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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (Zigging when everyone else zags)

Don’t discount the Randle commitment, he and Manning are best buds and have been saying publicly they will and want to play together for at least the last couple years, it may not have the ultimate decision for him, but it means a lot that his best Bud just committed out of state to a school that neither would have ever thought about had Sark not been here.
My bet is we land him and he will announce it very soon.
Did Randle go to GA with him to visit ?
 
Did Randle go to GA with him to visit ?
🤔 Not sure if he did or didn’t, I just think he will commit soon. He’s drug this on long enough and is ready to make the announcement soon IMO.
 
Good Otis list Ketch....Try a Little Tenderness is my personal favorite, but that's a good list
 
Going to disagree with you on Stockton, Ketch. Not only is he the all-time assist man in NBA history, he's the all-time steals leader, too. No one was better at getting the ball to the exact place on his teammates' bodies where they wanted it for a quick shot. He also was a great shooter, but chose to play unselfishly from the point. I used to sit next to a former NBA coach of the year when covering the league and he said Stockton could have easily scored 25+ per-game if he wanted to. Probably suffered from playing in one of the league's smallest markets.
 
If I’m listening to Otis, I’m never leaving out My Lover’s Prayer. Not only is it a panties dropping lock, any tune that opens up an episode of the Sopranos is Top 10 worthy. :)
 
@Ketchum

Such. A. Great. ****ing. Song.


1. These Arms of Mine

I consider this song music perfection. It's probably my favorite song of all-time and whatever my musical soul is created with, it's at the epicenter. There's just so much powerful emotion packed into such a simple song, as if he's able to channel the souls of desperate, broken men. My all-time top five song list will change from mood to mood, but this song is never removed from the No. 1 spot.
 
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True, but they are getting easier to obtain via transfer…even elite 5 stars. That’s why I think his true value is the recruiting momentum he brings to his chosen school.
It will potentially die quickly if the team disappoints.
 
If I were Arch, and I had a less hyped teammate that I wanted to play with in college, I’d tell him to commit first so that he can get some well deserved attention, and then I’d commit after.

I guess I’m trying to think positively (even though I still feel like GA wins out on this one).
 
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Look at it this way Kirby Smart is a good head coach Nick Saban has a Defensive mind but out of the three Sark is the quarterback guru.. Texas makes sense for development. Plus GA just won the championship he doesn’t want to be like KD and go to Golden State he wants to create his own path. Texas
lol. It';s not remotely the same thing.
 
Going to disagree with you on Stockton, Ketch. Not only is he the all-time assist man in NBA history, he's the all-time steals leader, too. No one was better at getting the ball to the exact place on his teammates' bodies where they wanted it for a quick shot. He also was a great shooter, but chose to play unselfishly from the point. I used to sit next to a former NBA coach of the year when covering the league and he said Stockton could have easily scored 25+ per-game if he wanted to. Probably suffered from playing in one of the league's smallest markets.
who are you ranking him ahead of?
 
It does help to have a little perspective on the Manning thing. And quite frankly, I think you're correct... the most important QB recruit is on campus RIGHT NOW (Ewers). If Quinn develops quickly, it makes recruiting the position even easier in future classes. And that's not a knock on Arch Manning at all... he will most likely be a great player wherever he lands.

I think the challenge is... if the Manning thing falls though is where we go in terms of Plan B. I'd like to see a high school kid out of the ranks land on our lap in 2023, but I'd expect us to fill via the portal. I think part of that Plan B could well be having a good year on the field and making sure that Sayin is a top priority in 2024, but having someone in 2023 who could be developed into a solid college player would be nice.
 
It will potentially die quickly if the team disappoints.
michael-clarke-duncan-dont-you-put-that-evil-on-me.gif
 
Your love affair with Evers is comical. If he would have played his senior year he wasn’t the best quarterback in Texas , the kid from west lake was! He hasn’t beaten Card out yet! Beau Trajan played at Cy-Fair , his dad Warren was big Aggie and RC had problems with Warren and didn’t offer Beau. That’s how he ended up at Texas. Warren was from bay city
Step away from the crack pipe
 
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On a day when everyone is zigging, I'm going to zag.

While the Texas fan base continues to lose itself (rightfully so) in Arch Madness, I find myself thinking this weekend about the irony of focusing so strongly on a player that likely won't see the field for more than a few snaps until 2024 and almost certainly ranks as the second most important quarterback in the Texas program.

After going 5-7 last season, the fate of Steve Sarkisian and the immediate future of the Texas program sits in the hands of incoming transfer Quinn Ewers, who would almost certainly be ranked No. 1 ahead of Manning if both were in the same class.

