Obviously the ESPN Match-Up predictor is not infallible, but here is what you get using it through the first 12 games (prior to the Conference Championship games; ranked using my best-guess projection).
1 Oregon 12-0
2 Ohio State 11-1
3 Miami 12-0
4 Texas 11-1
5 Penn State 11-1
6 BYU 12-0
7 Notre Dame 11-1
8 Indiana 11-1 (with a future loss to Ohio State)9 Alabama 10-2
9 Alabama 10-2
10 Mississippi 10-2
11 Georgia 10-2 (with a future loss to Mississippi)
12 Tennessee 10-2 (with a future loss to Georgia)
13 Boise State 11-1
Other teams of interest.
14 SMU 11-1
15 Iowa State 11-1
16 Washington State 11-1
17+ LSU 9-3 (with a future loss to Alabama)
17+ Texas A&M 9-3 (with a future loss to Texas)
17+ Army 11-1 (with a future loss to Notre Dame)
Six teams tie for second-place in the SEC. I don’t know who “wins” the tiebreaker to play Texas in the SEC championship game.
Boise State will need to win its conference championship game to stay ahead of Army, and maybe also Washington State. Washington State could be ranked higher than 16th, but I don’t think they can break into the top 11, and I don’t know if they qualify for the highest-rated-non-P4-conference-champion-slot even if Boise State loses.
1 Oregon 12-0
2 Ohio State 11-1
3 Miami 12-0
4 Texas 11-1
5 Penn State 11-1
6 BYU 12-0
7 Notre Dame 11-1
8 Indiana 11-1 (with a future loss to Ohio State)9 Alabama 10-2
9 Alabama 10-2
10 Mississippi 10-2
11 Georgia 10-2 (with a future loss to Mississippi)
12 Tennessee 10-2 (with a future loss to Georgia)
13 Boise State 11-1
Other teams of interest.
14 SMU 11-1
15 Iowa State 11-1
16 Washington State 11-1
17+ LSU 9-3 (with a future loss to Alabama)
17+ Texas A&M 9-3 (with a future loss to Texas)
17+ Army 11-1 (with a future loss to Notre Dame)
Six teams tie for second-place in the SEC. I don’t know who “wins” the tiebreaker to play Texas in the SEC championship game.
Boise State will need to win its conference championship game to stay ahead of Army, and maybe also Washington State. Washington State could be ranked higher than 16th, but I don’t think they can break into the top 11, and I don’t know if they qualify for the highest-rated-non-P4-conference-champion-slot even if Boise State loses.
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