In the twilight of a season that will likely be remembered more for the wretched losses that have taken place than all else combined, Charlie Strong and his coaching staff have one last chance to change the narrative of this season.
With three games to play, everyone knows the stakes.
Win two of those three and the Longhorns go bowling, will have the 15 workouts that come with it in an effort to build for the future and might be able to gain a fraction of momentum to carry into the off-season.
Lose two of three and the entire season will rank as a colossal disappointment, one that ends without the bowl workouts that essentially serve as a second set of spring practices and momentum of any kind will be very hard to find.
Clearly the bar has been lowered when appearing in a bowl game that 80 teams across the country will be able to lay claim to, but in case you haven’t noticed, these aren’t the best of times for the Longhorn football program and all small victories (even the moral ones) represent progress for a program six years deep into college football’s wilderness.
In getting to six wins, a Longhorn team that has been outscored 112-10 in true road games is going to have to figure things out at least once in either Morgantown or Waco.
In getting to six wins, the Judge Roy Screamhorns will have to eliminate the roller coaster ride and put forth the most consistent brand of quality football against teams with winning records that we’ve seen in the Strong era. All of the positive elements from the Kansas game will need to be enhanced, while all the negative elements will need to be eliminated.
Or else every Texas player and coach can just go ahead make plans for an extended holiday season at home.
All season long, we’ve heard from the likes of Strong, Jay Norvell and Vance Bedford that the pieces for success are in place, but the execution continues to be the thing holding this team back. Well, this is the time of the year when good coaching elevates a team and corrects all of those early season failures and turns them into teachable moments that translate to success.
The next three weeks are about the coaches, as much as they are about the players.
If a full 12-game season passes and a team’s issues from week’s one, three, four, five and eight still exist in week’s 10, 11 and 12, what level of coaching has truly taken place?
That’s a question that Strong and Co. need to ensure we aren’t seeking answers to a month from now.
No. 2 – About the Texas starting running backs debate …
It’s pretty clear that Charlie Strong is the president of the Johnathan Gray fan club and I absolutely get it.
On a team that lacks senior leadership, Gray might be the best one that Strong has and for that reason alone, I don’t care if Strong starts Gray in the final three or four games of his career.
Who starts matters far less than who gets the majority of the carries and a matter that should have been solved in September still looms in November.
The numbers simply tell an obvious story.
Johnathan Gray: 109 carries for 429 yards
D’Onta Foreman: 77 carries for 534 yards.
For the non-math majors out there, Foreman has racked up 105 more yards rushing than Gray this season, despite having 32 fewer carries. All season long, Foreman has been the more productive runner and yet only twice this season has Foreman recorded more carries in a game.
When it was time to take Tyrone Swoopes off the field for Jerrod Heard, Strong didn’t play favorites. When it was time to take Marcus Hutchins off the field for Connor Williams, Strong didn’t play favorites. When it was time to get freshmen all over the field on defense, no average upperclassman was safe.
I completely understand that Gray is the team’s best blitz protector and I’m not saying he shouldn’t see considerable snaps. What I am saying is that when the back-up averages two more yards per carry than the starter with a rather large sample size, you probably need a new starter.
Strong and the Texas offensive coaches have done this team a disservice by not making the switch to Foreman more than a month ago when it first became clear that Foreman was consistently outperforming Gray. Once he went for back-to-back 100-yard performances against TCU and Oklahoma, it became a bit of a coaching sin to wait until the third quarter of the Kansas game before turning him loose again.
Point blank … this conversation needs to end. It’s been settled. Unfortunately, for the Longhorns, the last ones to seemingly acknowledge the obvious is the group of people who needed to be aware of it the earliest.
No. 3 – An early peek at a potential 2016 depth chart …
Just something to chew on.
