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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (What does Arch in 2024 mean for 2023?)

I think we can get our receivers open against UW; I'm less confident that Quinn can get the ball to them, especially on the longer routes. If we can somehow improve that area of the offense in the next three weeks, then that opens up the running game for Bijan and Ro. In that case, I see lots of big numbers for the Horns in that game. By the way, are any of our guys sitting for this one?
 
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I think we can get our receivers open against UW; I'm less confident that Quinn can get the ball to them, especially on the longer routes. If we can somehow improve that area of the offense in the next three weeks, then that opens up the running game for Bijan and Ro. In that case, I see lots of big numbers for the Horns in that game. By the way, are any of our guys sitting for this one?
with all due respect, WATCH the games! Ewers is really good at the short and medium routes. Those longer routes? At this time they're just to back off the CBs and safeties.

Of course, Ewers still has a ways to go but to act like he's off on every throw is silly.
 
They unquestionably did. The scoreboard may not reflect that, but Alabama goes home with a L if not for the refs botching countless critical calls throughout the game. Setting aside the numerous missed calls that cost Texas points, the refs missed a blatant, double-fisted hold, when Young scrambled 20 yards to put Alabama in FG range. Had they correctly called it, it'd have been 1st & 20 from the Texas 47 with 14 seconds left & them trailing 18-20.

Now I'm pissed off again.
 
Eva Cassidy owns that song as far as I'm concerned.
It’s not her song, though. And why should that even matter? It’s a Fleetwood Mac list, not a list of what artist sang the best version.🙃
 
It’s not her song, though. And why should that even matter? It’s a Fleetwood Mac list, not a list of what artist sang the best version.🙃
It became her song. Just saying...
 
He's still on campus for now, but he's completely not trusted.
Well they brought him all that way for a reason. I hope they give him a shot in the spring, test him hard with blocks and see how he performs. I agree they should have another punter just in case.
 
ee0e3a40b744e2eebc3b4d949eaa9055x.jpg

Once upon a time ... say four months ago ... there was a plan with Arch Manning.

It went a little something like this:

a. Quinn Ewers would emerge as one of the best young quarterbacks in college football in his first season as a starter in 2022.

b. While Ewers was putting the finishing touches of his second and final season in Austin, Manning would take his time getting acclimated to college football, with a redshirt season in the realm of possibilities.

c. Ewers turns pro after the 2023 season.

d. Manning becomes the starter in 2024.

Well, you know what they say about best-laid plans ...

Not only did Ewers not ascend to "rising star status" during the 2022 season, but there are questions now about whether Ewers can hit his own goal of being able to turn pro next season. For as much arm talent as Ewers owns, it's hard to imagine that he'll be ready for the NFL in 12 months. It's not an impossibility, but it feels like a lot to ask.

One thing that is much more certain is that Manning will almost certainly be the starter in 2024. I asked nearly a dozen people in and around the program this week about the quarterback starter in 2024 and every single person strongly stated that Manning is the guy when the 2024 season rolls around.

"Arch is not signing with us to sit until 2025," one source stated. "And we're not bringing him in to sit until 2025."

Well, if you are also one of those people that believe Manning is going to be the starter in 2024, it makes answering the question of what might happen in 2023 a little more difficult to pin down, especially when you consider that Sarkisian has stated that he plans to open the competition at the position going into the spring.

Personally, I think it makes a lot of sense that Ewers would be the starter in 2023 when you consider what was invested in him during the 2022 season. He's beaten OU. He's started and won on the road. He's got a lot to do this offseason, but he will have some definite edges over Manning and redshirt freshman Maalik Murphy.

That being said, there's no getting around the fact that Manning appears to be the most important player in the program for the future. You get the sense that a lot of things might happen over the next few years, but Manning entering the Portal one day because he can't get on the field doesn't feel like one of them.

So, what does all of this mean for Ewers?

It's hard to say. Obviously, he's going to have to win the job again this spring and there's a world out there where re-winning the job might be tougher than winning it the first time. Just ask Hudson Card. If he plays really, really well in the 2023 season, he might just go ahead and turn pro. After all, that's been the plan from the moment Ewers left Southlake Carroll before his senior season in high school. He wanted to get that eligibility clock started as soon as possible.

If he makes only marginal progress in the next 12 months, it seems pretty clear what will happen in the following year. But, what if he's somewhere in between marginal progress and being ready for the NFL Draft? What happens if he's honorable mention all-Big 12 with a very Sam Ehlinger-like 155.0-ish passing efficiency number?

Try as we might to avoid the thought running around in our minds, it does kind of remind of the situation the Longhorns found themselves in back in 1999 when Chris Simms arrived on campus at a time when Major Applewhite was only a sophomore. The "plan" was to win titles with Simms in 2001 and 2002, which impacted the way Mack Brown and his staff handled the position during the 2000 season.

