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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (Texas must fix this or else...)

Who ya got? Shoot your shot. None of the DBs listed, IMO. None of the WRs listed. If CJ was a 5th... Eagles? Lol. If DD was a 3rd, Jake Smith? Lol.
Eagles has big time NFL upside.
 
Of course, the one time you commit early to watch the damn fights, it’s during a pandemic and we’re grounded.
 
I’ve seen most of them play ball, yes. You would bet 2 of them will be drafted in the first 3 rounds of the draft?

Unlike you, I don't pretend to be smarter than I really am. I don't have a clue how many of them will be drafted.
 
Herman’s approach seems to be telling the recruits just how hard he expects them to work to be the best they can be.
He is emphasizing good character, which to me includes good work ethic on and off the field.
I think he expects his recruits to develop at a rate higher than the average.
We will see in a couple of years.
 
Or he could cost 7.

Only if he starts (meaning Dak is hurt) and leads the Cowboys to the Super Bowl does Dalton get $7 mil. Think that's going to happen? If he gets $7 mil the Cowboys will be glad to write him that check as they bring the SB trophy home. If Dak starts as he has the last 4 years Dalton gets $3 mil. Only gets $7 mil if he wins the Super Bowl. Seriously.

He'll make a lot closer to $3 mil than $7 mil. Rush was set to make $2.1 mil riding the pine.
Also, in 4 years Dak has never missed a start.

Minus extraordinary circumstances (to put it mildly), moving from Rush to Dalton as backup QB most likely costs Dallas $900k. Well worth it as Dalton has a winning record and has won 70 games as an NFL starter. Check it out, Ketch. Good deal for Cowboys.

https://www.si.com/nfl/cowboys/news...n-must-win-super-bowl-to-get-7-million-dallas
 
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Bingo, we've landed on the other equally significant point about our program: Texas doesn't have nearly as many elite recruits as other programs.

In the past 4 recruiting classes, Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, LSU and tOSU collectively have signed over 60% of the national top 70 players. In the past 3 playing seasons, that's an average of 25.2 national top 70 players on each of their rosters. UT had only 1.

It's going to take more than just greatly improved player development if the Longhorns want to become one of the elite playoff regulars..
Damn. 'Dem Natural facts.
 
Herman’s approach seems to be telling the recruits just how hard he expects them to work to be the best they can be.
He is emphasizing good character, which to me includes good work ethic on and off the field.
I think he expects his recruits to develop at a rate higher than the average.
We will see in a couple of years.
I think they all claim they want kids with good character.

More than anything, they want bad ass dudes on the field. If they have passable character.... cool.
 
Here are the Texas five stars ...

6.1

RB - Bijan Robinson (Freshman)
DB - Caden Sterns (Junior)

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(Buy) I tend to think a program like the Longhorns can auto-pilot to a top-10 class each year or at least in the very close neighborhood. It's getting inside the top five that consistently that changes programs.

Had that answer for you pegged even before you answered. And it's right on target. In pretty much any year when Texas is humming it can pretty much land a top 10 class w/o breaking a sweat. For the loaded '21 class we probably don't even need to get out of bed. The problem is there's a HUGE difference between a top 10 class and a top 5 as you've pointed out for years.
 
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Can I say I'm just not sure right now?

I think he's a lesser prospect. Doesn't mean he can't have a great year. But right now if you are looking a top 10 QBs projected for next year's draft, he seems to be consistently in the back half of those lists.
 
Had that answer for you pegged even before you answered. And it's right on target. In pretty much any year when Texas is humming it can pretty much land a top 10 class w/o breaking a sweat. For the loaded '21 class we probably don't even need to get out of bed. The problem is there's a HUGE difference between a top 10 class and a top 5 as you've pointed out for years.
It's always nice when someone pays attention.
 
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I think he's a lesser prospect. Doesn't mean he can't have a great year. But right now if you are looking a top 10 QBs projected for next year's draft, he seems to be consistently in the back half of those lists.
I'm thinking third day. He'll need to crush his pro day and the combine.
 
No. 3 - The other recruiting tier that really matters ...

In a lot of ways, five-stars should probably be counted as six stars and high four stars should be counted as five-stars because this tier's rate of high-level development follows closer to five-star lines than the rest of the four stars.

* Typically, somewhere between 30-40 percent of all high four-star players develop into NFL Drafted players.