(Returning starters are in bold)
QB:
Jerrod Heard/Tyrone Swoopes
RB: D’Onta Foreman/Kirk Johnson
WR:
Armanti Foreman/Jacorey Warrick
WR:
John Burt/Dorian Leonard
WR: Lorenzo Joe/Ryan Newsome
TE:
Andrew Beck/Caleb Bluiett
LT:
Connor Williams/Trent Nickelson
LG: Elijah Rodriguez/Buck Major
C: Jake Raulerson/Terrell Cuney
RG:
Patrick Vahe/Brandon Hodges
RT:
Kent Perkins/Trent Nickelson
DE:
Naashon Hughes/Derrick Roberson
DT:
Hassan Ridgeway/Poona Ford
DT: Paul Boyette/Chris Nelson
DE:
Bryce Cottrell/Charles Omenihu
LB:
Malik Jefferson/Anthony Wheeler
LB: Edwin Freeman/Tim Cole
CB:
Holton Hill/Antwuan Davis
S: DeShon Elliott/Dylan Haines
S:
Jason Hall/P.J. Locke
CB:
Davante Davis/Kris Boyd
Nickel:
John Bonney/Jermaine Roberts
K: Nick Jordan
P: Michael Dickson
KR: Kris Boyd/Ryan Newsome
PR: Ryan Newsome/Roderick Bernard
For those keeping score, if we’re looking at Saturday night’s starting line-up against the Jayhawks, that’s seven offensive starters (not including Foreman), eight defensive starters and one starter on special teams returning in 2016.
That makes 16 total returning starters and that doesn’t include four others in the two-deep who have significant starting experience.
A lot of improvement needs to be made, but the Longhorns should have one of the more experienced teams in the Big 12, which is a change from what Strong has been working with in his first two years.
Discuss.
No. 4 – Scattershooting on the Longhorns …
… In case you missed it, Tristan Nickelson started at left guard instead of senior Sedrick Flowers. Texas offensive line coach Joe Wickline mixed and matched personnel throughout the night, but that won’t be the case in the final three games and it’ll be interesting to see if the Longhorns tinker with the line-up in the final ¼ of the season.
… Am I the only one that often wonders if the 18-Wheeler package with Tyrone Swoopes is a detriment to the growth of Jerrod Heard? Can’t a case be made that Heard’s development is the most important facet of the program and that all critical red zone reps need to go to the projected starter in 2016? You guys know I love me some Swoopes, but I’m just wondering out loud …
… For those who question Charlie Strong’s ability to evaluate and then develop talent, I give you Poona Ford.
… Right as Peter Jinkens is emerging into one of the Big 12’s best linebackers, his eligibility is about to expire.
… With Holton Hill and Davante Davis holding down the fort at cornerback these days, I wonder if the coaches will consider moving Kris Boyd to safety in an effort to gets their best players on the field together.
No. 5 – Buy or sell …
(As always these are real questions submitted by real Orangebloods subscribers.)
BUY or SELL: Strong and Co winning 8 games next year?
(Buy) I’m not sure I’m ready to go higher than that, but I’ll take the eight-win bait.
(BUY or SELL): Texas becomes bowl eligible this season?
(Sell) It’s pretty hard to make a case for the Longhorns winning one of their two true road games at this point when you consider their previous three road games.
(BUY or SELL): We throw for 200+ yds vs WVU?
(Sell) I mostly view what happened in the passing game Saturday night as an anomaly.
(BUY or SELL): Tyrone Swoopes starts at least one more time before the end of the season?
(Sell) Charlie Strong isn’t going back to drink from that well.
(BUY or SELL): Texas would have a more efficient passing game with Swoopes starting under Norvell?
(Buy) Yes.
(BUY or SELL): Jay Norvell knows he's not getting the OC job beyond this season?
(Buy) He has to know.
(BUY or SELL): Jason Hall has gone from a one hit wonder (Perine) to a guy that looks like a plus player moving forward?
(Buy) Keep in mind he’s a second-year player and might eventually have 40+ starts under his belt by the middle of his senior season.
(BUY or SELL): The only offensive coach retained by Charlie is Jeff Traylor?
(Buy) I could easily see Jay Norvell being retained as the wide receivers coach.
(BUY or SELL): Sonny Cumbie has a burnt orange polo hidden in his drawer already?
(Buy) Probably more than one.
(BUY or SELL): The only way for the Texas fan base to be reengaged is to bring in a new head coach?
(Buy) If we’re talking about the next 10 months, it’s a harsh truth.
(BUY or SELL): Philip Montgomery, Kendal Briles, and Sterling Gilbert offensive staff would turn the Texas offense into a nation-leading juggernaut and be more fun to watch than Texas fans can currently fathom?
(Buy) Heads would explode.
(BUY or SELL): Michael Dickson finishes his career as one of the most prolific punters in Texas history?
