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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (I have to confess to being delusional...)

The question about whether Whittington or Smith starts in the slot floors me. Just like when Smith spent so much time on the bench last year watching Duvernay and Epps play. Ketch answer was correct - we need our best guys on the field. Why couldn’t Smith have been trained to play in Epps position?
Or wherever gets them both on the field. I don't really care how they do it.
 
It certainly played a huge role.
That's the flaw in the Rivals rankings

Could you imagine the meltdowns if Texas had commitments from the following players out of high school:
Mahomes - 3 stars
Tannehill - 3 stars
Garappolo - 2 stars
Rodgers - 0 stars
 
That's the flaw in the Rivals rankings
I think the flaw is not focusing on what the math behind the system suggests when a massive sample size supports it and then focusing only on that.
 
Thanks, glad it connected for some. I feel like it was received with a lot of defensiveness from some, which is something I should have considered more in writing about it.

Agree wholeheartedly with Track that it was one of your best posts ever. Every subscriber needs to go re-read points nos. 2, 3, and 4. They're absolutely spot-on.
 
I think the flaw is not focusing on what the math behind the system suggests when a massive sample size supports it and then focusing only on that.
I understand that point but I would always go back and try and figure out why I missed on players who ended up playing at the top of their profession. Was their a flaw in my analysis that I need to correct, did the prospects have a common trait that allowed them to succeed over their rankings, etc? I'd do this especially with quarterbacks because the way for a coach to achieve wins, fame, and money is to have an elite quarterback.
 
I liked all of the hires.

I believe if these guys go get a conference title next year, op would still be unhappy.

Maybe, it’s time to find a worth while hobby op, other than this site.

Surely you're joking. Are you really not aware that OP owns this site?
 
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a. He ain't the No.5 fighter in the sport.

b. It was a bit of a tongue-in-cheek comment made to emphasize the bigger point.

c. You took it way too literal.
Actually, it was my amateur MMA fam mbr. I sent it to him, just to see how he'd respond. But to be fair to him, and judging from how others responded, you evidently didn't come across as tongue-in-cheek as you thought.

But, hey, you got (and are getting) clicks, responses and even a guy like me texting what you said to others to get their take.

Good job. Keep stirring the pot, whether folk agree or not.

It's one of sundry reasons your site hasn't gone the way of the buffalo.

Hook'em.

P.S. Btw, though my guy never said anything about if or where Cowboy's ranked (you misread the post), Cerrone actually is/was #5, in his weight class at least. https://www.ufc.com/rankings
 
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I love your comment about Zach Evans. I have always wondered why the ranking systems of high school kids doesn't have an "intangibles" quotient in there somewhere? Is the kids dad a coach? Is the kid a straight A student? is the kid reading to the blind in his free time? Is the kid a locker room cancer (Zach Evans)? Evans doesnt need to be a 5 star regardless of his stats. The world is filled with kids who "had all the talent in the world" but didnt have their head screwed on straight.
 
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Of course. But, that's also the kind of thing people say when they can't get the shiny thing.

"I love my Toyota, who would ever want a Mercedes?"
How do you know he couldn’t? That’s a big assumption that doesn’t bear out in the real world right now from what I’m hearing. The issues, the REAL issue, is the one you alluded to, he thought they were elite. This Staff that Herman put together he believes is the correct mix. If he’s wrong, it’s on him. I know for a serious fact Herman had any number he could have thrown at coaches. Coaches will look past a program if the money is right and Texas is still desirable to those said coaches, you add the money and it’s a no-brainer. No, this is the staff Herman wanted based on the Fluidity of the availability. I hope for his sake, they are. If not, the appetite for his longevity will be brief.
 
That's the flaw in the Rivals rankings

Could you imagine the meltdowns if Texas had commitments from the following players out of high school:
Mahomes - 3 stars
Tannehill - 3 stars
Garappolo - 2 stars
Rodgers - 0 stars

  • Mahomes was 5-7 in his last year at Tech including a 66-10 loss to Iowa St
  • Tannehill was 6-6 in his Sr. year at a$m, including a 27-25 loss to Texas :)
  • Garappolo was 12-2 in his Sr. year at Eastern Illinois. Guessing it was more that Rivals that got his upside wrong.
  • Rodgers was a 3*. He was 10-2 (loss to Tech)
 
No. 9 - Top 10 Texas assistant coach hires of the last quarter-century ...

I'm convinced you guys are going to argue like hell with me on this one because it's even more subjective than the normally subjective lists I put out each week. Obviously, recent hires still have a chance to climb the list over time.

This isn't based on what was actually accomplished by the coaches involved. Rather it's a list based on the juice each coach arrived with based on previous accomplishments.

Let's do this.

