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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend: Better buy this kid's stock while there's still some left!

lol.

How many revisions where there and why?
I heard of 3, because Texas is always about optics and wanted it to be more vague on purpose so that they didn't "look as bad" when they moved on weeks later. The only reason it was written in the first place was that Herman threatened to tell recruits and reporters that his boss wouldn't be honest with him about his future.

You don't know as much as you sometimes think you know. Of course, that's true of all of us. ;)
True enough. I do think I happen to know a good bit about how the sausage was made between October 2020 and January 2021, though.
 
I heard of 3, because Texas is always about optics and wanted it to be more vague on purpose so that they didn't "look as bad" when they moved on weeks later.

What parts needed to be changed? Yes, it came out more vague. What part needed to be made more vague?
 
@Perdy For the record, I rated Ewers as a 5-star prospect.

That essentially means that I projected him to be a future first round quarterback in the NFL Draft.

How exactly does that equate to me having some sort of existing beef since HS?

Or did I have some constructive comments about areas that needed improvement upon entering college and have turned out to be spot on?
 
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What parts needed to be changed? Yes, it came out more vague. What part needed to be made more vague?
The parts about the confidence Texas had in Herman and how they expected him to be the coach for the 2021 season and beyond? It basically started out as a run-of-the-mill vote of confidence every AD gives a failing coach rught before they are fired, but the Texas leadership were worried about the optics.
 
Can I get your AAS username and password, please? I don't have a dog in this hunt, but....
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The parts about the confidence Texas had in Herman and how they expected him to be the coach for the 2021 season and beyond? It basically started out as a run-of-the-mill vote of confidence every AD gives a failing coach rught before they are fired, but the Texas leadership were worried about the optics.
It started out with a very clear vote of confidence that said that Herman would be back.

That was CDC.

The people in charge refused to let that go out.

Look, I think CDC is a very, very good AD. I just can't give him credit for everything.
 
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@Perdy For the record, I rated Ewers as a 5-star prospect.

That essentially means that I projected him to be a future first round quarterback in the NFL Draft.

How exactly does that equate to me having some sort of existing beef since HS?

Or did I have some constructive comments about areas that needed improvement upon entering college and have turned out to be spot on?
Good for you Ketch. Are we done now?
 
It started out with a very clear vote of confidence that said that Herman would be back.

That was CDC.

The people in charge refused to let that go out.

Look, I think CDC is a very, very good AD. I just can't give him credit for everything.
CDC had no intention of bringing back Herman. Eltife, Hartzell, and CDC all met with some key donors in Dallas during ou weekend in 2020. It was there that the decision was made to move on from Herman as long as there wasn't a miracle Big XII championship run.

As I said, the statement was originally a run-of-the-mill vote of confidence every AD gives a failing coach right before they are fired, including the parts about Herman coaching Texas in 2021 and beyond. They changed it to make it more vague about the future because they thought the optics would be bad.
 
CDC had no intention of bringing back Herman. Eltife, Hartzell, and CDC all met with some key donors in Dallas during ou weekend in 2020. It was there that the decision was made to move on from Herman as long as there wasn't a miracle Big XII championship run.

As I said, the statement was originally a run-of-the-mill vote of confidence every AD gives a failing coach right before they are fired, including the parts about Herman coaching Texas in 2021 and beyond. They changed it to make it more vague about the future because they thought the optics would be bad.
Who do you believe was the shot caller behind the scenes?

Also, about that link to the article I sent? Who do you believe planted it?
 
Who do you believe was the shot caller behind the scenes?
I mean, there is a pretty clear chain of command between the board of regents, university president, and athletic director, right? Eltife deserves a lot of credit, especially for the SEC move, and at the same time the reason Texas is succeeding across the board is that the men in all three positions have been in alignment for the first time in decades, if ever.

For the record I have also been critical of Del Conte and the other leaders at times. I think they should never have hired Terry as the full time coach and I lay that at the feet of all of them, but especially CDC. We were once again too worried about optics and should have been more cold blooded.
 
