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Find Your Perfect Franchise at MyPerfectFranchise.Net
Orangebloods Owned! Contact Andy Luedecke (aka @widespread panic) anytime at:
aluedecke@myperfectfranchise.net
(404) 973-9901
www.myperfectfranchise.net
Click Images to Enlarge
Skill Player Snap Counts and Game-by-Game Percentages of Offensive Snaps (2020 Regular Season)
Tight End Total Snap Counts and Alignment Data (2020 Regular Season)
Deep Dig OL Grading Scale (each snap by each player is graded as its own independent event)
OL Grades (Baylor)
LT Sam Cosmi - 67 snaps
1 sack allowed
2 pins, 1 knockdown
DEEP DIG GRADE: 79.43
LG Junior Angilau - 67 snaps
2 run-stuffs allowed
1 pin
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.79
C Derek Kerstetter - 67 snaps
1 run-stuff, 1 TFL allowed
1 personal foul penalty
1 pin
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.79
RG Denzel Okafor - 67 snaps
1 TFL, 1 run-stuff, 2 pressures, 1 QB hit allowed
1 knockdown
DEEP DIG GRADE: 74.89
RT Christian Jones - 67 snaps
3 pressures, 1 run-stuff allowed
1 knockdown
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.34
OL Grades by Week (2020)
OL Snaps per Disruption Allowed (2020)
Current OL Snaps per Disruption Allowed versus Last 6 Seasons (FINAL)
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Quick Hits and Thoughts
- Joshua Moore is the new Devin Duvernay
We're not saying he's as productive (and we understand the two receivers play different positions) but Tom Herman said at his press conference on Monday that the only players who don't get substituted out of games on a relatively routine basis within his program are those who have shown they are demonstrably better than the other options.
Well, Moore has been the best WR on the team this season (not sure it's close) and Herman's staff has started to shift his playing time accordingly. He's tied for the Big 12 lead in receiving TDs, fifth place in receiving yards and 7th in receptions thus far. True to his word, Herman has kept Moore on the field more than any other WR on the team. While on the season, Moore's snap percentage (62%) isn't at the level that Duvernay's was a senior (75%), it is trending that way over the course of the last two contests (75% of snaps and 82% respectively). By the end of the year, if he remains healthy, Moore looks to be the dominant snap-leader among the WR group and the rare Duvernay-like "alpha" who this staff truly doesn't want to sub in and out of games.
- Dixon trending up, Schooler, Woodard, Washington trending down
With Moore's recent gobbling up of snaps at the Z receiver, Brenden Schooler, Al'Vonte Woodard and Marcus Washington have seen their own snaps dwindle. All three players were beneficiaries early on of having versatility to play in multiple WR positions including the Z. With Moore now holding down such a large percentage of those snaps, they're having to find their way on to the field in other roles -- especially given the fact that the staff has begun to utilize true freshman Kelvontay Dixon in an increasing fashion. Raise your hand if you had Dixon starting the Baylor game on your personal UT Football Bingo Boards.
- Denzel Okafor continues to allow disruption at historic rate
It's just bad. You really don't realize it until the game is over and you tally everything up, but Okafor has been a turnstile. It's hard to pin it all on him when much of the time Christian Jones is also screwing something up on their initial combo blocks, but in the end, the results are the results. Look at the chart above comparing all the players who've allowed around the same amount of disruption per snap historically. We all know that it is easier for tackles to allow disruption than guards because tackles are often out on an island without the help of confined space to keep their opponents in close quarters. Okafor has allowed the most disruption per snap of any guard at Texas since the inception of the Deep Dig -- it really has come to that. The next worst was Terrell Cuney who was truly not a plus-player in the eyes of any observer, and we find it hard to believe there was ever a time when he was forced to play 589 snaps in a season.
- Sam Cosmi continues to play like a Day 2 NFL pick
A thought experiment we find fascinating (it doesn't take much around here) is to ponder who will be chosen first in the 2021 NFL draft between Sam Cosmi and Texas EDGE Joseph Ossai. Two things have become clear over the early course of the 2020 season: one is that Ossai, despite fairly lean counting stats in a few key areas like sacks, is looking every bit of the type of prospect who will leave Texas early for the NFL after the 2020 season. We'll begin to dig around about this more as we start rounding up intelligence from various league-types and scouts in the coming month or so, but our eyes tell us what we're likely to hear once we start asking.
The other is that Sam Cosmi may be being a tad bit oversold by the national media as a lock first-rounder. He certainly has his moments. His two pin-blocks on outside-zone concepts versus Baylor were downright dominating, outstanding billboards for exactly the upside we can expect out of Cosmi as he builds his core strength. Expect to see those two plays on his highlight reels once he comes out. The problem is that he's also had a tough time in other situations and doesn't bring that dominating level of play as consistently as you'd expect for a guy being ranked in the Top 3-4 at his position on preseason media big boards. He's one of the best Texas linemen the Deep Dig has analyzed dating back to 2013 (probably the second or third best, to be sure) but during that period, the highest-drafted OL Texas has produced has been a second-rounder.
We'll have our final evaluation on Cosmi after the season is over, but for now, he's trending toward Day 2 status and that is if he continues to play at his current level, showing improvement as expected.
- Bijan Robinson emerging to primary runner status?
He's now ahead of a healthy Roschon Johnson in overall snap percentage on the season, and in the last two games, is just a hair under Ingram in snaps per game.
Onward to Oklahoma State.
