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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (It's all there for the taking...)

Gotcha, didn’t think the 4 game thing mattered in the Covid year
It didn't. 5 to play 4 is what every true fish has. That's what Card has this year. What they do with RS is up to player and/or coach. If he plays more than 4 games each year from this year forward he can play 4 more years, counting this year as year 1.

COVID was freebie year for all fall sports.
 
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These are things I think going into one of the biggest games on the schedule at the Cotton Bowl this weekend ...

* On a day when the Texas football team received a subpar offensive passing game performance, a pretty run of the mill defensive performance and was generally sloppier than it had been at any other point this season, Steve Sarkisian's team still went on the road to Ft. Worth and won a game that it clearly deserved to win. That's not insignificant.

* Contrary to what a lot of folks in burnt orange might want to think, Oklahoma looked very good to these eyes in an impressive road performance in Manhattan, a performance that had the Sooners ahead 34-17 in the fourth quarter with less than 10 minutes remaining in the game. Spencer Rattler and the Oklahoma offense looked like a version of the unit it is supposed to be. As a team, OU faced adversity and emerged from the fire better for it. It was exactly the performance the OU coaching staff would have dreamed up if given a chance.

* Texas has the better offense coming into this game for the first time since perhaps 2009, mainly because it has the best player on the field on its offense with Bijan Robinson. Even if you wanted to give Oklahoma small advantages at quarterback and wide receiver coming into the game, the presence of Robinson in the Texas offensive backfield gives the Longhorns the ace of spades in the conversation between these two teams. The Texas rushing offense is averaging a league-best 268.6 yards per game as it approaches the midway point in the season.

* Oklahoma has the better defense coming into this game, primarily because it stops the run better than anyone in the Big 12, as it has limited opposing teams to 79.4 yards per game and only 2.6 yards per carry. Meanwhile, the Texas defense is allowing 172.4 yards per game and 4.7 yards per carry.

* Both of these teams can find some big plays against the other in the passing game.

If you add all of that up, it's hard to ignore the incredible importance of the looming strength vs. strength battle between the Texas run game and the Oklahoma run defense.

It puts the Texas offensive line at the forefront of the conversation. This group has its flaws but has still managed to allow Texas to lead the Big 12 in total offense, rushing offense and scoring.

Arkansas dominated this group in September, but the unit has been more good than bad by a significant margin in each of the last three weeks.

Of course, when you have Robinson carrying the football, the effectiveness of the Texas offensive line doesn't always need to be dominant, as much as it needs to not be a total negative. If the line can just do a solid job, Robinson (and the rest of the Texas running back room) can do the rest.

How much do you believe in the Texas offensive line, its tight ends and its stable of running backs to show up and be the best in the Big 12 at running the football when the team on the other side of the ball is Oklahoma?

It's the match-up that has a chance to define the outcome of this game.

No. 2 - The stakes of this game ...

A win in this game will put the Longhorns in the driver's seat for qualifying for the Big 12 Championship game going into a suddenly super important game against Oklahoma State in Austin next week.

A win means that when Arch Manning comes to town, the game he'll be watching will be a borderline top-10 Oklahoma State taking on what could be a borderline top-10ish type of team in the Longhorns. A win means that next week's game will arguably be the most important in college football in week seven, with only Georgia hosting Kentucky challenging its potential significance.

A victory gives Sarkisian a signature win that the biggest of big-name recruits will be paying significant attention to. With Texas A&M close to falling off the map, it's a chance for the Longhorns to put a marker down in the Sarkisian era that will accomplish the thing that recruits so dearly want to see Texas do, which is justify the talk with big actions.

A loss means that the Longhorns fall into a pit of teams inside the Big 12 with one loss, with the second spot in the race to make the Big 12 Championship game turning into a bit of a free for all each week, starting with a suddenly very critical game the following week against Oklahoma State.

A loss means that when Arch Manning comes to town, the Longhorns will be unranked and few nationally will have eyes turned towards this game.

A loss means that Sarkisian would likely miss a chance to grab the type of signature win that can hugely impact recruiting. It would remain to be seen whether another such opportunity will occur before the monsters left in the 2022 recruiting class start making final decisions.

There's a lot on the line.

No. 3 - Let's just talk about the quarterback stuff ...

I'm not overly concerned about the stinker from Saturday from Casey Thompson, mainly because of the poise he constantly displays, even when he's in a bit of a struggle.

There's no need to make too much out of his not seeing TCU linebackers a couple of times at this point, but it's a seed that will be planted in our minds moving forward. It might have been a one-off or it might be the kind of thing that he simply has to clean up in his continued development, but until he does ... occasional turnovers will occur.

