I thought it would be fun to go back to
@Ketchum buy/sell column from one year ago (1/1/23) and see how accurate he was. It’s a tough gig, and he doesn’t just take softballs. 😊 . Some of these are of course still subjective, so opinions are my own obviously.
RobertGKemp said:
Texas plays for a B12 Championship on the way out the door
(Buy) It's a leap of faith, but I'll go that far at this point, even if there's some real skepticism in buying.
HIT
stevo888 said:
Is Sonny Dykes going to have a better record than Sark the next 2 years?
(Sell) I'm guessing they have a drop off to some degree in 2023, but does it matter? TCU is playing for a freaking national title. Unless something substantial arrives with that better record in the next two seasons, it would be the tiniest of moral victories at this point.
HIT
OMGanja said:
Happy New Year OB
B/S 8 wins next year or 10? B/S Ewers is the starting QB for two more seasons? Does the Manning competition push Ewers to new heights? Do the Mannings get upset if he sits for two years?
Ok, not all of these are buy or sell questions in format, but I’ll cut you some slack since you just sent me a check and I love your supplies. I'm sitting on 8 or 9 wins at this point, but I really need to see the schedule before being able to have a great feel for things. I think Ewers starts game one of 2023 and Arch Manning starts game one in 2024. Not sure what the hell happens in-between those two events. Yes, I expect the arrival of Manning to push Ewers to higher levels ... or else. Yes, the Mannings would not be delighted if put in a situation where Arch would need to wait until 2025. Texas likely wouldn't have been the pick (IMO) if the sales pitch was, "We'll get you in by your third year."
MISS
12 wins and not looking like Manning starts game 1 at this point. That of course can change in the next 2 weeks of QE declares.
CutaneousHorn said:
B/S: Sark is mismanaging the running back room. There will be portals.
(Sell) I believe he mismanaged it on Thursday night, but using a one-game sample size to make such a statement is completely unfair. I'm not sure there will be portals, but Jaydon Blue is probably not thrilled he didn't play against Washington.
I’m gonna say MISS. There were no portals from RB room that I recall, but not starting Brooks for 4 games is not managing that position well at all.
MikeCorleone said:
B/S - Casey Cain develops into a solid WR 3 next season.
(Sell) With all due respect to the game he had the other night, Texas needs a better and more dynamic No. 3 receiver.
HIT. Cain’s gone.
spikey76 said:
B/S Cook, Niblett, Moore and B Thompson are all in the WR rotation next year. Cook has the most production.
(Sell) No, I don't expect all four young players, which includes three freshmen, to be in the rotation.
HIT. None of those guys cracked the rotation and Cook did have the most production, if only a small amount.
BigSkyHorn said:
O/U - 3.5 more on current roster enter portal. You'll take the more.
(Buy) Yes, that feels like it might be too low of a number.
HIT (I think) not sure on the timing, but there were 16 total portal outs.
North Texas Buck Hunter said:
B/S: Given the hype we had by showing promise against Bama/early season success and the talent pool we had, this year’s off-season will be harder than other off-seasons for the fans.
(Sell) Disappointing seasons are disappointing seasons. I'm not sure why this one would make for a harder nine months than the others. The fact that Texas recruited so well in the last two years and will have two 5-star quarterbacks on campus probably will lead to more optimism than existed in a lot of past off-seasons.
HIT. Last offseason was no different. Now this years will be raised expectations. 😉
ColladorUT said:
B/S: Ced Baxter touches the football during the first quarter next year in Tuscaloosa.
(Buy) No-brainer IMO.
HIT. Baxter 11 carries for 31 yards.
Rotarran9116 said:
B/S - This board’s propensity to overreact is going to lead to a nine month long Sonny Dykes love fest
(Sell) This board does overreact, but I don't know that singing the praises of the work Dykes has done counts as overreaction. He's done what most would have deemed impossible.
HIT. Don’t remember much of a love fest with dykes. (pun intended)
LonghornLeghorn said:
Happy New Year Ketch!
B / S - One way or another, in 2023 we get the best QB play since Colt in 2009. And honestly looking at the QB metrics the last 13 years, that is a pretty low bar to clear. Basically, one of our three QBs would need to beat Ehlinger’s sophomore and junior years. Everything else varies from bleh to mediocre. I still wonder what Ash would have morphed into without the career ending concussions his junior year.