* Typically, somewhere between 15-25 percent of all high four-star players eventually get drafted in the first three rounds of the draft.

Here are the Texas high four-stars ...

WR - Brennan Eagles (Junior)
WR - Jake Smith (Sophomore)
WR - Jordan Whittington (Redshirt freshman)
DB - Anthony Cook (Junior)
DB - Jalen Green (Junior)
DB - B.J. Foster (Junior)
DB - Tyler Owens (Sophomore)

From '17-'20 classes, here are the total number of 6.1/6.0 guys signed by each school:

Bama - 29
tOSU - 31
UGA - 34
LSU - 17
Clemson -22

TX - 11
giphy.gif
 
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I'm thinking third day. He'll need to crush his pro day and the combine.

Agree. And probably middle to late Day 3. IMO, he's not really close to even 4th rounder right now.
 
This should also be a shit or get off the pot season for Eagles. He is set up to be the go to guy now.

Perhaps you didn't mean to completely disregard what Brennan has done thus far, but he had 32 catches for 522 yds at a 16 yd/catch clip with 6 TDs. It's not like he's been sitting on the pot not doing anything for 2 seasons.
 
Eagles has big time NFL upside.

No doubt. I think if you looked at the roster, I'm not sure there's a player who fits their position better as a true NFL prospect than Eagles. Obviously an argument can be made about Cosmi. But Eagles has everything the NFL is looking for in a wideout. If Eagles had put up numbers like he did here in a backup role at, let's say, 'Bama, then NFL draft folks would be talking about how he's the next in line and projecting him as a Day 1/Early Day 2 prospect.
 
I think they all claim they want kids with good character.

More than anything, they want bad ass dudes on the field. If they have passable character.... cool.
I know they all say that but our recruits give the impression that they really are thoughtful and respectful.
Do you not get that impression?

Herman has pointed out that he has passed on a few that didn’t fit.
 
I know they all say that but our recruits give the impression that they really are thoughtful and respectful.
Do you not get that impression?

Herman has pointed out that he has passed on a few that didn’t fit.
I think every coach Texas has ever had has said this.
 
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Perhaps you didn't mean to completely disregard what Brennan has done thus far, but he had 32 catches for 522 yds at a 16 yd/catch clip with 6 TDs. It's not like he's been sitting on the pot not doing anything for 2 seasons.

He's had some production, but he's not getting drafted very high based on what he's done so far. If he doesn't end up a top 3 round draft choice I would think he would be disappointed. I would think 2 more years of similar production would not be enough to elevate his draft status very much. You disagree?
 
He's had some production, but he's not getting drafted very high based on what he's done so far. If he doesn't end up a top 3 round draft choice I would think he would be disappointed. I would think 2 more years of similar production would not be enough to elevate his draft status very much. You disagree?

Of course I don't disagree. However, I also don't expect him to be a backup for 2 more seasons. You disagree?
 
Of course I don't disagree. However, I also don't expect him to be a backup for 2 more seasons. You disagree?

No. Hence my original post. It's one thing for a young player to show potential, it's quite another for them to step up and fulfill their destiny. I think Duvernay is a perfect example of that. If Eagles can have the type of improvement Duvernay had he should be a first rounder in a couple of years.
 
He's had some production, but he's not getting drafted very high based on what he's done so far. If he doesn't end up a top 3 round draft choice I would think he would be disappointed. I would think 2 more years of similar production would not be enough to elevate his draft status very much. You disagree?
He had one of the best second seasons in the history of the program. He projects moving. forward as a huge player.
 
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He had one of the best second seasons in the history of the program. He projects moving. forward as a huge player.

Hey, I was picking him as one of the guys that would get drafted high vs what's happened historically. He still has work to do though.
 
My question for you was, do you think he is actually doing this? I get the impression that Such thinks he is.
I mean I think he thinks he is in some capacity. I don't know if I believe in the romance of it all.
 
No. Hence my original post. It's one thing for a young player to show potential, it's quite another for them to step up and fulfill their destiny. I think Duvernay is a perfect example of that. If Eagles can have the type of improvement Duvernay had he should be a first rounder in a couple of years.

I think my point is the phrasing of "sh*t or get off the pot" is a knock on a player that in this case isn't really warranted. The ironic thing is in year 2, Duvernay had 9 catches for 124 yds and zero TDs. So 2 years in, Eagles is on a significantly better trend than Duve was.
 
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