Oregon - could lose to Oregon State and Ohio State and still be 11-2 and in.
Texas - in, regardless of losing to aggy or Uga
Ohio State - in. They play Michigan, and if PSU wins and OSU loses, Penn State is in the CCG, but Ohio State would still be in at 10-2.
Penn State - 99%. They're 10-1 with Maryland left, and even with an L, they are almost certainly in.
Georgia - 99%. Only if they lose to Georgia Tech AND Texas or aggy.
Notre Dame - 98%. Even with an L to USC, they have a good road win at aggy. That NIU loss is pretty bad, but the choice would be 10-2 ND or a 3-loss SEC team, or a 2-loss ACC team.
Everyone else has work to do.
Texas - in, regardless of losing to aggy or Uga
Ohio State - in. They play Michigan, and if PSU wins and OSU loses, Penn State is in the CCG, but Ohio State would still be in at 10-2.
Penn State - 99%. They're 10-1 with Maryland left, and even with an L, they are almost certainly in.
Georgia - 99%. Only if they lose to Georgia Tech AND Texas or aggy.
Notre Dame - 98%. Even with an L to USC, they have a good road win at aggy. That NIU loss is pretty bad, but the choice would be 10-2 ND or a 3-loss SEC team, or a 2-loss ACC team.
Everyone else has work to do.
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