Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (I still can't go higher than 7 wins...)
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1) The only team on Texas' schedule that may be better this year than last year is OSU. Most other teams including ND, Cal, OU, TCU, KSU, and Baylor have less talent than last year;
2) Everyone including the Mods agree Texas has much more depth at every position than last year except DL;
3) CS finally has a competent staff that actually seem to get along and have some continuity;
4) The QBs that will play the most during the season have actually taken the most snaps in spring and fall practice unlike the past two seasons;
5) The team speed for this year's team is drastically improved over last year;
6) The team chemistry on this years team is much better than the previous CS Texas teams;
7) The REAL hurry up offense Texas will run this year will be much more explosive than last year's offense;
Taking into account 1-7 means that Texas will win more than 7 games in 2016. This year is the fork in the road for Texas football. Win 8 and Texas will be competing for championships in 2017 and will sign another top 10 recruiting class. Win less than 8 and I think that the coaches and players have underachieved and CS may be in trouble.
I am choosing option A and think Texas will win 8 or more and the program will take off in 2017.
2) Everyone including the Mods agree Texas has much more depth at every position than last year except DL;
3) CS finally has a competent staff that actually seem to get along and have some continuity;
4) The QBs that will play the most during the season have actually taken the most snaps in spring and fall practice unlike the past two seasons;
5) The team speed for this year's team is drastically improved over last year;
6) The team chemistry on this years team is much better than the previous CS Texas teams;
7) The REAL hurry up offense Texas will run this year will be much more explosive than last year's offense;
Taking into account 1-7 means that Texas will win more than 7 games in 2016. This year is the fork in the road for Texas football. Win 8 and Texas will be competing for championships in 2017 and will sign another top 10 recruiting class. Win less than 8 and I think that the coaches and players have underachieved and CS may be in trouble.
I am choosing option A and think Texas will win 8 or more and the program will take off in 2017.
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Too much talent to just win seven, IMO. This team should win eight or even nine. I'll call it 8-4 heading into the bowl game.
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I definitely could have been "First" on this thread but I refrained because I thought it was such a stupid and childish thing to do. I just decided to read the article.
The Olympics is not going to be around on national broadcast tv much past the next few unless they find a better way to broadcast live and with better announcers. Ratings have been dropping like a rock the last 3 olympics and considering all the hoopla around the swimmers, gymnasts and Bolt, you have enough star power here but did not come thru once again with ratings. Its a losing bet for NBC.
I second the Robin Williams. Really miss him being around as he is one of my favorite all time stars. Was just today watching Birdcage with my family. He is one of a kind. I showed them some clips from Carson and Jonathan Winters. They loved it.
I think we are holding the Horns up against too much scrutiny this season. We have had a very healthy and positive spring and summer. We have solid athletes and coaches. Instead most of what we talk about is the QB drama and what CS has to do to keep his job. I for one find this similar to news reporters fixation on Trump only wanting to talk about headlines to get eyeballs. I think we really need to reflect on the fact that we got out of the Mack Brown era wounded and CS has brought us back to a solid footing with recruiting and hard work. I cannot ask for more than what I have seen and heard about this year so far.
Ha - caught part of Good Morning Vietnam today and had the exact same thought. We may never see Robin Williams' like again.
I usually look forward to Olympic boxing. I remember the days of sugar ray, howard davis, etc. I think it was 1976. That was a legendary year.
This year I saw two bouts. One non-descript, non-finals bout featuring two eastern Europeans and one women's match.
I never heard anything about the men's team or who they were. The results i've been able to find on the net don't tell me much except the USA didn't figure into the medal rounds much.
I did hear a little about C. Shields, but that's it.
Damned shame. Highly disappointed.
This year I saw two bouts. One non-descript, non-finals bout featuring two eastern Europeans and one women's match.
I never heard anything about the men's team or who they were. The results i've been able to find on the net don't tell me much except the USA didn't figure into the medal rounds much.
I did hear a little about C. Shields, but that's it.
Damned shame. Highly disappointed.
Agreed. Boxing went from being on a higher level than gymnastics to literal chirping silence.
Good stuff Ketch. I swear, some people on this board can't distinguish between source and mod. In my opinion Swoopes is a practice player and not a game player and in the long run if Texas is going to establish some kind of consistency they will have to go with SB at QB. Texas has the makings of a good football team and all they need is some games under their belt to learn how to play together. Once these guys know each other in a game situation look out.
Great write up but the fact that we're laughing at the prospect of winning 9 games in year 3 of a rebuild is pretty pathetic. Especially when held up against what Michigan and Ohio State have been up to.
This roster has too much talent to only win 7. That would prob have strong sweating a decision to return.
8-9 wins.
Charlie has recruited his ass off and has a chance to set up 2017 as top 10-15 preseason ranked and conference title run
8-9 wins.
