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Book Rec - The King of Diamonds

This book is great. If you're from Dallas I'd say it's a must read. It's about the infamous "King of Diamonds" jewel thief in Dallas who was never caught. That story is interesting but all the additional local history is beyond fascinating. Delves into oilmen, mobsters, the Dallas Cowboys, strippers and debutantes along with familiar landmarks all over the Metroplex.

My wife's book club took it up and I'm a little less than half way through. It's so good!

SOS through 11/16 for the top 15 of the CFP

This includes Saragin, Colley, Massey, and Billingsley (from old BCS formulas). The other two are not updated for 2024.

TexasA&M
1​
College Football Network1424
2​
ESPN Power Index3825
3​
Team Rankings1012
4​
Power Rankings Guru158
5​
Sports Betting Dime2244
6​
Sagarin3834
7​
Colley Matrix3867
8​
Massey Ratings2423
9​
Billingsley1943
10​
College Football Insiders3516
Average SOS2530

Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (13 days, folks... 13 days)

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We're freaking 13 days away.

After all of the talk ... and my goodness, there's been a lot of talk ... we're almost to the finish line of the 2024 season and the match-up that we've been waiting more than a decade for.

House Divided for everything.

Oh, I know that there's a small matter of Kentucky this weekend at DKR on Senior Day, but let's be honest about what that game represents ... zero jeopardy. As good as the Wildcats are on defense, they are equally bad on offense, which equates to having virtually no shot of beating the Longhorns in Austin.

That means we're going to get a 10-1 Longhorns team going into College Station in less than two weeks to play against Texas A&M with arguably the highest stakes of any game in the history of the rivalry.

Yes, you can make a case that the 1995 game is in the conversation with the outright title to the last SWC on the line, but the national stakes that day were mostly minimal outside of a trip to New Orleans. You could also argue that the 1975 match-up between the No. 5 Longhorns and No. 2 Aggies belongs in the discussion, but neither of those teams played in anything bigger than the Bluebonnet or Liberty Bowls that season, respectively.

The winner of this game will almost certainly be playing in the SEC Championship game and cement its spot in the first-ever 12-team college football playoff, while the loser will look on with tremendous envy. In theory, the Longhorns could still sneak into the playoff with a loss if a few other teams lose in the looming weeks to create an opening for a fifth SEC slot, but to say that the Longhorns wouldn't control their destiny at that point is an understatement.

It says an incredible lot that the Longhorns are 9-1 and ranked No. 3 in the nation going into late November and we can't officially call this season a success yet, but that's how quickly Steve Sarkisian's program has raised the stakes around here. There's no way to get around the fact that a 10-2 season that would have Texas on the outside of the playoffs, while the Aggies get in, would represent massive disappointment.

That could still happen. My instincts tell me that these will be the stakes in the fourth quarter when these two teams play. We haven't seen an end of the regular season game with this much at stake since the Longhorns traveled to Waco in 2013 with a conference title or fire your coach outcome in play with 30 minutes to go.

We're 13 days away from the 2024 Judgment Day.

Unless the Longhorns win. Then the goalposts will be slightly moved again because that's what the world looks like when sky-high expectations are in play.

No. 2 - ALL The Love ...

We aren't talking about the story of the 2024 Texas Longhorns season enough.

These Texas defensive backs, man ...

Consider that just a season ago, the Texas secondary was viewed as the program's Achilles heel and the single biggest reason that the Longhorns lost in the semifinals of the playoffs. Fast forward to late November and my experienced eyes are telling me that we're watching one of the best Texas secondaries of the modern era of the sport.

Not the best ... the 2005 group might forever be the bar with its five NFL starters, multiple Thorpe Award winners and three first-round draft picks. The 2009 group led by Earl Thomas (the best Texas defensive back this century) helped Texas reach a national championship game and is in the discussion. So is the 2001 group, which featured Nathan Vasher, Quentin Jammer and Rod Babers.

All three of those units featured absolute legends of the program, so believe me when I tell you that I understand the company I'm suggesting that the 2024 group belongs in. That's how highly I think the group of Jahdae Barron, Malik Muhammad, Jaylon Guilbeau, Michael Taaffe and Andrew Mukuba has played this season.

