That's just bad analysis. You never know when kicking game issues will rear it's ugly head, so you have to spread the probability across the season.
Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (Notre Dame game is everything)
- Thread starter Ketchum
- Start date
are you suggesting that this team has consistently played well on the road under Strong?
Cause last year it lost by 35, 43, 24 and 18 before stealing a win in Waco.
No, I'd say your remark was the bad analysis.
I have Texas currently losing to Notre Dame, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, One of Baylor/Tech and then TCU.
An upgrade in kicker just doesn't change that thought process.
Both hands with at least one put there by Texas knocking their starting QB out of the game. They then turned around and beat a decent UNC team with the same gameplan in the bowl game. I think that's an underrated win....and it damn sure seemed to help fuel that recruiting finish. I think we see a much different NSD if they lose....and I bet changes the outcome of those four transfers as well.
And just a gut with Boyette...I watched him often and he flashed at times down the stretch. Hoping that experience and another offseason can make for at least him being a productive starter.
- Jan 14, 2011
- 33,999
- 94,900
- 113
You'd be wrong, but I think we are just looking at it differently. I thought of it as predicting as an aggregate total, like how Vegas comes up with their over/under, but it seems you're doing it by a game by game predictive basis then adding that total up, which is generally a bit less accurate, but I see what you mean now.
Overall a good read, the title is flawed. . .we can lose ND and have a great season. Now is this the biggest opening day. . .no question. . .but those are 2 different things.
Mack had his style and if he didn't do well early, it was a problem.
CFS has his style. . . he's proven he likes to close late. . . .don't expect either to copy the other, be who you are.
As for the bolded line. .. . given how well Mack did compared to the services ranking, you are kinda taking a shot at yourself but let's not act like CFS hasn't landed some guys that have been at the very top of the board (like Mack did) for a long time.
CFS has recruited a few guys that look destined for the bust pile too. . . . so does every coach, it's a numbers game.
I can do a LONG list of guys that you and the services ranked 2/3 stars who drew NFL pay checks. . . . . .
Mack had his style and if he didn't do well early, it was a problem.
CFS has his style. . . he's proven he likes to close late. . . .don't expect either to copy the other, be who you are.
As for the bolded line. .. . given how well Mack did compared to the services ranking, you are kinda taking a shot at yourself but let's not act like CFS hasn't landed some guys that have been at the very top of the board (like Mack did) for a long time.
CFS has recruited a few guys that look destined for the bust pile too. . . . so does every coach, it's a numbers game.
I can do a LONG list of guys that you and the services ranked 2/3 stars who drew NFL pay checks. . . . . .
Right? By that logic every game played during the 2005 season was the most important 2nd game, 3rd game, and so on.
"That’s not a hyperbole..."
It is a fact but what was said later falls on the side of hyperbole.
"Just like Charlie Strong, former Texas head coach David McWilliams entered the season with his job hanging in the balance after posting a 16-18 record in his first three seasons as coach and the result of that season-opener against Paterno and Co. would either serve as a springboard or a hangman’s noose."
As you pointed out, David won the game and it "spring boarded" into a pile of nothing. Works both ways too.
We lose to the Domers and win every other game (or 8 more or 9 more or 10 more) then it is just one game. If there is a loss here it does not mean the season is going to have some avalanche in losses.
If there is a season with too many losses it is because the coaching staff did not do their job for an entire season.
It is a fact but what was said later falls on the side of hyperbole.
"Just like Charlie Strong, former Texas head coach David McWilliams entered the season with his job hanging in the balance after posting a 16-18 record in his first three seasons as coach and the result of that season-opener against Paterno and Co. would either serve as a springboard or a hangman’s noose."
As you pointed out, David won the game and it "spring boarded" into a pile of nothing. Works both ways too.
We lose to the Domers and win every other game (or 8 more or 9 more or 10 more) then it is just one game. If there is a loss here it does not mean the season is going to have some avalanche in losses.
If there is a season with too many losses it is because the coaching staff did not do their job for an entire season.
How on earth did you come to that conclusion?
They played just fine on the road in 2014, a true statement. They didn't play well on the road last season, also a true statement. Trying to assess what changed from year 1 to year 2, and how does it, or does it, carry over to year 3, is a much more nuanced conversation, than making some blanket statement that's only half true.
I'll give you WR as well. QB, no way. At least not the first game and more than likely not this year. OL... We may have some better players but we probably have bigger holes as well.
I certainly hopes UT wins this football season because it hurts to much to see Texas looking like Texas State
How do you come to that conclusion on the offensive line? I'm expecting significant improvement. Also at QB it doesn't get much worse than what we've experienced the past two years. Shane may take his freshman "lumps," but I view his floor much higher than the other two.
I've had the win total at 7.5 since February. Vegas agrees with me. Did Vegas change its win total over/under?
I acknowledged that point moments later in the column.
