It’s a gamble hiring a coordinator as a head coach. Venables could end up being a damn good coach. But we don’t know that for sure until we see the product on the field. Assuming he’s going to succeed just because Stoops and Riley did is being a little bit naive.
He could just as easily be Gary Gibbs or John Blake.
Those are 2 coaches who were HC’s during the only period since 1947 that OU was down for more than a consecutive season or two. OU has truly only missed on 3 hires since 1947…Gomer Jones, Schnellenberger and Blake. You could include Gibbs, though while not up to OU’s standards, he still went 44-23 and did so with a program in upheaval and under sanctions put in place after Switzer was let go. Jim MacKenzie died near the end of his first season so it’s tough to gage the success or failure of that hire.
So out of 75 seasons, 6 (12 if you include Gibbs) have been coached by bad coaching hires. The others:
- Bud Wilkinson (17 seasons - .826 win %)
- Chuck Fairbanks (6 seasons - .728 win %)
- Barry Switzer (16 seasons - .837 win %)
- Bob Stoops (18 seasons + 1 game - .798)
- Lincoln Riley (5 seasons - .846 win %)
All of the coaches since Bud Wilkinson we’re promoted or outside hired assistants, except for Schnellenberger who was a “proven head coach” and arguably the worst hire in OU history. The last two times a coach left the program for another job when it was in good condition, the replacements were: Bud Wilkinson and Barry Switzer.
Based on OU’s hiring history, it would seem just as naive to assume that hiring one of the most successful defensive coordinators over the last 2+ decades will end up more like the worst coaches in OU history than the successful HC’s who spent 62-68 of the last 75 years coaching there.
Obviously need to see the product on the field but he’s already recruiting better than Riley ever did and will almost undoubtedly have a better defense in his first season than any of Riley’s (just teaching them how not to be out of position constantly and massively overhauling the strength and conditioning program should deliver that). If Lebby can replicate his performances at Ole Miss and UCF with the talent at OU, they will have a more complete team than any of Riley’s. No sane OU fan wanted to fire Riley but things were were trending slightly more down hill every season after he took over and the fanbase was extremely concerned about his ability to make the changes necessary to compete in the SEC. So far, Venables is already delivering on that on the recruiting front and time will tell if he does the same with player development and success on the field…though the odds favor success.