The success of Ewers this season will define this season as much as Bijan, Xavier and the defense all rolled into one. We're talking about a guy that many believe will compete with Caleb Williams for the right to be the No. 1 player selected in the 2024 NFL Draft. Manning's success in Austin would kind of represent the cherry on top of the desert, while Ewers represents pretty much the entire damn meal. Sarkisian can't afford to wait until Manning arrives.

It needs to happen now.

What I find interesting is that after two years of hearing the entire nation praise Ewers' superhuman quarterbacking ability, so many people in the college football game seem cool on how Ewers will perform as a starter for the Longhorns.

Let's start with Phil Steele ... the bible of the pre-season magazines, right?

Steele's Big 12 quarterback rankings look like this:

1st team: Oklahoma's Dillon Gabriel
2nd team: Oklahoma State's Spencer Sanders
3rd team: West Virginia's J.T. Daniels
4th team: Kansas State's Adrian Martinez

Consider me absolutely flabbergasted. Look at the 2021 passer ratings of all four players.

1st team (Gabriel): 158.9
2nd team (Sanders): 133.5
3rd team (Daniels): 155.1
4th team (Martinez): 148.9

Not a single one of those programs would keep the guy it has if offered a chance to trade for Ewers, yet here we are.

Meanwhile, I couldn't help but see everyone's favorite Mike Farrell list his national Top 50 quarterbacks list.

View attachment 2822

To be fair, Farrell has Ewers ranked as the No. 2 quarterback in the Big 12, but he has him ranked No. 27 overall in the country and behind a number of quarterbacks that surely aren’t better than Ewers, including nine quarterbacks from the SEC.

Consider me absolutely bewildered. Farrell literally told me four months ago on a live National Signing Day Show that he thought Ewers was basically Matt Stafford 2.0 and would be a very high NFL draft choice.

Maybe I'm crazy. Maybe I'm expecting too much of Ewers in his redshirt freshman season. Maybe ... *gulp* ... J.T. Daniels and Florida's Anthony Richardson (144.1 efficiency rating in 2021) ... are just better than Ewers. If Ewers is the guy that everyone thinks he is, there's no way he's either the fifth-best quarterback in the Big 12 or not among the top two dozen quarterbacks in the nation.

He's better than Casey Thompson, right?

Somehow it feels like Ewers, who has never been anything but the No. 1 overall player in the country, has become underrated.

How is that even possible? Is this a dream?

No. 2 - On Arch ...

Here's the bottom line on Arch Manning's visit this weekend and his recruitment in general ...

If he picks Georgia over Texas, he must have one hell of a poker face because the vibe from everyone that we've talked to this weekend seems to think he's going to be a Longhorn.

It's hard to call anything in this world perfect, but not a single person we've communicated with has indicated that there's a wish that any element of the presentation and vibe of his visit would be changed.

There's a sense that Texas has done all it could. Those with insight into his weekend believe he's coming to Texas.

What I find interesting is that the Georgia side of his recruitment seemed to have the exact feelings upon the completion of his visit to Athens two weeks ago. The vibes we were getting late this week from a variety of places, including our No. 1 source, seemed to indicate that the Longhorns were going to finish a bridesmaid.

For instance, our No. 1 source indicated or strongly hinted ...

a. A decision was coming soon.
b. There was still some uncertainty about Texas that wouldn't be answered with an earlier commitment.
c. A decision had been made prior to the visit to Austin.

In talking among the OB staff, we joked that it kind of felt like a high school break-up of sorts because we weren't sure if there would ever be another conversation beyond the last one. Even one highly placed Texas source mentioned prior to the Arch visit that he was hearing "It's Georgia" ... from a well-connected Georgia source.

Then this weekend happened. If Arch was locked in on Georgia, that mood simply wasn't conveyed at all. In fact, another source in the program swore on Sunday that the confidence he had in Arch coming to Texas was higher on Sunday than he ever thought it would be.

So much confidence exists, it makes me wonder if there's overconfidence. Keep in mind, the Kelvin Banks situation happened last summer.

From my perspective, I can at least pin down where all of the confidence on the Texas side is coming from. The UGA stuff feels more cloudy, but maybe that's my own confirmation bias speaking.

I'm wondering if the mood will change later in the week before a possible announcement is known, but nothing has happened yet that would make me change my Futurecast away from the Longhorns, even if I have stopped to question myself a few times.

To the finish line, we go ...

No. 3 - The new Beau Trahan?

When Mack Brown needed to close the deal with Chris Simms way back in the day, he didn't lean on his best players to make it happen.

Instead, he handed the responsibility for hosting Simms to redshirting freshman Beau Trahan from @Suchomel's hometown of Bay City.

Trahan turned out to be a top-three all-time recruiting host killers.

So, when Manning was hosted this weekend by redshirt freshman Michael Taaffe, a walk-on from Austin Westlake, instead of Xavier Worthy, Bijan Robinson or even Quinn Ewers, it was hard not to think of the role Trahan played in the Simms recruitment.

