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Contain the Q and Dominate the Trenches | Players to Watch vs. Arkansas

CodyCarpentier

every like is another Jonathon Brooks rushing yard
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Nov 25, 2023
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Players to Watch for Arkansas

  • #40 - Landon Jackson, DL - 1 Thing: Jackson, (the brother of Texas '25 commit Lance Jackson) ranks Top 10 in the SEC in the following, 4th in Tackles(26), 8th in Total Pressures(32), 10th in Sacks(5), and 10th in Hurries(20), among EDGE Rushers.

  • #10 Taylen Green - 1 Thing: Green is known as a very athletic quarterback with the ability to pull down the ball and run at any moment with his 6'4 frame and long legs. One thing to take into account is that Green has an incredible 3.23 seconds (Time to Throw), the slowest in the SEC. Quinn Ewers is 2.52 seconds, and the fastest in the SEC. Green holds onto the football for almost 3/4 second longer per dropback. Green ranks 2nd lowest in the Power 5, while Ewers is 7th fastest. *WOW*

  • #2 - Andrew Armstrong, WR - 1 Thing: Armstrong is 2nd in the SEC with 857 receiving yards and just 1 touchdown. At 6'4 202 lbs, Armstrong is a matchup mismatch for most defenders and will likely see a good amount of Texas' most versatile defender and the No. 1 Graded Cover Corner in the SEC, Jahdae Barron(90.7). Armstrong leads the SEC with 84 targets, while his average depth of target is 11.7 yards downfield, which is equal to DeAndre Moore and Isaiah Bond.


  • #50 - Eric Gregory, DT - 1 Thing: Gregory is tied for first in the SEC among Defensive Lineman, with 20 Run Stops. Tied with Walter Nolan(Ole Miss) and Chris McClellan(Missouri). That is also good for 5th in the Power 5.

  • #9 - Luke Hasz, TE - 1 Thing: Hasz hasn't been targeted a ton this season, until the Mississippi State game. Over the last two games he has 9 targets, 9 receptions, 136 yards, and 3 touchdowns, while he had just 131 yards an 10 receptions over the first 7 games.



This is a Segment, presented by my great sponsor @Alex Dunlap and the NEW Football with Friends Beef Jerky, it's called "According to PFF"

1) According to PFF, Texas has 5 of the 7 best defensive linemen in Pass Rush Win Rate % (Wins per Snap). However, Landon Jackson(brother of Texas '25 commit Lance Jackson), leads both teams in Total Pressures(32), Sacks(5), and Hurries(20).

Screenshot-2024-11-06-at-8.39.21 PM.png



2) According to PFF, unlike last week, Texas completely leads in offensive linemen grading vs. Arkansas. Cam Williams is the only Starter for Texas who is NOT ranked ahead of Arkansas' Guard, Joshua Braun, in Pass Blocking Grade. Williams has 13 penalties this season, which is only two fewer than the rest of the starting linemen combined.

Screenshot-2024-11-06-at-8.45.54 PM.png



3) According to PFF, here are the 9 opponents Texas has played this season, sorted by Defensive Team Run Defense Grade. Texas rushed for 210 yards against Florida, 177 yards against Oklahoma, 143 yards against Michigan, 187 yards against UTSA, and just 29 yards against Georgia... Arkansas enters this week Ranked No. 2 among opponents.

Screenshot-2024-11-06-at-9.16.08 PM.png




Cody's Week 12 Prediction (8-1)

Texas 45
Arkansas 10

Arkansas 1st Half Scoring last 4 games
Green, QB - (L) Texas A&M (14-14) - TD, Punt, TD, Punt, FUM, Punt, Punt, INT
Green, QB - (W) Tennessee (3-0) - FG, Downs, Downs, Missed FG, Half
Green, QB - (L) LSU (7-16) - Missed FG, FUM, TD, Punt
Green, QB - (W) Miss State (31-10) - TD, FG, TD, TD, Punt, TD
Singleton, QB - (L) Ole Miss (10-35) - Punt, FUM, FG, Punt, Punt, TD, Missed FG, Half

