I’ll preface this by saying I still think Biden is going to win. I’ll keep my odds for Trump winning at 20%. But here are a few entirely unscientific and/ or anecdotal reasons why Trump might win.
1. Joe Biden isn’t as good as Hillary. I suppose I’m borrowing the transitive property, which we know always works in college football. Trump beat the Clinton political machine in 2016, but can’t beat bumblin’ stumblin’ Joe? Plagiarism Joe? Gaffe Joe? If he beat Hillary, he should beat Joe.
2. Enthusiasm. Dems obviously have turned out to vote, and will. But are they as enthusiastic about Biden as Trump supporters are about Trump? Judging by rallies, I don’t think so. I saw a guy driving down the street yesterday holding a huge Trump flag out of his window. Not a flag attached to his car. Just think of it as my “Michael Corleone watching a Cuban communist rebel blow himself up” moment.
3. People generally believe that they are better off today than they were four years ago. Gallup had a recent survey showing 56% of people feel they are better off now than they were four years ago. I was a bit surprised with all of the Covid stuff, but that’s a really good number.
4. Trump has a habit of winning. I can already hear the liberals saying,“But he’s filed bankruptcy all those times! And he’s not nearly as wealthy as he says he is! And he wouldn’t be anything if he hadn’t been born into wealth!” Fair enough. But at the end of the day he’s a billionaire President with a smoking wife. And every time the Dems think they’re about to get get him out of office or throw him in prison, he just seems to skate on by. I just picture liberals like Jesse Pinkman in Breaking Bad every time Trump puts another “scandal” behind him.
Anywho, I still think Biden wins. But regardless of who wins, we’ll all still be Americans and whoever is President-Elect will be President-Elect for all of us.
Since this may not go my way tonight, though, I am going to take one last opportunity to savor my favorite 2016 election night meltdown.
1. Joe Biden isn’t as good as Hillary. I suppose I’m borrowing the transitive property, which we know always works in college football. Trump beat the Clinton political machine in 2016, but can’t beat bumblin’ stumblin’ Joe? Plagiarism Joe? Gaffe Joe? If he beat Hillary, he should beat Joe.
2. Enthusiasm. Dems obviously have turned out to vote, and will. But are they as enthusiastic about Biden as Trump supporters are about Trump? Judging by rallies, I don’t think so. I saw a guy driving down the street yesterday holding a huge Trump flag out of his window. Not a flag attached to his car. Just think of it as my “Michael Corleone watching a Cuban communist rebel blow himself up” moment.
3. People generally believe that they are better off today than they were four years ago. Gallup had a recent survey showing 56% of people feel they are better off now than they were four years ago. I was a bit surprised with all of the Covid stuff, but that’s a really good number.
4. Trump has a habit of winning. I can already hear the liberals saying,“But he’s filed bankruptcy all those times! And he’s not nearly as wealthy as he says he is! And he wouldn’t be anything if he hadn’t been born into wealth!” Fair enough. But at the end of the day he’s a billionaire President with a smoking wife. And every time the Dems think they’re about to get get him out of office or throw him in prison, he just seems to skate on by. I just picture liberals like Jesse Pinkman in Breaking Bad every time Trump puts another “scandal” behind him.
Anywho, I still think Biden wins. But regardless of who wins, we’ll all still be Americans and whoever is President-Elect will be President-Elect for all of us.
Since this may not go my way tonight, though, I am going to take one last opportunity to savor my favorite 2016 election night meltdown.