Sometimes your best recruiters among the players aren't your best players.

No. 4 - More from Phil Steele ...

Here are the Longhorns that made his All-Big 12 lists ...

1st team: RB Bijan Robinson
1st team: WR Xavier Worthy
1st team: LB DeMarvion Overshown
2nd team: DT Moro Ojomo
2nd team: CB/PR D'Shawn Jamison
3rd team: WR Isaiah Neyor
3rd team: S Anthony Cook
4th team: OT Christian Jones
4th team: DT Keondre Coburn
4th team: LB Diamonte Tucker-Dorsey

A few notes ...

* Robinson was ranked as the No. 1 running back in the country, while Worthy was a second-team All-America selection.

* Baylor leads the way with 6 first-team players, while Oklahoma is second with 4. Oklahoma State leads all teams with combined first- and second-team players with 9.

* Texas Tech tight end Baylor Cupp, who has missed multiple seasons because of injuries and transferred from Texas A&M, is a second-team selection, while Ja'Tavian Sanders wasn't rated.

View attachment 2820

No. 5 - What could you possibly expect?

If your starting pitching is going to massively disappoint, your defense is going to make costly errors and your fiercest hitters are going to come up empty, it's very hard to win in Omaha.

After a 2 and BBQ session over the weekend, no one knows this better than the Texas baseball team.

It just didn't happen for the Longhorns this weekend.

That it didn't happen against the Aggies on Sunday matters less than the fact that it didn't happen at all in two games. The goal is to advance. Once that objective fails, nothing else matters (unless A&M comes all the way back out of the loser's bracket).

At the end of the day, a season with more promise than just about any of the last decade ends up being pretty good. Nothing more, nothing less.

No. 6 - Close, but no cigar ...

Damn that back nine.

The only thing that seemed to keep former Longhorn Scottie Scheffler from winning his second major of the year this weekend was a final nine holes on Saturday and Sunday that saw him shoot a combined +5 over 18 holes.

Over the course of 18 holes on the front nine in the final two rounds, Scheffler was -7.

Sometimes it just goers like that at the U.S. Open.

All Scheffler can do is shrug it off and get ready for The British Open at St. Andrews.



No. 7 – BUY or SELL …

BUY-SELL.gif




(Sell) I'll take the over in terms of days when he's ready to announce his commitment, but it's not an impossibility.



(Buy) He hasn't won the biggest prize, but he's consistently knocking on the door and Texas doesn't usually get rid of coaches that do so.


B/S Texas gets 3 commitments before 1 July. (which doesn’t include the newest commitment…the TE)


(Sell) That's three in the next 10 or 11 days and I'm going with two during that stretch.



(Sell) I understanding the underwhelming sentiment, but he's been to the College World Series 3 times in the last 4 full seasons. He's nowhere near being on notice.



(Sell) I'm not sure he's in the top 5. Chris Simms was bigger. Earl Campbell was bigger. Cory Redding was bigger. Vince Young was bigger. Quinn Ewers' transfer is bigger.



(Sell) Texas just isn't recruiting at that level yet under Sarkisian.



(Sell) I don't believe the Mannings showed their hand this weekend before they can go home as a family and talk about things.



(Sell) Come on...



(Sell) The talent of a No. 1-ranked overall five-star quarterback is worth more than any family's endorsement.



(Buy) Ultimately, Arch Manning and his family are going to do what's best for them ... period.



(Buy) I've got them with eight at this point.

No. 8 - Scattershooting on the sports weekend ...

... Matt Fitzpatrick owns Brookline, there's no real way to get around it. More than anyone else, he felt like a guy playing on his home course.

... Hard not to root for Will Zalatoris. The guy has now finished second at the Masters, PGA Championship and US Open in the last six majors played. Do we claim him as a Texan?

... For a guy that always seemed quieter than a church mouse, Justin Leonard is pretty good at the TV announcer thing.

... In light of Steph Curry climbing the all-time NBA player ranks, it got me to looking at the various point guards that rank as Top 50 players of all-time. Am I crazy or is John Stockton wildly overrated? For all of his assists over the years, he was a first-team All-NBA player just twice. That's twice as few as a guy like Chris Paul. Are you taking him over Gary Payton or Jason Kidd? If you're starting a team, would you take him over a guy like Damion Lillard?

... Ja Morant talking smack to Golden State players after they've won their fourth title and he's never been out of the conference semifinals at this point (including losing in six to the Warriors this year), is freaking rich.

... Am I the only one not feeling Trevor Lawrence having a breakout year this season?

... This comment caught my attention this weekend from the world of the NHL:


... Big win for Austin FC on the road this weekend in Montreal. They just keep chalking up points.

