OB War Room: A lot of words with zero idea where Sanders, Cain and McCoy end up
(From Anwar)
The biggest storylines surrounding Tom Herman’s program right now are the recruiting wars prior to signing day.
Longhorn observers are keeping close tabs on the battle for
Bru McCoy,
Trey Sanders and
Noah Cain. Jason Suchomel will give his analysis of each situation in this War Room, but those are the biggest recruiting tussles right now. Those are the most obvious storylines this week.
(From Suchomel)
We have officially hit the recruiting home stretch, with only six days remaining (as I write this) before the early signing period begins next Wednesday.
Texas will host several recruits this weekend on official visits (more on that in a bit), but let’s start off by taking a look at the big three that Texas continues to chase … Noah Cain, Bru McCoy and Trey Sanders.
Let’s take a look at why you should feel good, and why you should be worried, with each guy …
Noah Cain
Pros for Texas
- Strong relationship with Stan Drayton
- Proximity to both his parents
- Open depth chart
- Wants to study business
- Likes the young depth of Texas’ OL
Cons for Texas
- Several visits after Texas that are more fresh
- Confidence by people close to the Penn State program
- Penn State’s recent history with RBs
Trey Sanders
Pros for Texas
- Wide open depth chart
- Word I received after his UT official visit was that he and his parents really enjoyed the visit (parents went home wearing UT gear)
- Early in the process, he told other recruits behind the scenes he might wind up at Texas
- Doesn’t seem to be settled on any one school out of Bama, Georgia or Florida, so Texas could be a viable solution for him and his family
Cons for Texas
- Texas official visit was a long time ago
- Georgia appears to be surging after his recent official visit
- Proximity to his family
- Likes the idea of playing in the SEC
Bru McCoy
Pros for Texas
- Family is very supportive of the idea of him at Texas
- Texas’ use of big receivers
- Environment at Texas games compared to USC
- Potential to be an early contributor
- Strong relationship with the Texas staff, including Drew Mehringer
Cons for Texas
- Lifelong USC fan
- Former and current teammates at Mater Dei recruiting him to USC
- USC has the obvious edge in proximity
- West Coast analysts feel USC has a sizeable lead
Everyone is looking for
definitive answers to where each guy will wind up, but those just aren’t available. None of the three has told any school where he’s going, and these three truly could be decisions that won’t be known until next Wednesday (although Cain’s family has said his plan is to know before the early signing period begins).
The one thing I can tell you for sure is that there’s no real consensus on Texas’ chances with each. Truth be told, the confidence levels for all programs are pretty much all over the place.
--- In
Sanders, there’s been growing confidence on the Georgia side and Rivals.com’s Trent Smallwood, who covers recruiting for UGASports.com, reported on Wednesday night that he was hearing good things about Georgia’s chances from multiple sources. Smallwood put in his Rivals forecast for UGA, but said he feels this one is still not fully decided and there could be movement before Sanders announces.
Alabama head coach Nick Saban was at IMG on Wednesday. Tom Herman, Stan Drayton and other members of the UT staff were at IMG on Thursday. Word is that Georgia head coach Kirby Smart wants the last visit and is expected to go in-home either on Thursday night or possibly on Friday. If it’s Friday, he may go to Sanders’ hometown in Port Saint Joe (FL) to meet with Sanders’ entire family.
Sanders does have one more official visit remaining, which he’ll take to Florida this weekend. At one point, the Gators were thought to be a major threat since Sanders’ brother is a walk-on for the Gators, but most of the talk of late has centered on Georgia, Bama and Texas.
One other note worth mentioning …
Alabama hosted running back
D.J. Williams on an official visit last week and Nick Saban did an in-home visit with
Deondrick Glass this week. Glass, who has already taken an Alabama official visit, told me this week that he’s planning to take a January official visit to Texas after meeting with Drayton last week. But there is speculation that if Bama misses on Sanders, it could push for Glass to sign in the early window.
Lots of moving parts in this one …
--- In
Bru McCoy, Texas has done an incredible job in winning over not only McCoy himself, but both of Bru’s parents as well.
Every time I’ve communicated with Horace McCoy, he’s mentioned how strong the family’s interest in Texas is and how much respect they have for the UT staff. When I had a lengthy phone conversation with Mr. McCoy fairly recently, he made it a point to tell me that the interest in UT wasn’t just lip service … he wanted to make it crystal clear that the entire family was looking at Texas very seriously.
Tom Herman and Drew Mehringer did an in-home on Wednesday and McCoy’s father told me it was another good visit, as was Mehringer’s in-home last week and as was Bru’s official visit in September.
The obvious question … Has Texas done enough?
McCoy will have an
in-home visit with new USC offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury on Thursday night. That’ll be big. He’ll then take his official visit to USC this weekend … that’ll be huge. The Longhorns have put themselves in a very good position here and done about as good of a job in this one as could be expected, but will now have to sweat out what will be a critical 72-hour stretch with USC getting the last shot to win him over.
Confidence on the USC side remains high (extremely high in some cases) but the guess here is that people out West are underestimating UT’s chances a bit. Mater Dei kids usually wind up at USC and the Trojans have been the favorite program growing up, so it makes sense to predict USC, but I do feel Texas has made this one more interesting than some out West realize. It is tough to ignore the USC ties and the fact that the Trojans will get the last visits, but the vibe I’ve picked up is that this one is pretty close.
--- Not much new to report on
Noah Cain from what was discussed earlier in the week. He’ll take a Tennessee visit this weekend and then should come to a decision early next week. Most of the recent buzz is focused on Penn State and I’m told that there is
confidence inside the Penn State program, but Cain has not given any staff a clear indication of what he’s going to do.