Also, his ability to make plays with his feet was so important throughout the game that it makes it impossible to not remember that Hudson Card was a bit of a hesitant runner when he was the starter. Two or three times a game, Thompson's ability to convert third-down situations because of his wheels makes for a pretty critical piece of the offense.

Teams are getting more film of Thompson and are making some adjustments, which means he has to adjust a little moving forward. It's something that all inexperienced quarterbacks have to go through. My worry for him on a 1-10 scale going into the Oklahoma game is probably at a 2 or 3. I believe Thompson will be just fine.

Meanwhile, the situation with Texas backup quarterback Hudson Card has become curious.

One week after Sark saying that he wouldn't look to protect Card's redshirt status by potentially taking him off of holder duties on special teams, Card was off of holder duties against TCU, presumably to potentially protect Card's redshirt status (he's at the limit of four games played this season).

What does this mean? What happens if Thompson takes a shot to the ribs next week and needs a one-play break to catch his breath? Would Charles Wright come on at that point? Will Card not take snaps if the Longhorns make a switch at quarterback in the fourth quarter?

What exactly are the parameters to Card's usage for the rest of the season?

I'm sure it's something that Sarkisian will be asked about on Monday and I'm fascinated by his framing of an answer.

No. 4 - Is Anthony Cook this team's defensive MVP ...

I've mentioned this before, but when Jordan Whittington mentioned Anthony Cook as the standout defensive back for the Longhorns through the early stages of August practices, part of me wondered if he was just hooking up his boy with a public shoutout.

Honestly, as he kept showing up as a name that was earning a starting job in the Texas defense, I'm not sure when I totally believed that he was going to be someone that could be counted on.

Part of me didn't think he'd last the season in that starting nickel spot.

It might have been the Arkansas game when I realized that among all the players having bad nights in Fayetteville, he wasn't among them. One-time monster recruit Anthony Cook and one-time completely dismissed as a viable cornerback Anthony Cook were once the same exact person, but no one is dismissing him as non-viable anymore.

What a player he's been all season. At the risk of jinxing him going into the OU game, he's been airtight in his coverage responsibilities all season. On Saturday against TCU, he was a game-changer.

He'd be on any mid-season All-Big 12 list I'd put together at this point.

No. 5 - Giving Kyle Flood some love ...

After calling him out a few weeks ago for a number of areas of needed improvement, Texas offensive line coach Kyle Flood deserves some credit for getting better play from his unit over the course of the last few weeks after a very rocky early season.

There is still some proper apprehension when it comes to the trust that unit deserves to receive, but there's no doubt that the line is playing better, mostly with the same exact group of players that had previously been so poor.

Flood has to get some credit for that. Attaboy.

Going into this week, the loss of Denzel Okafor and the corresponding moves of Derek Kerstetter to left guard and Andrej Karic to right tackle might turn out to be a bit of a blessing in disguise. It feels like this is the move he felt most comfortable making and you have to cross your fingers in hoping he isn't asked to make another change in the line-up because I'm not sure it will include a player he completely trusts.

No. 6 - More randomness with a day to chew on things ...

... Texas is averaging almost six points per game more than Oklahoma coming into this game. It's been a long damn time since that happened. Of course, the Texas defense is averaging 5 points more scored against it than Oklahoma.

... This has a chance to be a game that puts Bijan Robinson into the Heisman conversation. He's not there yet, but he's knocking on the door.

... It feels like Texas needs more out of the player starting in Luke Brockermeyer's linebacker position. He's a perfectly fine player, but he's not making enough of an impact from week to week. Frankly, it's a problem that Brockermeyer and DeMarvion Overshown have combined for only five tackles for loss as a tandem all season.

... If Texas is going to win this weekend, it feels like it needs a monster game from Overshown.

... Even more problematic about the Texas defense is that no player through five games has more than three tackles for loss and only one player has recorded more than one sack all season. There just aren't enough plays being made.

... Casey Thompson is completing 11-percent more of his passes than Sam Ehlinger did a year ago.

... It's kind of surprising that Bijan Robinson is averaging only two receptions per game. I'd want to double that if I was Sarkisian.

No. 7 – BUY or SELL …

BUY-SELL.gif



(Sell) At this point, no, I don't expect him to play.


(Sell) That performance against Nebraska felt like Goliath being taken down, which is not what TCU is.


(Sell) If the Longhorns put that performance in from yesterday on the field again this season, a team receiving better quarterback play can put an L on it.


(Sell) Not unless Texas wins the Big 12.


(Buy) The Aggies can still make a big impact from Saturday's game against Alabama as long as they don't get run off the field.


(Sell) Not yet on the win total, but maybe on making the Big 12 Championship Game.


(Buy) Of course, there's a trick play or wrinkle that he hasn't debuted yet. Same for OU.


(Buy) His current pace has him as 1,560 yards over 12 games.


