You may not like returning production advanced statistics, but they are objectively significant and reliable...especially for the defensive side, and for those teams at the bottom of the rankings like Texas.I don't put too much weight into the returning production numbers. I think that's a stat that doesn't really tell the whole story of this team.
RB - We lose Watson but Ingram (if healthy) easily replaces him. Plus Kirk Johnson (if healthy) has looked better than ever and Whittington will be an immediate shot in the arm
WR - We lose LJH but have CJ and Dev back plus a bevy of talented players ready to step up.
TE - We lose Beck but have more talented and athletic players ready to step in. We may have a hard time replacing his blocking but will have better receiving options. Plus, I won't miss his constant false starts.
OL - Lose Anderson, Vahe and Rodriguez but are replacing them with experienced players that aren't freshmen. And we have better depth and talent than we have had in a long time.
DL - Replacing Omenihu will be the biggest challenge but I expect a great year from Roach. Hager is replaceable and we have guys who can do what Nelson did.
LB - Wheeler is replaceable. Gary Johnson's speed is not but we have guys that can move, and can probably fight off blocks better than Johnson.
DB - Boyd and Davis, both guys that will get a chance on Sunday's but we know their production was up and down all year. Even a less skilled but more consistent CB would be an improvement. Fortunately we have guys with lots of skill to step in. There will be some growing pains with youth there but we have the talent.
And the "whole story" sounds more like us fans taking the most optimistic side of every coin. Every player lost is always going to be replaced, or even exceeded, by a "more talented" player regardless if that player has never even played a snap of college football and is smaller, weaker, and slower (at this point) than his predecessor.
RB: I'm not sure how Kirk Johnson has "looked better than ever"? He hasn't played a single significant snap of football in his four years on campus.
TE: The most important role of a TE in Herman's offense IS blocking
OL: the only replacement for the 3 outgoing starters that has any experience whatsoever is Kirstetter. We really need to sign Braun.
LB: Wheeler may be replaceable, but by who? He beat out Shark, who has shown nothing, every single game for the last two seasons. Besides Shark, not a single LB replacement option has played a snap of college football in their life much less has even a year in a college weight room yet.
Be prepared for the possibility of a giant step back at LB this season. For the first time in years there is no one of the caliber of a Malik Jefferson or Gary Johnson available.
DB: If LB is not the scariest situation than CB is. No matter the star ranking of a high school player it's going to be difficult to be thrown straight out to the wolves of the Big 12. These dynamic passing offenses, coaches, and WR take time to develop to.
Knock Kris Boyd all you want but he was the most productive player on the defense last year (lead in tackles for a loss, forced fumbles, passes defended). He's also bigger, stronger, and faster than his replacements will be this season.
Fortunately though, the most important position of all of them is returning. If Sam stays healthy, and we get lucky with the injury bug not striking the thinnest of our units, the potential is there for a solid season.