Did you stop in the middle of it to make your post?
No. Not trying to rustle your whatever...the beginning has a tone of "must win or all is lost."
Hang on, I'll read it again....
"Go ahead and buckle your seat belts now because one way or another, what happens in 41 days is going to send us on a ride."
It was just me. My bad.
Cameron Gamble ended up being the best kickoff kicker on the LSU team. Not saying Trent won't be able to perform these duties at UT, but Gamble(Cedar Mound Tx) had the stronger leg.
SOPHOMORE SEASON (2015) -
Saw action in nine games and split kickoff duties with Trent Dominque for a second straight season … Kicked off 43 times with a 57.8-yard average per kickoff, producing five touchbacks … Set a new career high with nine kickoffs in LSU's 56-27 blowout victory over Texas Tech in the Texas Bowl ... Had eight kickoffs for a career-best 481 yards in the win against Western Kentucky … Kicked off all six times versus Florida and recorded three touchbacks ... Saw his first action of 2015 against Eastern Michigan when he kicked off three times.
FRESHMAN SEASON (2014)
Played in seven games as he shared kickoff duties with Trent Dominque Trent Domingue for the first six games of the season and then again against Notre Dame in the Music City Bowl … Had a total of 17 kickoffs with seven going for touchbacks … Produced three touchbacks on five attempts in season-opener against 14th-ranked Wisconsin ... Added three touchbacks on four attempts against New Mexico State.
Edit: just went back and looked at Trent's kickoffs for 2015 - Kicked off 32 times, averaged 58.4 yards per kickoff and produced seven touch backs. So, i was wrong and seems like Trent also has a strong leg on kickoffs. But both of them were blah compared to Nick Rose who recorded touchbacks on 47-of-63 kickoffs (74.6%) … opponents returned just 12 kickoffs during the season, the fewest in the nation for the second-straight year
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Silliness is better than meanness. Boards should be fun, informative and more fun. This is sports, not world hunger.
I get that you run your business differently than Strong runs his. But you often fail to realize that his business is nothing like yours, so your criticism of his organizational approach, details, etc often matter very little. He is in a people and relationship intense business, and that's where he focuses his time and energy. It gets him recruits. It gets him loyalty from his players and coaches. Sometimes it costs him with same and his own loyalty. Likely he should spend more time managing the business end of things or delegating those things. I don't really know, and while I acknowledge you know far, far more than me on that, you don't really know either. You just have better educated speculation.
As to the games themselves. You have touted ND as being a powerhouse with an Oline that's rebuilt and NFL ready. Then you post articles how UTs Dline is never going to be as strong as people hope, because Freshman lineman just aren't ready in the overwhelming number of cases. You have done the same analysis about QBs between the two teams, and other positions and factors. But now, this is the game Charlie has to win? And even if he wins, and starts off 4-1 he "might get off the hot seat"? And I am silly?
If Charlie starts 4-1, he will have beaten at least 2 of 3 teams that will be heavily favored over Texas, along with Cal, on the road, who now at least has a QB replacement to Goff. He wont be off the hot seat. He will be a freaken hero to everyone except the couple of board idiots who I have blocked and whose names escape me.
You cant sit here when Texas is picked to finish the middle of the pack in the B12 and tell me a 4-1 start in the hardest part of the schedule is expected. That's not silliness, that's being a troll, or worse.
Maybe long term for Shane but both ND QBs are better than him right now.
We have a true FS starting at center and An OG next to Shack that isn't exactly a world beater. They have two dudes about to go high in the draft.
Yeah ND does have the edge at QB that's obvious, but Shane is a major upgrade over what we ran out last year.
At center Shack may be a freshman, but he can't be much worse than Doyle, so I'm expecting at the very least the same.
At OG we don't have proven bodies, but there will be a very talented competition going on once fall camp starts. Between Okefor and Hudson, so no matter who wins out there it has to be an upgrade over Flowers.
The only you can say we won't be improved from last year is DL, and even then they didn't exactly perform like world beaters so who knows.
ok, I think you are having a conversation with yourself at this point, but that can be fun, too.
I don't think he's saying that 4-1 is expected. The way I read it is, if Texas beats ND than 4-1 is very possible, and Coach Strongs seat immediately becomes a much more comfortable temperature.
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Some books, but I won't pretend like I know it was solely because of the kicker situation. Point is, the kicker situation does change the expected wins in a positive way in some magnitude, maybe not a .5 magnitude, but it's something and not nothing, and could potentially factor into an extra win.
Sure, it's a very, very positive development, as I explained in the section dedicated to celebrating the event of his arrival.
You should say this once in a while.... "my story didn't come out like I intended, I need to rewrite that junk". Being open with your mistakes will make you happier, more regular, and maybe even grow you a full head of hair.
Although I must say, you are so cute and cuddly when you get testy and dismissive.