Honestly, I'm just thinking out loud at the moment over a situation that isn't crystal clear because things didn't go according to plan. Sources have told Orangebloods that Murphy and Manning will get every chance to push Ewers for the starting job. The passing offense at the end of the 2022 season is such that Sarkisian really has no choice.

What is in store for us all in 2023?

It's tough to say exactly, but we know what's going to happen in 2024.

Keep that in mind for the next 12 months. That particular piece of the puzzle might be the kind of thing that eventually leads us to figuring out the rest of the puzzle pieces.

No. 2 - Worthy's Best Option?

I don't get the sense that Xavier Worthy wants to leave Texas. He digs his coach. He digs the team. He digs the city.

He just doesn't know if he digs the quarterback situation and the passing offense, which feels completely fair.

Unless he just wants to get the hell on out of Dodge, doesn't it make sense to go through the spring and see how the Texas quarterback situation looks after the spring?

The next window once the first Portal window closes in January is from May 1-15. He'll have a lot more information on everything around him if he just kicks the can on a decision down the road.

It's a win-win.

He gets to be where he's happy and Sarkisian gets a chance to prove to him that the passing offense will be better.

No. 3 - Five quick thoughts on the Alamo Bowl ...

* Take the over. We're talking about two high-scoring teams, as the two average 76.5 points per game between them. The Huskies come in averaging the fourth-most in the country at 40.8.

* The Huskies are hot, having won their last six games, including wins over Oregon and Oregon State.

* The Huskies throw the ball A LOT. Michael Penix Jr. has thrown it more than 40 times on seven occasions and 50+ times on three occasions. The Huskies come into this game with a major quarterback advantage on paper.

* The Huskies are pretty good at defending the run, as the defense ranks 33rd in the nation by allowing 127 yards per game. This defense isn't anything special, but the area to take advantage of them all season has been through the passing game. The Huskies rank 111th in pass efficiency defense. Xavier Worthy should have a big game.

* Washington leads the nation on third downs with a 57.1% conversion rate. Texas ranks 78th in the nation in defensive third down rates by allowing 39.7%.

No. 4 - Biggest Portal Needs ...

If you're Steve Sarkisian, you'll almost certainly take any player (if there's room) that upgrades the program. Yet, there are some positions on the two-deep that need more attention than others.

Let's rank them in order of importance.

1. Starting Linebacker

There are nearly 1,200 snaps that need to be filled in from the season that just ended and the linebackers that are scheduled to depart. Yes, Jaylan Ford is expected to return and he gives the Longhorns a fantastic foundation at the position, but a proven player would be a critical need, even if the Longhorns close on 5-star Anthony Hill. There's just enough talent in the linebacker unit at the moment.

2. Starting Wide Receiver

There's no way of knowing what Xavier Worthy will do and you can't completely count on Isaiah Neyor coming off of a major knee injury. The Longhorns didn't have nearly enough contribution from this position in 2022, so even with Johntay Cook on the way, this position needs an injection of plus-level talent.

3. Starting Edge

The Longhorns have a lot of guys with high upside competing for playing time at the edge, but they don't have a single proven player looking to fill the 600+ snaps that Ovie Oghoufo filled this season. Of course, finding a true upgrade at the edge position is easier said than done because plus-edge players don't grow on trees.

4. Starting Right Tackle

Are you completely confident that Cam Williams will be ready to be the full-time starter in 2022 after playing limited snaps this season? Why not find someone that can fill this position for a season and then let Williams start after he's added a little more seasoning?

5. Starting Punter

This might be too low on the list. With Danny Trejo gone, Texas has to find a replacement.

6. Starting level linebacker (No. 2)

As I mentioned, the Longhorns need to boost the talent and depth at this position. The Longhorns didn't have enough players at linebacker a year ago and now 80 percent of those that played are gone.

7. Starting defensive back

The Longhorns are losing a couple of starters and the depth at the position leaves a lot to be desired. If you could come out of this with a safety to replace Anthony Cook, that would prove to be a nice way to improve this group.

8. Starting level wide receiver (No. 2)

More and more playmakers. The faster and more proven the better.

No. 5 - Portal Rankings ...

Although the "Best Available" list is expected to change quite a bit once the Portal officially opens on Monday, here's an early look at what is available at key positions of need at this moment.