... With Sadio Mane heading to Bayern Munich, it feels like a part of my fan soul has died. For the last six seasons, Mane has been perhaps the largest driving force of my love for Liverpool. He's truly my first-ever favorite player. He's my guy. Of course, I'll be rooting for him in Germany, but I hate that he won't be with the Reds. The end of this era saddens me.

No. 9 - The List: Top 10 Otis Redding Songs ...

I'm not sure if I've ever brought this up on the site before, but Otis is my guy.

Probably my all-time favorite. So, yes, this list is very personal for me.

Just missed the cut: Cigarettes and Coffee, Mr. Pitiful, That's How Strong My Love Is, Fa-Fa-Fa-Fa-Fa (Sad Song), Love Man and I've Got Dreams to Remember

10. That's What My Heart Needs

It's not one of the most well-known pieces of Otis' songbook, but in the back-half of the song, he visits that place that only Otis could visit when expressing his heart's desires.

9. Respect
Yes, it's the anthem song or Aretha Franklin and her version is regarded as one of the top-five songs of all-time, but originally it was an Otis joint and his version is damn good in its own right.

8. For Your Precious Love

Otis wrote a lot of great songs, but some of his best work occurred when he covered someone else's work.

7. Pain in My Heart
You give Otis a girl that he can't find and he's going to turn into a song here he the agony of his need for her love is going to pour out.

6. Change is Gonna Come

There's only one person on the entire planet that I allow with permission to sing this song outside of Sam Cooke and its Otis. The two things that both men had in common was the ability to dig into a deeper place to find the music and never is that more apparent than in what both men give to this song. It's a haunting performance.

5. Satisfaction

It's a hell of a thing to suggest that someone can out-Stones the Stones, but Otis is at his out-of-his-mind-with-the-music best with one of the most iconic songs ever written. Man, what I wouldn't give to have seen Otis do a show with the Stones.

4. I've Been Loving You Too Long

Whatever a human can give of himself into a song, that's where Otis sends himself in this all-time classic. It is one thing to say the words and it's quite a different thing to live and breathe them until your mind is at its end, which is what this song is all about… all-out exasperation. Legend has it that his performance of this song at the 1967 Monterey Pop Festival (see above) left Jimi Hendrix in awe.

3. (Sittin' On) The Dock of the Bay

For all of the flair he could give any song, his music was often most beautiful when controlled by its amazing simplicity. A few days before he died in a plane accident, he finished recording a song that began with him relaxing on a boat near the San Francisco Bay, writing/singing about life. Little known fact: everyone knows that the song ends with Redding whistling, but had he lived he planned on returning to the studio and finishing the song with words.

2. Try a Little Tenderness

The song starts so controlled and so tender, as Otis paints a picture that would that would make Michael Angelo blush. Then, as if motivated by a moment in life once lost, he takes us to church, imploring all of us to take the leap. It's an entire generation's blueprint for what to do in the backseat of a car. Ps: Make sure and watch the video clip of this life performance because he literally drops the mic and leaves the stage.

1. These Arms of Mine

I consider this song music perfection. It's probably my favorite song of all-time and whatever my musical soul is created with, it's at the epicenter. There's just so much powerful emotion packed into such a simple song, as if he's able to channel the souls of desperate, broken men. My all-time top five song list will change from mood to mood, but this song is never removed from the No. 1 spot.

No. 10 - And Finally ...

One little recruiting nugget to chew on.

I get the sense that the Texas staff and everyone in the program will be stunned if they don't land Oak Cliff cornerback Malik Muhammad. That's a recruitment that everyone feels great about coming out of this weekend.

Not good, but great.


d11yscr-9962973d-385a-4f93-a171-f31ab6c67b14.jpg
 
Because they don't want to pay an attacking player in his 30s the kind of money a player of his pedigree wants. Same thing is going to happen to Salah.

He's worshiped by the fans.
Fair, just sad to see him float away to Bundesliga. Snagging Darwin helps cure a lot of ails too!
 
Your love affair with Evers is comical. If he would have played his senior year he wasn’t the best quarterback in Texas , the kid from west lake was! He hasn’t beaten Card out yet! Beau Trajan played at Cy-Fair , his dad Warren was big Aggie and RC had problems with Warren and didn’t offer Beau. That’s how he ended up at Texas. Warren was from bay city
You can always tell the guys from Lake Travis. Cade Klubnik definitely had the best team when they played an overachieving Southlake team, with Ewers still recovering from mid-season abdominal surgery. I feel pretty comfortable Texas will end up on the right side of that QB recruitment, and I believe Cade will be a damn good QB for Clemson. There are a lot of folks with a love affair with QE...many of them residing in NFL board rooms.

Unless Hudson summons up 2005 VY or 2008 Colt McCoy, Quinn will be the starter.
 
Who was in the traveling party for the Mannings this weekend and supposedly involved in the decision making process? Does Arch already have an entourage?
 