Let's talk about Barron for a minute. His move to the outside has opened up his skill set and level of all-around play to the point that it's safe to say that he's having one of the best seasons of any cornerback in school history. When Michael Huff won the Thorpe Award in 2005, he averaged an involvement in 0.53 takeaways per game in 13 games. Barron is currently averaging 0.50 takeaways per game in 10 games. Thomas was at 0.63 per game in 2009 at the safety position.

Muhammad and Guilbeau haven't been as good as Barron, but they give up very little in the passing game. Very little. Meanwhile, the safety play has been good enough.

Take a look at these numbers:

2001: 187 of 369 (50.7%) for 1,760 yards, 6 touchdowns, 15 interceptions (87.98 rating)

2005: 223 of 436 (51.1%) for 2,236 yards, 10 touchdowns, 11 interceptions (96.75 rating)

2009: 255 of 460 (55.4%) for 2,514 yards, 14 touchdowns, 25 interceptions (100.5 rating)

2024: 167 of 287 (58.2%) for 1,367 yards, 3 touchdowns, 15 interceptions (91.19 rating)

It's really not a subjective position to call this group what it is. The data reflects it. In the passing era of the sport, no Texas secondary has ever had an interception to touchdown ratio better than 2.5:1. The 2024 group currently has a 5:1 ratio through 10 games.

It's time to put some damn respect on the names in this group. A lot of it.

No. 3 - Thorpe Award Power Rankings ...

Considering that sophomore linebacker Anthony Hill probably saw his Butkus Award chances take a big hit on Saturday with a 2-tackle performance just nine days before the finalists are announced, I thought we might take a look this week at Barron's competition for the Thorpe Award.

Personally, I haven't seen a defensive back in college football this season that I think is better than Barron, but I'd be lying if I said I had been watching the competition with a keen eye all season.

So, let's take a look at the semifinalists ...

Jahdae Barron (Texas)

Stats (10 games): 38 tackles, 2 TFL, 1 sack, 4 INT, 8 pass break-ups and 1 fumble recovery
PFF rating: 90.7

Jalen Catalon (UNLV)

Stats (10 games): 73 tackles, 5 TFL, 2 sacks, 5 INT, 3 pass break-ups and 1 forced fumble
PFF Rating: 76.6

Tacario Davis (Arizona)

Stats (10 games): 36 tackles, 2 TFL, 0 sacks, 0 INT and 6 pass break-up.
PFF Rating: 66.9

Caleb Downs (Ohio State)

Stats (10 games): 45 tackles, 6.5 TFL, 0.5 sacks, 0 INT and 3 pass break-ups
PFF Rating: 83.4

Nick Emmanwori (South Carolina)

Stats (10 games): 71 tackles, 2 TFL, 0 sacks, 4 INT and 2 pass break-ups
PFF Rating: 81.1

Travis Hunter (Colorado)

Stats (10 games): 23 tackles, 1 TFL, 0 sacks, 3 INT, 8 pass break-ups and 1 forced fumble
PFF Rating: 85.6

Will Johnson (Michigan)

Stats (6 games): 14 tackles, 1 TFL, 0 sacks, 2 INT and 3 pass break-ups
PFF Rating: 75.4

Rayuan Lane III (Navy)

Stats (10 games): 52 tackles, 0.5 TFL, 0 sacks, 2 INT, 3 pass break-ups and 3 forced fumbles
PFF Rating: 82.8

Jermod McCoy (Tennessee)

Stats (10 games): 33 tackles, 0.5 TFL, 0 sacks, 2 INT and 7 pass break-ups
PFF Rating: 81.3

Jabbar Muhammad (Oregon)

Stats (10 games): 31 tackles, 0.5 TFL, 0 sacks, 0 INT and 9 pass break-ups
PFF Rating: 77.0

Xavier Scott (Illinois)

Stats (10 games): 37 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1 sacks, 3 INT, 4 pass break-ups and 1 forced fumble
PFF Rating: 78.1

Terrence Spence (James Madison)

Stats (10 games): 28 tackles, 0.0 TFL, 0 sacks, 5 INT, 5 pass break-ups and 1 forced fumble
PFF Rating: 73.0

Malaki Starks (Georgia)

Stats (10 games): 51 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 0 sacks, 1 INT and 2 pass break-ups
PFF Rating: 76.5

Xavier Watts (Notre Dame)

Stats (10 games): 37 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 0 sacks, 4 INT, 8 pass break-ups, 1 forced fumble and 1 fumble recovery
PFF Rating: 86.3

Nohl Williams (California)

Stats (10 games): 39 tackles, 0.0 TFL, 0 sacks, 7 INT and 6 pass break-ups
PFF Rating: 75.7

At first glance, it feels like this is a battle between Barron, Hunter and Watts, while Williams can't be completely overlooked because of the 7 picks he has on his resume.