(Sell) Texas currently has the Big 12's leader in passing efficiency.


(Buy) He didn't ham it up enough for my taste.


(Buy) X will mark the spot.


(Buy) It's not a very good defense at this stage of the season. It's ok.


(Buy) Yeah, I would have expected a double-digit win.

No. 8 - Scattershooting on the sports weekend ...

... Anyone still have any doubts about Georgia after it pistol-whipped Arkansas?

... Oregon absolutely stole defeat from the jaws of victory at Stanford. I still can't quite fathom how they gave that game away.

... Brian Kelly losing to Cincinnati at home is all kinds of ironically humorous.

... lol. @ Aggie

... Trevon Diggs is having some kind of first quarter of the NFL season. That man carried himself on Hard Knocks like he was a damn star on that team and he is backing that confidence up. He's been the best defensive player in the NFL through four games.

... Caden Sterns made more plays against Baltimore Sunday for Denver than he did in all of the 2020 season combined. TWO SACKS!

... I don't know what to make of Kliff Kingsbury possibly having the best team in the NFC.

... What is the purpose of the 2021 Houston Texans season?

... Ben Simmons is basically Nate from Ted Lasso. He's a scared little boy, who is controlled by his insecurities. Hence ... letting Kendall Jenner walk all over him. Hence ... not shooting in games. Hence ... running away from the city of Philadelphia at all costs.

... Bryce Harper for MVP.

... Premier League Thoughts From The Weekend Because I'm Trying To Force Soccer Down Your Throat: Mohamed Salah deserved to walk out of Anfield with a game-winning goal, but Man City and Liverpool sharing the points on the day was probably fair. That was the football everyone else in the league wishes they played. Manchester United is Manchester United in the sense that it is the same team now that it has been for the last few years, Ronaldo or not. Man, Watford didn't waste much time. Leicester looks like a team that will finish outside of Europe this season.

No. 9 - Top 10 Most talented UT Running Backs Since 1984 ...

Bijan or Ced?

If you were building a team from scratch, who would you take? When I asked the question on Twitter this weekend, more than 50 percent of the responses were in favor of Bijan.

Is this recency bias? Have folks forgotten what a workhorse and what a winner Cedric Benson was? Have they forgotten that he was the No. 4 pick in the NFL Draft?

Or is this just about Bijan being a freak and unlike any running back we've ever seen in burnt orange?

After thinking about it all weekend, here's a look at my Top 10 Texas running backs, based on talent more than created legacies. I'm admitting in advance that I have Bijan-mania.

10. Erick Hardeman
9. Selvin Young
8. Hodges Mitchell
7. Ramonce Taylor
6. Priest Holmes
5. Eric Metcalf
4. Cedric Benson
3. Jamaal Charles
2. Bijan Robinson
1. Ricky Williams

No. 10 - And Finally ...

It's all there for the taking this week if you're the Longhorns. They just have to take it.
I wish we had Butch Hadnot again for goal line work
 
Well, in their only Big 12 game so far, Texas passed for an amazing 142 yards. Had 40 something at Halftime. So...
You might want to try and keep up with what’s actually going on. From the following article link below:

“Through four games, Thompson now leads the nation with a 95.1 total quarterback rating (QBR). He’s one of just two qualified quarterbacks who have posted a 90.0 rating and one of 15 above an 80.0.”

 
I had to read that list a few times to make sure, but you don’t think earl was a top ten talent at texas? Tell me you had brain fart because if you truly don’t believe he’s a top 10 back at Texas, then that is the dumbest thing I’ve EVER heard anybody say on this site…*EDIT*—-just saw the since 1984 (n BOLD no less)…my humblest apologies ketch!
 
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What in God's name are you talking about?
Ive seen 2 games against teams with a pulse and both of them the passing offense has been terrible. Even against Tech, it was the run offense that buttered the bread.
 
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Nope - sad story. I heard from a client who knew his mother that she did everything she could have possibly done to keep him on the right path. He is just a bad apple and couldn’t be helped.

She certainly tried. This wasn't the case of a guy not having a strong support system. He just couldn't stay out of trouble.
 
Terry Orr is forgotten today, but he was a beast in the early 80s and had a long NFL career.

In fact, Bijan’s game made me remember back to Orr having a monster game vs TCU in ‘84:
18 rushes for 196 yards and 3 TDs

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It's really crazy that Texas has had so many great backs.

Orr, Hadnot, Shon Mitchell, D'Onte Foreman and Malcolm Brown could have all made the list.
 
Your bad then - Edwin was an absolute sh!t (and apparently home-) wrecker before he got hurt back when knees couldn’t be fixed right. By comparison, Butch was a distant second.
My bad for being too young to remember a player well. ok .lol
 
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Love Selvin but Shon Mitchells cumalitive stats for 2 years almost eclipsed Selvin Youngs over 4 years. If Mackovic had Ricky block for him you know he was pretty good too.