--- Lastly, I’ll leave you with this as it relates to the trio of McCoy, Cain and Sanders … the opinions on all three are wildly varied, and it is all a bit of a guessing game at this point. But those of you who have completely discounted Texas’ chances with any of the three are making a mistake.
Will Texas get any of them? I honestly don’t know and I do think Texas has ground to make up on all three, but the staff has done an incredible job to position itself in the lead pack as they approach the finish line, and there is some confidence on the Texas side of things. This could be a wild last week and Longhorn fans should not abandon all hope just yet.
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Some background the
Peyton Powell decommitment, which unraveled pretty quickly on Thursday night ...
As I mentioned on the message board, this was definitely a mutual decision, if you will, and Texas was fine with each side moving in a different direction.
Remember, Powell took an unexpected visit to Baylor last weekend, something that probably didn’t exactly put him in the good graces of the Texas staff. We’ve seen it before this cycle (Demariyon Houston was also considering visits) … if you’re committed and going to take visits, you’re putting your spot at risk. Especially if you take visits late in the process that are a bit off the radar, like Powell did.
From what I’ve been told, T
exas is very comfortable with its receiver situation in this year’s class and the situation with Powell was one that Texas feels it can comfortably absorb.
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Top Texas LB target
Caleb Johnson will visit Colorado this weekend before announcing his final decision on Monday. On Monday of this week, Tom Herman and Todd Orlando paid Johnson a visit, and the Fullerton Community College product said it was good to spend some time with the UT coaches and hear how he’s a top priority for the Texas staff.
“Coach Orlando and I had talked a couple times, but this was the first time he had come to see me so it was good,” Johnson said. “They were just letting me know how much they need me, how much value I’d bring to the team, the opportunity that’s there as far as Texas. They’re on their way back, trying to make it to College Football Playoffs. Aside from football, they said it’s a great degree and great city. They were just asking me where my head is at.”
And where is Johnson’s head as he closes in on his decision?
“I just told them about the visit to Colorado this weekend. I’m just trying to see what coaches there have to say. I already went there before. I’m just pretty much seeing what they have to say, see who all is staying (after the head coaching change). I know the linebacker coach is staying.”
Colorado will swing for the fences, but
I still like Texas’ position here.
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Texas is set to host a handful of prospect on official visits this weekend, including some prospects who aren’t committed to Texas (yet). A look at some of the top guys expected to be on campus …
Commitments
Roschon Johnson – The first commitment of the UT class, Johnson is completely locked in. He’ll enroll in January.
De'Gabriel Floyd – Floyd is another guy who will enroll in January and he’ll be an active recruiter for Texas this weekend … as he always is.
Chris Adimora – There was a time not too long ago when Adimora was looking at taking another visit, but he’s locked in and will sign next week.
Jordan Whittington – Another early enrollee, Whittington will play in a playoff game on Friday before starting his official visit.
Myron Warren – Big visit here. Warren has said he’ll wait to sign until February, but the guess here is that Texas has a solid chance of getting him to sign during the early period, especially since LSU didn’t do an in-home visit during the current visit period. If the staff can convince him to do sign next week, it would be a huge development for UT’s d-line recruiting.
Uncommitted prospects
Jalen Catalon – Arkansas feels confident it’s going to land him, but Catalon has a good relationship with Craig Naivar and Texas will look to make a strong move this weekend. It won’t be easy, but not out of the question either.
Isaiah Hookfin – Hookfin looks like a good bet to be in this class, and Texas will look to seal the deal this weekend.
This staff has been known to have some tricks up its sleeve, as it did last week when IMG DT
Antoine Whitner was brought in. We’ll see if there are any surprises this week as well on the last official visit weekend before the early signing period.
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(From Alex Dunlap)
One NFL scouting contact who covers Texas as part of his area was nice enough to share his notes with me on the Texas Longhorns who are (or might be) coming out for the 2019 NFL draft. The notes have his thoughts and suggestions for draft grades. It should be noted that these are not a specific team's draft grades, only those of one scout who will turn the work in to the decision-makers. I'll have more of this info to share in the coming days regarding all the Texas players, but first, here in the War Room, I'll give an overview of a few things that really stuck out to me regarding this one scout's set of evaluations:
This scout likes
Collin Johnson much more than
Lil'Jordan Humphrey as a prospect. A lot more, when considering the round projections. He notes that
Johnson should be thought of as highly as a fringe first-rounder, although his official projection for him is in the 2nd/3rd. Whereas, he gives
Humphrey a Round 5 grade.
Here are some of the notes on Johnson:
- Johnson made major improvements in 2018 as a red zone receiver after struggling with high-pointing the football and winning contested catches against smaller defenders (got shut down by 5’9” DJ Reed/Kansas State in 2017) and his amplified his touchdown production inside the 20. Johnson is a feisty run blocker on the perimeter or out of the slot and shows great enthusiasm in engaging defenders and using leg drive to create seals.
- Johnson compares in body type and play style to Kenny Golladay and is best suited to play as an X Receiver in a West Coast Offense due to his wide catch radius and ability to turn short, high completion passes for big gains with his deceptive speed and acceleration. Johnson projects as a fringe first round player at the next level due to his elite size, athleticism, and versatility as a receiver.
Here are some of the notes on Humphrey:
- Humphrey does a good job of calculating his stride length on lofted passes to generate as much jumping power as possible to give him an advantage to pull in contested catches against taller, more physical defensive backs. Humphrey shows great body control on Corner and Out routes along the sideline and does well to keep his feet in bounds through contact. Humphrey does a good job of identifying and settling into soft spots against Zone coverage, especially in the middle of the field on Seams.