I mean, there is a pretty clear chain of command between the board of regents, university president, and athletic director, right? Eltife deserves a lot of credit, especially for the SEC move, and at the same time the reason Texas is succeeding across the board is that the men in all three positions have been in alignment for the first time in decades, if ever.

For the record I have also been critical of Del Conte and the other leaders at times. I think they should never have hired Terry as the full time coach and I lay that at the feet of all of them, but especially CDC. We were once again too worried about optics and should have been more cold blooded.

I hear you, but who do you think was in charge of that decision to replace Herman with Eltife?

Also, any thoughts on the Bohls column I linked?
 
ee0e3a40b744e2eebc3b4d949eaa9055x.jpg

As one of the founding members of the Johntay Cook Fan Club, I've already owned quite a bit of Cook stock that I've been sitting on for the last year.

This past week, I've purchased even more because it seems like every single Longhorn player at the NFL Combine has been telling anyone who would listen that Cook is about to blow the hell up.

Xavier Worthy: "I feel like that's kind of my miniature me."

Adonai Mitchell: "He's definitely like an X (Xavier Worthy)."

Ja'Tavion Sanders: "I feel like he's a miniature Zay, you know what I'm saying? Getting to play under Zay his freshman year and just look at the things Zay did. I feel like that's how Sark's going to use him as well. He got the play speed. He got the catch radius. He got the hands. He has the IQ. He has the smartness, and all that."

Jonathon Brooks: "I mean, he didn't get a lot of playing time last year. You know, I feel like he's going to do really good things when he gets the ball in his hands. He kind of showed y'all a glimpse of what he can do last year. And, uh, I think his mindset changed too. He's really just going in there to work. And, you can see he changed because he's doing a lot of extra drills and stuff like that."

Jordan Whittington: "DeAndre Moore and Johntay Cook, two guys from my room, are really going to be dominant."



Look, I might not be a smart man, but if I have not one, not two, not three, not four... but five different people tell me at the NFL Combine that the same player is about to become the next big thing ... I'm going to listen.

As much as I've loved Cook's talent since he was a young player at DeSoto, I never really thought of him as a replica of Worthy, but if Worthy, Mitchell and Sanders all think he's a "miniature" version of him ... I'm going to listen.

Scoop up all the Cook stock you can get your hands on, but don't look at me because I'm not selling mine.

No. 2 - The fastest draft prospect all time ...

For about an hour on Saturday, I found myself wondering if Adonai Mitchell had finished his Saturday with the best Combine performance in the history of the Texas program.

Then, Xavier Worthy happened.

In the blink of an eye, nothing else that happened at the Combine all week mattered because Worthy had unofficially tied the Combine record in the 40-yard dash with a time of 4.22, which tied the record set by former Washington wide receiver John Ross back in 2017.

Social media exploded. The NFL Network had a justifiable reason for wall-to-wall coverage throughout the day. The entire world of pro football stood up to give Worthy his flowers.


The Worthy's official time was posted ... 4.21.

None of us have ever seen that before. Not even Tyreek Hill did THAT. It'll be the kind of moment that the NFL Network shows non-stop every single year until someone can best it.

It's a standalone moment in the history of the Texas football program. The Longhorns have had some guys turn in strong Combine performances, but no one has ever done this. Mix in the fact that he posted a 41-inch vertical and a 10-foot, 11-inch leap in the broad jump, and we're talking about a player that the rest of the NFL can't let slip to the world champion Chiefs at No. 32 in the first round.

I'll be s-h-o-c-k-e-d if he's not taken before the Chiefs are on the clock because someone is going to fall in love with the fastest playmaking speed the NFL has ever seen come through the combine.



No. 3 - 8 out of 3063 ...

Although he ultimately was overshadowed by Worthy's feet spontaneously exploding into fire late Saturday afternoon, Adonai Mitchell also put together one of the great Combine performances in Texas history as well.

Hell, maybe it was even better.

Consider that only one other player since 2015 has measured 6-2 or taller and weighed at least 205 pounds, while also running 4,35 (or better) ... D.K. Metcalf.

According to RAS (Relative Athletic Score), Mitchell's performance ranked 8th out of 2,063 wide receivers from 1987-2024. Seriously.

