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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (Permission to dream big?)

The point is the team has a very small amount of proven plus players.

That's an important note when talking about a team having a floor of 8-2 or 9-1...
We’ve seen flashes of way more than are being credit by you at this point. While I agree with your take in that you aren’t having expectations pretty much for those guys I believe we are going to see the lightswitch come on and stay on for many of them. Coaching and scheme and health has a lot to do with some of these players you are labeling as unproven. While you are discounting them due to last year or the last couple of years. I believe Texas will have a number of guys finish on that list. Sam E., Cosmi, Kerstetter, Ossai are probably locks. D’shawn is improving all the time and likely makes it. I think Caden having Ash working with him takes the next step. I think Coburn is going to be even better. Overshown or Mitchell are playmakers who are going to be better and may make that cut at year end. Throw in another safety like Chris Brown who has played great and maybe even Foster if he stays consistently healthy. I firmly believe at least 1 maybe 2 wr’s come into their own and could make the list (Jake Smith, Brennan Eagles, Tarik Black and lastly I think Josh Moore will surprise some peeps, we will see Whittington finally). Depending on the rb talent of the big 12 (Chuba and Pooka could be tough to jump) but I think our rb committee is solid. There’s a lot to be excited about. If we play in a big 12 championship which is my expectation I think a lot of Texas players who weren’t on the list in the beginning are on it at season end. There’s a lot of talent while some or most is “unproven” we can’t say that Texas won’t finally click with the coaching overhaul and scheme changes.
 
Herman has lost at least three games in every year of his career outside of one. It's like you don't know your coach :)

then why are articles not being written about “ why is this guy our coach’

Orangebloods is our watchdog.
Orangebloods is our whistle blower.
Orangebloods is our deepthroat.
 
Dude, I don't know you. I don't make wagers in general, not because I lack confidence.

I have 25 years of history I let speak for itself. I have skins all over the walls.

You? You haven't been around here long enough to act like you can talk to me with such bravado.

Sigh...
 
People are exited because you have at worst a top 2 QB in the confrence coming back who is a SR., the best LT in the confrence coming back (who would be taken in the first round if we never played a down this season), a center who graded out as a top 5 returning lineman in the confrence regardless of position, a wr room that is unproven but dripping with talent and a running back room where the guy not generating any hype averaged 5.9 ypc last season.

On D it is possible for Texas to have the best D line in the confrence at worst top 3. The best secondary, maybe 2nd best to TCU and have guys like Ossai and Sterns who if heathy all year have the profile of 1st round NFL draft picks.

If I took the names of the players away and told you Gary Patterson was marching that out on offense this year everybody and there mothers would be talking about TCU ending OUs run of dominance. For that matter if I told you Iowa St had that coming back or Baylor had that coming back it would be a similar tune being sung. It’s only because it’s Texas that people look at it as well we will see, I bet they find some way to screw it up. It is not unwarranted but it is a ****ing exhausting narrative.
 
No. I'm all for dreaming big. But, realistically I'm not sure this program is ready to take off.
Last year we were 7-5 and not allowed to dream big before the season. Now with a 7-3 prediction we should be dreaming big?
 
A few of @Ketchum 's predictions:

2010: He was touting Garret Gilbert so much I placed a Heisman bet on him. GG was the worst QB I've ever seen that year. 5-7

2016: As he stated in the article, We had permission to dream big. 5-7

2020: Quinn Ewers 12th best recruit in the state. (National guy Speigelmen told Suchomel he is the best QB in the nation for all of 2020, 2021 and 2022 classes)

7-3? I'm totally fine with this prediction.
 
The growing pains with a team basically loaded with Sophs. Granted they were highly recruited Sophs. Hell, most of them got hurt.

Plus players

Sam
Sam
all three RBs
Jake S
Eagles is the wildcard

I believe the rest is our line will be serviceable enough to win the Big12.

best QB in Big12, best WR core, best RB core and the best LT.

