Top OOS programs poaching TX recruits (InsideTexas)
On Tuesday we discussed the in-state and/or in-conference foes who have the nerve to recruit players who by birthright should be going to the University of Texas. Today we’ll look at an equal enemy, those dastardly poachers who slink in under the cover of darkness and bag big-game trophies.
In 2014, eight Texas prospects in my Top 25 left the state for what they perceived to be greener pastures.
In 2015, ten did so. While those exact numbers aren’t as important as the overlying theme, Alabama alone has taken 10% of the 50 players in the combined Top 25’s. Though Alabama’s Texas hit rate isn’t all that great, if you give Matthew Quigley enough shots at the bucket he’ll hit a A’Shawn Robinson or two from long range.
When Charlie Strong initially took the UT job he said his goal was to close the borders. With two Top 10-ish classes he’s putting the footings in place to build a wall, but until he lands a Top 5 class, top talent is still burrowing out at too great a rate. He’s going to build a wall around Texas and make the SEC! pay for it! It’ll be great.
Texas is a large state with the largest population of college football prospects. There will always be coaches choosing to come here on safari. Until Texas wins, the state’s doors will be open. It won’t matter who else wins, including A&M.
Let’s take a look at the greatest threats to Texas football sovereignty.
ALABAMA (number of outstanding Texas offers: 20)
Last two cycles: CB Kendall Sheffield, ATH Deionte Thompson, CB Jared Mayden, OG Chris Owens, QB Jalen Hurts, DT Kendell Jones.
The fallout: Dare I say, the biggest miss may prove to be Owens, but I don’t want to count Sheffield or Thompson out just yet. I liked Hurts a lot but he would have been a poor selection for Texas given its immediate needs. I wasn’t as high on Jones as most so that one didn’t bother me at all.
2017 concerns: Recently Texas TE commit, Major Tennison, visited Alabama and though we still feel Texas is the team to beat, it is Alabama. Other concerns are DT Marvin Wilson, DL Lagaryonn Carson (mild concern), LB Anthony Hines, S Jeffrey Okudah, OL Edward Ingram, and WR Tyrell Shavers.
Most concerned about: I’m most concerned about Tennison because he’s a monster, committed to the good guys, and he’ll be needed as a true freshman. Of the un-committed, I’d say Ingram. I think he’s the most likely to end up there. It doesn’t hurt Texas much, however, because he isn’t showing interest in the Horns. A late play for Hines – who fits that defense perfectly – would cause a scare.
Current status in Texas: As the grandest name in the sport anyone they offer is a concern, but fortunately many players still prefer to stay close to home. That will always be an inherent positive for UT. One must always be leery of Bama at all points in the process. Last year it plundered Owens, Jones, and Hurts early, and Mayden very late. Irvin Smith wasn’t a Texas recruit, but we still felt the sting.
LSU (19)
Last two cycles:OT Maea Teuhema, OT Toby Weathersby, ATH Hanner Shipley, WR Dee Anderson, DB Eric Monroe, LB Rahssan Thornton
The fallout: At one point or another during the 2015 cycle Texas had Teuhema, Weathersby, Connor Williams, and Patrick Vahe committed. Wow.
The biggest miss, however, is not listed; Jamal Adams in the 2014 class. Somebody hold me.
LSU has pricked blood from Texas, but Strong and staff has done well to mitigate losses, namely keeping Erick Fowler home. At one point I said I’d take Anderson over Collin Johnson. LOL. In my defense it was a 1A/1B thing and Anderson didn’t play his senior year, so who knows, but yeah.
2017 concerns: DT Marvin Wilson, LB Levi Jones, OT Austin Deculus, RB Toneil Carter, S Jeffrey Okudah, S Grant Delpit, LB K’Lavon Chaisson
Most concerned about: Delpit and Chaisson. Most would say Wilson but I think Miles is on his Fat Tuesday float out of town and I could see Delpit and Chaisson ending up there despite any upheaval. Deculus is also looking good for LSU but that doesn’t hurt Texas. Like Ingram, he’s just not interested in the Longhorns.