GHsiwFOXQAAweFZ


The bottom line for Mitchell is that he might not be the fastest receiver in the class (he's No. 3), but pound for pound, there's not a better pure athlete. If he was a fringe first-round draft pick coming into the Combine, Mitchell would seem to be a very safe bet to go on day one when the Draft rolls around.

On another note, what an incredible player/athlete that the combination of the Portal and NIL brought to the Longhorns last year. I've said numerous times over the last three months that the Longhorns wouldn't have made the playoffs without Mitchell and that feels more true than ever.

No. 4 - In case you were wondering ...

Here's a look at some of the best Texas performances at the Combine prior to this week:

Roy Williams (2004): 4.37 40, 39.5 vertical, 132-inch broad jump, N/A bench press, 9.125 hands, 33.88 arms

Michael Huff (2006): 4.37 40, 40.5 vertical, 125-inch broad jump, 21 reps of 225 on the bench press, 8.75 hands, 31.38 arms

Vince Young (2006): 4.48 40, N/A vertical, N/A broad jump, N/A bench press, 9.13 hands, 33.24 arms

Brian Robison (2007): 4.72 40, 40.5 vertical, 121-inch broad jump, 27 reps of 225 on the bench press, 9.75 hands, 33.13 arms

Jamaal Charles (2008): 4.41 40, 30.5 vertical, N/A broad jump, N/A bench press, 8.75 hands, 32.13 arms

Brian Orakpo (2009): 4.63 40, 39.5 vertical, N/A broad jump (130 inches on his pro day), 31 reps of 225 on the bench press, 9.5 hands, 33.5 arms

Earl Thomas (2010): 4.43 40, N/A vertical, 113-inch broad jump, 21 reps of 225 on the bench press, 9.38 hands, 31.25 arms

Sergio Kindle (2010): 4.65 40, 36.5 vertical, 118-inch broad jump, 25 reps of 225 on the bench press, 10.00 hands, 33.25 arms

Marquise Goodwin (2013): 4.27 40, N/A vertical, 132-inch broad jump, 13 reps of 225 on the bench press, 8.58 hands, 31.48 arms

Devin Duvetnay (2020): 4.39 40, 35.5 vertical, N/A broad jump, N/A bench press, 9.5 hands, 30.63 arms

Joseph Ossai (2021): 4.63 40, 41.5 vertical, 131-inch broad jump, 19 reps of 225 on the bench press, 9.38 hands, 33.88 arms

Bijan Robinson (2023): 4.46 40, 37 vertical, 124-inch broad jump, N/A bench press, 9.75 hands, 31.13 arms

No. 5 - Go ahead and inject this into your veins ...



No. 6 - More Texas-related thoughts rolling around in my head ...

* Byron Murphy might have put himself in top-10 territory after the work he put in at the combine. If he were just a little taller, I don't think there would be any doubt about it.

* It feels like Ja'Tavion Sanders kept his stock steady at the combine as the draft's No. 2 tight end, but I don't get the sense that he elevated himself out of round two and into round one.

* Christian Jones pulling off a 5.05 in the 40 at 6-5, 1/4 and 305 pounds? With an 83.62 wingspan and 10.62-inch hands? Well done, big fella! He made some money this weekend. The end of the third round is not off the table.

* Ryan Watts had the second-best three-cone time (6.82) of all the cornerbacks at the Combine. Only four corners ran sub-7.00. Throw in a 4.13 20-yard shuttle and a 40.5 vertical at 6-3, 208 pounds and I think a lot of folks are going to be surprised at how high he might just go. There's not a more athletic safety prospect in the Draft.

* It's hard not to wonder if Quinn Ewers did enough at quarterback last season when you consider that he was playing with the two fastest and arguably athletic wide receivers in school history.

* I think Texas men's hoops is in the Tournament. Period. The question is whether they can sneak into a 7 seed instead of an 8 or 9 seed.

* In four games against Northwestern State, Tarleton State and two games against Hofstra, the Texas softball team compiled 44 runs, while giving up 2. Those poor teams ...

* Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln ...

429457843_746511607210949_6188514960282486406_n.jpg


* It's been 18 seasons since Texas baseball last won a national championship. Entering this season, only six of the last 18 seasons have ended with Texas in Omaha. I know it's too early to panic, but nothing about the 2024 team has me overly optimistic that this team will register as a special outfit. If your expectations of the program are to be elite, it just feels like the Longhorns aren't that. Yet, if your expectations are to be one of the nation's borderline elite once every couple of years, things are pretty good. Is it fair to even expect the former over the latter at this point? How many years have to pass before we just admit that Augie and Gus aren't walking through that door?

No. 7 – BUY or SELL …

buy-or-sell-stock-ideas-by-experts-for-december-05-2019.jpg




(Buy) Let's start this week off with a bang. My only hesitation right now might center around Ewers playing in enough games to make it as a Heisman finalist.



(Sell) It's too early to make that kind of declaration.



(Sell) I'm going to say three... Murphy, Worthy and Mitchell. T'Vondre Sweat goes in round two.



(Buy) I'll double buy that.



(Sell) The lack of three-point shooting is going to do this team in during the second week of the Tournament at some point.



(Sell) At least six guys are going in year one or two and I'm not sure next year's draft will be quite that deep.



(Buy) Of course.



(Sell) He's still going at the top of the draft to the Bears.



(Sell) My max on the bench was close to 300, but I never did 15 reps of 225. Maybe 6. I was in the 5.00-5.10 range at 250 pounds in high school when we tested.



(Buy) Winning the last two regular season games would achieve that IMO. No need to do much in the Tournament at that point.



(Buy) Just a hunch. I have doubts about whether he'll want to stick around with so many expected departures after the 2024 season and I'm not sure how much another year would improve his stock.

(Sell) I'm not sure if he'll go that high.




(Buy) Absolutely. No hesitation.



(Sell) Greatly?

No. 8 – Scattershooting all over the place …

... Is being a world champion good?


... Farewell, Tyron Smith. After 13 seasons with the Cowboys, it appears the 4-time All-Pro (8-time Pro Bowler) has played his last down with the franchise. He might be the most decorated player in the team’s history that I don't have a real emotional feeling for as he says goodbye. He never played in a game that mattered and hasn't played a full season in the last 8 years. Is he really a Hall of Fame player? Personally, I have him as the No. 3 OT in franchise history behind Rayfield Wright and Erik Williams.

... Justin Fields to the Falcons? Yes, please.

... Rest in peace, Mort.

... Ouch.


... Caitlin Clark had 35 points, 9 assists and 6 rebounds in a 10-point win over No.2 Ohio State. Baller.

... Bayer Leverkusen are now TEN points clear of Bayern Munich and have gone 34 games unbeaten. It feels like Xabi Alonso is alone in the discussion of the best young manager in the world.

... Manchester United got what they deserved. What a pathetic display of football for a team that more than a billion dollars paid for.

... I love this team. I love this game. I love this crazy mad bastard.


... On one hand, Austin FC took away a very solid point against the Sounders in Seattle. On the other hand, that team is a hard watch. Two shots all night and only one on goal. That's after having only two shots on goal at home last week. Woof.

... The OU softball team lost its 61-game winning streak to... Louisiana? Ok, Ragin' Cajuns, we see you.

... The bride is going to humble brag about this for the rest of her life ...


... Hello, Miley!


... Up next for me this week: Dune II

No. 9 – One week away from the Ocars …

We're a mere one week away from the Academy Awards. Here's a look at how I would rank the films that I've actually seen.