Among all power four conference players, Barron ranks first in PFF rating, third in interceptions and second in pass break-ups.

Will he win? It's hard to say whether voters will separate Hunter from possibly being the best player in college football, not the best defensive back. I'm not sure I trust the voters to do so.

No. 4 - Weekly Quinn Ewers discussion ...

Quinn Ewers' last 20 quarters of football since returning from his oblique injury.

OU 1st Q: 3 of 5 for 13 yards, OT, 1 INT (41.8 rating)
OU 2nd Q: 10 of 12 for 109 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (181.7 rating)
OU 3rd Q: 5 of 9 for 71 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (121.8 rating)
OU 4th Q: 2 of 3 for 6 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (6.4 rating)
Georgia 1Q: 5 of 8 for 17 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (80.4 rating)
Georgia 2Q: 1 of 4 for 0 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT (-25.00)

Georgia 3Q: 7 of 10 for 90 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT (211.6 rating)
Georgia 4Q: 12 of 21 for 104 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (98.7 rating)
Vandy 1Q: 12 of 13 for 126 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT (201.3 rating)
Vandy 2Q: 7 of 8 for 85 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (218.0 rating)
Vandy 3Q: 6 of 9 for 39 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT (80.8 rating)
Vandy 4Q: 2 of 7 for 36 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (71.8 rating)

Florida 1Q: 7 of 10 for 104 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT (223.4 rating)
Florida 2Q: 10 of 15 for 193 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT (221.0 rating)
Florida 3Q: 2 of 2 for 36 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (416.2 rating)
Florida 4Q: DNP
Arkansas 1Q: 6 of 9 for 48 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (148.1 rating)
Arkansas 2Q: 9 of 14 for 52 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (95.5 rating)
Arkansas 3Q: 1 of 4 for 30 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (88.0 rating)

Arkansas 4Q: 4 of 5 for 46 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (223.3 rating

(Bolded quarters are ratings of less than 122.0)

In half of the quarters that the team has played in since returning from injury, Ewers has compiled the following numbers: 44 of 68 passes for 368 yards, 0 touchdowns and 3 interceptions (101.34 rating, which would rank 117th in the nation among passing leaders).

In the other half of quarters during the same stretch, Ewers has compiled the following numbers: 65 of 84 passes for 837 yards, 13 touchdowns and 1 interception (209.77 rating, which would rank first in the nation among passing leaders by 21+ points.).

Overall, he's completed 109 passes for 152 passes for 1,205 yards, 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions since returning to the line-up (161.26 rating, which would rank 16th in the nation among passing leaders.)

If you eliminate the Florida game, he's completed 90 of 125 passes for 872 yards, 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions (145.32 rating, which would rank 35th in the nation among passing leaders).

It's important to note that things aren't all bad with Ewers. When he's got it cooking, his performance levels are elite among his peers. When he's not cooking, he's among the worst players at his position in the sport. Yet, his overall performance level since coming back from injury is good ... maybe even very good.

For those that hate the quarter-by-quarter look at his performance, just know that when those numbers are really low, the passing game is wildly ineffective and the offense bogs down to a scoring rate of an average of two points per quarter.

I would contend that if Ewers can turn his ineffective quarters from terrible to simply ok, his overall play will rank among the very elite in the sport. His peaks are great, it's just that his valleys need to be a little less valley-ish.

No. 5 - Scattershooting (Burnt-Orange Style...) ...

.... The last quarterback to beat Arkansas, Oklahoma and Texas A&M in a season was Colt McCoy in 2008. Before that? Peter Gardere in 1990. Before that? Randy McEachern in 1977. That's it in the last 50 years. Quinn Ewers has a chance to join that group.