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Hard to guess how well Quinn will perform before he takes a college snap.

The projection gets a little murky with concerns about the o line. Will be fascinating to see how big of an impact the new freshman o line make. I’m guessing that the o line will be improved through a combination of current players maturing and an unprecedented influx of new talent.

That being said, this could be one of the best groups of offensive skill players in longhorn history. Definitely an upgrade from last year.

X, Whitt, Neyor, Hall, Thompson, Milton.

Bijan, Rojo, Keilan, Brooks, Blue

Sanders, Billingsley, Helm, Davis

That’s just an absolutely stacked group of skill players. Each room of WR, RB, TE was significantly upgraded from last year and has more depth than I can recall in a long time.

If J Whitt is healthy, he’s an all big 12 player.

Back to projecting Quinn…

1) You have to start with last year and look at the numbers that Casey and Hudson combined to put up. They combined for 2,700 yards passing, 29 tds, 10 picks, 62.7% completions, and QBR 150.

2) You could go back to 2016 and review Shane Buechele freshman year with 18 Wheeler Swoopes. They combined for 3,000 yards, 21 tds, 12 picks, 60 %, and QBR 130. It was mainly Shane passing and Swoopes had for 50 carries for 7 td’s.

3) 2018 Sophomore Sam had 3,300 yards, 25 tds, 5 picks, 65%, and 147 QBR. He also ran like a maniac with 164 carries, 482 yards, and 16 tds.

Summary: I think Quinn will pass for 3,300 yards, 32 tds, 8 picks, 65%, and 155 QBR.
 
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In their prime, Chris Paul over John Stockton all day, every day forever. John was a one trick pony dishing to one of the best scorers in league history.
 
Your love affair with Evers is comical. If he would have played his senior year he wasn’t the best quarterback in Texas , the kid from west lake was! He hasn’t beaten Card out yet! Beau Trajan played at Cy-Fair , his dad Warren was big Aggie and RC had problems with Warren and didn’t offer Beau. That’s how he ended up at Texas. Warren was from bay city
uh what?
Do you mean Ewers our QB, that Ewers?
 
Very hard for a true freshman (which he basically is) to come and in dominate.

The ones that do - Trevor Lawrence - are rare and have stacked teams around them.

Q will not have a stacked team. He needs time.
True freshman? I feel like I’m taking crazy pills when I read this nonsense. He’s a redshirt freshman in every sense of the word. He graduated high school (albeit early), he went to college. He spent the football season in practice and in the QB room at Ohio State under one of the more respected offensive minds in the country. He’s now going to be in his second year of college. How is he not a redshirt freshman (like Manziel when he won the Heisman or CJ Stroud last year?). Ewers is the fvcking definition of a redshirt freshman. Good lord.
 
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Your love affair with Evers is comical. If he would have played his senior year he wasn’t the best quarterback in Texas , the kid from west lake was! He hasn’t beaten Card out yet! Beau Trajan played at Cy-Fair , his dad Warren was big Aggie and RC had problems with Warren and didn’t offer Beau. That’s how he ended up at Texas. Warren was from bay city
Drugs Drogue GIF
 
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I’d put ketch’s top 4 Otis Redding songs against any artist’s or band’s top 4 songs any day.

I would put I’ve Been Loving You Too Long at number 1… only because of this…
 
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@Ketchum

huge Otis fan as well And you mailed the list.

It reminded me of a really great rendition of These Arms of Mine that includes: Bill Wyman and Charlie Watts, Jimmie Page and a ripping vocal from Paul Rogers. Normally these super groups are lesser together than the Sun of their parts, but they let the material drive. Good stuff.

 
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ee0e3a40b744e2eebc3b4d949eaa9055x.jpg

On a day when everyone is zigging, I'm going to zag.

While the Texas fan base continues to lose itself (rightfully so) in Arch Madness, I find myself thinking this weekend about the irony of focusing so strongly on a player that likely won't see the field for more than a few snaps until 2024 and almost certainly ranks as the second most important quarterback in the Texas program.

After going 5-7 last season, the fate of Steve Sarkisian and the immediate future of the Texas program sits in the hands of incoming transfer Quinn Ewers, who would almost certainly be ranked No. 1 ahead of Manning if both were in the same class.

The success of Ewers this season will define this season as much as Bijan, Xavier and the defense all rolled into one. We're talking about a guy that many believe will compete with Caleb Williams for the right to be the No. 1 player selected in the 2024 NFL Draft. Manning's success in Austin would kind of represent the cherry on top of the desert, while Ewers represents pretty much the entire damn meal. Sarkisian can't afford to wait until Manning arrives.

It needs to happen now.

What I find interesting is that after two years of hearing the entire nation praise Ewers' superhuman quarterbacking ability, so many people in the college football game seem cool on how Ewers will perform as a starter for the Longhorns.

