So I’m playing in the $1,100 main event on Card Player poker cruise. The blinds are at $400-$800 and I’m on the button with about $45k in my stack.

There is a raise to $2,500 in front of me with one caller. I look down at the Queen/10 of hearts and call.

The flop comes 7-8-9, rainbow giving me an open-ended straight draw. The first to act raised to $6k leaving him $18 behind and the next guy calls. I thought about it and decided that these guys were likely to end up playing for it all (about $25k each). Given that, I decided against chasing the draw and laid it down but I hated doing so.

What would you have done?

##### SPOILERS #####

The turn came a Q which would have given me top pair and the open ended draw. The first player shoved and the other guy called. They turn their cards over and the first to act had pocket 7’s and flopped a set, the second guy had pocket Q’s and turned a better set. The river was a 6 giving me the straight and the win … had I stayed. That would have put me at about $90k and in a commanding position to make day two.

As it was, I ended up getting crippled when someone hit trip 10’s and then busted when my A-10 got beat by an A-Q.

The good news is that my wife made day two and is fourth in chips heading into play tonight.

With Luke Combs covering Fast Car, and sending it to number 1 on the country charts, Tracy Chapman has come back into mind. She performed the song with Combs at the Grammy Awards the other night.

With discussions going on here about Miley and Taylor, I’d have to say that neither is in the realm of Chapman when it comes to talent. Commercial success should not be confused with talent.

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New show on Amazon Prime is worth a watch, really good!

Are you…

• Ready to leave the corporate Rat Race for the American Dream?
• Looking for a side hustle while working your current job?
• Wanting to diversify, build wealth, and/or leave a legacy?

Andy can help!!!
Andy is a franchise consultant (as well as franchise owner) and helps people find franchises that fit their skill sets, financial requirements, time to commit and more….
His services are 100% free and he’s here to help if you have any questions about business ownership.
https://rosterwatch.com/news/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/image_from_ios.jpg

Learn more about Andy and franchise ownership through these resources:
Andy's Story
Why a Franchise
Service Based vs Brick and Mortar
Semi Absentee Ownership
The Process and How It works


Andy Luedecke
www.MyPerfectFranchise.Net
p: 404-973-9901
e: andy@myperfectfranchise.net
Book time with me at: Andy's Calendar

*****

Is Quinn Ewers the best QB on Texas' 2024 SEC Schedule? Let's take a look ...

Mississippi State- Will Rogers transferred to Washington and thought about entering again after Kalen Deboer left, but elected to stay on with new HC Jedd Fisch. That left Mississippi State and new HC Jeff Lebby (formerly of OU) with Rogers' 2023 backup Mike Wright (a Vanderbilt transfer), Baylor transfer Blake Shapen, and freshman Chris Parson for now as the three most viable options for State in 2024. Lebby did recruit White while he was at UCF and there's thought that there could be a connection there.

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But, Shapen will probably be the guy. Ultimately, Lebby said he'd like to have a QB who can bring something with his legs in the same way that Dillon Gabriel did last season at OU, but Shapen is more of a pocket passer, rushing for a total of 29 total yards in 8 healthy games at Baylor last year.

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): N/A

Oklahoma - The Jackson Arnold era begins in earnest next season, but it got off to a rough start in the Alamo Bowl last year against an Arizona defense engineered by new Texas co-DC Johnny Nansen. Arnold finished that game 26 of 45 through the air (57.8%) for 361 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs, adding 38 yards on the ground. Arnold was an awesome prospect coming out of high school, and the Sooners obviously have really high hopes for the Class of 2023 five-star. We could see a Year 2 out of Arnold that is similar to an earlier period of progression for Ewers who also came into college with elite 5-star pedigree.

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): +1800

Georgia - Carson Beck. He was really good in 2023. The coolest game on the Texas schedule next season will feature the QB, who, along with Ewers, has been tabbed by the sportsbooks as an early co-favorite to win next year's Heisman Trophy. This, of course, has a lot to do with the fact that both Beck and Ewers are returning starters at the helm of very talented programs expected to be successful again in 2024, but here's how their personal numbers stack up from their 2023 seasons:

Ewers
3460 passing yards
68.5% completion percentage
22 TDs
6 INTs

Per PFF
% turnover worthy plays: 1.7%
adjusted completion %: 76.3%
big-time throw %: 3.9%
NFL passer rating: 108.0
% of pressures turned into sacks: 25.2%

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): +750

Beck
3949 passing yards
72.2% completion percentage
24 TDs
6 INTs

Per PFF
% turnover worthy plays: 2.3%
adjusted completion %: 80.6%
big-time throw %: 3.8%
NFL passer rating: 114.8
% of pressures turned into sacks: 13.8%

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): +750

There are so many ways to shade the numbers and give caveats: the fact that Ewers was hurt for a while last season, the surrounding casts (although they actually can be seen as relatively comparable), level of competition from Big 12 to SEC, you name it. The bottom line is, this is not only the QB matchup of the year for the Longhorns in 2023 ... if things go as the sportsbooks see them, it will be the QB matchup of the year in all of college football.