... Don't look now, but Jaydon Blue is averaging 7.5 yards per carry over the last two games and leads all scholarship running backs in YPC over the entirety of the season.

... Colin Simmons is back to leading the team in sacks this season with 6.0 and he's only 1.5 tackles for loss behind Anthony Hill for the team lead. Most importantly, he looked like a player that has climbed over the freshman wall.

... Barryn Sorrell is very quietly having a very good season. He's been much, much better than Ethan Burke, who had seemingly closed the gap between the two last season. Not the case.

... Texas leads the SEC in interceptions this season and Barron and Mukuba have seven of the team's 15, with no other player on the roster having more than one. Ten different players have interceptions on the defense.

... As soon as Kobe Black came into the game on Saturday, Arkansas decided to immediately go right at him in ways that we haven't seen teams go after anyone in the secondary all season.

... Jaray Bledsoe has one more tackle this season than Kelvin Banks does.

... Texas ranks 112th in the country in net punting at 36.70 net yards per punt and it hasn't mattered at all this season. Those of you that said it wasn't a big deal were more right than wrong. I suppose the question I have is whether the coaches have seen enough from an injured Michael Kern to stick with a pat hand at the position going into next season?

No. 6 - If I had a vote that mattered ...

1. Oregon
2. Ohio State
3. Texas
4. Indiana
5. Notre Dame
6. Penn State
7. Alabama
8. Old Miss
9. Georgia
10. Tennessee

Heisman Trophy

1. WR/CB Travis Hunter (Colorado)
2. RB Ashton Jeanty (Boise State)
3. QB Kurtis Rourke (Indiana)
4. DE Abdul Carter (Penn State)
5. CB Jahdae Barron (Texas)

No. 7 - Anything and Everything But Football ...

... The good news for the Texas volleyball team is that the pathway to a possible conference championship isn't completely dead. Almost as important as Texas beating Alabama on Sunday to extend its win streak to three since the three-game slump at home a few weeks ago is the fact that Missouri lost at home to Florida this week. The Tigers host conference leader Kentucky on November 27 and if the Tigers can pull the upset, while the Longhorns handle their business, a share of the conference title isn't out of the equation.

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... I don't know how to fully wrap my head around Texas Volleyball being 8-1 on the road and only 6-4 at home this season. Every single one of those losses came against an unranked team at the time of the game (Missouri is ranked this week).

... After beating Boston U 4-1 in the first round of NCAA Tournament, the women's soccer team will play No. 5 Michigan State in a 4/5 seed match-up. The winner will get the winner of No. 1 Duke/No. 8 Texas Tech. The Blue Devils are the No. 1 overall team in the nation in RPI, while Texas is 16th, Michigan State is 22nd and Texas Tech is 41st. A win against the Spartans would make this the third in school history to make it to the Sweet 16.

... Points through the first four games of their college careers: Tre Johnson 94, Kevin Durant 91

... Texas shooting splits through four games: 52.9/38.8/71.6

... Men's hoops will play Syracuse this week and if you're wondering, the Cuse are 106th in the early kenpom rankings

No. 8 – BUY or SELL …
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Buy/Sell
Sark’s offensive plan needs to greatly improve these last two games, more so last road game against the aggy D.

Buy/Sell
If by chance we lose narrowly at aggy we still make playoff at 10-2.

(Sell/Sell) I don't know that it needs to improve "greatly," but he can do better and it would help. The problem with losing to the Aggies is that it might leave the Longhorns fifth in the SEC pecking order behind Alabama, Ole Miss, Georgia and Texas A&M. If the SEC could get a fifth team in, would Texas get in ahead of Tennessee?

B/S: Arch sees action in the Aggy game if offense fails to get things going in the 1st half.

B/S: Sark has already been game planning for the Aggy game?

(Sell/Buy) I think Sarkisian is going to ride Ewers to the finish line. The coaches/analysts within the team have been scouting/preparing this game since the spring/summer.

B/S: Based on his accuracy issues with the deep ball, his susceptibility to injuries, and that he isn't much of a running threat, you project Ewers to go no higher than the third round in the NFL draft.

(Sell) I think someone will take him in the top two rounds.