D

Coburb
Ossai
Every DB we have can be the man
Overshown is the wildcard
Our dline will be the best in the Big12 as will our secondary.

now can the coaches actually win their confidence, get them to believe, and win at a high level? I think Ash and Yurcich certainly can. They have before. At a very high level.

9-1 Big12 champs and a valiant first round loss to either Bama or Clemson.
 
I still cant believe we got ewers coming in the pipeline. This next decade will be different, i feel it.

If not, next decade is definitely ours=)roll
 
No. I'm all for dreaming big. But, realistically I'm not sure this program is ready to take off.

If that is truly where the team is at, we should just quit on the Herman era. I think we will be better than that but if we are not then we are headed for more steps back and another massive rebuild. That’s just the truth.

Let’s look at the competition.

OSU- returns 9 on D but how many of them are NFL draftable players? Chubba is the man , Wallace is a stud and we think Sanders will be good but he has nowhere near a track record that suggests he will be equal to Sam, Purdy, OU’s QB or even Charlie Brewer for that matter. If Chubba ends up hurt or shutting things down at any point I don’t think this team wins more than 6 games. I also haven’t brought up the OL returning only 1 starter or the off-season turmoil between Gundy and his players.

TCU- their starting QB will be..... ? Yea I have no idea, the OL is god awful and the wr room is more unproven than Texas’. We all know Patterson will field at good D. Safety’s are elite. How will they score?

Iowa St - This is the one I’m worried about. Purdy is great, Hall is a good back. TE might be the best in the confrence. WR is a bunch of blah, no Butler or Lazard to be seen here anymore. Iowa state returns a good amount on D and always fields a solid bunch. They recruit well to the scheme and play fundamentally sound. Glad Texas gets them at home.

Baylor- Brewer is back. Mimms is gone. O line is avg at best and Aranda is having to replace 9 on D..... 9. I don’t think anything else needs to follow if you have that amount of turnover at a place like Baylor. UGA, Clemson or Bama they are not.

KState is the best of the rest yet they have to replace their entire o line I believe and Skyler Thompson Is avg at best. I do believe the D will be pretty solid.

Tech, WVU and Kansas all stink.

What I’m getting at is outside of the sooners who deserves the clout? What about the other teams is so much better than Texas that anybody picking Texas to beat them is “homering” or “projecting”. If Texas is projecting then what the hell is most of the slop I mentioned doing? It’s sad we have been let down so much over the years here we sit finding ways why it has to fail because that’s all it has done for most of the previous 10 years. If I said you can swap rosters with anyone in the confrence that is not OU who we swapping with???

We have to pick somebody to play the sooners in the confrence title game right? So why not Texas if that’s what I’m picking against? Texas doesn’t have to be great they need two things and they are big but not impossible. A top 3 offense in the confrence and the DL to be a top 2 or 3 unit in the confrence.

For the record I think Texas goes 8-2 and does get into the confrence title game. I could see 9-1.
 
Ketch is suffering from TDS (Texas Derangement Syndrome).
 
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Knock on wood, we're a mere five days and change until the 2020 Texas football team kicks off its season and I'm going to make a confession...

I don't know what to tell you.

As the sand has passed through the hour glass in recent weeks, I'm intrigued by the reality that I find myself so unsure about the 2020 Texas Longhorns, while so many others seem to certain about the upcoming season.

"7-3 would be disaster!"

"8-2 is the minimum bar!"

"We should win every game."

I see the constant stream of confidence and I wonder if we're all watching the same football program.

From my vantage point, there are two things that I'm confident that I know about this year's Longhorns:

a. The program has been stuck in manure for the last decade and is literally coming off a 7-5 season that led to the removal of 70-percent of Tom Herman's coaching staff.

b. I don't have a great feeling for what to expect.

That's it. That's my list.

