Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (Let me be crystal clear...)

If you assume Texas is 50-50 vs WV and TCU and 95% vs KU that means the most likely result by far is 7-5.

i assume 10/90 vs TCU.... We will get crushed...
i assume 50/50 vs WVU.... This is the game that will determine 7 - 5 or 6 - 6 finish..
 
You were arguing that A&M had a win over a "great" Tennessee team a few weeks ago and said I was "nitpicking" the fact that they weren't "great".
Did I really use the world "great"? That does not sound like me at all.
 
Sadly, 7-5 gets Strong another year but without an extension. Stupid admin will then wonder why our recruiting sucks in 17 and 18. Team will be better at 9-3
I agree with you a follows except I think 7-5 is most likely with these scenarios:
1. if we go 8-4 then Strong beat Kelly and TCU and earned another year and recruiting is saved. We should all be happy with this one.
2. If we lose to TCU than we're at best 7-5 and he is fired. We should be happy with this one as well.
3. He's retained at 7-5 then we have to extend his contract or recruiting dies. This scenario won't happen and he'll be back as a lame duck.

3rd scenario will set our program back 5 years and is the most likely outcome at this point. The rest of Big12 is praying for 3rd scenario.
Well, my point is, we don't know what we don't know. Is it 7-5? I doubt if we lose to WV that the energy the team has right now will continue. They are focused on winning out, for Charlie. If we lose, we probably lose to TCU. If we win this Saturday, it shows where we are as I think WV is a fairly decent bunch, and we can beat TCU. I think it swings this weekend, like it would have it we had lost to Tech. However, my whole thing is we just don't know what will happen. I am focused on winning, for my University I graduated from, the young men and I feel its the right thing. Scenarios will sort themselves out and just don't deserve as much commentary as it is getting here right now. Especially those that get way too personal on the man.
 
It's your thoughts so it doesn't really matter what particular problem I have with it. Not even sure it's a problem moreso than an observation. I think I was pretty clear in stating I thought it was a shame you spent so much space in 3 of the first 4 points doing nothing but pissing on everything related to Texas football.
what would you have preferred?
 
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i assume 10/90 vs TCU.... We will get crushed...
i assume 50/50 vs WVU.... This is the game that will determine 7 - 5 or 6 - 6 finish..
I think Charlie is gone if we get crushed by TCU at home. If we lose, I hope we do get crushed so we can move to the next chapter. Charlie returning at 7-5 is the nightmare scenario.
 
Sure, TCU housecalled BU in Waco after we squeaked past them at home. Of course, TCU also lost in Ft. Worth to the same tech team we beat in Lubbock.
Big 12 football... it's FAN-tastic
 
1.) I think being a good defense in the big 12 means holding good opposing offenses to less than their averages consistently. Gone are the days of shutting out opposing big 12 offenses. The game is changing in the offense's favor too much.

2.) I'm a huge soccer fan and even I wish you'd add more to your Cowboys sections instead of all the soccer fluff. The Cowboys have been incredibly fun to watch this season.

3.) If we win out, I will be extremely psyched for Charlie Strong and the team for next season.
Liverpool hater.;)
 
Now you know how it feels to be a football coach at Texas
raw
 
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Liverpool now has a need there. Mane is playing in the ACON and Ings is out.
Yup. And Liverpool has money to spend after turning a profit in the last transfer period.
 
It's not the UT thing to do but, LSU fired Miles to avoid the situation Texas is in now. A coach they don't really want to keep reeling off a bunch of late wins vs so-so teams
No, they did it to avoid what happened the previous season.
 
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YOU?



I watched that game. That was kind of scary. The helmet-to-turf injury really looked quite serious. Watching his father react and his girlfriend crying caused a lot of concern.
Ha, I watched free UFC.

Yeah, I was worried about him breathing there for a few minutes. Scary stuff.
 
Nice! Now OB.com is now your own editorial page. Well hang in there Ketch! Who knows, maybe Kirk Bohls can get you on at the paper. I'm sure they might need someone to help with the fishing reports.:)!
This might be even more confusing than the Trump charge.
 
@Ketchum Before the season, you predicted 7 wins. Did you feel, at that time, 7 wins would represent progress enough to retain Strong?
I've thought Charlie was below the bar since last season.

The details of getting to seven matter as much as the seven themselves.
 
Just to be clear, David McWilliams most certainly did not win the SWC title his one and only year at Tech. He finished 4th. Granted, he did beat his alma mater. The "clamoring" for McWilliams was borne overwhelmingly out of the nostalgic to get one of "Darrell's boys" as our HC combined with the hatred for Akers. It had nothing realistically to do with being a proven commodity.
lot of truth there.
 
No, sad to say I agree with most of it. But the style of the column is more toward Bohls' usual yellow journalism style than I am accustomed to seeing from you.
how so?
 
Very clever, did you think of that yourself? Don't need sunshine, prefer accuracy over angry/personal bs. Ketchum has an agenda, which is his perogative but I don't have to accept his style or substance.
what is my agenda in your mind?
 