Charlie has recruited his ass off and has a chance to set up 2017 as top 10-15 preseason ranked and conference title run
OK, the "smart money" seems to be on board with the "under" at 7 wins. So based on that perspective, which 5 games does Texas lose? When I look at the schedule, I don't see one team that is potentially better than they were last year. ND lost 80% of their WR production from 2015, and a game changer in Fuller. Now, with the loss of several defensive starters, and one WR who was a potential contributor, they look even more vulnerable. I still see ND as the best team on the schedule because, on paper, they are still more talented than Texas, and they have two good QBs. IMO , the outcome of that game will depend on who wants it more. I assume the 5 loss bettors have this game as one of the losses, so what are the other 4?
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I disagree I think administration has already decided to give Strong a 4th year unless we're 5-7 again. The GIlbert hire pretty much bought him year 4 IMO.
Agree on the Olympics, it was a complete afterthought until they actually started, then I pretty much watched every night and most of the weekend. Good stuff!
I cannot wait until the season starts. The vaginitis that has taken over our fan base is embarrassing. Handwringing the likes of which I've never seen before a single snap of the football. Sad, sad state of affairs.
If history has taught us anything, and for most on this board it apparently hasn't, there will be maybe 2-4 teams that are truly special and on a different plane. Maybe one of those, OU will be on our schedule this year, maybe. The rest will be also rans and there is no reason Texas can't win those games. We'll find out soon enough.
I cannot wait until the season starts. The vaginitis that has taken over our fan base is embarrassing. Handwringing the likes of which I've never seen before a single snap of the football. Sad, sad state of affairs.
If history has taught us anything, and for most on this board it apparently hasn't, there will be maybe 2-4 teams that are truly special and on a different plane. Maybe one of those, OU will be on our schedule this year, maybe. The rest will be also rans and there is no reason Texas can't win those games. We'll find out soon enough.
Personally I hope it's 1501 to 1001 (2 thousand yarders wouldn't shock me) but curious as to why you think this/make this prediction?
Difference in carries or performance?
Other factor?
I am tailgating all day and will be at the game, give me a September heat wave with 97-100 degrees and even some high humidity. I will definitely suffer for the team, ND would wilt by the end of the 3rd.
Man I miss Robin Williams, Good Morning Vietnam is just one of his many great roles. Very thankful I got to see him do a live show, freaking hilarious. I always picture being a teacher and having him in class, had to be one of the hardest things ever to try to keep your composure and stay on point.
What I can't understand if Swoopes in taking majority of the snaps that would mean he must be moving the chains and doing a pretty good job. Why on earth would he come out the game and stop his momentum? My thought my thought is with short leash there is 2 ways this goes. Swoopes either folds like everyone thinks he is and he comes out after the 2nd drive or he comes out firing and does not come out at all.
Total ignorance. Ketch lays out 7 wins because of so much youth, yet if we hit that mark, Strong should be fired? Regardless of what happens this year, in 2017 the Horns will be highly ranked for a reason.
It's hard to see more than 7 wins with our QBs and reports that our o-line is really struggling, and it should get Charlie fired, but I don't believe for a second that Gilbert came here without assurances Charlie would be safe. Everyone needs to get comfortable with the fact that no matter what, he'll be back.
I'm scared about our season prospects as so many people are drunk on the orange koolaid! Unproven Qb and dline situation along with a young offensive line so I'm not so quick to anoint us a 9 or 10 win team?
Not Ketch, but while I'd have considered those two a near coin flip in July,
A) Foreman went from a reported 250 to what looks like 238 and has shown plenty of zip in the odd practice clip
B) Warren's reported 260+ may be accurate and it's not bad weight but it's putting you in uncharted territory when it comes to pure mass on a guy logging 150+carries
C) Warren already has a nagging hammy and those have a nasty tendency to recur in-season, even in the League with the world's best S&C and guys with "normal" running back bodies (not denigrating Moorer et al with that comment, just saying that outside of Stanford NFL teams are unlikely to be trumped in football sports medicine science and approaches).
Warren can be a pure monster when healthy, but he probably needs to be going pure Herschel Walker with push-ups, sit-ups, yoga and no more traditional strength training. Physics and precedent are working hard against him when it comes to a lengthy high-touch career as a RB. Doesn't mean it's impossible, but wagering on better health and more touches for Foreman feels like a smart-money bet.
I'll assume Ketch is somewhat optimistic about the team he has covered for almost two decades. Ketch thinks 7 wins, then I have to assume with the rose colored glasses removed, this is a 4 to 6 win team.
I really hope Ketch is sandbagging.
I really hope Ketch is sandbagging.
To be clear, when I posted the buy/sell question, this is what I meant. He's so bad in games, he HAS to be good enough in practice to continually get the chances he has.
Also, when I said "BS reports", I wasn't referring to OB reporting what they hear, but am referring to their sources that must be high.
SMH. No. He was fired because of the direction he allowed the program to go. He detached himself instead of continuing to lead. Maybe he got lazy and/or figured he deserved to coast until he decided to retire? But we were headed for 5-7, 6-6, and 7-5 seasons for the rest of his career, IMO. It takes years to turn a big ship around and that's what you are seeing now. 2017 will be a much better year, I think a conference championship year, but we'll have to be patient. I also think we will be in the playoffs in 2018.
