Computer models favor gooners
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Wyoming would beat Cincinnati by 2 TDs. That Cincinnati offense is atrocious. They got beat by Miami Ohio 😂😂
i am okay with the models. I read every post in this thread and it seems to me everybody had a some degree of accuracy (except Bell, we all know supermodels prefer Texas😁). If I were to summarize as of today (preKU/ISU), Texas fans would feel more confident if we could have scored more “on demand-ish” points against Rice/Wyo and ou would have more confidence if they had a W against a marquee or semi-marquee opponent.
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This is a real simple game.
Whoever gets behind the chains, loses. Both teams can hurt you with a big play. Both secondaries are untested. Texas has a superior pass rush. But both teams have collective speed.
All things being equal- turnovers, penalties, time of possession etc-- this game comes down to 1st and 2nd down. If you are averaging 5+ yards on 1st down, you're going to win.
I honestly can't think of a match-up I've seen in the last few years that was easier to play out strategically.
Stay ahead of the chains. Make your 3rd downs 3rd and 1 or 2 yards to go--- and you win this game.
Get behind the chains and you're forced to sit int he pocket and complete a 15-20 yard pass for a 1st down, and your fvcked.
This ain't rocket surgery gents. It's football. It's a different match-up than any other like it.
Whoever gets behind the chains, loses. Both teams can hurt you with a big play. Both secondaries are untested. Texas has a superior pass rush. But both teams have collective speed.
All things being equal- turnovers, penalties, time of possession etc-- this game comes down to 1st and 2nd down. If you are averaging 5+ yards on 1st down, you're going to win.
I honestly can't think of a match-up I've seen in the last few years that was easier to play out strategically.
Stay ahead of the chains. Make your 3rd downs 3rd and 1 or 2 yards to go--- and you win this game.
Get behind the chains and you're forced to sit int he pocket and complete a 15-20 yard pass for a 1st down, and your fvcked.
This ain't rocket surgery gents. It's football. It's a different match-up than any other like it.
"Wyoming would beat Cincinnati by 2 TDs."
It's comments like this, vomited out without any supporting documentation that are the norm on message boards. Never mind that every single analytic and power rating system has Cincinnati better than Wyoming by anywhere from 7 to 12 points on a neutral field.
Wyoming, on their home field, was losing to Appalachian State 19-7 in the 4th quarter, and only won the game because of a fluke blocked field goal returned for a touchdown at the end of the game.
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One thing I am not feeling great about is the 38 minute to 21 minute Wyoming time of possession advantage.
“Alabama’s offense is atrocious. They got beat by Texas!” - a random sec keyboard warrior, probably 😂.
i agree and id say the game comes down to Sacks. Whos Dline controls and dominates the line of scrimmage.
section 17 row 8. Me and MY wife will also be at gameday ( thinking thats where they will be) HMU
"All the time?"
They beaten four FBS teams in the last 16 years, and only two of them were ranked at the time. Really, only one was truly a good team, the Michigan team back in 2007. Texas A&M turned out to be a joke, finishing at 5-7.
So, a more appropriate statement would be something like "Same App. State team that is currently 2-2, and tied for 8th place in the Sunbelt Conference last year with a 3-5 record.
Appalachian State Mountaineers College Football History, Stats, Records | College Football at Sports-Reference.com
Check out the Appalachian State Mountaineers College Football History, Stats, Records, Polls, Bowls and More College Football Stats at Sports-Reference.com
www.sports-reference.com
record past 10 years has been pretty good. Regardless the point of the argument is would Wyoming beat Cini and i agree they would. Cinci's qb was atrocious
In your opinion, Wyoming would beat Cincinnati. If they played on a neutral field, Cincinnati would be favored by about 10 points. They're playing at BYU this week, not an easy place for a visiting team, yet Cincinnati is favored by 2 points.
As for Cincinnati's quarterback, Emory Jones, who you say is "atrocious", he is a 6th year senior and actually pretty solid. He was under duress for most of the game last week, which wasn't his fault.
Emory Jones Career Stats - NFL - ESPN
Complete career NFL stats for Baltimore Ravens Quarterback Emory Jones on ESPN. Includes scoring, rushing, defensive and receiving stats.
