This is not where I thought we would be, but would winning-out salvage our season?

[Texas008]

Texas Football
Predictions Update

Nov 10, 2019

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After beating Kansas St 27-24 yesterday, Texas is now projected to finish the regular season 8-4 (6-3 Big 12).

•

The odds that the Longhorns end the season bowl eligible are up to 100%, an increase of 2% since yesterday.

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We currently rank the Longhorns as the #3 team in the Big 12 (and #23 team in the country).

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Next game: Sat, Nov 16 at #19 Iowa State. Our power ratings give the Longhorns a 33% chance to win.

Regular Season Record Projection
Current Record

Projection For Remaining Games

Projected
Final Record

6-3

(4-2 Big 12)

2-1

(2-1 Big 12)

8-4

(6-3 Big 12)


•

The more precise final record expectation for Texas is 7.6 wins and 4.4 losses, slightly worse than the rounded projection above.

•

Based on our projections, the Longhorns will most likely finish the regular season either 8-4 or 7-5.

More Texas Projections | Projections For All Big 12 Teams

Remaining Games & Win Odds

Nov 16



@ #19 Iowa State

33%

Preview



Nov 23



@ #25 Baylor

41%

Preview



Nov 29



vs. #60 Texas Tech

84%

Preview

 

[q1w2e3]

Hell yes that would be a tremendous finish, and a good chance at a Big 12 championship appearance.

How likely is it though? ESPN FPI has ISU with a 71.3% chance of winning and Baylor a 62.2% chance of winning.

ISU has opened as a 6.5 point favorite.

 

[FlourBluffHorn]

Does it really matter anymore?

 

[BringBackRoyal]

Yes, that would be great, but this team ain't winning out.

 

[westx]

Yes. Winning out would make us 9-3 not including the bowl. No brainer.

 

[q1w2e3]

Does it really matter anymore?

Yes. Why wouldn’t it?

 

[LonghornMM]

To me, the three losses feels like about five losses. Just feels like a lost, disappointing season.

 

[clob94]

Does it really matter anymore?

Of course it matters. We entered this season fully expecting to win 10 games. Win out and we have the opportunity to do so. Ten wins is where our expectations lie year in and year out. Keep banging away on those 10 win seasons and eventually you get over that hump and make the playoffs. Look, what's happening with the Oklahoma QB situation is an anomaly that has never before occurred in the college football landscape. It just doesn't happen. Ergo, weather this QB storm created by completely weird scenarios and things should return to normal within the conference.

 

[Texas008]

Of course it matters. We entered this season fully expecting to win 10 games. Win out and we have the opportunity to do so. Ten wins is where our expectations lie year in and year out. Keep banging away on those 10 win seasons and eventually you get over that hump and make the playoffs. Look, what's happening with the Oklahoma QB situation is an anomaly that has never before occurred in the college football landscape. It just doesn't happen. Ergo, weather this QB storm created by completely weird scenarios and things should return to normal within the conference.

I like this way of thinking, and it makes sense to me...of course, that fact, alone, should scare me!

 

[clob94]

I like this way of thinking, and it makes sense to me...of course, that fact, alone, should scare me!

Comedian day I see.

 

[Texas008]

Comedian day I see.

Always laugh, so that it doesn't hurt so badly.