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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (I finally did it...)

This is how I imagine @Ketchum and @Anwar Richardson greeting each other after one of Anwar’s roadtrips.

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We have only landed five OOS 5*s in the last 25 years? Wow that is brutal
 
Carl Weathers was a Raider as well, excellent actor and from all I have read a nice down to earth man! Much accomplished and all with style and class, RIP and prayers for family!
 
Lots of data points on how successful recruits prior to 2021 should be expected to perform, however I don’t get any feel for the future as Sark process of evaluating recruits and developing them won’t show for a few years.
Each staff can very different results. Both in evaluations a development of those recruits.
I think (hope) that Sark and company will blow the previous staff’s out of the water.
 
Lots of data points on how successful recruits prior to 2021 should be expected to perform, however I don’t get any feel for the future as Sark process of evaluating recruits and developing them won’t show for a few years.
Each staff can very different results. Both in evaluations a development of those recruits.
I think (hope) that Sark and company will blow the previous staff’s out of the water.

You can always find a reason to ignore the data, but the results are bias free.
 
So if I have this right, only go out of state for high four stars or five stars. In state low four stars and below are no more likely to play but are less likely to transfer than OOS. Which is interesting since I would suspect the lower star in state talent is easier to attract but not really going to sustain the program at the desired level
 
Not for this specific team I don’t think

Reserve the right to change my mind though if we don’t get a portal DT
Whether we get a portal DT or not will not impact our record as much as you seem to think. People are waaay overemphasizing its importance given what the rest of the defense will look like.
 
You can always find a reason to ignore the data, but the results are bias free.
You missed the point.
The point was every HC and their staff could have very different results. Maybe, maybe not!
Sark could have very different results because of better or worse evaluation, emphasis on character, NIL, winning record, etc.
Those data points analyzed by staff would be more meaningful to me and as you pointed out we don’t have all the data available on Sark and his staff necessary to do that evaluation on our current staff.
 
You can always find a reason to ignore the data, but the results are bias free.
The sample sizes are not large for the out of state players prior to Sark (7 blue chip prospects). Nothing else really matters here

It’s good work in that it continues to confirm what I think we knew regarding 3 stars to mid 4 stars and also confirms transfers are a bigger issue with out of state players (not surprising). I imagine as the sample size grows the 5 stars out of state will line up with same metrics as those in state largely
 
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Texas will get some super blues, especially on offense.
Good read as usual for TFTW. Sad about Carl Weathers. Unfortunately if you grew up in the late 70s and early 80s many childhood favorites are starting to pass away.

I would be curious and you may have already done this but how many 5 stars has Sark been involved with as HC (all players) and as OC for USC, Alabama (offensive players). He such a great recruiter that I would guess quite a few.
 
Great job on the out of state recruiting analysis. My main takeaway is I didn’t realize the transfer rate has averaged 50+% regardless of in state our out of state. That’s amazing. What will that number be in 5 years as the new portal rules really start to take effect on the numbers?
 
(Buy) The quarterback battle for the first-team slot is going to be incredibly competitive, but I'm in. Same with Banks.
B/S: If Ewers is the first team SEC QB Texas wins the SEC.
 
So if I have this right, only go out of state for high four stars or five stars. In state low four stars and below are no more likely to play but are less likely to transfer than OOS. Which is interesting since I would suspect the lower star in state talent is easier to attract but not really going to sustain the program at the desired level

Yes, that area of talent already is more likely to fail than succeed, but even more so if from out of state.
 
You missed the point.
The point was every HC and their staff could have very different results. Maybe, maybe not!
Sark could have very different results because of better or worse evaluation, emphasis on character, NIL, winning record, etc.
Those data points analyzed by staff would be more meaningful to me and as you pointed out we don’t have all the data available on Sark and his staff necessary to do that evaluation on our current staff.
I didn't miss any point. How much different do you believe a staff can have? Because I can show you what's already happened in 2021-2023 with out of state recruiting and there's no reason to think the data changes much based on the early showings of Sark's recruiting.
 
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The sample sizes are not large for the out of state players prior to Sark (7 blue chip prospects). Nothing else really matters here

It’s good work in that it continues to confirm what I think we knew regarding 3 stars to mid 4 stars and also confirms transfers are a bigger issue with out of state players (not surprising). I imagine as the sample size grows the 5 stars out of state will line up with same metrics as those in state largely

Yes, the super blue chip data is very similar and probably does equate similarly with in-state numbers.
 
Good read as usual for TFTW. Sad about Carl Weathers. Unfortunately if you grew up in the late 70s and early 80s many childhood favorites are starting to pass away.

I would be curious and you may have already done this but how many 5 stars has Sark been involved with as HC (all players) and as OC for USC, Alabama (offensive players). He such a great recruiter that I would guess quite a few.
Not as many as you'd think because his USC tenure ended so quickly.
 
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Great job on the out of state recruiting analysis. My main takeaway is I didn’t realize the transfer rate has averaged 50+% regardless of in state our out of state. That’s amazing. What will that number be in 5 years as the new portal rules really start to take effect on the numbers?
Higher... for sure.
 
His role aside, SemiTough was about the worst book adaptation I've ever seen. Poor casting, too many departures from the comedy of Dan Jenkins. It hasn't been near long enough since I last sat through that mess.
Correct. Baja Oklahoma movie was even worse.

Baja Oklahoma (the book) was Jenkins at his best.
That bad?
yep, pretty bad.

generally speaking, the producers and directors of movie adaptations of Jenkin’s books did not understand Jenkins humor at all, and/or could not translate it to film, or find actors who could properly reflect the characters. Baja Oklahoma was especially egregious and cringe worthy.
 
Correct. Baja Oklahoma movie was even worse.

Baja Oklahoma (the book) was Jenkins at his best.

yep, pretty bad.

generally speaking, the producers and directors of movie adaptations of Jenkin’s books did not understand Jenkins humor at all, and/or could not translate it to film, or find actors who could properly reflect the characters. Baja Oklahoma was especially egregious and cringe worthy.

Ranking those movies highly suggests that somebody didn’t read the books.
Now I HAVE to see it again.
 
I would have Chubbs at 4 behind Rocky III and before Rocky I, but the list is otherwise solid. I do lean more comedy in my taste of movies, so Happy Gilmore is near the top of my sports movies list with Major League, Tin Cup, and Caddyshack. They are all movies that I will stop and watch when they are on.
 
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I would have Chubbs at 4 behind Rocky III and before Rocky I, but the list is otherwise solid. I do lean more comedy in my taste of movies, so Happy Gilmore is near the top of my sports movies list with Major League, Tin Cup, and Caddyshack. They are all movies that I will stop and watch when they are on.
Totally get it.

I wonder if it ends growing stronger as the performance people remember over time.
 
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