Its what 'some" fans do. People are different and have different value systems I think. I don't think you understand, has nothing to do with results. I was temporarily upset we lost to Cal etal. I did not let it affect anything else, over it in an hour or so. Yet, I was thrilled we beat Baylor, and Tech. I love to win. Its not that people might comment about coach. Its the constant, never ending, same stuff with a change of subject line, over and over. I am upset that the board has become toxic, just not fun. I have my belief system and I cannot process within it why even "fans" can be so narrow focused on a subject they have no control over and are focusing on that while our young men are working to get those wins. Timing. I just can't relate to that brand of fanatic. I want to win, now, each week. If, at season's end, we did not go 8-4 but went 6-6 then I would discuss. Proper time. I am very happy with my belief system, I feel sorry for those that live so unhappily.
This board has become "toxic" because of the constant losing.

As I said during the offseason and throughout most of this season, if you (speaking of Charlie here) want the negativity to go away, start winning regularly. Nothing marginalizes/quells angry fans like winning. I, personally, was hopeful that Strong would prove me wrong in that he would be able to win regularly at Texas, he has not.

ETA: I'm also amused that you're chiding people for being more obsessed than you, but you're paying $9.99/month to talk about football. Also, you've been here 8 years... that's $800 for the privilege of talking about football. It takes a lot of gall (or a complete lack of self awareness) to bash other people's value system after paying all that $ to TALK about football.
 
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Oh, so you're all over 205 but you can't respond to a PM? Yes, I read the whole column and those are the only words I cared about this week. ;)
I have 30 DMs I need to reply to today. Ugh.
 
"In conversations with two high-level sources, Orangebloods has learned that there is a movement being led by a group of influential alums to back Strong’s return if he can pull together three wins out of four regular-season games to end the season."
_______________________________________________________________
Ketch, you wrote the paragraph above in the War Room last Thursday. Why do you think these "influential alums" want to back Strong at this point?
Because they believe he can cross the bridge in another year.
 
This board has become "toxic" because of the constant losing.

As I said during the offseason and throughout most of this season, if you (speaking of Charlie here) want the negativity to go away, start winning regularly. Nothing marginalizes/quells angry fans like winning. I, personally, was hopeful that Strong would prove me wrong in that he would be able to win regularly at Texas, he has not.

ETA: I'm also amused that you're chiding people for being more obsessed than you, but you're paying $9.99/month to talk about football. Also, you've been here 8 years... that's $800 for the privilege of talking about football. It takes a lot of gall (or a complete lack of self awareness) to bash other people's value system after paying all that $ to TALK about football.
Every Internet message board is called toxic from the moment it starts. There is still a lot of guilt consumed over the idea that people communicate in such manner.;)
 
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I'm willing to give Gilbert a pass on some of his play calling. On the 1st and 2nd down running plays, Foreman looked as though the invisible horse collar may have dinged him a bit.

The zone read and subsequent incompletions? Hopefully he'll learn from those.

What I don't understand is how Charlie can play football for years, be an assistant under big time coaches, but seemingly not have a clue as to game and time management. I'm not sure what he saw when he called a TO early the second half with TT inside the 10, but I hate wasting a TO there. Tech was going to score anyway, as they did soon afterwards. His assistant hires, by and large, have sucked; but I like Gilbert, Mattox, Traylor, Jean-Marie, Hayley, Johnson, and Moorer on his current staff. And hard to knock Williams given the WR production.

And I'm not sure that Charlie can get to 7 wins. Kansas makes 6; WV and TCU? Toss ups at best. We'll see.

Hook 'em!!!
 
It would be nice if the mods supported a bit more nuance around here. The "worst coach ever" thing draws battelines right away and is very youtube-comments like, adding a lot of heat with no light.

Strong de-pussified the locker room when it was sorely needed, brought a standard of basic human decency along with a willingness (very much unlike his peers) to enforce it even when it hurt him, is an elite talent evaluator, and is a really good (maybe even great) defensive mind. As Scipio notes here we'll ultimately be glad that Strong was the coach here and Strong will very likely leave the program in a better state than he found it. None of that belies the basic facts (also noted in Scipio's comment) that a) Strong is failing miserably at the executive management tasks of his job, and b) it remains incomprehensible what this defensive staff was doing in the offseason but it's clear they weren't teaching football. That b) happened at all is bad enough at $5M per year; that it happened on Strong's side of the ball is even worse.

Focusing on win totals (6-6 vs 7-5 vs 8-4) is a rhetorical trap that obscures these basic process failures that by their very nature put a ceiling on this team's performance. *That's* the conversation that needs to be had and we'd likely all be a lot less grumpy with each other if we had any collective sense that the leadership of this school was in a position to have it. To Ketch's credit, he's been calling out for a while the dangers of a placeholder AD, and we're seeing those dangers come to fruition. But as we prepare to say goodbye to our head coach (this year, next year, whatever; the ceiling is there), can we at least acknowledge the good even as we call out the bad?
 
Every Internet message board is called toxic from the moment it starts. There is still a lot of guilt consumed over the idea that people communicate in such manner.;)
In any large group of people there will be dissenting opinions, even @Texasags. That said, it can be largely eliminated by winning.

