wolverines want to do on defense. He is a strong player both coming downhill and in pass defense.

However, the other returning safety starter, Rod Moore, tore his ACL in the spring and his return for the Texas game is unlikely. Zeke Berry is likely going to be the second safety with Quinten Johnson

Michigan is likely going to continue to be active in the transfer portal looking for DB depth.

GENERAL THOUGHTS FOLLOWING THE MICHIGAN SPRING GAME:

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The excitement for this game is going to be sky-high by the time it rolls around September 7th … and with good reason.

Michigan may not be the same team that won the national championship, but they will still be extremely talented, especially on defense.

Two weeks ago I took a look at the early mock draft entries for Texas’ upcoming opponents and Michigan was well represented with four players finding themselves as potential first-round picks.

Will Johnson (CB)
Mason Graham (DT)
Kenneth Grant (DT)
Colston Loveland (TE)

The Wolverines are going to want to slow this game down. They’re going to run the ball – a LOT – in an attempt to run time off the clock and keep Texas’ offense off the field.

Texas’ new defensive front will be tested over and over again. The D-line’s ability to clog up holes and slow down Donovan Edwards will be critical for UT’s ability to win the game.

Conversely, Michigan’s new offensive line will need to come together quickly if it wants to be able to slow down the pass rush of Trey Moore, Barryn Sorrell, Ethan Burke and Colin Simmons (who has apparently already shown he is going to live up to his five star status).

When Texas has the ball, Michigan will try to shut down Texas’ run game and make the Horns one dimensional. The combination of Kenneth Grant and Mason Graham will be the toughest challenge the offensive line faces all year. Steve Sarkisian will not want to simply concede the run game and go pass-heavy so it will be up to UT’s o-line to be able to produce some yards on the ground.

If Quinn Ewers takes that next step forward in his development, the Horns should be able to gain some traction against Michigan’s pass defense. But to do so, Ewers may need to really work the middle of the field and the out routes to mitigate Michigan’s pass rush and take advantage of UM’s linebacker play.

After watching both spring games and looking over the roster, it looks like Texas matches up well with Michigan and going into the game as favorites makes sense to me. I see more question marks in maize and blue than I do in burnt orange.

But this is still going to be a slugfest and I think it will be a close game until the final whistle blows.

Would it really shock anyone if it comes down to another walk-off field goal to win the game?

Will it be Bert Auburn time in ‘The Big House?’

TWEETS OF INTEREST:



Quinn Ewers and Donovan Edwards probably got to know each other pretty well during the photo shoot for the EA Sports cover.



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Don’t count on Quinn Ewers running the 40 at the NFL Combine next winter. (I wouldn’t bet money on him playing the new EA Sports game on Twitch … despite Travis Hunter’s appeals.)



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The Longhorn baseball team has had its highs and lows this season. They feel like they’re almost a lock to be a 2 seed in the NCAA regionals (as long as they hold serve).

Is it what fans want and expect at UT? Absolutely not. But they have been on a roll lately and finishing out the Big 12 with yet another series win is a good way to say goodbye (until the conference tournament).



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It’s hard to find fault with Jalin Flores this season. The outstanding young shortstop is a semifinalist for the Dick Howser national player of the year award.



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Anyone who complains about the Longhorn Network must not watch UT baseball. LHN has the best coverage of college baseball of anyone in the country. You will be missed.



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Texas men’s tennis team took care of business against Tennessee. They’re moving on to the Final Four!



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And the men’s golf team is going for a national championship next week.



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The UT athletic department is on track to win its third Director’s Cup trophy given to the university that has the best overall results across all sports. Naturally, Stanford is still in the running.

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For the most part, I am damn glad I am an adult. Being a kid can be hard … but it can also be fun.



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Ever wonder what a fusion of tennis and the UFC may look like?

 
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