I suppose I know a few more things. I know Teras lost four Big 12 games in 2019, TCU drop-kicked the Longhorns upside the head for the fifth time in six years and Baylor won by two touchdowns and led 21-3 going into the fourth quarter. Oh, and Kansas nearly beat Texas at DKR.

Yeah yeah, yeah... Texas hung with LSU and Oklahoma for four quarters if you're into moral victories defining your hope. The Longhorns also beat the hell out of Utah so bad in the bowl game that it became impossible to not wonder if Herman should fire a coach every week.

The reason I'm beyond the point of exasperation is that we've seen Texas flash over the course of the last decade, and I have no doubt they'll flash again at various points in 2020.

Yet, this has been a program that has taken two steps forward and 2.5 steps back for pretty much an entire decade and while everyone makes grand predictions about the upcoming season, all I want to know is this...

What the hell have you guys seen that makes you believe this season is the moment when Texas football draws a line in the sand and declares, "I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take it any more!"

Believe me, I want to believe. I'm like a 10-year old kid wanting to believe in Santa, that's how bad I want to believe. In case you haven't noticed, we're in a pandemic and a bad-ass Texas football team would be one hell of a good thing for business, so when I tell you that I want to believe, know that with every piece of my soul I'd wish Texas to a 10-0 season and into the playoff if I could.

But, I'm the guy that gave you permission to dream big in 2016. Remember that? How'd that go?

No, the truth of the matter is that we've seen one okey-doke after another starting with the 2010 season and I've jumped on that hook, line and sinker enough times that I'm going to wait until I see that worm talking to a family member before I go for a bite again without caution.

What I worry about with this team is that it's been sucked down into being average for so long that it truly doesn't know how to get out of it. It's a cycle that plagued the Longhorns from the mid-80s through the early portion of Mack Brown's tenure. Mediocrity has become muscle-memory around this program. Does it have the steel that a guy like Vince Young gave it to pull itself out of the Oklahoma domination 15 years ago? Is that who Sam is?

Until I see a weekly level of anger and unbreakable resolution from the boys in burnt orange, you'll forgive me if I don't see 7-3 as unrealistic when it represents more than this program has regularly accomplished since Charlie Sheen was the highest-paid actor on television.

Yeah, man. It's been that long.

No. 2 - Falling off the deep end ...

If you missed it on Friday, I took the first step towards the deep end of the pool when I released the first stream of data related to the historical output of the state's top-ranked offensive linemen in the Rivals.com rankings from 2002-2015.

Basically, the data confirmed what you already likely knew, which is the Lone Star State and (specifically) the Texas program perform well-below the national norms.

But, how much under the national norms?

That question steered me into some deep waters this weekend, as I set out to provide context to the UT offensive line development problem by being able to directly inspect it with the proper amount of context.

So, I not only researched the state of Texas, but I also specifically broke down the numbers in California and Florida. When that felt like it wasn't enough, I charted the success rates of each area of the country. Finally, I narrowed my focus to schools like Alabama, Ohio State and Oklahoma.

By the time I was done with the research this weekend, I had reviewed the careers of more than 600 of the highest ranked offensive linemen in the country among the high school ranks, including every four- or five-star line prospect from 2002-2015.

Before I take you head-first into the data, I want to explain why I'm using the NFL drafted data points for emphasis.

1. None of this is subjective. In terms of compiling data, it's either a yes or no. There's no debate. The system is the purest means of evaluating the development of talent at the end of each player's cycle.

2. While there are occasional exceptions to the rule, this method of measurement leaves out very few top-level college players, which means that it ends up providing data for us that is generally strong enough to not be impacted drastically with a smattering anomalies.

3. This is not the end-all of useful data, but what it does allow for us to do to is stick an actual numerical value on recruiting rankings and their individual worth.

I'm all ears if anyone has any better ideas.

No. 3 - The Longhorns vs. the national numbers ...