Best Picture

1. Oppenheimer
2. Anatomy of a Fall
3. Poor Things
4. Maestro
5. Killers of the Flower Moon
6. Barbie
7. Past Lives
8. The Holdovers
9. The Zone of Interest

Still need to see: American Fiction

Best Actor

1. Bradley Cooper (Maestro)
2. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)
3. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
4. Coleman Domingo (Rustin)

Still need to see: Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction)

Best Actress

1. Emma Stone (Poor Things)
2. Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall) 

3. Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)
4. Annette Bening (Nyad)
5. Carey Mulligan (Maestro)

Best Supporting Actor

1. Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
2. Robert DeNiro (Killers of the Flower Moon)
3. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)
4. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)

Still need to see: Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)

Best Supporting Actress

1. Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)
2. Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
3. Jodie Fostr (Nyad)
4. Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)
5. America Ferrera (Barbie)

Best Director

1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
2. Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things)
3. Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon)
4. Justine Trier (Anatomy of a Fall)
5. Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest)

No. 10 - Top 10: Steely Dan ...

steely-dan.jpg


It has been a hot minute since I've listened to Steely Dan and knowing that it's a favorite of @RLong68, I thought I might as well give the band another go this week, especially since so many of you believe that I criminally underrated one song in particular the last time I featured the group.

So, let's get to it.

Honorable mention: Aja, Glamour Profession, Everyone's Gone to the Movies, Bad Sneakers, Black Cow, Babylon Sisters, Midnight Cruiser, Black Friday, Bodhisattva, Your Gold Teeth II, Cousin Dupree, Gaucho, Doctor Wu and Dirty Work

10. Don't Take Me Alive

One of the best pieces of guitar work we've seen from Larry Charlton.

9. My Old School

My favorite song on the Countdown to Ecstasy album. This song is tough.

8. Rikki Don't Lose that Number

The biggest hit of the band's career. .

7. Pretzel Logic

I like the group's bluesy stuff above all else and this might be its best.

6. Kid Charlemagne

Features probably the best Larry Carlton guitar solo in the group’s entire catalog.

5. Reeling in the Years

Personally, this is probably my favorite song from the group.

4. Do It Again

The group's biggest hit off of its first album and the second-highest charting song in the group's history.

3. Deacon Blues

This is probably the song that finally connected to the whole jazz rock vibe that the group went into in the mid- to late-70s. I kept hearing that this song was a big deal to fans of the group, but every time I heard the song, I just cracked up laughing at the sound and the premise. So, I kept listening and listening and listening ... finally ... on Sunday, I found myself kind of grooving to the song and I just sort of got the vibe the group was going for.

2. Hey Nineteen

One of three songs to chart in the Top 10 of the Billboard Top 100 and probably the first song of the group's that I can remember hearing as a kid. The best song on Gaucho, the group's final album before a 20-year hiatus of making original music together. This might not be popular, but it's the song I think of first when I think of the band.

1. Peg

Paste Magazine said of the song: "It’s hard to argue with the eminent grandeur of 'Peg,' one of the greatest rock ‘n’ roll songs ever cooked up. Steely Dan were often plagued by their own perfectionism (and drug addictions, to be fair), a technical flaw that partially fueled their break up three years after Aja was completed. But that meticulous habit spurred 'Peg,' and we can remain thankful for that."
Never realized Chevy Chase was basically original drummer of Steely Dan.
 
I hear you, but who do you think was in charge of that decision to replace Herman with Eltife?

Also, any thoughts on the Bohls column I linked?
Who do I think was in charge of the decision to replace Herman with Eltife? As in who was with Eltife? Jay Hartzell and Chris Del Conte.

I can't see the article but I assume it's the one you have referenced often and claimed Del Conte leaked to try and distance himself from the hire. That obviously doesn't align with my understanding of the relationships or the litany of evidence I have that supports it, so my thoughts are that it's less of a smoking gun and more of a nothing burger. But maybe you're right and he blinked. I just don't buy it given what I was told in real time throughout the 2021 football season.
 
You might want to look at his career again with the Doobie Brothers and his work as a session’s artist during that time.
The fact is that he can be all things to all people. While we're on the subject, here's a bonus of a rare video of three of my favorite singers
 
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The fact is that he can be all things to all people. While we're on the subject, here's a bonus of a rare video of three of my favorite singers

No doubt. But suggesting his soft rock came AFTER the Doobies is silly. For crying out loud what do you call “What a Fool Believes” and “You Belong to Me?”
 
Who do I think was in charge of the decision to replace Herman with Eltife? As in who was with Eltife? Jay Hartzell and Chris Del Conte.

