Alex Dunlap (season record 5-2)
Baylor is awful and this is a get-right spot for the Texas offense that desperately needs a slump buster.
Texas 35 - Baylor 17
Geoff Ketchum (season record 4-3)
I've picked Texas to win games in each of the last two weeks because I believe in Tom Herman and twice I've just come short of nailing the thing Vegas didn't think would happen. Well, if I believed in Herman a week ago, there's no way I'm backing away in this must-win road game against a desperate Baylor team. The star of the show? Give me Chris Warren with 150 yards and two touchdowns. Hey ... it looks pretty far down there from the limb I'm on.
Texas 28 - Baylor 20
Dustin McComas (season record 5-2)
A prediction with the use of statistics (according to FootballOutsiders.com):
BAYLOR
Overall F/+ rank: 90th
S&P+ Defense: 122nd
DFD (Defensive First Down Rate; how often drives result in a first down or a touchdown): 123rd
Success Rate+ (how often a given play on offense was successful) on offense: 120th
Baylor's offense is just okay in some areas, and bad in others. Baylor's defense is bad everywhere. If Texas isn't going to move the ball regularly and put up big points this weekend, when is it? Yes, I know Baylor has been more competitive at home, but it's still a really bad football team.
Texas 37 - Baylor 23
Anwar Richardson (season record 5-2)
A Texas team that does commit to the run game, a young offensive line, a quarterback on one leg in Waco to face a Baylor squad desperate for a win. On paper, this game has upset potential. However, there is no need to overthink this one.
Texas defensive coach Todd Orlando has his guys playing at a high level, and I expect that to continue this week. The Longhorns have corralled elite quarterbacks this season. Orlando’s guys should be able to contain any quarterback Baylor throws out there.
By the way, Armanti Foreman and Chris Warren III will probably play like guys who have something to prove, which could be breakout performances for both players.
Texas 35 - Baylor 17
Jason Suchomel (season record 5-2)
In breaking down the match-ups in this one, it looks like Texas should win pretty easily. But those match-ups haven’t seemed to matter much this year.
With Shane Buechele at quarterback and Texas struggling to run the football, I expect Baylor to do on defense exactly what Iowa State did … drop 8 into coverage, make Texas throw underneath and try to chip away at first downs. If that happens, it’ll be interesting to see how Texas responds after not really having an answer against ISU.
My gut just tells me this is going to be a closer game than it looks like it should, since Baylor is starving for its first win.
Texas 31 – Baylor 24
******
(season record 4-3)
Baylor is awful and this is a get-right spot for the Texas offense that desperately needs a slump buster.
Texas 35 - Baylor 17
Geoff Ketchum (season record 4-3)
I've picked Texas to win games in each of the last two weeks because I believe in Tom Herman and twice I've just come short of nailing the thing Vegas didn't think would happen. Well, if I believed in Herman a week ago, there's no way I'm backing away in this must-win road game against a desperate Baylor team. The star of the show? Give me Chris Warren with 150 yards and two touchdowns. Hey ... it looks pretty far down there from the limb I'm on.
Texas 28 - Baylor 20
Dustin McComas (season record 5-2)
A prediction with the use of statistics (according to FootballOutsiders.com):
BAYLOR
Overall F/+ rank: 90th
S&P+ Defense: 122nd
DFD (Defensive First Down Rate; how often drives result in a first down or a touchdown): 123rd
Success Rate+ (how often a given play on offense was successful) on offense: 120th
Baylor's offense is just okay in some areas, and bad in others. Baylor's defense is bad everywhere. If Texas isn't going to move the ball regularly and put up big points this weekend, when is it? Yes, I know Baylor has been more competitive at home, but it's still a really bad football team.
Texas 37 - Baylor 23
Anwar Richardson (season record 5-2)
A Texas team that does commit to the run game, a young offensive line, a quarterback on one leg in Waco to face a Baylor squad desperate for a win. On paper, this game has upset potential. However, there is no need to overthink this one.
Texas defensive coach Todd Orlando has his guys playing at a high level, and I expect that to continue this week. The Longhorns have corralled elite quarterbacks this season. Orlando’s guys should be able to contain any quarterback Baylor throws out there.
By the way, Armanti Foreman and Chris Warren III will probably play like guys who have something to prove, which could be breakout performances for both players.
Texas 35 - Baylor 17
Jason Suchomel (season record 5-2)
In breaking down the match-ups in this one, it looks like Texas should win pretty easily. But those match-ups haven’t seemed to matter much this year.
With Shane Buechele at quarterback and Texas struggling to run the football, I expect Baylor to do on defense exactly what Iowa State did … drop 8 into coverage, make Texas throw underneath and try to chip away at first downs. If that happens, it’ll be interesting to see how Texas responds after not really having an answer against ISU.
My gut just tells me this is going to be a closer game than it looks like it should, since Baylor is starving for its first win.
Texas 31 – Baylor 24
******
(season record 4-3)
