"He is NOT ruled out" | Players to Watch vs. Florida

CodyCarpentier · 2024-11-06T21:51:34-0600

Players to Watch for Florida

#13 Jaden Baugh, RB - 1 Thing: Rivals has Baugh listed at 197 lbs, but today on the Florida website he is *checks note* 227 lbs... whoa! He is a freshman who is BUILT FOR THIS CONFERENCE, and if you've watched Florida this year you have watched him prove that over the last few weeks while rushing for 195 yards on 51 carries gainst Georgia, Kentucky, and Tennessee... whoa! I know @Ketchum 195 / 51 = 3.8 yards per carry, but for a Freshman against THOSE defensive lines, I'm giving him some flowers, for his time filling in for Montrell Johnson (Questionable for this weekend)

#6 - Elijhah Badger, WR - 1 Thing: My first time watching Elijah Badger was in 2023 when he was playing for Arizona State and he reeled in 134 yards on 12 receptions as the Sun Devils went back and forth with the than 4-2 Colorado Buffs.

#21 - Desmond Watson, DL - 1 Thing: Watson is literally bigger than T'Vondre Sweat, and I'm not just saying that as a joke. He is listed on the Florida website as 6'5 449 lbs. Nearly 100 lbs heavier than the next biggest player on the roster (Freshman Sebastian Scott at 354 lbs) - Watson isn't the best football player, but he is a big piece of Mass that will need to be moved on Saturday. *Look at the size of this dudes hand on Spencer Rattler's helmet, last year*

#25 - Cormani McClain, CB - 1 Thing: Everyone remembers McClain from his days in Colorado after being the Top ranked Cornerback to follow in Travis Hunter's footsteps to go play for Deion Sanders last year, but he walked on to the Florida team this summer and has recently found himself in the depths of an SEC gauntlet. McClain didn't play a single snap until the Week 8 win against Kentucky where he saw 15 snaps in coverage and took home his first career interception. In Week 10 against Georgia, McClain saw 53 snaps on defense including 31 in coverage, he allowed 3 receptions on 5 targets for 43 yards to the Dawgs, and with multiple starters down in Week 11 (red line below), it's going to be McClain, the 6-1 175 lbs Sophomore Cornerback, lined up on the outside on Saturday morning.

Florida Head Coach Billy Napier Press Conference (Tuesday & Wednesday) Notes

Head Coach Billy Napier during his opening statement: "Very talented roster, Top to bottom at every position - Elite height, length, speed, athleticism. They have a veteran quarterback with a rebuilt skill group around him and a handful of offensive linemen with a lot of experience as well. I do think their returners are dynamic in the kicking game and just in general the athleticism they play with, in the kicking game presents a number of issues, so we'll need to be buttoned up there. On defense, I'm really impressed with the overall makeup of that group, explosive at every level first, second, and third level. They have an identity and a blueprint and think they do a great job playing situationally as well."

Head Coach Billy Napier on DJ Lagway dealing with the situation (return to Texas and injury): "Injuries are one of the more difficult parts of the profession, both playing and coaching. We have positive information on that front, so we do think the injury is less significant and we do think there is a pathway to recovery and return, we found that out yesterday, so a lot of good on that front. And he has been doing well this morning, we have NOT completely ruled him out - a lot of that will be to be determined."

Head Coach Billy Napier on Injuries to CB, Devin Moore and CB, Dijon Johnson and the outlook on Freshman (Grimsley/Foster): "I think they are capable, I think they are green, they've got all the traits that you would look for - some a little more mature than others. I do think there is talent there, height, length, athleticism. It's a deep room that has been hit with the injury bug, and I think some of the competitive depth we have recruited and developed has shown up there (Obviously Cormani continues to get a little bit better, he has impressed me with how he has been able to manage it), a lot of our guys are capable.

Head Coach Billy Napier on the CHANGE in his team this year during the Bye Week: "We were able to come up for air, we had high expectations - really good dialogue with player. The team stayed tight together and Wednesday during the Bye Week was the "Best Practice" I've been a part of in 20 years of coaching. This team did not splinter during the first four weeks."

Head Coach Billy Napier on coaching at DKR: "DKR is on the bucket list for aspiring coaching, I've been there one game before."

This is a Segment, presented by my great sponsor @Alex Dunlap and the NEW Football with Friends Beef Jerky, it's called "According to PFF"

1) According to PFF, Texas has 4 of the 5 best defensive linemen and 7 of the 10 best defensive linemen in Pass Rush Win Rate % (Wins per Snap)

2) According to PFF, Texas and Florida split the top four this week in offensive linemen grading, both Centers Jake Majors and Jake Slaughter came in with a grade of just over 70, while Tackles Cam Williams and Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson also cracked

3) According to PFF, here are the 9 opponents Texas has played this season, sorted by Defensive Team Run Defense Grade. Texas rushed for 177 yards against Oklahoma, 143 yards against Michigan, 187 yards against UTSA, and just 29 yards against Georgia...