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My take on OK. After the season Marvin Mims their fine receiver was talking about the huge change in how Venables did things in comparison to Reilly. He said a lot of players complained. Some transferred before he was even named. At the end of the season a lot of players transferred. So now he has a team that appears to have bought in to his philosophy.
They lost 7 games but aside from the blowout losses to TCU and Texas the other 5 games were by 3 points each they all went down to the last possession and every time their defense didn't the job done in the end. I see Venables 2nd season similar to Sarkisian's 2nd season. With us it was our ol for OK its their defense.. One player I'll be watching for them this year is Peyton Bowen a 5* safety out of Denton who fell into their lap on signing day.
Really the big question I have about Oklahoma is Ted Roof their DC. He was on his 6th team in 6 years when Venables hired him. And how can Jeff Lebby pick up where Reilly left off? Also Jay Valai who was a cb coach at Texas Herman's last year is now the cb coach at OK I'll be watching that as well.
They lost 7 games but aside from the blowout losses to TCU and Texas the other 5 games were by 3 points each they all went down to the last possession and every time their defense didn't the job done in the end. I see Venables 2nd season similar to Sarkisian's 2nd season. With us it was our ol for OK its their defense.. One player I'll be watching for them this year is Peyton Bowen a 5* safety out of Denton who fell into their lap on signing day.
Really the big question I have about Oklahoma is Ted Roof their DC. He was on his 6th team in 6 years when Venables hired him. And how can Jeff Lebby pick up where Reilly left off? Also Jay Valai who was a cb coach at Texas Herman's last year is now the cb coach at OK I'll be watching that as well.
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F___k OU. Texas should rescind the offer of paying their way out early and leave them in the B12
I'm sneaking in after halftime with my wife and son will be his first longhorn football game, but he is only 2 lol he has been to plenty of Longhorn baseball games
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Ok..... so they pass their classes..... for once.
Like I said, I'll be here next Saturday at about 3 PM and we'll discuss this further. Don't think that game is going to go the way you think it is though...
How many schools has Emory been benched at? End of discussion. He's not good. A career passer rating of 140 and a 40/23 td to int. ratio. That's terrible. There's a reason he's at his 3rd school and hasn't held a starting job down. Wouldn't be surprised if he gets benched somewhere down the line this year. We'll find out what that defense is really about next weekend.In your opinion, Wyoming would beat Cincinnati. If they played on a neutral field, Cincinnati would be favored by about 10 points. They're playing at BYU this week, not an easy place for a visiting team, yet Cincinnati is favored by 2 points.
As for Cincinnati's quarterback, Emory Jones, who you say is "atrocious", he is a 6th year senior and actually pretty solid. He was under duress for most of the game last week, which wasn't his fault.
Emory Jones Career Stats - NFL - ESPN
Complete career NFL stats for Baltimore Ravens Quarterback Emory Jones on ESPN. Includes scoring, rushing, defensive and receiving stats.www.espn.com
Look at the overall strength of defenses we have played compared to them. It's silly to compare numbers when we've played zero common opponents.
Based on my experience getting back in after half…it doesn’t seem all that difficult. They usually just stamp your hand or hand you a pass (a basic white piece of paper).
During the 2018 game, we underestimated the Fletchers line at halftime and by the time we got through it, it was early in the 4th quarter (we were all absolutely hammered and starving…worth the wait especially given how the game was going lol). We sprinted back into the stadium when OU started coming back and met absolute zero resistance. I don’t even remember seeing anyone at the gate when we ran in. So depending on the gate and the time remaining…it can be surprisingly easy to get in without a ticket.
OU has been as good as Texas or better vs the bad teams and about the same vs mediocre teams. The Alabama game obviously gives Texas a big leg up when comparing the records/results but outside of that they have been fairly similar (hence why on ESPN, OU’s strength of resume is 6 and UT’s is #1 while OU’s FPI is 2 and Texas’s is 6). Texas has clearly played a harder schedule but there’s a reason that the models have them close and the spread is only 5.5. If one team struggles while the other plays well this weekend, I would imagine it will change accordingly.
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At Oklahoma were proud to say that Jackson Arnold delivered an A plus book report on the adventures of curious George. He's the team intellectual.
I love the “overly complex schemes” description. Made me chuckle. As if suddenly Vegetables brought in a bunch of physics majors.