B/S: The Aggie game will be like a Game Seven of the World Series—everything has to be on the table. Quinn needs designed run plays, and if he’s not moving the offense, Arch should come in immediately to mix things up.

(Buy) That's the perfect description of the game and it's exactly how I would treat it.

B/S: Blue needs to be the starting/primary RB!

(Buy) He's the best back on the team.

B/S - In anticipation of the SEC (and B1G) stacking the playoff deck in their favor after next year, the committee is going to squeeze them this and next year.

(Sell) Define squeeze? Both will get a minimum of four teams in this year.

B/S Ewers must still be injured because his long ball success pales in comparison to what it used to be.

(Sell) His long balls don't pail when compared to what they used to be. However, his deep intermediate passes between 11-20 yards have. Outside of the Alabama game in 2023, the deep balls have always been a chore.

B/S: the only glaring concern, for this team, is what version of Quinn Ewers we get see over the next two games.

(Sell) I don't know that we know for a fact that the ground game will be good enough in the games that will define success this season.

B/S Sark wins SEC coach of the year? If not who does?

(Buy) Yes, I think he's going to win it.

B/S The Big 12 Champ misses out on the playoffs in favor of Army and Boise St.

Note BYU has to play Arizona St and Colorado has to play Kansas. I expect the Big 12 Champ to have at least 2 losses and possibly 3 losses.

(Sell) I'm not selling because I don't think it won't happen, I just think it will happen slightly less than I think it won't.

With several analysts throwing shade at Texas resume direction (and only Texas direction) yesterday, ESPN sent a clear message that Texas must beat Kentucky and Aggy or they are not in the playoffs.

This Texas defense is the best defense in the country.

(Sell) I don't believe ESPN has an anti-Texas agenda. I think ESPN at times has analysts who have an anti-teams with sketchy resumes agenda.

B/S: if we break 12pts (in each game) against KY and aggy, don’t turn the ball over, and don’t give up any special teams big plays—-We win both games

(Sell) I think the winner will need 21 in College Station.

B/S Georgia is the best team in the SEC and you are not sure who is the number 2.

(Sell) That might be true, but I don't KNOW that. Ole Miss put a beating on them eight days ago.

B/S Jim Carrey in the mid 90’s is the best 3-4 year stretch by an actor.

(Sell) It's not even the best stretch of movies from the mid-90s from an actor. From 1994-1998, Carey did Ace Ventura: Pet Detective, The Mask, Dumb and Dumber, Batman Forever, Ace Ventura: When nature Calls, The Cable Guy, Liar Liar and The Truman Show. From 1993-1998, Tom Hanks did Sleepless in Seattle, Philadelphia, Forrest Gump, Apollo 13, Toy Story, That Thing You Do, Saving Private Ryan and You've Got Mail. Hanks' stretch is unassailable. If we're going comedians, Will Ferrell's stretch from 2001-2008 included Zoolander, Old School, Elf, Anchorman, Kicking and Screaming, Talladega Nights, Blades of Glory, Semi-Pro and Step Brothers.

B/S you are a glass half full guy with this team and the game yesterday?

(Sell) I'm either in the middle or slightly the other way. I still think Texas plays in the SEC title game.

BS reprise: You SOLD last week about NOT seeing anything about QE’s play against UF to reassure you about the level of his play; this week you saw clear signs that 2024 QE is but a shadow of 2023 QE.

(Sell) His overall play is slightly better than where it ended at the end of 2024. It's not a shadow of anything.

Quinn’s QB coach is also Mahomes’s QB coach. Mahomes is a master at making off-timing plays

B/S - Quinn needs to get a different QB coach to work on his footwork and build more confidence in the pocket.

(Buy) I think a different set of eyes and voice might be a good thing.

B/S: OU is in the perfect position to be the first program to hire a pro style GM and take much of the strain of player acquisition, NIL, fundraising, etc of the HCs plate. Many coaches wouldn’t want it, but skeletor is in no position to complain.

(Buy) You sold me.

B/S The benefit of Quinn being a 3 year starter and knowledge of the playbook outweighs the benefit of Arch’s raw power QB talent?

(Sell) Not for me. I think this team is 10-1, regardless of who the starting quarterback is, but I think the team would be playing better football over the last six weeks if Arch was the starter.