Cody's Week 11 Prediction (7-1) with a (+/- of 96 pts)

WITHOUT D.J. LAGWAY at Quarterback
Texas 34
Florida 10

Florida 1st Half Scoring last 4 games
Mertz, QB - (W) Central Florida (24-3) - TD(15-75), Punt, TD(3-43), Punt, TD(9-58), FG, Missed FG, Punt, Punt, Half
Mertz -> Lagway, QB - (L) Tennessee (3-0) - Punt, FG, Downs, FUM, Half
Lagway, QB - (W) Kentucky (27-13) - FG, Punt, FG, Punt, TD(3-65 yd), INT, TD(4-98), TD(1-1), Punt
Lagway -> Warner, QB - (L) Georgia (13-6) - Punt, Punt, TD, FG, Punt, Punt, FG

Texas 1st Half Scoring last 4 games
Manning, QB - (W) Miss State (14-6) - TD, FUM, Punt, Punt, TD
Ewers, QB - (W) Oklahoma (21-3) - INT, Punt, Punt, TD, Punt, TD, TD, Missed FG
Ewers, QB - (L) Georgia (0-23) - Punt, Punt, FUM, Punt, INT, Punt, Punt, FUM
Ewers, QB - (W) Vanderbilt (21-10) - INT, TD, TD, Punt, TD, Punt

Player of the Game: Ryan Wingo (5 receptions, 142 yards and 1 touchdown)

The line in the game is Texas -21.5 with a game total of 47.5. This implies a score of 34-12.5 in favor of Texas.

Past Predictions

- Week 1 Prediction: 51-13 Texas
- Week 1 Result: 52-0 Texas (+/- 14)
- Week 2 Prediction: 34-13 Texas
- Week 2 Result: 31-12 Texas (+/- 4)
- Week 3 Prediction: 55-3 Texas
- Week 3 Result: 56-7 Texas (+/- 5)
- Week 4 Prediction: 48-6 Texas
- Week 4 Result: 51-3 Texas (+/- 6)
- Week 5 Prediction: 55-14 Texas
- Week 5 Result: 35-13 Texas (+/- 21)
- Week 7 Prediction: 37-23 Texas
- Week 7 Result: 34-3 Texas (+/- 23)
- Week 8 Prediction: 55-14 Texas
- Week 8 Result: 35-13 Texas (+/- 21)
- Week 9 Prediction: 32-24 Texas
- Week 9 Result: 30-15 Georgia (+/- 23)
- Week 10 Prediction: 40-10 Texas
- Week 10 Results: 27-24 Texas (+/- 27)

ICYMI - Football with Friends on Tuesday

Top Games of the Week in College Football

Tier 1
- 16. Ole Miss vs. 3. Georgia on Saturday at 3:30 pm ET (ABC)
- 11. Alabama @ 15. LSU on Saturday at 7:30 pm ET (ABC)

Tier 2
- N/A

Tier 3
- Florida @ 5. Texas on Saturday at noon ET (ABC)
- 23. Clemson @ Virginia Tech on Saturday at 3:30 pm ET (ESPN)
- 20. Colorado @ Texas Tech on Saturday at 4:00 pm ET (FOX)

Tier 4
- 9. BYU @ Utah on Saturday at 10:15 pm ET (ESPN) - *UPSET SPECIAL*

Top 10 Losses Week over Week in College Football

- Week 1: 10. Florida State (L at Georgia Tech)
- Week 2: 10. Michigan (L vs. 3. Texas)
- Week 2: 5. Notre Dame (L vs. Northern Illinois)
- Week 3: N/A
- Week 4: N/A
- Week 5: 2. Georgia (L at 4. Alabama)
- Week 5: 6. Ole Miss (L vs Kentucky)
- Week 5: 10. Utah (L vs. Arizona)
- Week 6: 1. Alabama (L at Vandy)
- Week 6: 4. Tennessee (L at Arkansas)
- Week 6: 9. Missouri (L at 25. Texas A&M)
- Week 6: 10 Michigan (L at Washington)
- Week 7: 2. Ohio State (L vs. 3. Oregon)
- Week 7: 9. Ole Miss (L vs. 13. LSU)
- Week 8: 1. Texas (L vs. 5. Georgia)
- Week 8: 7. Alabama (L at 11. Tennessee)
- Week 9: 8. LSU (L at 14. Texas A&M)
- Week 10: 3. Penn State (L vs. 2. Ohio State)
- Week 10: 10. Texas A&M (L at South Carolina)
- Week 11: TBD

Florida Football Records under Billy Napier since 2022

Record in the SEC - (8-13) - (3-5, 3-5 and 2-3 year over year)
Record in the SEC on the Road - (3-6, win @ Texas A&M, Kentucky, and Mississippi State) - One per year

Top 12 Opponent at Home - (2-1)
Top 12 Opponent on Road - (0-3)
Top 12 Opponent at Neutral - (0-3)

Ranked Opponent - (2-13)
Ranked Opponent at Home - (3-3)
Ranked Opponent on Road - (0-6)
Ranked Opponent at Neutral - (0-4)

Have a great end of the week 🤘

-BaseballCoach- · 2024-11-06T22:07:45-0600