From 2002-15, here's a look at the performance breakdown of each of the top four rankings tiers in the Rivals.com rankings system with regards to players being drafted in the NFL.

* 46.3% (25 of 54) of five-star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams:
* 34.2% (28 of 82) of high-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 23.0% (26 of 113) of mid-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 14.7% (50 of 341) of low four-star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams.

From 2002-15, here's a look at the performance breakdown of each of the top four rankings tiers in the Rivals.com rankings system with regards to players from the state of Texas being drafted in the NFL.

* 22.2% (2 of 9) of five-star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams:
* 35.7% (5 of 14) of high-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 6.7% (1 of 15) of mid-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 21.1% (8 of 38) of low four-star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams.

From 2002-15, here's a look at the performance breakdown of each of the top four rankings tiers in the Rivals.com rankings system with regards to Longhorns from the state of Texas being drafted in the NFL.

* 33.3% (1 of 3) of five-star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams:
* 14.3% (1 of 7) of high-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 0.0% (0 of 6) of mid-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 8.3% (1 of 12) of low four-star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams.

What's interesting about the data as it relates to the state of Texas is how much the numbers in prove in a couple of areas when you pull the Longhorns out of the development equation.

* 57.1% (4 of 7) of high-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 11.1% (1 of 9) of mid-four star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams
* 26.9% (7 of 26) of low four-star offensive line prospects were drafted by NFL teams.

No. 4 - Comparing Texas vs. other programs ...

Here's the percentages of drafted players including all five- and four-star prospects from 2002-2015:

Florida 42.1% (8 of 19)
Alabama 37.5% (9 of 24)
Miami 33.3% (6 of 18)
Georgia 31.3% (5 of 16)
Ohio State 30.4% (7 of 23)
USC 29.6% (8 of 27)
Oklahoma 26.3% (5 of 19)
Auburn 25% (6 of 24)
Michigan 19.2% (5 of 26)
LSU 15.4% (4 of 26)
Texas 10.7% (3 of 28)

Here's the percentages of drafted players including all five- and high four-star prospects from 2002-2015:

Auburn 83.3% (5 of 6)
Alabama 60.0% (6 of 10)
Miami 50.0% (2 of 4)
USC 40.0% (6 of 15)
Georgia 40.0% (2 of 5)
Florida 37.5% (3 of 8)
Ohio State 33.3% (3 of 9)
LSU 25.0% (1 of 4)
Texas 20.0% (2 of 10)
Michigan 14.3% (1 of 7)
Oklahoma 0.0% (0 of 2)

Here's the percentages of drafted players including all mid- and low four-star prospects from 2002-2015:

Florida 45.5% (5 of 11)
Oklahoma 29.4% (5 of 17)
Miami 28.9% (4 of 14)
Ohio State 28.6% (4 of 14)
Georgia 25.0% (3 of 12)
Alabama 21.4% (3 of 14)
Michigan 21.1% (4 of 19)
USC 16.7% (2 of 12)
LSU 13.6% (3 of 22)
Auburn 5.6% (1 of 18)
Texas 5.6% (1 of 18)

A couple of notes worth mentioning...

* Five of the 6 five-stars Alabama has recruited from 2002-2015 have been drafted. Four of the six have been first round picks and the other was selected in the second round.

* Not to be completely outdone, Auburn has had 5 of the 6 highest-rated prospects in program history from 2002-2015 drafted by NFL teams.

* Oklahoma is 0 for 4 with the four-highest rated linemen in program history from 2002-2015, but have made some money in that low four-star tier. In fact, Oklahoma developed more low-four-star linemen in its 2015 recruiting class into drafted players than Texas had in all of those years.

* No program in the country has signed more five and four star high school offensive line prospects between 2002-2015 than Texas (28).

No. 5 - The regions with the most talent ...

This might be the most interesting section of data for my money.

In hopes of determining which areas of the country are developing the best talent, I did breakdowns on the following states/regions of the country.