No. 9 – Scattershooting all over the place …

... SEC Thoughts: You could see UGA beating Tennessee by double digits coming from a mile away after that loss to Ole Miss last week. Brian Kelly should have stayed at Notre Dame. South Carolina would be a dangerous team in a potential 16-team playoff format. Missouri's best performance of the season might have been a 4-point loss to the Cocks. I wouldn't fight you if you told me that Dylan Sampson (1,230 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns) was really the best running back in college football.

... Absolutely ANYTHING is possible for all of the teams in this year's playoff bracket outside of the fourth or fifth champion running the table. Just get in.

... Stan Drayton beat Tom Herman in a really entertaining game and lost his job the next day.

... Clemson might be the best team in the ACC, but the Tigers might get sniped by SMU for a spot in the ACC title game. lol.

... I'm completely ok with Deion Sanders being a finalist for National Coach of the Year. I thought his team was going to miss out on a bowl game when the season started.

... Amen, Van.
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... The Steelers punked the Ravens? I didn't see that coming. Ok, Russell Wilson, I see you.

... The NFL was pretty boring on Sunday.

... The Cowboys/Texans on Monday Night Football? I could do without it if I'm being honest.

... Jon Jones is so much better than any fighter the UFC has ever had. Saturday night was once again proof of that. Still, I would have liked to have seen him fight Stipe five years ago.

... Yes, I watched the Mike Tyson/Jake Paul fight. No, I do not feel good about it. It serves as a harsh reminder that if something gets enough publicity, I can be brainwashed into caring enough to give it some attention. Even my wife watched it in another room away from me and I can't talk her into ever watching sports with me. Sixty million households watched that fight. I don't even know how to fully respond to that.

… My Sixers are 2-10. Good grief.

... Inside the NBA is coming to ESPN? That feels like the best thing that has happened to ESPN in a decade if that means they can bring the entire group with it.

No. 10 – The List: David Bowie

How has it been so long since I've done David Bowie list that I can't even find it in the archives? It's actually been more than a decade.

It felt like a good time to revisit him.

Honorable Mention: Station to Station, Ph! You Pretty Things, Tis a Pity She Was a Whore, Drive-n Saturday, The Man Who Sold The World and Fashion

Last 5 Out: Fame, Space Oddity, Ashes to Ashes, Moonage Daydream and Sound and Vision

10. Let's Dance

This was the song that introduced Bowie into my life when I was a kid and has to be in my top 10.

9. Golden Years

This is my favorite vibe song of everything Bowie has done.

8. Young Americans

Rolling Stone ranked it as the No. 204 best song of all-time in 2021.

7. Changes

The staff of Rolling Stone listed "Changes" as one of Bowie's 30 essential songs, writing that although Bowie said it started as somewhat of a "parody of a nightclub song," it ended up being a "st-st-st-stuttering rock anthem"

6. Starman

The second-most played Bowie song on Spotify.

5. Life on Mars

Regarded as one of the best vocal performances of Bowie's entire career.

4. Under Pressure

There's no getting around the fact that 3X as many people have listened to this song than any other song he ever performed.

3. Ziggy Stardust

Rolling Stone ranked it as the No. 282 song of all-time in 2010.

2. Heroes

For a song that never charted well upon its release, it's emerged as one of the favorite songs in his catalog. In fact, in a poll of Rolling Stone Magazine readers, it was ranked No. 1 overall. It's a freaking anthem.

1. Rebel Rebel

I might have this one higher than most, but it's my favorite David Bowie banger. It makes me bounce.

TEXAS vs aggy discussion: stats

Here are the stats per ncaa.com.
out of 18 categories, we are better/ranked higher in 15. Of the three where aggy is ranked higher, it is minimal.

The glaring difference is our Passing O and Passing D vs theirs.

Sark as OC at Bama beat Elko as aggy DC twice
2020- 52-24
2019- 47-28
(I understand that Bama had ELITE OF THE ELITE WR'S BOTH YEARS)

As I mentioned to @Ketchum , if we hold the aggy beginning of the game surge/rage/hyped-up-ness, we will win by a minimum of 10. Sark will be prepared to throw it all over the field. If the OLINE does its job and gives QE time, they don't have the secondary to defend our guys.