Click to expand...
(Sell) Although his passer rating was only 146.8 in 2018, Sam Ehlinger passed for nearly 3,300 yards and 25 touchdowns, rushed for 482 yards and another 16 touchdowns, while also leading his team to the Big 12 title game and a Sugar Bowl win over Georgia. Oh, and he only threw five interceptions.
QE has a passer rating of 158. 3479 yards, 22 TD, 6 Int AND a CFP appearance and Big 12 championship. Including missing 2 games. Gonna call this a MISS.
GuyPie9 said:
B/S - Ewers puts in the work this offseason.
(Buy) He simply has to.
HIT IMO
drunk randoke said:
The lack of a 2023 conference schedule is suspicious and interesting
(Buy) I'm waiting to see the screw-job that awaits.
MISS. We were 12-1 and the schedule wasn’t an issue.
bevojp said:
Sark’s game management and in game adjustments did not improve this year?
(Buy) I'm still waiting to be impressed in those areas.
HIT. Sark was better this year, but he certainly didn’t distinguish himself in the semi’s. I love Sark, but he’s too stubborn with his game plan.
opietaylor798 said:
Being an EE, Sark may have to play Manning
(Sell) "May have" to play the best player in the 2023 recruiting class? I kind of reject the notion of the question, especially when he has 4 games to tinker with if he wants to.
HIT. He didn’t have to play Manning, and really didn’t except for a brief appearance.
MauiHorn said:
B/S UT will not have a September QB controversy as to the starter.
(Sell) Nothing that is said in the summer will mean anything when the lights come on in September. That's when the job will really be won or lost.
MISS. QE had the job early
Loewy said:
B/S Quinn Ewers should improve his personal appearance (ie get a haircut and shave) before next season.
(Buy) Hey, it might just be the jealousy of an old, bald guy talking, though.
Big HIT.
Obvious_lee said:
B/S Sark needs to at the very least appear in a Big 12 championship game next year or he will be on the same track as the previous 2 coaches.
(Buy) As
@Anwar Richardson said in the Pulpit today, it might be now or never.
HIT. He made it, and is on a path to contract extension.
beachin texan said:
In Mack's days he'd poach DCs with your next stop from here will be HC. Did he miss on a few, yeah. Buy or sell, no top coordinator will ever come here, cause this ain't the stepping stone it once was?
(Sell) I don't believe that at all. Hell, Pete Kwiatkowski was seen as a pretty great hire when that move was made two years ago. Pete Golding gave it serious consideration.
HIT IMO
ATRumbler said:
Buy or sell: hot dogs are inedible without pickle relish.
(Sell) What the hell are you talking about? Just put some mustard on it.
HIT on a questionable question.
TEXASFAN said:
Texas is primed to win the SEC championship when they join?
(Sell) Sir ...
HIT…420 anyone?
TexLex said:
B/S Ketch, this asks you to read between the line for some of this B/S....Sark at times in '22 played Ewers to develop him for future seasons. If he had played Card when Ewers struggled in certain games, the team would have had a better chance to win those games. This implies, Sark is building for future seasons which currently are more important for the long-term success of UT football instead of trying to pull-out all stops for the best record this year. It also suggests that to be able to do this Sark has the backing and assurance of CDC and Eltife that absent a Chris Beard-type incident or a terrible on-field performance (defined as 7-5 again) Sark's job is secure likely through his 1st season in the SEC. And this runs counter to a fan's measure of success. While Wins matter to us each Saturday and while Sark and CDC and Eltife want to win each Saturday, Sark's success is currently being measured by Sark's bosses by how they see his team's progression to UT's entry into the SEC....and that is a very foreign college football measure of a season's success.
(Buy) Sarkisian has a lot of slack, especially with his recruiting and all eyes are on what things will look like going into 2024.
Tough call. The future is NOW as proved by the results, but that wasn’t the intent of the question or answer. Sark continues to build. I’ll be generous and call this a HIT.
Final record, 17 HITS, 5 MISSES. Well done Ketch!