I can't see the article but I assume it's the one you have referenced often and claimed Del Conte leaked to try and distance himself from the hire. That obviously doesn't align with my understanding of the relationships or the litany of evidence I have that supports it, so my thoughts are that it's less of a smoking gun and more of a nothing burger. But maybe you're right and he blinked. I just don't buy it given what I was told in real time throughout the 2021 football season.

Yes, if you had to buy it, it would mean a lot of what you believe is flawed. I guess that can't happen, even when evidence is staring you in the face. ;)

The thing is, I believe Bohls is a go-to-source for CDC and vice versa. CDC loves the Statesman guys and they love him. Bohls never writes that piece without permission from CDC. Hell, CDC is even quoted in it... of course... denying much of what was written.

Ask yourself this... does Bohls write that article without one of his No.1 sources signing off on it? Is that how you think the game in this industry is played?
 
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Thanks for the reminder how freakish Roy Williams was back in the day sheeesh!!! At some point you say QE is a bust relative to his rivals rating and has been carried but a top OL, defense, 1st round weapons for every season he’s been here..Hopefully he is a Heisman finalist this year to prove otherwise
 
Thanks for the reminder how freakish Roy Williams was back in the day sheeesh!!! At some point you say QE is a bust relative to his rivals rating and has been carried but a top OL, defense, 1st round weapons for every season he’s been here..Hopefully he is a Heisman finalist this year to prove otherwise
I think we can only say such a thing at the end if he never quite takes the big final step as a college player. I think he can get there, for sure.

Roy was a freak. If only BJ had lived up to his billing.
 
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@Ketchum Based on all the draft talk about Johntay, how would you predict in percentage the distribution of catches to the various WRs? Do you see Johntay getting 25%? Higher? Less? I'm curious what your breakdown prediction would be. TIA.
 
@Ketchum Based on all the draft talk about Johntay, how would you predict in percentage the distribution of catches to the various WRs? Do you see Johntay getting 25%? Higher? Less? I'm curious what your breakdown prediction would be. TIA.


Great question. We know that We know that roughly 220 receptions from the WR/TE position have departed. I think we'll see Texas throw the ball more next year.

I think right now I would probably project it took look like this:

Bond - 70 receptions
Cook - 60 receptions
Bolden - 35 receptions
Golden - 35 receptions
NiBlack 30- receptions
Helm - 20- receptions
 
No doubt. But suggesting his soft rock came AFTER the Doobies is silly. For crying out loud what do you call “What a Fool Believes” and “You Belong to Me?”
I think that comment may be influenced by his identifiable omnipresence as a vocalist on records by such as Kenny Loggins, Patti LaBelle, Christopher Cross, etc, which were quintessential 80s soft rock songs. My personal favorite is "Here to Love You" with the Doobies....
 
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Great question. We know that We know that roughly 220 receptions from the WR/TE position have departed. I think we'll see Texas throw the ball more next year.

I think right now I would probably project it took look like this:

Bond - 70 receptions
Cook - 60 receptions
Bolden - 35 receptions
Golden - 35 receptions
NiBlack 30- receptions
Helm - 20- receptions
I would think he would have to find 15 to 20 catches for Wingo somehow. Just anything to keep him a little happy.:)

Do you think Helm is an NFL guy when he is done?
 
I would think he would have to find 15 to 20 catches for Wingo somehow. Just anything to keep him a little happy.:)

Do you think Helm is an NFL guy when he is done?

a, It's not too hard to get there. Cook had 8 last year, so we'll give Wingo those. Now add in one more catch per game on the average and we're there.

b. Yes, I do.
 
Great question. We know that We know that roughly 220 receptions from the WR/TE position have departed. I think we'll see Texas throw the ball more next year.

I think right now I would probably project it took look like this:

Bond - 70 receptions
Cook - 60 receptions
Bolden - 35 receptions
Golden - 35 receptions
NiBlack 30- receptions
Helm - 20- receptions
Thanks. I'm curious to see how Wingo gets in the mix. It's a stacked room, but I think he'll be hard to keep off the field.
 
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