Per Nahlin-
We've broad-brushed the recruiting landscape to set the table for this cycle. In short, it won't be encapsulated by Bob Ross and filled with happy trees and playful clouds, but rather more so Jude Law's creepy turn as a morbid photographer in the very underrated Road to Perdition.
Justin and I will hit that cycle-defining topic again in an upcoming podcast and we'll document it throughout the calendar, but in short, it's going to be a bloody turf war between Texas, A&M, and the Sooners.
Those battles will be fought over high-end prospects and each school will win its share of skirmishes.
Ever-premature to claim victory (so much better for the psyche than last minute defeat), A&M fans are already touting commitments from Bishop Dunne safety Brian Williams and others as a seismic-shift in the recruiting terrain. The problem there, is, neither Williams nor the others are a bellwether. For months and months I stated UT's class of 2018 defensive backs would be tough for the Texas staff to overcome in that recruitment. While I like Williams fine, there's a good chance he won't even be the best safety in the A&M class.
You're probably thinking of Waxahachie's Demani Richardson, however I'm discussing Fort Bend Bush's Erick Young.
Richardson is indeed a must-get for UT. Not only is he a fantastic safety prospect, his physical development may lead him to Rover, and we know how hard those are to find. Much of the current buzz surrounding Richardson is that A&M has made a great impression and he nearly committed to the Aggies after his recent visit. I'm sure he liked it, but until he visits Texas -- which he will this weekend -- nothing matters. He, and many other common targets, have been introduced to the likable Paul Rudd, but they're about to meet Paul Newman. Keep that in mind as another must get, Javonne Shepherd, makes his way to campus.
The North Forest product is probably the state's best o-line prospect. I understand Kenyon Green has been considered the headliner by most, but dating back to September I'm skeptical of that. I like Green fine -- he is definitely good -- but I don't think he has Shepherd's upside, and perhaps not even that of another must get: Oak Ridge's Tyler Johnson.
For Texas, this will be a big weekend with the potential book ends. I've long been bullish on UT's chances with Johnson, and Shepherd is about a coin-flip.
Sticking on that side of the ball, Texas must keep Austin stud Garrett Wilson a short distance from home. He's a must-get on his own, but inside receiver is a priority position following 2018. This not only increases his value but also makes the staff's sell that much easier.
I've also mentioned the need for a true outside receiver. Dylan Wright fits the bill, but I don't view him as a must-get, I just think somebody with that profile needs to be in the class. Many of the state's top receivers can play inside or outside, but I want a true outside guy in the way I coveted Reese Moore as a true tackle rather than as a guard/tackle prospect. Ideally the staff will identify the next CeeDee Lamb or Te'Vailance Hunt. Maybe they already have in Wright, we'll see.
One recruitment that may be winding down is that of Cuero's Jordan Whittington. In fact, he may prove to be the early harbinger of what's to come if he does stick to his early March announcement timeline. I don't view him as a must-get as a receiver, or as a safety, but as an all around player. He's the best pure football player in the state. I'm picking UT, though there seems to be some optimism in the College Station echo chamber.
Noah Cain teeters on must-get status for me, however Zachary Evans is superior in 2020 and I'm not keen on setting up road blocks in that recruitment because I view him as being that special. Not helping matters in this cycle is there's a dearth of running backs in-state. The staff should scout and move on offer candidates accordingly, though if we know Tom Herman, he'll believe landing both Cain and Evans will be a breeze.
Defensively, it's quite simple. The staff must land DeMarvin Leal from Converse Judson. If he does stay in-state I'm confident Texas will be the selection. While Todd Orlando has shown he can create havoc with three-star (not that I personally thought they were in high school) athletic upper-classmen, I bet he'd like to see what he can do with the Vitruvian Man of 4i candidates.
Dropping back a level, Marcel Brooks is a must get as long as the staff is going to recruit him. He's as athletically gifted as any linebacker this decade, including Malik Jefferson and Baron Browning, and you'd be hard pressed to find a better Rover candidate anywhere in the country, at least as far as physical traits go.
Last but not least, we have Jalen Catalon. Missing on defensive backs this cycle wouldn't be debilitating, but you never want to miss on elite talent when it's within your grasp. If D'shawn Jamison ends up at receiver -- not out of the realm of possibility, imo -- then Catalon becomes an even bigger priority because of his Nickel profile.
A&M is off to a hot start with Williams, Bobby Wolfe, and Kameron Brown. They're also in contention for many other prospects who would tuck neatly into UT's class (Marquez Beason, Jeffrey Carter, Marcus Stripling, T'Vondre Sweat, Erick Young, etc.), though the success of the 2019 Texas class will boil down to the must-gets mentioned above who don't have readily available replacements.
Obligatory: Yes, Roschon Johnson is a must-get but he's been gotten.