* Mid-Atlantic (Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Connecticut, Vermont, Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Washington DC and West Virgnia

* Midwest (Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota and South Dakota

* Southeast (Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, South Carolina, Kentucky and Tennessee)

* West (California, Oregon,. Washington, New Mexico, Colorado, Utah, Arizona, Montana, Wyoming, Idaho, Nevada and Alaska)

Here's the percentages of drafted players including all five-star prospects from 2002-2015:

West 66.7% (8 of 12)
Southeast 50.0% (7 of 14)
Mid-Atlantic 50% (6 of 12)
Midwest 28.6% (2 of 7)
Texas 22.2 (2 of 9)

Here's the percentages of drafted players including all high four-star prospects from 2002-2015:

West 45.5% (5 of 11)
Texas 35.7% (5 of 14)
Mid-Atlantic 35% (7 of 20)
Southeast 25.0% (4 of 16)
Midwest 21.4% (3 of 14)

Here's the percentages of drafted players including all mid four-star prospects from 2002-2015:

Mid-Atlantic 38.9% (7 of 18)
Southeast 33.3% (13 of 39)
Midwest 20.0% (3 of 15)
'West 8.3% (2 of 24)
Texas 6.7% (1 of 15)

Here's the percentages of drafted players including all low four-star prospects from 2002-2015:

Midwest 17.3% (9 of 52)
Texas 16.2% (6 of 37)
'West 13.9% (10 of 72)
Southeast 13.6% (14 of 103)
Mid-Atlantic 13.4% (9 of 67)

So, what would be my 3-step plan to rebuilding the planning along the offensive line recruiting if I was basing it on this data.

1. Heavily target the elite offensive line talent out West.
2. Emphasize building some in-roads into a very talented and insanely underrated Mid-Atlantic region.
3. Once you get beyond, the elite of the elite prospects in the West and Mid-Atlantic, there's not much reason to leave the state of Texas for low-four star talent and below. There's no real regional advantage to be found the deeper you go into the talent pool.

No. 6 - Scattershooting on Longhorns football ...

... Does the entire season come down to how well Denzel Okafor and Christian Jones come together on the right side of the offensive line? That might be a little much, but there's no question that one of the subplots to this season is just how well that side of the line can play.

... The closer the season gets, the more I'm starting to think Roschon Johnson has been marginalized because of the looming Bijan Robinson shadow, but don't be shocked if he ends up building off of last season's start at running back with a year that takes a back seat to few on this roster.

... Brennan Eagles showing up needing to be pushed into game shape is beyond disappointment. Come on, Brennan!

... I sure would like to have heard Jordan Whittington's name a little more in camp.

... I'm not sure Whittington really pushed Jake Smith in camp. Buy all the Jake Smith stock you can.

... Where's the pass rush coming from outside of Joseph Ossai? I don't know.

... I think Alfred Collins might be starting by the Oklahoma game.

No. 7 – BUY or SELL …
penny-stocks-to-buy-or-sell-august.jpg



(Sell) I need to see it to believe it.


(Sell) It's the first game. I wouldn't be surprised if Texas is in the 30s and UTEP scores a couple of touchdowns. Texas just needs to get the game played, win and show some improvement.


(Sell)


(Sell) I'm just not sure Texas is going to have a chance to break in Card this year unless there's an injury.


(Buy) If you set it at 3.5, I might take the under, though.


(Sell) I think there's a zero-percent chance Sam accounts for 45+ touchdowns in 10 games.


(Buy) I bet it's better than people think. Gonna be a lot of people dying to scream after the job 2020 has done on us.


(Sell) I need to see it to believe it. It just feels like hype right now.


(Sell) At least one game gets cancelled or postponed. Just a guess.


(Sell) Not being last might as well be the same as being first for Bob.


(Sell) I've watched a lot of hoops this week.


