War Room:
That sound you hear might be the goal posts moving in on the 40 Acres.
In the aftermath of Charlie Strong’s win over Baylor last weekend, we’ve seen a repeat of what happened when the Longhorns beat Iowa State a few weeks ago, which translates to a bit of softening on the demands put on Strong to keep his job for a fourth season in Austin.
As Jason Suchomel suggested in a column this week, you had to wonder if our report from high-level sources that Strong needed to win games in order to be retained was a hard number or if anything could happen to turn seven wins into no-man’s land. For the better part of the last month, every time I’ve checked with sources, eight wins was always the target I was given.
Until Thursday.
In conversations with two high-level sources, Orangebloods has learned that there is a movement being led by a group of influential alums
to back Strong’s return if he can pull together three wins out of four regular-season games to end the season.
“There is increasing political pressure to give him another year,” said one high-level source that once backed Strong quite strongly and had previously mentioned that eight wins was a likely target number needed for the head coach to return.
“7-5 has always been the nightmare,” the source said.
According to that source, a 7-5 record might be a disappointment, but it would reflect improvement from the previous season, even if only marginally, and that would be enough for some of the power players that might influence the decision that Texas president Greg Fenves makes after the season.
When I asked about the 7-5 scenario with a second source on Thursday night, I was met with very direct dejection.
“I’ve never said this before, but I’m pulling for Texas to lose,” the source said. “I’m just ready for this to be over with and it’s not going to happen easily unless there’s too much blood for the dry cleaning to fix. I feel like this game (against Texas Tech) is everything. If we win this weekend, I’m going to prepare myself for the reality that we don’t have enough people on the same page to move forward with what needs to be done.
“Charlie still has a support system and they believe every time he wins a game that he’s cleared the last big hump. He’s convinced them that the players love him and that he’ll reward their patience. We're the kid that has been told by his classmates that Santa doesn't exists but continues to believe in Rudolph because it makes us feel better than admitting all of the evidence in front of us proves otherwise.
"Jesus, we're the kid from
Bad Santa with snot all over his face." (GK)
*****
If a decision is made to remove Strong and actively pursue Houston coach
Tom Herman, there may not be as many schools fighting for him in December, which was hard to imagine prior to the season.
Texas, Texas A&M and LSU were expected to be the top potential landing spots for Herman before the season. Each school had coaches who were on the hot seat and most college observers expected a bidding war between those schools to erupt. When LSU fired Les Miles four games into this season, it appeared the Tigers were paving the way for Herman’s eventual hire.
Things look a little different today with LSU interim coach Ed Orgeron posting a 3-0 record since taking over, and a win against Alabama this weekend could make him a viable candidate for the job full time. There’s some thought that LSU could scratch Herman off the list by Saturday evening and focus on hiring Orgeron. With Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin having his Aggies at 7-1 and fourth in the college football playoff rankings, Sumlin will retain his job after this season.
Meanwhile, there is no telling how Texas will perform during the final quarter of this season.
If Texas decides to retain Strong, Herman's best leverage might be an offer from Tennessee - if the Vols part ways with Butch Jones. If not, Herman might be forced to remain at Houston for another season of the Longhorns retain Strong.
One person close to the situation told me Herman’s asking price could be impacted if the job market dwindles. Herman reportedly earns $3 million a year at Houston, and he may not be able to match Strong’s $5 million a year at Texas without a bidding war. Considering Houston does not appear close to joining a power five conference, there is no telling what Herman might be offered by a school interested in hiring him. In addition, I was told the coach enjoys his job at Houston and may not leave if there is not a good fit for him. So far, nobody from the Houston side has received any indication Herman is giving any thought about where he might be in 2017 right now. From I was told, Herman’s main focus remains coaching his team.
For now, everybody is waiting to see what happens in Texas’ final regular season games. (Richardson)