Wide Receivers

1. Dominic Lovett (Missouri)
2. Dont'e Thornton (Oregon)
3. Drae McCray(Austin Peay)
4. Andrew Armstrong (Texas A&M-Commerce)
5. Nate McCollum (Georgia Tech)
6. Ali Jennings (Old Dominion)
7. Traeshon Holdon (Alabama)
8. Makai Jackson (St. Francis)
9. Rara Thomas (Mississippi State)
10. Grant DuBose (Charlotte)

Offensive tackles

1. Myles Hinton (Stanford)
2. Ajani Cornelius (Rhode Island)
3. Dameon George (Alabama)
4. Casey Roddick (Colorado)

Edge

1. Duson McCulloch (Indiana)
2. Tunmise Adeleye (Texas A&M)
3. Stephen Herron (Stanford)

Linebackers

1. Levani Damuni (Stanford)
2. Justin Wright (Tulsa)
3. Antonio Grier Jr. (South Florida)

Defensive backs

1. Jonathan Gill (Stanford)
2. Myles Slusher (Arkansas)
3. Denver Harris (Texas A&M)
4. Fred Davis (Clemson)
5. Avery Helm Jr. (Florida)
6. Avantae Williams (Miami)

No. 6 - The best player in college football ...

It's Bijan Robinson.

I watched a lot of football this weekend and none of the players in the championship weekend were better than him.

Forget about team success ... who is the most outstanding player?

1. RB - Bijan Robinson (Texas)
2. QB - Caleb Williams (USC)
3. QB - CJ Stroud (Ohio State)
4. QB - Max Duggan (TCU)
5. QB - Bryce Young (Alabama)

No. 7 - National Title or Bust ...

The Texas volleyball team is within 4 wins of the national title that would be fitting for a team that carried the No.1 ranking for most of the season.

No. 4 seed Marquette is next and a win would see them face the winner of No. 2 Minnesota and No. 3 Ohio State.

The Longhorns beat both teams in four sets earlier in the season.



No. 8 – BUY or SELL …

BUY-SELL.gif




(Sell) I don't think it matters. With Sark's reputation on offense and the NIL money Texas has available, they don't seem to have an issue with receivers having an interest.



(Sell) I kind of feel the same.



(Buy) Winning the last game of the season always helps. It's the last impression.



(Buy) It's go-time for Ewers, who will almost certainly be doubted more in this off-season than he ever has been in his life. It's the most important off-season of his life.



(Sell) Every coach trusts his culture. That's not a good enough barometer. The thing about Harris is that he's out of leverage after this transfer, so he needs to get it right as much as the coaching staff involved if he wants to be playing major college football. I'd probably take the chance on his talent because he's a future NFL player on paper. I'd lay out expectations, but his culture didn't change Jahleel Billingsley or Agiye Hall's personalities this season.



(Sell) I think there's a better chance that he sits out the bowl than there is of him coming back.



(Sell) I'm going to say he plays.



(Buy) I have a hard time arguing for the other teams.



(Buy) You forced me into an answer, but I don't feel good about it.



(Buy) That seems doable.



(Buy) No hesitation.



(Buy) And there's nothing wrong with that.



(Buy) That's probably the right order based on the way the season ended.



(Sell) I'm not sure I believe that at all.

No. 9 - Scattershooting on anything and everything ...

... If I had a vote that mattered ...

1. Georgia
2 Michigan
3. Ohio State
4. TCU
5. Alabama
6. Clemson
7. Utah
8. Kansas State
9. Tennessee
10. USC

... Props to Kansas State, man. That program has no right to be winning a Big 12 championship and they have won two since Texas last won one. I've got nothing but respect for that team after it went into Arlington and handled its business against a TCU team with everything to play for.

... Max Duggan has to come back next year, right? Why would you want to end the best timeframe of your entire life if you can extend it? Life will never be better than while he's the starting quarterback at TCU.

... USC beats Utah on Friday night if Caleb Williams doesn't hurt his hamstring.

... Cam Rising balled his butt off on Friday night. Tip of the cap. Same to Ja'Quinden Jackson. It's ironic to think it was a couple of Longhorns that kept USC out of the playoffs.

... The Cade Klubnik era is officially underway in Death Valley after his performance in the ACC Championship game. It's his program now.


... Mack Brown had a chance to win a third conference title and his team laid a huge egg in the process. I wish that was the first time I had seen that.

... Ohio State is going to be a dangerous team against Georgia. It's not often that the Buckeyes get to play the underdog and vindication cards at the same time in the mental build-up to a game. Give me the Buckeyes and the points.

... Tulane is 11-2 and beat Kansas State in Manhattan. Watch out, USC.

... I will watch the Duluth Trading Cure Bowl on December 16th. Give me some Troy vs. UTSA.

... Donovan Edwards might be better than Blake Corum.

... Folks, don't look now, but Dan Campbell's Detroit Lions are 5-7 and have won four of their last 5 games.

... I'm starting to think the Philadelphia Eagles are really good.

... The Texans are so bad that they lost to the Browns by two touchdowns on a day when DeShaun Watson was awful. It just didn't matter.

... I'm not quite sure how to feel about the USMNT going out in the round of 16. On one hand, that was probably the right round for the Americans to go out in, but on the other hand the way we went out was disheartening. Just piss poor man-marking and defending. The fact that we don't have anyone to bang in goals sucks, but not more than conceding such poor goals to a Dutch team that must have thought it was Christmas a few weeks early.