Current status: Like Sumlin, Miles is sitting on a Nomex doughnut to keep the heat from the seat singeing his ass. That will be a huge variable going into National Signing Day. If he survives the season it means LSU will have done well, meaning it could potentially land 5-6 of the above.
FLORIDA (13)
Last two cycles: S Kylan Johnson, QB Kyle Trask, WR Tyrie Cleveland,
The fallout: Many of you are probably wondering who Johnson and Trask are. KJ was a late take from Skyline when the new UF staff was scrambling. He’s a big safety, and good athlete. Trask was the back-up quarterback last year at Manvel. He was needed insurance in the class and is a tall, pro-style passer. Obviously neither hurt Texas. Cleveland will probably be a boss in Gainesville but Texas never had eyes for him.
2017 concerns: Kary Vincent.
Most concerned about: Vincent definitely has bought into UF being DBU quality. Vernon Hargreaves is a favorite of many a young DB right now. That won’t be a determining factor for the Gators, but it gets Florida’s foot in the door.
Current status in Texas: UF is UF. It will always be an offer prospects are honored to receive. After making a credible run at some notable 2015 players like Jeffrey McCulloch, Dontavious Jackson, and Chris Brown, the Gators came up just short. They did however beat Texas head to head for Michigan linebacker David Reese.
OHIO STATE (8)
Last two cycles:None
The fallout: Ohio State had consecutive classes ranking 7th and 4th that featured zero Texans.
2017 concerns: RB JK Dobbins (committed to Ohio State), S Jeffrey Okudah
Most concerned about: I still believe Dobbins stays close to home. Okudah has stated Ohio State is his current #1 but I don’t think he ends up signing there. I believe he stays in Texas or the South.
Current status in Texas: Trade ‘in Texas’ with ‘everywhere’ as Ohio State holds commitments from kids from seven different states. Dobbins – huge Texas priority – is only the fourth highest rated player in the Buckeyes’ class. WTF.
Of its 13 commits, only one is rated below 90 (4-star) and it’s a kicker and we know they don’t really count. Urban Meyer is putting together an insane class. With coeds being Big 10 in “quality” he’ll likely make a lengthier run in Columbus than he did in Gainesville.
MICHIGAN (22)
Last two cycles:None.
The fallout:A sleepover or two, nothing more. Harbaugh has been pressing hard in Texas, and pretty much everywhere for that matter, but hasn’t hit pay-dirt yet. He thought he was golden with Jordan Elliott and had a good shot with Dontavious Jackson and Chris Brown last cycle, but it didn’t work out. His high-pressure sell isn’t likely to work with too many Texas kids.
2017 concerns: None.
Most concerned about: None.
Current status in Texas: I included Harbaugh because he’s a big name who is pressing hard within the state. He went 0-47 on Texas offers last cycle, yet still finished with a stellar class. His sell is working, just not in Texas.
NOTRE DAME (13)
Last two cycles: WR Jalen Guyton
The fallout: None. Guyton visited Texas but was never offered. I do wish Corey Robinson would have found his way into the 2014 class.
2017 concerns: S Robert Barnes, LB Baron Browning, CB Chevin Calloway, RB Toneil Carter, RB JK Dobbins, S Jeffrey Okudah. (TE Brock Wright and QB Avery Davis are already committed)
Most concerned about: Those are the names Notre Dame thinks it has the best chance for. At this point I'm not concerned about them landing any of those guys other than Chevin Calloway, but recruiting can shift pretty quickly.
Current status in Texas: Notre Dame will always be an ‘it’ school, rich in academic and on-field tradition. They’ve proven to be able to pull both star- and under-rated talent out of Texas for decades. 2017 has already netted more players than 2015 and 2016 combined, proving Notre Dame is always a threat to land top tier talent in-state. Recently its TE tradition has lured one-time Texas commit, Durham Smythe, and 2017 stud Brock Wright.
Obviously there are many other out-of-state schools that players will find attractive for differing reasons. Texas will lose an Obi Eboh or Solomon Thomas to Stanford every now and then. Some prospects find the bright lights and beaches of Southern California appealing. Florida State carries a big stick nationally as well. The glow from Eugene still permeates this far.
While many schools remain a threat, the main concerns for Texas will be Alabama and LSU for the foreseeable future.