Find Your Perfect Franchise at MyPerfectFranchise.Net
Orangebloods Owned! Contact Andy Luedecke (aka @widespread panic) anytime at:
aluedecke@myperfectfranchise.net
(404) 973-9901
www.myperfectfranchise.net
Click Images to Enlarge
Skill Player Snap Counts and Game-by-Game Percentages of Offensive Snaps (2020 Regular Season)
Tight End Total Snap Counts and Alignment Data (2020 Regular Season)
Deep Dig OL Grading Scale (each snap by each player is graded as its own independent event)
OL Grades (Baylor)
LT Sam Cosmi - 67 snaps
1 sack allowed
2 pins, 1 knockdown
DEEP DIG GRADE: 79.43
LG Junior Angilau - 67 snaps
2 run-stuffs allowed
1 pin
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.79
C Derek Kerstetter - 67 snaps
1 run-stuff, 1 TFL allowed
1 personal foul penalty
1 pin
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.79
RG Denzel Okafor - 67 snaps
1 TFL, 1 run-stuff, 2 pressures, 1 QB hit allowed
1 knockdown
DEEP DIG GRADE: 74.89
RT Christian Jones - 67 snaps
3 pressures, 1 run-stuff allowed
1 knockdown
DEEP DIG GRADE: 76.34
OL Grades by Week (2020)
OL Snaps per Disruption Allowed (2020)
Current OL Snaps per Disruption Allowed versus Last 6 Seasons (FINAL)
-------------
Quick Hits and Thoughts
- Joshua Moore is the new Devin Duvernay
We're not saying he's as productive (and we understand the two receivers play different positions) but Tom Herman said at his press conference on Monday that the only players who don't get substituted out of games on a relatively routine basis within his program are those who have shown they are demonstrably better than the other options.
Well, Moore has been the best WR on the team this season (not sure it's close) and Herman's staff has started to shift his playing time accordingly. He's tied for the Big 12 lead in receiving TDs, fifth place in receiving yards and 7th in receptions thus far. True to his word, Herman has kept Moore on the field more than any other WR on the team. While on the season, Moore's snap percentage (62%) isn't at the level that Duvernay's was a senior (75%), it is trending that way over the course of the last two contests (75% of snaps and 82% respectively). By the end of the year, if he remains healthy, Moore looks to be the dominant snap-leader among the WR group and the rare Duvernay-like "alpha" who this staff truly doesn't want to sub in and out of games.
- Dixon trending up, Schooler, Woodard, Washington trending down
With Moore's recent gobbling up of snaps at the Z receiver, Brenden Schooler, Al'Vonte Woodard and Marcus Washington have seen their own snaps dwindle. All three players were beneficiaries early on of having versatility to play in multiple WR positions including the Z. With Moore now holding down such a large percentage of those snaps, they're having to find their way on to the field in other roles -- especially given the fact that the staff has begun to utilize true freshman Kelvontay Dixon in an increasing fashion. Raise your hand if you had Dixon starting the Baylor game on your personal UT Football Bingo Boards.
- Denzel Okafor continues to allow disruption at historic rate
It's just bad. You really don't realize it until the game is over and you tally everything up, but Okafor has been a turnstile. It's hard to pin it all on him when much of the time Christian Jones is also screwing something up on their initial combo blocks, but in the end, the results are the results. Look at the chart above comparing all the players who've allowed around the same amount of disruption per snap historically. We all know that it is easier for tackles to allow disruption than guards because tackles are often out on an island without the help of confined space to keep their opponents in close quarters. Okafor has allowed the most disruption per snap of any guard at Texas since the inception of the Deep Dig -- it really has come to that. The next worst was Terrell Cuney who was truly not a plus-player in the eyes of any observer, and we find it hard to believe there was ever a time when he was forced to play 589 snaps in a season.
- Sam Cosmi continues to play like a Day 2 NFL pick
A thought experiment we find fascinating (it doesn't take much around here) is to ponder who will be chosen first in the 2021 NFL draft between Sam Cosmi and Texas EDGE Joseph Ossai. Two things have become clear over the early course of the 2020 season: one is that Ossai, despite fairly lean counting stats in a few key areas like sacks, is looking every bit of the type of prospect who will leave Texas early for the NFL after the 2020 season. We'll begin to dig around about this more as we start rounding up intelligence from various league-types and scouts in the coming month or so, but our eyes tell us what we're likely to hear once we start asking.
The other is that Sam Cosmi may be being a tad bit oversold by the national media as a lock first-rounder. He certainly has his moments. His two pin-blocks on outside-zone concepts versus Baylor were downright dominating, outstanding billboards for exactly the upside we can expect out of Cosmi as he builds his core strength. Expect to see those two plays on his highlight reels once he comes out. The problem is that he's also had a tough time in other situations and doesn't bring that dominating level of play as consistently as you'd expect for a guy being ranked in the Top 3-4 at his position on preseason media big boards. He's one of the best Texas linemen the Deep Dig has analyzed dating back to 2013 (probably the second or third best, to be sure) but during that period, the highest-drafted OL Texas has produced has been a second-rounder.
We'll have our final evaluation on Cosmi after the season is over, but for now, he's trending toward Day 2 status and that is if he continues to play at his current level, showing improvement as expected.
- Bijan Robinson emerging to primary runner status?
He's now ahead of a healthy Roschon Johnson in overall snap percentage on the season, and in the last two games, is just a hair under Ingram in snaps per game.
Onward to Oklahoma State.