Texas 1st Half Scoring last 5 games
Manning, QB - (W) Miss State (14-6) - TD, FUM, Punt, Punt, TD
Ewers, QB - (W) Oklahoma (21-3) - INT, Punt, Punt, TD, Punt, TD, TD, Missed FG
Ewers, QB - (L) Georgia (0-23) - Punt, Punt, FUM, Punt, INT, Punt, Punt, FUM
Ewers, QB - (W) Vanderbilt (21-10) - INT, TD, TD, Punt, TD, Punt
Ewers, QB - (W) Florida (35-0) - Missed FG, TD, TD, Punt, Punt, TD, TD, TD

Texas hasn't scored on the opening drive with Quinn Ewers at Quarterback, since UTSA on September 14th.

Player of the Game: Jaydon Blue (14 carries, 98 yards, 2 TD - 4 receptions 46 yards)

The line in the game is Texas -12.5 with a game total of 56.5. This implies a score of 34.5-22 in favor of Texas.

Past Predictions

- Week 1 Prediction: 51-13 Texas
- Week 1 Result: 52-0 Texas (+/- 14)
- Week 2 Prediction: 34-13 Texas
- Week 2 Result: 31-12 Texas (+/- 4)
- Week 3 Prediction: 55-3 Texas
- Week 3 Result: 56-7 Texas (+/- 5)
- Week 4 Prediction: 48-6 Texas
- Week 4 Result: 51-3 Texas (+/- 6)
- Week 5 Prediction: 55-14 Texas
- Week 5 Result: 35-13 Texas (+/- 21)
- Week 7 Prediction: 37-23 Texas
- Week 7 Result: 34-3 Texas (+/- 23)
- Week 8 Prediction: 55-14 Texas
- Week 8 Result: 35-13 Texas (+/- 21)
- Week 9 Prediction: 32-24 Texas
- Week 9 Result: 30-15 Georgia (+/- 23)
- Week 10 Prediction: 40-10 Texas
- Week 10 Results: 27-24 Texas (+/- 27)
- Week 11 Prediction: 34-10 Texas
- Week 11 Results: 49-17 Texas (+/- 22)



Top Games of the Week in College Football

Tier 1

- 7. Tennessee @ 12. Georgia on Saturday at 7:30pm ET (ABC)
- 23. Missouri @ 21. South Carolina on Saturday at 4:15 pm ET (SECNetwork)

Tier 2
- Utah @ 17. Colorado on Saturday at noon ET (FOX)
- 22. LSU @ Florida on Saturday at 3:30pm ET (ABC)

Tier 3
- 20. Clemson @ Pittsburgh on Saturday at noon ET (ESPN)

Tier 4
- 12. Boise State @ San Jose State on Saturday at 7:00pm ET (CBS)



Top 10 Losses Week over Week in College Football

- Week 1: 10. Florida State (L at Georgia Tech)
- Week 2: 10. Michigan (L vs. 3. Texas)
- Week 2: 5. Notre Dame (L vs. Northern Illinois)
- Week 3: N/A
- Week 4: N/A
- Week 5: 2. Georgia (L at 4. Alabama)
- Week 5: 6. Ole Miss (L vs Kentucky)
- Week 5: 10. Utah (L vs. Arizona)
- Week 6: 1. Alabama (L at Vandy)
- Week 6: 4. Tennessee (L at Arkansas)
- Week 6: 9. Missouri (L at 25. Texas A&M)
- Week 6: 10 Michigan (L at Washington)
- Week 7: 2. Ohio State (L vs. 3. Oregon)
- Week 7: 9. Ole Miss (L vs. 13. LSU)
- Week 8: 1. Texas (L vs. 5. Georgia)
- Week 8: 7. Alabama (L at 11. Tennessee)
- Week 9: 8. LSU (L at 14. Texas A&M)
- Week 10: 3. Penn State (L vs. 2. Ohio State)
- Week 10: 10. Texas A&M (L at South Carolina)
- Week 11: 3. Georgia (L at 16. Ole Miss)
- Week 12: TBD



Let's have a great end of the week 🤘
 
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