1. Greg Robinson
2. Will Muschamp
3. Bryan Harsin
4. Gene Chizik
5. Chris Ash
6. Dick Tomey
7. Mike Yurcich
8. Manny Diaz
9. Todd Orlando
10. Major Applewhite

Just curious with Todd Orlando at #9, if UHouston had hired Orlando instead of Applewhite, then I believe Applewhite would likely have come back to Texas with Herman. Thus would @Ketchum put him on the list twice?
 
Greg Robinson did not have more juice than Muschamp. That's just silly.

This. The board was questioning the Robinson hire since he was coming off of being fired. However, the board was ecstatic with the Coach Boom hiring. And IMO, Coach Boom was Mack's best hire and the best assistant coach that I've seen on the 40.
 
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Agree wholeheartedly with Track that it was one of your best posts ever. Every subscriber needs to go re-read points nos. 2, 3, and 4. They're absolutely spot-on.
Thanks!
 
I agree, but nobody looked at it that way at the time.
I wouldn't say no one. It was simply misunderstood. There were a lot of people that recognized it as a great hire in real time.

I was personally very much in favor of it after it was announced.
 
I understand that point but I would always go back and try and figure out why I missed on players who ended up playing at the top of their profession. Was their a flaw in my analysis that I need to correct, did the prospects have a common trait that allowed them to succeed over their rankings, etc? I'd do this especially with quarterbacks because the way for a coach to achieve wins, fame, and money is to have an elite quarterback.
I understand that and it's part of a separate debate IMO that I'm always trying to crack.

However, there are always going to be big misses. Always. For the same reasons that a lot of these guys leave high school without major offers.
 
I'm surprised Brewster isn't in there somewhere, along with Akina, and possibly Davis.
If it were just a list of all-time great coaches, they would be. I tried to stay with the theme of the column.
 
Actually, it was my amateur MMA fam mbr. I sent it to him, just to see how he'd respond. But to be fair to him, and judging from how others responded, you evidently didn't come across as tongue-in-cheek as you thought.

But, hey, you got (and are getting) clicks, responses and even a guy like me texting what you said to others to get their take.

Good job. Keep stirring the pot, whether folk agree or not.

It's one of sundry reasons your site hasn't gone the way of the buffalo.

Hook'em.

P.S. Btw, though my guy never said anything about if or where Cowboy's ranked (you misread the post), Cerrone actually is/was #5, in his weight class at least. https://www.ufc.com/rankings
again, there's a greater point that you seem to have ignored.

Cowboy is washed and shouldn't have been at the top of a PPV main evemnt. It was insulting to put him there and I'm a Cowboy fan.

The shiny rhetoric is the shiny rhetoric, but the point is spot on IMO.
 
I love your comment about Zach Evans. I have always wondered why the ranking systems of high school kids doesn't have an "intangibles" quotient in there somewhere? Is the kids dad a coach? Is the kid a straight A student? is the kid reading to the blind in his free time? Is the kid a locker room cancer (Zach Evans)? Evans doesnt need to be a 5 star regardless of his stats. The world is filled with kids who "had all the talent in the world" but didnt have their head screwed on straight.
I think it does, but it is used inconsistently IMO.
 
How do you know he couldn’t? That’s a big assumption that doesn’t bear out in the real world right now from what I’m hearing.
a. Because he didn't.

b. It's not a big assumption, based on what I'm hearing AND seeing.
 
Just curious with Todd Orlando at #9, if UHouston had hired Orlando instead of Applewhite, then I believe Applewhite would likely have come back to Texas with Herman. Thus would @Ketchum put him on the list twice?
Probably in the same slot.
 
This. The board was questioning the Robinson hire since he was coming off of being fired. However, the board was ecstatic with the Coach Boom hiring. And IMO, Coach Boom was Mack's best hire and the best assistant coach that I've seen on the 40.
I won't quibble with you. It's close IMO.

Robinson is a better coach than Muschamp IMO.
 
John Elway. Terrell Davis.
The Broncos ranked in the NFL’s top 10 in total defense during three of Robinson’s six seasons at the club’s defensive helm, finishing seventh in ’99 (297.1 ypg), fifth in ’97 (291.9 ypg) and fourth in ’96 (279.4 ypg). Denver’s defenses were also stingy in the scoring column during his reign with the Broncos, producing three top 10 rankings in scoring defense – eighth in ’98 (19.3 ppg), sixth in ’97 (17.9 ppg) and seventh in ’96 (17.2 ppg).

The performance of Robinson’s defense throughout the ’98 playoffs was paramount to Denver’s quest for a second straight title. The Broncos allowed opponents just 53.0 rushing yards per game in the postseason and forced a remarkable 13 turnovers in just three games. Denver allowed just 25 total points during that stretch.
 
At this point in the TH win or bust year all the blame of these coaching hires not being strong enough is on CDC. He is the one who gave a ton of slack to TH this offseason versus pushing a young inexperienced coach to choose leaders
 
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