... Jude Bellingham is some kind of midfielder. Please Santa, all I want for Christmas is that kid to land at Liverpool this summer.

... Kylian Mbappe isn't far away from being a household word across the world. I'm not talking in soccer households. I'm talking about all households.

No. 10 - The List: Top 10 Fleetwood Mac songs...

With the passing of Christine McVie this week, it felt like a good time to do a Fleetwood Mac list, even if the list is very Stevie Nicks heavy.

Rest in peace, Christine.

10. Little Lies
9. Sara
8. Gypsy
7. Gold Dust Woman
6. Rhiannon
5. Everywhere
4. Landslide
3. The Chain
2. Go Your Own Way
1. Dreams
So what happens should MM be really given a shot at winning the starting QB, cements that in the fall, then sparkles taking us to conference championship and playoffs? Wasn’t MM widely recruited/offered by a number of top echelon programs nationally? Weren’t we (coaches & fans) greatly excited when he committed? What happened to all that??? Thanks in advance.
 
With all due respect, Texas beat Alabamer, but lost to refs so incompetent that a safety was ruled as a targeting call when Overshown didn't touch their QB. The point shavers reviewed the play and didn't so much as consider the safety. It was malpractice AT BEST.

It was no moral victory for TEXAS...just an ass-kickin' by the Big12 Insane Asylum point shavers, I mean, refs.

And EVERYONE saw it...it goes in the books as a loss for TEXAS, but the recruits saw what REALLY happened.

I Shirley hope you are right in your assessment that it may be POSSIBLE for us to get out of this joke of a league.
Not to mentione the missed holding call that was so blatant that the commentators were going crazy on the game wimnning drive. Hell there was nobody esle around them and the hold was ridiculous. I know holding could be called on evrey play but in this situation it was such a bad instance of holding that it HAD to be called.
 
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So what happens should MM be really given a shot at winning the starting QB, cements that in the fall, then sparkles taking us to conference championship and playoffs? Wasn’t MM widely recruited/offered by a number of top echelon programs nationally? Weren’t we (coaches & fans) greatly excited when he committed? What happened to all that??? Thanks in advance.

Look man, all I'm telling you is what will happen in 2024.
 
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So what happens should MM be really given a shot at winning the starting QB, cements that in the fall, then sparkles taking us to conference championship and playoffs? Wasn’t MM widely recruited/offered by a number of top echelon programs nationally? Weren’t we (coaches & fans) greatly excited when he committed? What happened to all that??? Thanks in advance.
NOTHING "happened" to all of that. Ketch is just speculating based on "whispers" from his "birdies"...but NO ONE, including Sark REALLY knows anything yet.

If MM puts on a show, then he wins...simple as that...or Arch...simple as that...or even Ewers...

We're all just a bunch of keyboard warriors speculating on the future...which we probably shouldn't do since even THIS season is not completely over.

Honestly I'm more concerned with catchin' that big fish...Ant Hill...we'll find out soon on that one...

FefEIlgaEAAP430
 
With all due respect, Texas didn't beat Alabama.

It says a lot about the state of the last decade-plus, that folks are still trying to count a loss as a win.
I don't think that is what is happening at all with all due respect. A loss is a loss and you are what your records says you are. However, there were pretty extraordinarily bad officiating calls. Seeing a team "win on the field" in games that are ultimately losses isn't even that rare.
 
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NOTHING "happened" to all of that. Ketch is just speculating based on "whispers" from his "birdies"...but NO ONE, including Sark REALLY knows anything yet.

If MM puts on a show, then he wins...simple as that...or Arch...simple as that...or even Ewers...

We're all just a bunch of keyboard warriors speculating on the future...which we probably shouldn't do since even THIS season is not completely over.

Honestly I'm more concerned with catchin' that big fish...Ant Hill...we'll find out soon on that one...

FefEIlgaEAAP430
What’s holding the fish😎
 
NOTHING "happened" to all of that. Ketch is just speculating based on "whispers" from his "birdies"...but NO ONE, including Sark REALLY knows anything yet.

If MM puts on a show, then he wins...simple as that...or Arch...simple as that...or even Ewers...

We're all just a bunch of keyboard warriors speculating on the future...which we probably shouldn't do since even THIS season is not completely over.

Honestly I'm more concerned with catchin' that big fish...Ant Hill...we'll find out soon on that one...

FefEIlgaEAAP430
Sark most definitely knows what his plan with Arch is.
 
NOTHING "happened" to all of that. Ketch is just speculating based on "whispers" from his "birdies"...but NO ONE, including Sark REALLY knows anything yet.

If MM puts on a show, then he wins...simple as that...or Arch...simple as that...or even Ewers...

We're all just a bunch of keyboard warriors speculating on the future...which we probably shouldn't do since even THIS season is not completely over.

Honestly I'm more concerned with catchin' that big fish...Ant Hill...we'll find out soon on that one...