Charlie Strong's main job, coincidentally, is winning football games.

If he was doing his his job in a semi competent manner, most people complaining would be quiet.
 
It would be nice if the mods supported a bit more nuance around here. The "worst coach ever" thing draws battelines right away and is very youtube-comments like, adding a lot of heat with no light.

Strong de-pussified the locker room when it was sorely needed, brought a standard of basic human decency along with a willingness (very much unlike his peers) to enforce it even when it hurt him, is an elite talent evaluator, and is a really good (maybe even great) defensive mind. As Scipio notes here we'll ultimately be glad that Strong was the coach here and Strong will very likely leave the program in a better state than he found it. None of that belies the basic facts (also noted in Scipio's comment) that a) Strong is failing miserably at the executive management tasks of his job, and b) it remains incomprehensible what this defensive staff was doing in the offseason but it's clear they weren't teaching football. That b) happened at all is bad enough at $5M per year; that it happened on Strong's side of the ball is even worse.

Focusing on win totals (6-6 vs 7-5 vs 8-4) is a rhetorical trap that obscures these basic process failures that by their very nature put a ceiling on this team's performance. *That's* the conversation that needs to be had and we'd likely all be a lot less grumpy with each other if we had any collective sense that the leadership of this school was in a position to have it. To Ketch's credit, he's been calling out for a while the dangers of a placeholder AD, and we're seeing those dangers come to fruition. But as we prepare to say goodbye to our head coach (this year, next year, whatever; the ceiling is there), can we at least acknowledge the good even as we call out the bad?
Very well said, except @Ketchum is accurate in pointing out that Strong is the worst head coach in Texas football history.
 
This board has become "toxic" because of the constant losing.

As I said during the offseason and throughout most of this season, if you (speaking of Charlie here) want the negativity to go away, start winning regularly. Nothing marginalizes/quells angry fans like winning. I, personally, was hopeful that Strong would prove me wrong in that he would be able to win regularly at Texas, he has not.

ETA: I'm also amused that you're chiding people for being more obsessed than you, but you're paying $9.99/month to talk about football. Also, you've been here 8 years... that's $800 for the privilege of talking about football. It takes a lot of gall (or a complete lack of self awareness) to bash other people's value system after paying all that $ to TALK about football.
I still don't think you understand what I am saying. Liking my Longhorns and willing to pay $10 a month does not, for me anyway, equate to being obsessed over a coach. I am maybe obsessed, really don't think so, with the University I graduated from. Sports teams are part of that for sure. Again, what I am saying is I don't see the need to post over and over about that particular subject WHILE the young men are busting their butts trying to win games. Wait until the offseason or at least stop "so much" the obsession about that one thing. Nothing is going to happen until the season is over, it's just not. Nothing said here will make a difference, it won't. We may go 6-6 and he is let go. Wait and see. We may go 8-4 and win a bowl and he will not and it would not be the end of the world. Wait and see. Toxic is the obsession NOW. Only stoked by the site owner today. Yeah I love UT and willing to pay money to talk football and other sports. Why can't we actually do that though? I don't really keep track of posters so much like some do here but I seem to recall I liked you so I don't think we are doing much more here than having a beer and talking. You can have last word, it is sort of not my thing to use the message board as a chatty room. My email is dennis_dorsey@rocketmail.com. Anytime brother.
 
Ketch, I don't believe you were as clear as you could have been. While you stated that Strong's performance does not warrant a fourth year, you take no position on whether he should get a fourth year. If you do favor hiring a new coach at the end of this year, help me understand why Texas should evaluate candidates and then hire a new football coach without the long term solution for the AD position leading the search and hire?
 
I'm willing to give Gilbert a pass on some of his play calling. On the 1st and 2nd down running plays, Foreman looked as though the invisible horse collar may have dinged him a bit.

The zone read and subsequent incompletions? Hopefully he'll learn from those.

What I don't understand is how Charlie can play football for years, be an assistant under big time coaches, but seemingly not have a clue as to game and time management. I'm not sure what he saw when he called a TO early the second half with TT inside the 10, but I hate wasting a TO there. Tech was going to score anyway, as they did soon afterwards. His assistant hires, by and large, have sucked; but I like Gilbert, Mattox, Traylor, Jean-Marie, Hayley, Johnson, and Moorer on his current staff. And hard to knock Williams given the WR production.

And I'm not sure that Charlie can get to 7 wins. Kansas makes 6; WV and TCU? Toss ups at best. We'll see.

Hook 'em!!!

If WV and TCU are tossups which seems to be the consensus on OBs. Then the statistics show that there is only a one in four that chance Texas loses both of those games. The odds are 1 in 2 for losing wither game and you multiply 1/2 by 1/2 to get one in four to lose both. Considering Kansas is a win which is no certainty but Texas is a heavy favorite and if we lose to Kansas, we will have trouble beating both TCU and WV. Charlie fans should rejoice as there is a 75% chance that their man will get to the 7-5 goal. All that assumes that 7-5 gives Charlie another year but those bashing Ketch for his stance on Charlie's coaching haven't argued against Ketch's contention that his sources say 7-5 is the number for Charlie.