I agree, Texas has tons of talent. It absolutely comes down to finding a championship level QB.
9/4 Notre Dame (H) - L
9/10 UTEP (H) - W
9/17 Cal (A) - W
10/1 Oklahoma State (A) - W
10/8 Oklahoma (N) - L
10/15 Iowa State (H) - W
10/22 K-State (A) - W
10/29 Baylor (H) - L
11/5 Texas Tech (A) - W
11/12 West Virginia (H) - W
11/19 Kansas (A) - W
11/25 TCU (H) - L
That's 8-4, but I honestly believe you'll lose a road game you're not supposed to. Unexpected road losses happen to even seasoned, veteran QBs, I have to think there's going to be a game (I have OSU in mind) where it just doesn't go your way even if you're favored.
So my final prediction is 7-5. Depending on who you get to face in a bowl game, you could be 8-5 heading into next year with a veteran QB. That's trending up for next year as you have so few seniors on this team. 2017 could be Coach Strong's break out year. I just don't see it this year, not with a freshman QB.