FefEIlgaEAAP430
This, it may mess up the "schedule" if MM wins the job and things don't work out the way we hoped or expected... However, Sark knows he has to win and he knows this is a great opportunity for him to turn a program around so I don't think he will hedge if he thinks one has a better chance to win than the others. However, I think Ewers goes in with the inside track as we REALLY don't want to start freshmen (or RS freshmen) QB's every year! That is worst case scenario!
 
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I think another spring and summer is all Ewers needs. He will regain his form and play a lot more consistently. He's too talented and manning coming in the spring is huge in terms of putting the needed off-season pressure on Ewers. Quinn needs to buckle his strap and put in the work and I belyhe will

Texas needs to get two high level wide receivers through the portal to help elevate this passing game
Couldn’t disagree more. Getting two more receivers won’t help a damn bit if Ewers keeps throwing wild pitches like he is so prone to do. I believe that at least 30% of his passes were uncatchable balls, and that might be low. This offseason is just so important for him to get his stuff together.
 
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Couldn’t disagree more. Getting two more receivers won’t help a damn bit if Ewers keeps throwing wild pitches like he is so prone to do. I believe that at least 30% of his passes were uncatchable balls, and that might be low. This offseason is just so important for him to get his stuff together.

Thankfully the staff agrees with me about the need to get more wr talent. Worthy himself is trying to help get a few guys.
 
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Couldn’t disagree more. Getting two more receivers won’t help a damn bit if Ewers keeps throwing wild pitches like he is so prone to do. I believe that at least 30% of his passes were uncatchable balls, and that might be low. This offseason is just so important for him to get his stuff together.
good grief...what world are you living in?
 
Thankfully the staff agrees with me about the need to get more wr talent. Worthy himself is trying to help get a few guys.
I’m just trying to figure out how two more wide receivers are going to help catch any more of those errant throws from QE. I really hope he can fix his footwork and timing issues, but until he does that, everything else is irrelevant. Next year, IF he is still the starter, defenses will have more opportunities to pin their ears back and rush him without as much hesitation as they had this year because of Bijan and Roschon being in the backfield. All the more difficult to be able to set his feet and make a proper release. QE is not much of a dual threat, which also could potentially cause him a problem. Maalik is going to be given a very hard look by the staff and this could also cause more pressure on the young man. All that said, I am really pulling for him to get his stuff together and have a great year, again, I’m just hoping.
 
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Edge has to be a higher priority, possibly the #1 priority. We lose quite a bit in the backend of our defense and the best thing for a young secondary is a pass rush. Give Sorrell a running mate on the other side and we’re cooking!
 
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... I'm not quite sure how to feel about the USMNT going out in the round of 16. On one hand, that was probably the right round for the Americans to go out in, but on the other hand the way we went out was disheartening. Just piss poor man-marking and defending. The fact that we don't have anyone to bang in goals sucks, but not more than conceding such poor goals to a Dutch team that must have thought it was Christmas a few weeks early.
I thought the same thing Ketch. If you'd told me before things started the USMNT would get bounced in the first knockout round, I'd very likely have said I'd be happy with that.

However, the final game was a poor showing, against a very beating Netherlands.

Its very similiar to Texas' 8-4 season. It isn't so much that we went 8-4...it was how we went about going 8-4 that leaves the bitter taste in my mouth (and many other fans).

Both the USMNT and Texas left a lot of meat on the bone.
 
I’m just trying to figure out how two more wide receivers are going to help catch any more of those errant throws from QE. I really hope he can fix his footwork and timing issues, but until he does that, everything else is irrelevant. Next year, IF he is still the starter, defenses will have more opportunities to pin their ears back and rush him without as much hesitation as they had this year because of Bijan and Roschon being in the backfield. All the more difficult to be able to set his feet and make a proper release. QE is not much of a dual threat, which also could potentially cause him a problem. Maalik is going to be given a very hard look by the staff and this could also cause more pressure on the young man. All that said, I am really pulling for him to get his stuff together and have a great year, again, I’m just hoping.
I don't have nor have I seen a breakdown of all the deep throws that Quinn made this year. However, I'm willing to be that for any targets beyond 25 yrds, Worthy had 80% of them.

That simply isn't a recipe for success when considering how often Quinn took those shots. If its once or twice a game, fine. However, I feel like there were games where it was once or twice per drive. I'm sure that is my PTSD talking, but it sure feels like that was the case.

Having another (or two) additional dudes that can stretch the field would really open things up for Worthy underneath on digs and crossing routes.

I honestly wonder if both Quinn and Worthy got tired of it at the end of the season? I know Worthy was frustrated, that was visible. I think Quinn felt much the same.

Point being - I know Quinn was off on some throws. But there were others that a determined WR could have made a play for to either catch or get a PI. Our issue was a combination of Quinn being off and Worthy being dejected because he just assumed Quinn wouldn't hit him.