Vanderbilt - One thing that PrizePicks has taught me this year is to never bet against Diego Pavia (former NMSU QB) in the rushing department. He's transferred to Vanderbilt along with former Utah signal-caller Nate Johnson, another dual-threat guy. At this point, people seem to believe that Johnson will be in the pole position here, but either way, Vanderbilt will almost surely not have the same level of QB play as your average SEC team in 2024, like most years.

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): N/A

Florida - Graham Mertz. He was good last season in his fifth college campaign. He announced he'll be back for Round 6 in 2024 at Florida (second year in Gainesville after spending 4 years at Wisconsin). Here are some of his 2023 numbers:

Mertz
2910 passing yards
72.1% completion percentage
20 TDs
3 INTs

Per PFF
% turnover worthy plays: 1.4%
adjusted completion %: 80%
big-time throw %: 3.9%
NFL passer rating: 110.6
% of pressures turned into sacks: 23.3%

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): +7500

So, the sportsbooks believe he is 10x less likely than Beck or Ewers to win the Heisman in 2024, but that surely has something to do with the fact that they likely don't see Florida as a team as equipped to have a big season that would propel an offense's trigger man into that discussion.

Arkansas - The Pigs lost KJ Jefferson to the transfer portal after he played what felt like 15 seasons in Fayettenam. Jefferson went to UCF for one more round of college ball . It looks like his replacement will be Boise transfer Taylen Green who is also a really big dude (6-6, 220 pounds). Green is not going to be a pushover despite a 57.1% completion rate in 2023 and a pretty miserable 11 passing TDs to 9 interceptions. His legs can hurt you, for sure. Over the last two seasons at Boise, he's rushed for 1024 yards and 19 TDs and he's a hard guy to get on the ground when pressured (only 8.8% of pressures from 2023 resulted in sacks).

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): +10000

Kentucky - Brock Vandagriff. KU has had relatively good luck with transfer QBs lately, including Will Levis of course and then last year, 2024 Shrine Bowler Devin Leary. This year they brought in Vandagriff, an elite 5-star prospect from the 2021 class who was behind Stetson Bennett to start his career at UGA, where he committed, but eventually lost the starting job when getting his shot prior to 2023 to Carson Beck. His transfer to Kentucky leaves him with two seasons of eligibility. He clearly has a lot of upside, and has worked in pro-style offenses at UGA getting mental and physical reps for three seasons -- certainly a prime candidate to really come onto the scene and announce himself as a player at this level in 2024. But the fact is, he has thrown 21 passes in actual games in his college career at this point (57.1% completion rate for 165 total yards, 2 TDs and 0 INTs over three seasons).

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): +10000

Texas A&M - Connor Weigman. Weigman got hurt early on in 2023 and did not return after late September. So we can only take 4 games into consideration, but he was actually good for the Aggies to start 2023. If you listen to PFF in regard to its "grades," Weigman was their No.4 QB of the 2023 season, although on a small sample. And, to be fair to PFF, he is actually among really good company at the top: Bo Nix, Jayden Daniels, Preston Stone, Weigman, Carson Beck, Michael Penix, Dillon Gabriel, Shedeur Sanders, Drake Maye and JJ McCarthy round out the Top 10. (Ewers is 13th in these "grades"). Some of the underlying stats for Weigman are really strong, too, though, on just 133 total dropbacks:

Weigman
979 passing yards
67.8% completion percentage
8 TDs
2 INTs

Per PFF
% turnover worthy plays: 2.1%
adjusted completion %: 78.4%
big-time throw %: 4.5%
NFL passer rating: 107.4
% of pressures turned into sacks: 7.3%

2024 Heisman odds (Bovada): +1800

Behind Beck and Ewers, Weigman and Jackson Arnold are seen as the next-biggest favorites to win the Heisman Trophy among SEC QBs who'll be part of the Longhorns' 2024 regular-season orbit. Kyle Field is never a fun place to play (or to even watch a game), for that matter. It's only fitting that Texas' two biggest rivals on the 2024 schedule aren't scheduled to have pushovers dealing the football.

Texas arguably has the best QB of any it will face in 2024, and when looking at the landscape of the 2024 NFL draft vis-a-vis the way 2025 projects, it does appear that Ewers probably made a good decision to return and elevate his draft stock. That doesn't mean the 2024 season is going to be any kind of walk in the park, though.