(Buy) After a rough start, he has the look of a future decorated four-year starter.
No. 6 – Week 2 CFB Randomness ...
… If I had a vote that mattered …
1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3.Ohio State
4. Notre Dame
5. Oklahoma State
6. Baylor
7. Stanford
8. Florida
9. Iowa
10. LSU
… Kevin Sumlin, you have been weighed, you have been measured, and you have been found wanting.
… All of you that questioned me putting Alabama at No. 1 a few weeks ago got a glimpse on Saturday night of why I was so bullish on the Tide. Nick Saban’s team didn’t just beat undefeated LSU, it beat that team like it took something from momma’s purse.
… It’s been a long time coming, but all hail the new king in the ACC, Dabo’s Tigers. Man, I’ll admit to being an early doubter of Dabo, but he’s proving a lot of us to be wrong in our initial appraisals. The presence of Deshaun Watson makes the Tigers a national championship candidate through at least 2016. Talk about a program trending up.
… Go ahead and put Jarrett Stidham in New York in December of 2017. Use ink.
… Leonard Fournette is still the best player in college football and if the season ended today, he’d have to be the Heisman winner in my mind.
… Who starts at quarterback for the Irish next year?
… I’ve questioned the chops of Oklahoma State all season, but the Cowboys earned some damn respect from me on Saturday in their dismantling of TCU. Also, is this the most boss move of the college football season, or what?
No. 7 - The biggest story of the upcoming week ...
With a weekend of football behind us, eyes all over the nation will be glued to Columbia, Missouri, as the world of sports, politics and social unrest have all collided together in a situation that feels as explosive as any I’ve ever seen while covering college football.
As the nation forges forward into the closest thing to a Civil Rights movement I’ve ever known in my lifetime, I can’t even begin to pretend that I know the velvet touch needed to handle this situation cleanly or what steps any of the participants involved should take. Hell, I’m treading a delicate line in even bringing up the subject in this column, so what in the world could I tell a school president being told to resign or else, or to the student who is willing to take his life in an effort to push a group’s message and demands forward?
For many, there will be an instinct to dismissively toss aside complaints of racism, especially from athletes whom many believe should be quiet and count their lucky stars that they can run and jump, but I will simply offer this simple thought. As it relates to racial divide in our nation, it feels like we’re failing. Fatigue over the subject seems to intercept all possibilities of real discussion.
I don’t have any solutions for those involved in what’s taking place, but a little more listening with intent, a little more willingness to keep an open mind, and a little more awareness to the dangerous place we enter without those considerations seems like a good place to start for everyone.
No. 8 – No joy in Big D…
What else is there to say? The season is over for the Cowboys.
At 2-6 and still two weeks away from Tony Romo returning, it's not a matter of faith as much as its a matter of the math starting to look impossible.
Ugh.
No. 9 – Eternal Randomness of the Spotty Sports Mind …
.... Scattershooting on week nine in the NFL …
a. So, I guess we can send those Dan Campbell for NFL Coach of the Year t-shirts to needy kids in third-world nations.
b. I benched Sammy Watkins on my fantasy team at 11:30 a.m. on Sunday morning.
c. Remember when Green Bay was good?
d. Cam Newton overtook Aaron Rodgers on Sunday for the right to finish No. 2 to Tom Brady in this year’s MVP ballot.
e. If Dion Lewis is out for the rest of the season, my fantasy team is doomed and the Patriots aren’t nearly as good as they were coming into this week.
f. Delanie Walker needs to go by some mega-lotto tickets tonight.
g. Antonio Brown is good at football.
h. It kind of feels as if the 2015 season started this afternoon for the Indianapolis Colts.
… Good grief, will Major League Baseball please announce its season award winners? Any time now, fellas …
... Andre Drummond is emerging as a superstar in the NBA.
… It’s time for Dan Henderson to retire from the UFC or its time for the UFC to retire him.
… I swear Liverpool gives up the sloppiest goals of any team in the Premier League. I’m still trying to process how the Reds lost on Sunday to Crystal Palace.
… How long are we all going to keep sleeping on Tottenham?
… Neymar the Magnificent
No. 10 - And finally ...
Tonight is the night I get to check out My All American at a special sneak preview here in Austin.
I’m expecting the film to make me cry. Don’t judge me.