TOTAL DEFENSE:
TEXAS- #1 (3.95 yards per play)
aggy- #47 (5.3 yards per play)

SCORING DEFENSE
TEXAS- #4 ( 12 TDS GIVEN UP, 12 FIELD GOALS)
aggy- #22 (22 TDS GIVEN UP, 14 FIELD GOALS)

TACKLE FOR LOSS
TEXAS- #24- (68)
aggy- #11- (73)

TURNOVERS GAINED
TEXAS- #6 (22)
aggy- #54 (14)

TEAM SACKS
TEXAS- #25 (27)
aggy- #57- (21)

DEFENSE PASSING EFFICIENCY
TEXAS- #2 (287 PASS, 3 TDS GIVEN UP)
aggy- #24 (330 PASS, 13 TDS GIVEN UP)

PASSING YARDS ALLOWED-
TEXAS- #1 (8.19 YDS/COMP, 136.7 YPG)
aggy- #70 (12.96 yds/comp, 220.4 ypg)

FIRST DOWNS DEFENSE
TEXAS- #2 (148 FIRST DOWNS)
aggy- #40 (182)

THIRD DOWN DEFENSE
TEXAS- #13 (.310 %)
aggy- #25 (.331%)

RUSHING DEFENSE
TEXAS- #23 (3.26 PER RUSH, 9 TDS GIVEN UP, 112.3 YARDS PER GAME)
aggy- #40 (3.89 per rush, 9 TDS Given up, 124.24 per game)

RED ZONE DEFENSE
TEXAS- #19 (15 SCORES GIVEN UP, .750 %)
aggy- #115 (20 scores given up, .909%)

TOTAL OFFENSE:
TEXAS- #18 (6.47 Y/P)
aggy- #49 (6.15 Y/P)

SCORING OFFENSE
TEXAS- #13
aggy- #38

PASSING EFFICIENCY
TEXAS- #9
aggy- #74

PASSING OFFENSE
TEXAS-#12
aggy- #96

PASSING COMPLETON %
TEXAS- #13 (.679)
aggy- #102 (.582)

RUSH OFFENSE
TEXAS- #64 (4.59 y/rush)
aggy- #13 (5.18 y/rush)

REDZONE OFFENSE
TEXAS - #69 (.848%, 39 of 46)
aggy- #5 (.950%, 38 of 40)

Instant Analysis: Are you a glass half-full or glass half-empty guy?

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Are you a glass-half full or half-empty kind of guy?

It feels like the answer to this question will likely determine the prism through which one views Texas' win over unranked Arkansas on Saturday.

The glass half-full guy will tell himself that any kind of road win in the SEC in November when all you need to do is win to get to the SEC Championship game is nothing to apologize for.

The glass half-full guy will tell himself that the defense performed at a championship standard, while the offense made plays when it needed to in the 4th quarter to warrant holding its head up high when walking out of the stadium to the bus after the game.

The glass half-empty guy is scoffing at the previous two sentences.

The glass half-empty guy will tell himself that today's performance will get the Longhorns beat in College Station if such a road performance were to repeat itself in two weeks.

The glass half-empty guy will tell himself that the quarterback was substandard and that the offense is played at such a remedial level that suggesting Texas would beat an actual good team with such a performance is misguided.

Look, I suppose I would say that all of these statements can exist in the universe together without friction.

There's no reason to apologize winning in a place that provided embarrassment three years ago. Enjoy the win, Texas fans. Yet, we can't ignore the fact that you'd like to see this Texas offense building off of the Florida performance from a week ago instead of regressing from it.

The truth of the matter is that we're not going to learn what we need to know about this team until the A&M game. Will the Longhorns be ready? Will the good version of Quinn Ewers show up? Will the Longhorns have enough offense?

Today told us nothing about what those answers might be. If it did, I'd likely suggest that the half-empty guy will probably be the one whose thoughts will matter the most when this season is ultimately defined.

(Other thoughts on the game...)

* The offense just wasn't good enough. Not the passing game. Not the running game.

* Steve Sarkisian has to own this mess. It's not completely a Quinn Ewers problem, but he's going to receive a lot of inspection. A 129.3 game rating against a defense that allowed 500 yards passing two weeks ago is not good enough.