Let's start with Phil Steele ... the bible of the pre-season magazines, right?

Steele's Big 12 quarterback rankings look like this:

1st team: Oklahoma's Dillon Gabriel
2nd team: Oklahoma State's Spencer Sanders
3rd team: West Virginia's J.T. Daniels
4th team: Kansas State's Adrian Martinez

Consider me absolutely flabbergasted. Look at the 2021 passer ratings of all four players.

1st team (Gabriel): 158.9
2nd team (Sanders): 133.5
3rd team (Daniels): 155.1
4th team (Martinez): 148.9

Not a single one of those programs would keep the guy it has if offered a chance to trade for Ewers, yet here we are.

Meanwhile, I couldn't help but see everyone's favorite Mike Farrell list his national Top 50 quarterbacks list.

View attachment 2822

To be fair, Farrell has Ewers ranked as the No. 2 quarterback in the Big 12, but he has him ranked No. 27 overall in the country and behind a number of quarterbacks that surely aren’t better than Ewers, including nine quarterbacks from the SEC.

Consider me absolutely bewildered. Farrell literally told me four months ago on a live National Signing Day Show that he thought Ewers was basically Matt Stafford 2.0 and would be a very high NFL draft choice.

Maybe I'm crazy. Maybe I'm expecting too much of Ewers in his redshirt freshman season. Maybe ... *gulp* ... J.T. Daniels and Florida's Anthony Richardson (144.1 efficiency rating in 2021) ... are just better than Ewers. If Ewers is the guy that everyone thinks he is, there's no way he's either the fifth-best quarterback in the Big 12 or not among the top two dozen quarterbacks in the nation.

He's better than Casey Thompson, right?

Somehow it feels like Ewers, who has never been anything but the No. 1 overall player in the country, has become underrated.

How is that even possible? Is this a dream?

No. 2 - On Arch ...

Here's the bottom line on Arch Manning's visit this weekend and his recruitment in general ...

If he picks Georgia over Texas, he must have one hell of a poker face because the vibe from everyone that we've talked to this weekend seems to think he's going to be a Longhorn.

It's hard to call anything in this world perfect, but not a single person we've communicated with has indicated that there's a wish that any element of the presentation and vibe of his visit would be changed.

There's a sense that Texas has done all it could. Those with insight into his weekend believe he's coming to Texas.

What I find interesting is that the Georgia side of his recruitment seemed to have the exact feelings upon the completion of his visit to Athens two weeks ago. The vibes we were getting late this week from a variety of places, including our No. 1 source, seemed to indicate that the Longhorns were going to finish a bridesmaid.

For instance, our No. 1 source indicated or strongly hinted ...

a. A decision was coming soon.
b. There was still some uncertainty about Texas that wouldn't be answered with an earlier commitment.
c. A decision had been made prior to the visit to Austin.

In talking among the OB staff, we joked that it kind of felt like a high school break-up of sorts because we weren't sure if there would ever be another conversation beyond the last one. Even one highly placed Texas source mentioned prior to the Arch visit that he was hearing "It's Georgia" ... from a well-connected Georgia source.

Then this weekend happened. If Arch was locked in on Georgia, that mood simply wasn't conveyed at all. In fact, another source in the program swore on Sunday that the confidence he had in Arch coming to Texas was higher on Sunday than he ever thought it would be.

So much confidence exists, it makes me wonder if there's overconfidence. Keep in mind, the Kelvin Banks situation happened last summer.

From my perspective, I can at least pin down where all of the confidence on the Texas side is coming from. The UGA stuff feels more cloudy, but maybe that's my own confirmation bias speaking.

I'm wondering if the mood will change later in the week before a possible announcement is known, but nothing has happened yet that would make me change my Futurecast away from the Longhorns, even if I have stopped to question myself a few times.

To the finish line, we go ...

No. 3 - The new Beau Trahan?

When Mack Brown needed to close the deal with Chris Simms way back in the day, he didn't lean on his best players to make it happen.

Instead, he handed the responsibility for hosting Simms to redshirting freshman Beau Trahan from @Suchomel's hometown of Bay City.

Trahan turned out to be a top-three all-time recruiting host killers.

So, when Manning was hosted this weekend by redshirt freshman Michael Taaffe, a walk-on from Austin Westlake, instead of Xavier Worthy, Bijan Robinson or even Quinn Ewers, it was hard not to think of the role Trahan played in the Simms recruitment.

Sometimes your best recruiters among the players aren't your best players.

No. 4 - More from Phil Steele ...

Here are the Longhorns that made his All-Big 12 lists ...

1st team: RB Bijan Robinson
1st team: WR Xavier Worthy
1st team: LB DeMarvion Overshown
2nd team: DT Moro Ojomo
2nd team: CB/PR D'Shawn Jamison
3rd team: WR Isaiah Neyor
3rd team: S Anthony Cook
4th team: OT Christian Jones
4th team: DT Keondre Coburn
4th team: LB Diamonte Tucker-Dorsey

A few notes ...