Also, Worthy isn't the type of dude that is going to jump and win a 50/50 ball. Having a dude like that could really help.

We simply didn't have any threats, other than Worthy, in the passing game at the WR position.
 
ee0e3a40b744e2eebc3b4d949eaa9055x.jpg

Once upon a time ... say four months ago ... there was a plan with Arch Manning.

It went a little something like this:

a. Quinn Ewers would emerge as one of the best young quarterbacks in college football in his first season as a starter in 2022.

b. While Ewers was putting the finishing touches of his second and final season in Austin, Manning would take his time getting acclimated to college football, with a redshirt season in the realm of possibilities.

c. Ewers turns pro after the 2023 season.

d. Manning becomes the starter in 2024.

Well, you know what they say about best-laid plans ...

Not only did Ewers not ascend to "rising star status" during the 2022 season, but there are questions now about whether Ewers can hit his own goal of being able to turn pro next season. For as much arm talent as Ewers owns, it's hard to imagine that he'll be ready for the NFL in 12 months. It's not an impossibility, but it feels like a lot to ask.

One thing that is much more certain is that Manning will almost certainly be the starter in 2024. I asked nearly a dozen people in and around the program this week about the quarterback starter in 2024 and every single person strongly stated that Manning is the guy when the 2024 season rolls around.

"Arch is not signing with us to sit until 2025," one source stated. "And we're not bringing him in to sit until 2025."

Well, if you are also one of those people that believe Manning is going to be the starter in 2024, it makes answering the question of what might happen in 2023 a little more difficult to pin down, especially when you consider that Sarkisian has stated that he plans to open the competition at the position going into the spring.

Personally, I think it makes a lot of sense that Ewers would be the starter in 2023 when you consider what was invested in him during the 2022 season. He's beaten OU. He's started and won on the road. He's got a lot to do this offseason, but he will have some definite edges over Manning and redshirt freshman Maalik Murphy.

That being said, there's no getting around the fact that Manning appears to be the most important player in the program for the future. You get the sense that a lot of things might happen over the next few years, but Manning entering the Portal one day because he can't get on the field doesn't feel like one of them.

So, what does all of this mean for Ewers?

It's hard to say. Obviously, he's going to have to win the job again this spring and there's a world out there where re-winning the job might be tougher than winning it the first time. Just ask Hudson Card. If he plays really, really well in the 2023 season, he might just go ahead and turn pro. After all, that's been the plan from the moment Ewers left Southlake Carroll before his senior season in high school. He wanted to get that eligibility clock started as soon as possible.

If he makes only marginal progress in the next 12 months, it seems pretty clear what will happen in the following year. But, what if he's somewhere in between marginal progress and being ready for the NFL Draft? What happens if he's honorable mention all-Big 12 with a very Sam Ehlinger-like 155.0-ish passing efficiency number?

Try as we might to avoid the thought running around in our minds, it does kind of remind of the situation the Longhorns found themselves in back in 1999 when Chris Simms arrived on campus at a time when Major Applewhite was only a sophomore. The "plan" was to win titles with Simms in 2001 and 2002, which impacted the way Mack Brown and his staff handled the position during the 2000 season.

Honestly, I'm just thinking out loud at the moment over a situation that isn't crystal clear because things didn't go according to plan. Sources have told Orangebloods that Murphy and Manning will get every chance to push Ewers for the starting job. The passing offense at the end of the 2022 season is such that Sarkisian really has no choice.

What is in store for us all in 2023?

It's tough to say exactly, but we know what's going to happen in 2024.

Keep that in mind for the next 12 months. That particular piece of the puzzle might be the kind of thing that eventually leads us to figuring out the rest of the puzzle pieces.

No. 2 - Worthy's Best Option?

I don't get the sense that Xavier Worthy wants to leave Texas. He digs his coach. He digs the team. He digs the city.

He just doesn't know if he digs the quarterback situation and the passing offense, which feels completely fair.

Unless he just wants to get the hell on out of Dodge, doesn't it make sense to go through the spring and see how the Texas quarterback situation looks after the spring?

The next window once the first Portal window closes in January is from May 1-15. He'll have a lot more information on everything around him if he just kicks the can on a decision down the road.

It's a win-win.

He gets to be where he's happy and Sarkisian gets a chance to prove to him that the passing offense will be better.

No. 3 - Five quick thoughts on the Alamo Bowl ...

* Take the over. We're talking about two high-scoring teams, as the two average 76.5 points per game between them. The Huskies come in averaging the fourth-most in the country at 40.8.

* The Huskies are hot, having won their last six games, including wins over Oregon and Oregon State.

* The Huskies throw the ball A LOT. Michael Penix Jr. has thrown it more than 40 times on seven occasions and 50+ times on three occasions. The Huskies come into this game with a major quarterback advantage on paper.