* Ewers By quarter...

1st quarter: 6 of 9 for 48 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (148.1 rating)
2nd quarter: 9 of 14 for 52 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (95.5 rating)
3rd quarter: 1 of 4 for 30 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT (88.0 rating)
4th quarter: 4 of 5 for 46 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT (223.3 rating

* What we're seeing from Alfred Collins is a reminder of the virtue of patience. It's has taken a long time for Collins to get where he is and I'll be honest when I admit that I didn't think it was going to happen... but, here we are. He's playing at a very, very high level.

* After the Texas defense finally allowed a score in the third quarter, the Texas offense responded with a three and out. When Arkansas scored to cut the lead to 13-10, the Texas offense responded with a 75-yard touchdown drive that put the lead back to two scores. That touchdown drive was massive.

* Texas running backs hate ball security. That's a Tashard Choice issue at some point, right?

* Jahdae Barron in the first half: 4 tackles, 2 tackles for loss, 1 sack and 1 interception.

* Anthony Hill didn't get on the stat sheet in the first half. At all. A total donut.

* Trey Moore Sack Season!!!!!

* Texas Defense in the first half: 74 yards allowed (2.8 yards per play), 4 sacks, 4 first downs allowed, 1 of 6 allowed on third downs, a turnover and 0 points allowed.

* How the hell wasn't pass interference called on the defender against Matthew Golden in the end zone right before Bert Auburn made it 10-0 in the second quarter. It wasn't even close.

* Welcome back to the sack party, Mr. Simmons.

* Michael Taaffe was very good today.

* Jaydon Blue averaged 5.9 yards per carry today. That is more like it.

* The pump fake and the play design on the first touchdown pass to Matthew Golden was a thing of beauty.
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* Jahsae Barron has turned into such a fantastic player. Just give him the Thorpe Award right now.

* That should have been a touchdown to Matthew Golden on the opening drive. Ewers just doesn't make those throws well. It is what it is.

* I did not have Michael Kern punting three times in the first quarter and the Longhorns still leading at the end of the quarter on my bingo card.

* Someone buy this man a beer.

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CFP 5th seed

The more I look at CFP brackets week to week. The 5th seed will always be the easiest draw year in and year out.

It will always draw 12th seed which won’t be an SEC team in any year and feed into the 4th seed which will also never be an SEC team in current format. And probably not ever a big 10 team.

So I say give me the 5th every year or change the format of the seeding.

Texas Women's Hoops & Recruiting thread -- 11/17: Texas @ DePaul (6:30 PM on FS1)

Might was well create a thread to get the discussion going.

2025 #1 recruit, 5'10 PG Aaliyah Chavez from Lubbock (Monterey H.S.) is supposedly visiting Texas officially this coming weekend.

Looks like she visited UCLA officially in late August. Rumors that she'll visit Texas Tech and LSU in the coming weeks. Rumors that her other remaining finalists, Oklahoma and Sout Carolina might not get visits at all; we'll see what happens.


GTLapSYXEAAREKM

SEC Schedule - Next Two Weeks

TEAM
CONFERENCE RECORD
OVERALL RECORD
KEY GAMES
Texas5-19-1Kentucky, @ A&M
A&M5-18-2@ Auburn, Texas
Georgia6-28-2GA Tech
Tennesse5-28-2@ Vandy
Alabama4-28-2@ OU, Auburn
Ole Miss4-28-2@ Florida, MSU

Pretty sure that I transcribed this accurately. With Texas and A&M playing, at least one of the 6 teams jockeying for an SEC title game and playoff appearance is guaranteed a loss. There are eight other games against non creampuff opponents, though I'm being liberal in giving MSU credit for a rivalry game and OU extra points for a big game against Bama at home.

I find it hard to believe we won't seen an upset or two in the 8 games. Florida might give Miss a run at home with DJ Lagway, and I would not be shocked if Auburn either gave A&M a tough road game this weekend or played Bama well in the Iron Bowl. I'm thinking the SEC playoff picture looks significantly less jammed up, after the next two weeks.

As an official member of the dry pants club, I think Texas wins out, and it won't matter for our fate. But, will be interesting to watch, when you throw in lots of pressure down the stretch and a few rivalry games.
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