* Robinson was ranked as the No. 1 running back in the country, while Worthy was a second-team All-America selection.

* Baylor leads the way with 6 first-team players, while Oklahoma is second with 4. Oklahoma State leads all teams with combined first- and second-team players with 9.

* Texas Tech tight end Baylor Cupp, who has missed multiple seasons because of injuries and transferred from Texas A&M, is a second-team selection, while Ja'Tavian Sanders wasn't rated.

View attachment 2820

No. 5 - What could you possibly expect?

If your starting pitching is going to massively disappoint, your defense is going to make costly errors and your fiercest hitters are going to come up empty, it's very hard to win in Omaha.

After a 2 and BBQ session over the weekend, no one knows this better than the Texas baseball team.

It just didn't happen for the Longhorns this weekend.

That it didn't happen against the Aggies on Sunday matters less than the fact that it didn't happen at all in two games. The goal is to advance. Once that objective fails, nothing else matters (unless A&M comes all the way back out of the loser's bracket).

At the end of the day, a season with more promise than just about any of the last decade ends up being pretty good. Nothing more, nothing less.

No. 6 - Close, but no cigar ...

Damn that back nine.

The only thing that seemed to keep former Longhorn Scottie Scheffler from winning his second major of the year this weekend was a final nine holes on Saturday and Sunday that saw him shoot a combined +5 over 18 holes.

Over the course of 18 holes on the front nine in the final two rounds, Scheffler was -7.

Sometimes it just goers like that at the U.S. Open.

All Scheffler can do is shrug it off and get ready for The British Open at St. Andrews.



No. 7 – BUY or SELL …

BUY-SELL.gif




(Sell) I'll take the over in terms of days when he's ready to announce his commitment, but it's not an impossibility.



(Buy) He hasn't won the biggest prize, but he's consistently knocking on the door and Texas doesn't usually get rid of coaches that do so.


B/S Texas gets 3 commitments before 1 July. (which doesn’t include the newest commitment…the TE)


(Sell) That's three in the next 10 or 11 days and I'm going with two during that stretch.



(Sell) I understanding the underwhelming sentiment, but he's been to the College World Series 3 times in the last 4 full seasons. He's nowhere near being on notice.



(Sell) I'm not sure he's in the top 5. Chris Simms was bigger. Earl Campbell was bigger. Cory Redding was bigger. Vince Young was bigger. Quinn Ewers' transfer is bigger.



(Sell) Texas just isn't recruiting at that level yet under Sarkisian.



(Sell) I don't believe the Mannings showed their hand this weekend before they can go home as a family and talk about things.



(Sell) Come on...



(Sell) The talent of a No. 1-ranked overall five-star quarterback is worth more than any family's endorsement.



(Buy) Ultimately, Arch Manning and his family are going to do what's best for them ... period.



(Buy) I've got them with eight at this point.

No. 8 - Scattershooting on the sports weekend ...

... Matt Fitzpatrick owns Brookline, there's no real way to get around it. More than anyone else, he felt like a guy playing on his home course.

... Hard not to root for Will Zalatoris. The guy has now finished second at the Masters, PGA Championship and US Open in the last six majors played. Do we claim him as a Texan?

... For a guy that always seemed quieter than a church mouse, Justin Leonard is pretty good at the TV announcer thing.

... In light of Steph Curry climbing the all-time NBA player ranks, it got me to looking at the various point guards that rank as Top 50 players of all-time. Am I crazy or is John Stockton wildly overrated? For all of his assists over the years, he was a first-team All-NBA player just twice. That's twice as few as a guy like Chris Paul. Are you taking him over Gary Payton or Jason Kidd? If you're starting a team, would you take him over a guy like Damion Lillard?

... Ja Morant talking smack to Golden State players after they've won their fourth title and he's never been out of the conference semifinals at this point (including losing in six to the Warriors this year), is freaking rich.

... Am I the only one not feeling Trevor Lawrence having a breakout year this season?

... This comment caught my attention this weekend from the world of the NHL:


... Big win for Austin FC on the road this weekend in Montreal. They just keep chalking up points.

... With Sadio Mane heading to Bayern Munich, it feels like a part of my fan soul has died. For the last six seasons, Mane has been perhaps the largest driving force of my love for Liverpool. He's truly my first-ever favorite player. He's my guy. Of course, I'll be rooting for him in Germany, but I hate that he won't be with the Reds. The end of this era saddens me.

No. 9 - The List: Top 10 Otis Redding Songs ...

I'm not sure if I've ever brought this up on the site before, but Otis is my guy.

Probably my all-time favorite. So, yes, this list is very personal for me.

