In the playoff era starting in 2014, there have been 52 QB's lead a QB to the CFP.
Using Rivals rankings
Of those 52 QB's, the star ratings break out like this:
5 Star - 14
4 Star - 19
3 Star - 14
2 Star - 5
The records in CFP games for those break out like this:
5 Star - 11-12 WP% of 47.83%
4 Star - 12-16 WP% of 42.86%
3 Star - 14-10 WP% of 58.33%
2 Star - 4-3 WP% of 57.14%
As far as championships go, the numbers break out like this:
5 Star - 2 (Deshaun Watson, Trevor Lawrence)
4 Star - 3 (Jalen Hurts/Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones, JJ McCarthy)
3 Star - 4 (Cardale Jones, Jake Coker, Joe Burrow, Will Howard)
2 Star - 2 (Stetson Bennett twice)
If you go back to the 2006 recruiting class, only Five 5 star QB's have raised the trophy
Tim Tebow
Cam Newton
Jameis Winston
Deshaun Watson
Trevor Lawrence
I'd say we are about due for a 5 star QB to hit big.
Using Rivals rankings
Of those 52 QB's, the star ratings break out like this:
5 Star - 14
4 Star - 19
3 Star - 14
2 Star - 5
The records in CFP games for those break out like this:
5 Star - 11-12 WP% of 47.83%
4 Star - 12-16 WP% of 42.86%
3 Star - 14-10 WP% of 58.33%
2 Star - 4-3 WP% of 57.14%
As far as championships go, the numbers break out like this:
5 Star - 2 (Deshaun Watson, Trevor Lawrence)
4 Star - 3 (Jalen Hurts/Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones, JJ McCarthy)
3 Star - 4 (Cardale Jones, Jake Coker, Joe Burrow, Will Howard)
2 Star - 2 (Stetson Bennett twice)
If you go back to the 2006 recruiting class, only Five 5 star QB's have raised the trophy
Tim Tebow
Cam Newton
Jameis Winston
Deshaun Watson
Trevor Lawrence
I'd say we are about due for a 5 star QB to hit big.