(Sell) I have to believe Rattler finishes as a Top 2 quarterback.


(Sell) It's not impossible, but I'll say they get two in as of right now.

No. 8 - Scattershooting on the world of sports ...

... I weirdly enjoyed the SMU/Texas State game. I can't explain why other than to say... FOOTBALL!

... Bring on mighty undefeated UTEP! Seriously, having played a game is a nice little advantage for UTEP going into this game.

... BYU/Navy has a chance to be a fun little college football game on Monday.

... My fantasy draft is tomorrow and I don't have any idea what I plan to do with the 8th pick.

... Isn't Brandon Carr a little old to be on the Dallas practice squad? I guess not.

... DeShaun Watson's contract was just a not nail in the coffin in the idea that Dallas won't eventually pay Dak prescott every dime he wants.

... Mitch Trubisky is the starting quarterback in Chicago. Have fun, Bears fans.

... Of course, that happened to Novak Djokovic. Good grief.

... I might be the only person who believes this, but Leo Messi's problems are all Leo Messi's fault. When you're worth over 100 million per year as a brand and you don't have elite lawyers advising you, any contract issue is one person and one person's fault only.

... If Gini Wijnaldum has played his last game for Liverpool, he'll leave as a legend of the club and a key piece of everything the club has accomplished over the last few seasons. Consider me sad, as he'll be the first true critical piece of the last few seasons to move on if he heads to Barcelona. Excuse me while I tear up.

No. 9 - The List: Best Yacht Rock Songs ...

40 years ago this week, Christopher Cross topped the Billboard rankings with the iconic "Sailing".

With that in. mind, I give you my Top 10 Yacht Rock songs of all-time.

10. Baby Come Back (Player)
9. How Much I Feel (Ambrosia)
8. Arthur's Theme (Christopher Cross)
7. What a Fool Believes (Doobie Brothers)
6. This Is It (Kenny Loggins)
5. Rosanna (Toto)
4. Hey Nineteen (Steely Dan)
3. Africa (Toto)
2. Waiting for a Girl Like You (Foreigner)
1. Saling (Christopher Cross)

No.10 - And finally...

7-3.

That's my season prediction.
Sad prediction sir, go back home and you are not allowed to post on OB for 3 days, one day for each of the terrible loses you predicted. The ban, @Suchomel , begins on Tuesday and lasts until Friday...however you may do your podcast on Thursday. So it is written, so let it be upheld & enforced @Suchomel (forget he's your boss).
 
Thanks Ketch. You saved me a lot of time trying to gather the data myself, and I’ve always been curious how the state stacks up on a national level.

I think it’s the spread offense all the Texas teams run in high school and college that’s hurting their pro potential, but I’d love your take.

Also Ohio State’s 2015 NC game against Oregon was on tv tonight so I watched to see Ash’s defense—and it got me a little excited.
 
I have a gut feeling that we are going to regret moving Kerstetter to center.
 
Why are people so mad at Ketch about his prediction? It's what he believes. I think we win at least eight games and easily hit 50-60 points this Saturday. We will all see, but any Horn fan should have a little doubt considering Herman's track record of losing games he shouldn't. Hopefully the new coaches make the difference. As for Eagles, too bad he's such a head case. He's been that since last season. I hope he gets it together because he is talented. This is most likely his last season here. Hope it's a great one.
 
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Sell) It's the first game. I wouldn't be surprised if Texas is in the 30s and UTEP scores a couple of touchdowns. Texas just needs to get the game played, win and show some improvement.

Immediate riot in Hong Kong. Lucky there’s no target here in that case.
 
When you say loaded, what do you mean?

This team returns zero truly proven difference makers outside of its quarterback and left tackle. Even Ossai isn't proven week ik and week out in the role he's being placed in.

