It's an all-time great class in terms of hit rate + massive hit rate.
Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (Providing answers to what has happened with recruiting...)
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Could not agree more on this one. By the time this contract is up, he will turn 34 years old. He can remain an effective passer and rebounder through the end of this contract, but the already bad shooting numbers will only get worse (44/28/69 last year), the ability to defend multiple positions will evaporate, and the athleticism will go bye-bye two years before this contract expires. He may put up a lot of triple doubles, but his ability to help his team win games will decline quickly.
In the last 20 years, for players who are 2nd round draft picks and became all-star level players at any point, nearly all of them completely drop out of the league by age 30. With the huge exception of Manu Ginobili, who's draft position was strictly based on a lack of scouting of foreign players in 1999, here are the ages when the best 2nd round draft picks found themselves no longer making an impact... Gilbert Arenas (29), Rashard Lewis (31), Monta Ellis (30), Michael Redd (30), and Carlos Boozer (32). Finding a 2nd round pick who is worth $25M a year at age 34 is like finding a unicorn in Central Park.
He's survived on being a bit of a freak of nature in his combination of size and athleticism, but as his legs start to go, he's suddenly going to be a below the rim player who can't stay in front of people.
I might have this thrown in my face in a few years... and hey.... I'm a Draymond fan... but he could be an unplayable player at age 33-34.
I think Overshown might be a season away.
Burt has too much competition for pt.
Is Ingram low?
Thompson isn't ready.
Same guy that, in college, would just run straight ahead into the back of a pile of people every run? Maybe the worst field vision I’ve ever seen.
Yea, Ingram's number isn't really "low", now that you say that. Would you characterize your thoughts as: you expect him to be good and better than last year with a year under Yancy and now behind a better OL, but not blowing you away? Others make sense now. But scary about Thompson.
Ingram had nearly 900 yards from scrimmage last season. Are you expecting 1) little to no improvement, 2) no increased workload, 3) Whittington to get the bulk of the workload?
I already told you that the fact that you’re using that “award” as a determining factor for which player is better is a major lolz. Frank has more goals and assists than Gerrard, won more trophies than Gerrard, and had a longer career than Gerrard. You’ve lost the argument, just accept it. The PFA award is worthless and the fact that you’re using that as your only talking point tells me you know you’re wrong.
I can't help it that one player was awarded at the highest level in his league eight times, while your guy was awarded with it only three times.
Face it, your guy is the Paul Moliter of the EPL.... an absolute all-time great and deserving for the Hall of Fame... but his excellence at peak level is somewhat limited, which is why there are only a few seasons where he was recognized as such.
Wait. I'm still confused. Can you elaborate a little more?
Ingram split the workload with Tre Watson last season. Ingram got 38 fewer touches than Watson last season and still managed nearly 900 yards. I'm expecting an overall improvement in the rushing game. I think the avg. per carry should go up from 3.8 to something like 4.3 per carry. That in and of itself should mean Ingram's production goes up.
Do you expect Johnson to have significant production? Are you expecting Whittington's production to be greater than Watson's?
Thanks.
I think both have a chance to be 1,000-yard total offense backs.
This has been fun, Ketch. We should pick up some more pointless banter when the season begins. 1 week!
Great Thoughts this week Ketch. That was some great data seeing scholarships offered and the staff turning it up. I love the adjustment made there. Ironically, that slower process may have cost us the Austin Corner who commited to Bama Latrell McCutchin. I also feel like that one may not be over yet if we have a big year.
Long way to go IMO. Get him in for the LSU game and let the re-recruiting process begin.
The most important statistic in recruiting is the blue-chip ratio.
https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/8/22/17606048/blue-chip-ratio-2018
https://carlocarandang.com/texas-longhorns-football-blue-chip-ratio-2019/
Over 50% of your players must be 4 and 5 stars to have pretty much any chance of winning a national championship. There are only 13 teams that meet that criteria.
https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/8/22/17606048/blue-chip-ratio-2018
https://carlocarandang.com/texas-longhorns-football-blue-chip-ratio-2019/
Over 50% of your players must be 4 and 5 stars to have pretty much any chance of winning a national championship. There are only 13 teams that meet that criteria.
If they leapfrog both roschon AND Casey (really?..
Surely we'll see see one or both of them enter portal, no?
(Sell) It's an underrated aspect of the success Herman's program has seen, but I don't know if I would say it's "the" most underrated. Frankly, Herman's ability to quickly learn from his mistakes might be the aspect I'd point to the most for being underrated.
I agree that Herman's ability to adapt and improve is his best quality.
I agree that Herman's ability to adapt and improve is his best quality.
Cade Brewer warrants inclusion on that list instead of John Burt. Also not sure how much we will see of Angilau this season. Brewer has a chance to be pretty damn good at TE for us.
We discuss Brewer in the podcast. Name hasn't been mentioned once through four days.
Heard it. Agree with @Anwar Richardson allusion to Herman's Big 12 days mention of Brewer. He knows what he has with Brew.
i got ripped for suggesting a top 15 finish might be difficult and asked who gets us there.... Seems OP agrees - maybe 10ish is now the stretch goal. We have our hands full this year in recruiting - it was obvious early on. Aggies will have a top 10 two years in a row, so the best thing that can happen for texas in 21 and beyond will be a 4-5 loss season this year for aggie. I think this is a transition year for texas and finishing 10-15 doesn't overly bother me (surprises me, but doesn't overly bother me) . We win big this season, the 21 class will be big and all the pieces fall into place.
The best thing for Texas is for it to be on the front foot aggressively on and off the field.
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