* The Huskies are pretty good at defending the run, as the defense ranks 33rd in the nation by allowing 127 yards per game. This defense isn't anything special, but the area to take advantage of them all season has been through the passing game. The Huskies rank 111th in pass efficiency defense. Xavier Worthy should have a big game.

* Washington leads the nation on third downs with a 57.1% conversion rate. Texas ranks 78th in the nation in defensive third down rates by allowing 39.7%.

No. 4 - Biggest Portal Needs ...

If you're Steve Sarkisian, you'll almost certainly take any player (if there's room) that upgrades the program. Yet, there are some positions on the two-deep that need more attention than others.

Let's rank them in order of importance.

1. Starting Linebacker

There are nearly 1,200 snaps that need to be filled in from the season that just ended and the linebackers that are scheduled to depart. Yes, Jaylan Ford is expected to return and he gives the Longhorns a fantastic foundation at the position, but a proven player would be a critical need, even if the Longhorns close on 5-star Anthony Hill. There's just enough talent in the linebacker unit at the moment.

2. Starting Wide Receiver

There's no way of knowing what Xavier Worthy will do and you can't completely count on Isaiah Neyor coming off of a major knee injury. The Longhorns didn't have nearly enough contribution from this position in 2022, so even with Johntay Cook on the way, this position needs an injection of plus-level talent.

3. Starting Edge

The Longhorns have a lot of guys with high upside competing for playing time at the edge, but they don't have a single proven player looking to fill the 600+ snaps that Ovie Oghoufo filled this season. Of course, finding a true upgrade at the edge position is easier said than done because plus-edge players don't grow on trees.

4. Starting Right Tackle

Are you completely confident that Cam Williams will be ready to be the full-time starter in 2022 after playing limited snaps this season? Why not find someone that can fill this position for a season and then let Williams start after he's added a little more seasoning?

5. Starting Punter

This might be too low on the list. With Danny Trejo gone, Texas has to find a replacement.

6. Starting level linebacker (No. 2)

As I mentioned, the Longhorns need to boost the talent and depth at this position. The Longhorns didn't have enough players at linebacker a year ago and now 80 percent of those that played are gone.

7. Starting defensive back

The Longhorns are losing a couple of starters and the depth at the position leaves a lot to be desired. If you could come out of this with a safety to replace Anthony Cook, that would prove to be a nice way to improve this group.

8. Starting level wide receiver (No. 2)

More and more playmakers. The faster and more proven the better.

No. 5 - Portal Rankings ...

Although the "Best Available" list is expected to change quite a bit once the Portal officially opens on Monday, here's an early look at what is available at key positions of need at this moment.

Wide Receivers

1. Dominic Lovett (Missouri)
2. Dont'e Thornton (Oregon)
3. Drae McCray(Austin Peay)
4. Andrew Armstrong (Texas A&M-Commerce)
5. Nate McCollum (Georgia Tech)
6. Ali Jennings (Old Dominion)
7. Traeshon Holdon (Alabama)
8. Makai Jackson (St. Francis)
9. Rara Thomas (Mississippi State)
10. Grant DuBose (Charlotte)

Offensive tackles

1. Myles Hinton (Stanford)
2. Ajani Cornelius (Rhode Island)
3. Dameon George (Alabama)
4. Casey Roddick (Colorado)

Edge

1. Duson McCulloch (Indiana)
2. Tunmise Adeleye (Texas A&M)
3. Stephen Herron (Stanford)

Linebackers

1. Levani Damuni (Stanford)
2. Justin Wright (Tulsa)
3. Antonio Grier Jr. (South Florida)

Defensive backs

1. Jonathan Gill (Stanford)
2. Myles Slusher (Arkansas)
3. Denver Harris (Texas A&M)
4. Fred Davis (Clemson)
5. Avery Helm Jr. (Florida)
6. Avantae Williams (Miami)

No. 6 - The best player in college football ...

It's Bijan Robinson.

I watched a lot of football this weekend and none of the players in the championship weekend were better than him.

Forget about team success ... who is the most outstanding player?

1. RB - Bijan Robinson (Texas)
2. QB - Caleb Williams (USC)
3. QB - CJ Stroud (Ohio State)
4. QB - Max Duggan (TCU)
5. QB - Bryce Young (Alabama)

No. 7 - National Title or Bust ...

The Texas volleyball team is within 4 wins of the national title that would be fitting for a team that carried the No.1 ranking for most of the season.

No. 4 seed Marquette is next and a win would see them face the winner of No. 2 Minnesota and No. 3 Ohio State.

The Longhorns beat both teams in four sets earlier in the season.



No. 8 – BUY or SELL …

BUY-SELL.gif




(Sell) I don't think it matters. With Sark's reputation on offense and the NIL money Texas has available, they don't seem to have an issue with receivers having an interest.



(Sell) I kind of feel the same.