Just missed the cut: Cigarettes and Coffee, Mr. Pitiful, That's How Strong My Love Is, Fa-Fa-Fa-Fa-Fa (Sad Song), Love Man and I've Got Dreams to Remember

10. That's What My Heart Needs

It's not one of the most well-known pieces of Otis' songbook, but in the back-half of the song, he visits that place that only Otis could visit when expressing his heart's desires.

9. Respect
Yes, it's the anthem song or Aretha Franklin and her version is regarded as one of the top-five songs of all-time, but originally it was an Otis joint and his version is damn good in its own right.

8. For Your Precious Love

Otis wrote a lot of great songs, but some of his best work occurred when he covered someone else's work.

7. Pain in My Heart
You give Otis a girl that he can't find and he's going to turn into a song here he the agony of his need for her love is going to pour out.

6. Change is Gonna Come

There's only one person on the entire planet that I allow with permission to sing this song outside of Sam Cooke and its Otis. The two things that both men had in common was the ability to dig into a deeper place to find the music and never is that more apparent than in what both men give to this song. It's a haunting performance.

5. Satisfaction

It's a hell of a thing to suggest that someone can out-Stones the Stones, but Otis is at his out-of-his-mind-with-the-music best with one of the most iconic songs ever written. Man, what I wouldn't give to have seen Otis do a show with the Stones.

4. I've Been Loving You Too Long

Whatever a human can give of himself into a song, that's where Otis sends himself in this all-time classic. It is one thing to say the words and it's quite a different thing to live and breathe them until your mind is at its end, which is what this song is all about… all-out exasperation. Legend has it that his performance of this song at the 1967 Monterey Pop Festival (see above) left Jimi Hendrix in awe.

3. (Sittin' On) The Dock of the Bay

For all of the flair he could give any song, his music was often most beautiful when controlled by its amazing simplicity. A few days before he died in a plane accident, he finished recording a song that began with him relaxing on a boat near the San Francisco Bay, writing/singing about life. Little known fact: everyone knows that the song ends with Redding whistling, but had he lived he planned on returning to the studio and finishing the song with words.

2. Try a Little Tenderness

The song starts so controlled and so tender, as Otis paints a picture that would that would make Michael Angelo blush. Then, as if motivated by a moment in life once lost, he takes us to church, imploring all of us to take the leap. It's an entire generation's blueprint for what to do in the backseat of a car. Ps: Make sure and watch the video clip of this life performance because he literally drops the mic and leaves the stage.

1. These Arms of Mine

I consider this song music perfection. It's probably my favorite song of all-time and whatever my musical soul is created with, it's at the epicenter. There's just so much powerful emotion packed into such a simple song, as if he's able to channel the souls of desperate, broken men. My all-time top five song list will change from mood to mood, but this song is never removed from the No. 1 spot.

No. 10 - And Finally ...

One little recruiting nugget to chew on.

I get the sense that the Texas staff and everyone in the program will be stunned if they don't land Oak Cliff cornerback Malik Muhammad. That's a recruitment that everyone feels great about coming out of this weekend.

Not good, but great.
It seems like Hard to Handle should at least make honorable mention. It would be in my top 10.

RE: Arch. I agree that Ewers success is more critical, but Arch seems important on a different way. It feels like the program has lost its sizzle and a commitment from a guy named Manning (and the recruits who would probably follow) feels like a step toward putting us back on the map.
 
- Good take on Ewers. The guy has Heisman odds so Vegas isn’t sleeping on him.

- We will see if Sarkisian can seal the deal with Manning.

- Stockton averaged 13 PPG, 10.5 APG, two steals. He’s an average player in today’s NBA.

- Good music list.
 
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- Good take on Ewers. The guy has Heisman odds so Vegas isn’t sleeping on him.

- We will see if Sarkisian can seal the deal with Manning.

- Stockton averaged 13 PPG, 10.5 APG, two steals. He’s an average player in today’s NBA.

- Good music list.
I wouldn’t say Stockton would be an average player due to the timing of assists and plays he made. His stats didn’t stand out back then either but when you watch him live you see the impact he made…same could be said about Dennis Rodman…
 
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Ketch, I think the first domino has fallen in terms of getting Arch to campus with the Randle commitment. The next domino to fall will be Arch and then the recruiting landscape will be taken by storm by the Longhorns. Not only this year but the next few years. Guys are going to want to come here and compete for playing time not only because he's a Manning and a future first round pick, but also to boost their own portfolio for NFL aspirations.
Ewers is actually higher rated than Manning. If what you said was true, it will already be happening. It is, slowly, starting to happen, but the faucet still isn't on more than drip.
 
Shocked that Mr Pitiful didn’t make your list. The horn section alone is all-time great. Personal taste, I guess. I’ll have to give These Arms of Mine a listen.
 
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