2005!

Edit: I posted this more for the video than for the Tweeter’s attempt to stir the pot.

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What’s everyone’s view this year? Bullish or Bearish and why?

I was posting on tmb and this came up because Iowa titty baby, I'm a girl...tangents ....

You get the idea.

Anyway. Thought this would be worth posting here for anybody who might be interested. Any of y'all got ag kids that meets the qualifications...apply.
SM loved Texas. He was passionate about agriculture. Especialy Texas ag.


SM True is my great uncle (my daddy's uncle). And he "sold" me my first horse...when I was 6. For a quarter. His son, David, sneaked me the quarter after my dad said it was a bad deal. 😅

@Bmk1989 manipulated article?

If you are in or around north Austin and looking for some good BBQ, please go by Brotherton's Black Iron Barbecue.
This past week the owner John Brotherton, the owner and who I can say is a good friend, had a medical condition and is in ICU. His family could use some support.
Not only would you be getting some of the best BBQ out there, Voted Top 50 by Texas monthly, but you would be helping out a good dude.
When my wife was in the hospital and recovering John helped out my family and I am here to pass it on.

Check the place out, you won't be disappointed.
Brotherton's Black Iron Barbecue
15608 Spring Hill Ln Suite 105, Pflugerville, TX 78660

It's a Ketch-free Modcast, which means plenty of words for everyone else.

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Headed to Chargers

Directed by George Clooney. Tues. night Senior discount and my underage wife slides. A little 12 Mighty Orphans infused with a Rocky spirit. Callum Turner is the next "Brad Pitt in River Runs Through It".

The Boys in the Boat

Loved it!

PS
The only drawback was it was about the U of Washington Huskies (1936).

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I was there in the student section during my 2nd year of law school- I was drunk and I don’t remember this game much.

Which coach in any Longhorn sport did you really just not get behind or drove you nuts that they were in the role? I bring this up because I’m struggling picking mine.

- Terry - wasn’t a fan from the start. Don’t dislike the man but I feel it wasn’t the right hire

- Strong - never understood the hire.

- Shaka - I was all in and it just never clicked.

- Herman - crazy good momentum in the hire with so much disappointment

Who’s your top pick on or off this list?

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for upper and lower; need basis for comparison shopping; thanx

Nope. Still all charges dropped. Go figure

Thus should ruffle feathers. Lovev yall still! lol

Defensive end Chad Woodfork is a Rivals100 member who holds more than 30 scholarship offers, so he has no shortage of suitors. One school that’s been after him for a while is the Texas Longhorns. Woodfork has certainly reciprocated the interest with multiple trips to the UT campus, and he returned in late January for another look at the Texas program.

“Just seeing all the coaches (stood out), hearing their spiel, their philosophies, how they coach, seeing the facilities was great again,” Woodfork said. “I’ve been up here a bunch. I like it.”

Earlier in January, Woodfork released a top nine consisting of USC, Georgia, Baylor, Nebraska, Texas Tech, Houston, Georgia Tech, Oklahoma State and Texas. All of those schools remain in contention and while there’s no formal pecking order among Woodfork’s finalists, the Longhorns are strong contenders for what is expected to be a summer commitment.

“They’re up there for sure. I’ve been up here a lot,” Woodfork said. “I obviously like it here. I just like hearing the coaches’ spiel and building that connection.”

The plan for the 6-5, 220-pound Woodfork is to take his official visits in the summer and then commit in either June or July. He said Texas Tech, Texas and probably USC will be among the schools that get official visits.

On his most recent stop in Austin, the Texas staff stressed to Woodfork that his quickness and explosion off the ball would be an asset for the UT defense.

“There was a lot of talking about team speed. That was a really big thing for them, the overall team speed and how I could help bring speed to their defense, especially the edge position,” Woodfork said.

Out of Summer Creek in Humble, Woodfork ranks No. 89 on the Rivals100. He’s the No. 17-ranked player in the state of Texas.

As for what has the Longhorns in the mix, Woodfork said there are quite a few factors, including the impressive defensive line that Texas fielded in 2023.

“They have one of the best d-lines in the country this year. That’s why they went to the football playoffs,” Woodfork said. “They want to keep adding pass rushers to get back there.”

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I've got a buddy who was charged for his account. It was supposed to be comped. He's saving for a divorce so he needs the cash.

Fortunately I only sustained light injuries,

On overcharging co-pays causing you to have a credit balance?

Every doctor, and especially every medical facility, always ask for too much up front and then take 2 months to refund your money. Can these phucking cocksuckers be more annoying?

I never realized how talented he is. He is a really good musical mimic. Some of these videos are absolutely spot on:

More than Words is absolutely the original.

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