(Buy) Winning the last game of the season always helps. It's the last impression.



(Buy) It's go-time for Ewers, who will almost certainly be doubted more in this off-season than he ever has been in his life. It's the most important off-season of his life.



(Sell) Every coach trusts his culture. That's not a good enough barometer. The thing about Harris is that he's out of leverage after this transfer, so he needs to get it right as much as the coaching staff involved if he wants to be playing major college football. I'd probably take the chance on his talent because he's a future NFL player on paper. I'd lay out expectations, but his culture didn't change Jahleel Billingsley or Agiye Hall's personalities this season.



(Sell) I think there's a better chance that he sits out the bowl than there is of him coming back.



(Sell) I'm going to say he plays.



(Buy) I have a hard time arguing for the other teams.



(Buy) You forced me into an answer, but I don't feel good about it.



(Buy) That seems doable.



(Buy) No hesitation.



(Buy) And there's nothing wrong with that.



(Buy) That's probably the right order based on the way the season ended.



(Sell) I'm not sure I believe that at all.

No. 9 - Scattershooting on anything and everything ...

... If I had a vote that mattered ...

1. Georgia
2 Michigan
3. Ohio State
4. TCU
5. Alabama
6. Clemson
7. Utah
8. Kansas State
9. Tennessee
10. USC

... Props to Kansas State, man. That program has no right to be winning a Big 12 championship and they have won two since Texas last won one. I've got nothing but respect for that team after it went into Arlington and handled its business against a TCU team with everything to play for.

... Max Duggan has to come back next year, right? Why would you want to end the best timeframe of your entire life if you can extend it? Life will never be better than while he's the starting quarterback at TCU.

... USC beats Utah on Friday night if Caleb Williams doesn't hurt his hamstring.

... Cam Rising balled his butt off on Friday night. Tip of the cap. Same to Ja'Quinden Jackson. It's ironic to think it was a couple of Longhorns that kept USC out of the playoffs.

... The Cade Klubnik era is officially underway in Death Valley after his performance in the ACC Championship game. It's his program now.


... Mack Brown had a chance to win a third conference title and his team laid a huge egg in the process. I wish that was the first time I had seen that.

... Ohio State is going to be a dangerous team against Georgia. It's not often that the Buckeyes get to play the underdog and vindication cards at the same time in the mental build-up to a game. Give me the Buckeyes and the points.

... Tulane is 11-2 and beat Kansas State in Manhattan. Watch out, USC.

... I will watch the Duluth Trading Cure Bowl on December 16th. Give me some Troy vs. UTSA.

... Donovan Edwards might be better than Blake Corum.

... Folks, don't look now, but Dan Campbell's Detroit Lions are 5-7 and have won four of their last 5 games.

... I'm starting to think the Philadelphia Eagles are really good.

... The Texans are so bad that they lost to the Browns by two touchdowns on a day when DeShaun Watson was awful. It just didn't matter.

... I'm not quite sure how to feel about the USMNT going out in the round of 16. On one hand, that was probably the right round for the Americans to go out in, but on the other hand the way we went out was disheartening. Just piss poor man-marking and defending. The fact that we don't have anyone to bang in goals sucks, but not more than conceding such poor goals to a Dutch team that must have thought it was Christmas a few weeks early.

... Jude Bellingham is some kind of midfielder. Please Santa, all I want for Christmas is that kid to land at Liverpool this summer.

... Kylian Mbappe isn't far away from being a household word across the world. I'm not talking in soccer households. I'm talking about all households.

No. 10 - The List: Top 10 Fleetwood Mac songs...

With the passing of Christine McVie this week, it felt like a good time to do a Fleetwood Mac list, even if the list is very Stevie Nicks heavy.

Rest in peace, Christine.

10. Little Lies
9. Sara
8. Gypsy
7. Gold Dust Woman
6. Rhiannon
5. Everywhere
4. Landslide
3. The Chain
2. Go Your Own Way
1. Dreams
Nice! Where would Second Hand News or Tusk be on your list? I think this Alamo Bowl game will be a good one. Want to see how the D stacks up against Penix. Horns should win if the D doesn't get worn out like they did against Tech or Okie State.
 
Edge has to be a higher priority, possibly the #1 priority. We lose quite a bit in the backend of our defense and the best thing for a young secondary is a pass rush. Give Sorrell a running mate on the other side and we’re cooking!
Those dudes don't grow on trees, but I feel you.
 
I thought the same thing Ketch. If you'd told me before things started the USMNT would get bounced in the first knockout round, I'd very likely have said I'd be happy with that.

However, the final game was a poor showing, against a very beating Netherlands.

Its very similiar to Texas' 8-4 season. It isn't so much that we went 8-4...it was how we went about going 8-4 that leaves the bitter taste in my mouth (and many other fans).

Both the USMNT and Texas left a lot of meat on the bone.
good post
 
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