Listing Hardeman on a list is like listing Sonny Davis and Marco Meyers on a list of our most talented defensive lineman.=)roll
Look, man, I played against Shon Mitchell. Could have easily made the list over Selvin.
 
I'm not sure what part of this you're struggling with. It's not about accomplishments, it's about talent.

And as I said five years ago, he finishes just outside the top 15. I had him at 11, but if someone wants him at 9 or 10... that's fine
 
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No. 9 - Top 10 Most talented UT Running Backs Since 1984 ...

Bijan or Ced?
If Mack starts (or even plays him for God's sake) Ced for the 2001 ou game, it's Ced without a question in my mind, unfortunately Mack's fear of OU (Ced can't pass block, lol) cost Ced and the team
 
Unless you're not going back past 1984, you've certainly got to re-evaluate #20, Earl Campbell and maybe even #42 Rosy Leaks, #30 Steve Worster and possibly Chris Gilbert, and Steve Bertelson...all prior to '84.
I didn't watch any of those players in person.... hard to really speak of them like the guys I've seen.
 
Give Flood love for the OL looking better against two really bad teams and - the OL got better since one of his 5 is out and the backup is in. Addition by subtraction improves the OL. That's one hell of an endorsement.

Will you give him love when the open gate from the blind side costs us a starting QB or rb?
Easy there, slugger. It was small praise.
 
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People never saw him in live action because he never played in a game for Texas!

The MINIMUM requirement for a school’s top 10 RB list should be that the guy ever took a single snap.


"The MINIMUM requirement for a school’s top 10 RB list"

That's not what this list was.
 
Can't believe how much you single out Luke considering all of the players that have underperformed on this year's defense. He's not one of them.
I've been very complimentary of Luke. I wasn't after this game and I'm pointing out he's not producing enough on the whole.

Do you believe that he is?
 
Foreman didn't even win the job over Chris Warren coming out of camp. It was a timeshare that only opened up when Warren got hurt.

He had a great season. His resume warrants inclusion if I considered resumes. I went with what my eyes tell me. It's very subjective.
Foreman was incredible that year. How many long runs did he have because of his speed? How many tackles did he break because of his strength? He did it all behind an offense that had very few plays besides long passes and runs up the middle out of the spread shotgun. Meaning defenses could key on him. He was a combination of big and fast!
 
Thought about the RBs and I agree with Your list and would have JC and Bijan tied, as JC just had that “daaaayum” speed that changed games, but Bijan is so freaky in multiple ways. Ricky at #1 is correct. When I think back, that dude was just a damn God on the field. Guys just didn’t even want to go at him after a quarter or two and everyone knew he was getting the ball. Didn’t matter.
I'm glad I didn't miss Ricky in person. God in cleats is a good way of describing him.
 
Bryce Harper for MVP ? Wasn’t he 0 for the series in the most important one of the season in Atlanta last week ?

It should go to Braves 3B Austin Riley. When Ronald Acuna and Marcel Ozuna were forced out for very different reasons, Riley got red hot in the second half and helped take a team 3 games below .500 at the break to finish 6.5 games ahead of any team else in the NL East

Their numbers are nearly identical, one came up big and the other didn’t.

Riley: 6.1 WAR, .302 avg, 33 HRs, 105 RBI
Harper: 5.8 WAR, .305 avg, 35 HRs, 108 RBI

Harper OPS: 1.044
Riley OPS: .898


Harper’s OPS+ currently stands at 183. For context, only seven active players—including Harper in 2015—have posted an OPS+ of 180 or better in a full 162-game season. Harper’s OPS+ is the second highest by a Phillies hitter in the live ball era, trailing only Mike Schmidt, who posted a 198 in the strike-shortened 1981 campaign. Whether he wins the MVP or not, Harper is having a historic season.

He's had a Barry Bonds level season.
 
Can’t really argue because it’s your list, but no way my list wouldn’t have Foreman. You don’t do what he did without talent. The problem is no one here wanted him. Everyone bestowed the crown on his brother. I think the fact he had a low star rating plays into the perception. The guy went to the league and made a team but somehow still suffers from the lack of talent tag.

When you put the qualifier of talent not production, you can do anything you want. You can always find someone who has amazing potential. But as I said, it’s your list.
You can make a case that Malcolm Brown should be ahead of D'Onte.
 
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in other sporing news .. Tom Brady just became one of the few QB in NFL history with a win over all 32 teams in the league. the only team he hadn't beaten .. New England of course. well he just did 19-17 at New England.

the other three are Brees, Farve and Peyton Manning.
He good.
 
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Bijan rated higher than Charles or Ricky is a huge jump so early in his career
 
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