Didn’t you spend about 30 posts arguing that Eagles was a proven player when half the board was arguing against you? ;)
 
I don’t know if it’s already been mentioned, but Ronn Moss, who portrayed Ridge Forrester in the CBS soap opera The Bold and the Beautiful, was a member of Player (bass player).
 
I suspect the defense will be better

There isn’t an offensive line to hang our hat on, that’s going on ten plus years. One of Herman’s most glaring failures. His inability to recruit difference makers on the OL.

QB is a 4 year starter who should be good for a win or two just because he’s a 4 year starting Sr. However, bad o-line play can neutralize that advantage in the blink of a blitz. Again, we just don’t know on the OL.

Kicking game should be a push. While place kicking and punting are effective, kick return was atrocious last year. If that can get back to average, that’s an improvement.

OU has a freshman QB and their main threat at RB opted out. If Herman can’t win the title this year, it will be reasonable to wonder if he ever can. And if we’re wondering that at the end of his 4th year, then he’s probably NOT the guy.

Our two hardest games should be @osu and at home against ISU. Both those teams return a lot of starters. I’ll throw ZeroU in there because of the Riley factor. If Texas goes 0-3 in those games. CDC better start planning for his next head coach.
 
Eagles stock is low.
Too much begging for him to rise up.
Let's just hope someone else will step up.

Eagles underperformed last season. Not sure why anyone expected something different this year. He doesn’t have IT.
 
How many did they have at the end though is my point. Hell they had more drafted than made 1st or 2nd team.
Yes, but having some bad ass proven players matters for a team with title aspirations. Texas doesn't have many. It literally needs every development and bounce to go its way IMO.
 
At Texas he has always lost an OOC game. That won’t happen this year.

At Texas he has always faced an OU QB in his 3rd or 4th year of college. That won’t happen this year.

At Texas he has never had a 4th year starting QB. That will happen this year.

Again, I’m not arguing that we WONT go 7-3, in just saying if we do, there’s no argument that can be said to keep Herman.
Just the buyout.
 
then why are articles not being written about “ why is this guy our coach’

Orangebloods is our watchdog.
Orangebloods is our whistle blower.
Orangebloods is our deepthroat.
Some might say this article was a whistle.
 
It's usually the people who are the most consistently rude to me that have the biggest issue with me responding to posters who are rude to me.

I can set my watch by it.
 
People are exited because you have at worst a top 2 QB in the confrence coming back who is a SR., the best LT in the confrence coming back (who would be taken in the first round if we never played a down this season), a center who graded out as a top 5 returning lineman in the confrence regardless of position, a wr room that is unproven but dripping with talent and a running back room where the guy not generating any hype averaged 5.9 ypc last season.

On D it is possible for Texas to have the best D line in the confrence at worst top 3. The best secondary, maybe 2nd best to TCU and have guys like Ossai and Sterns who if heathy all year have the profile of 1st round NFL draft picks.

If I took the names of the players away and told you Gary Patterson was marching that out on offense this year everybody and there mothers would be talking about TCU ending OUs run of dominance. For that matter if I told you Iowa St had that coming back or Baylor had that coming back it would be a similar tune being sung. It’s only because it’s Texas that people look at it as well we will see, I bet they find some way to screw it up. It is not unwarranted but it is a ****ing exhausting narrative.
I don't need to have it explained why people are excited.

Hell, I'm excited.

That being said, nowhere in your post did you mention a single question mark, of which there are many about this team, no?
 
Let the record show we have 5 this year as well and they are all on the FIRST team
pre-season lists haven't mattered in a decade. That you just mentioned them is funny to me.

Caden Sterns is first-team all-Big 12 in the pre-season and he touched a football in a game last season one more time than you did.
 
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A few of @Ketchum 's predictions:

2010: He was touting Garret Gilbert so much I placed a Heisman bet on him. GG was the worst QB I've ever seen that year. 5-7

2016: As he stated in the article, We had permission to dream big. 5-7

2020: Quinn Ewers 12th best recruit in the state. (National guy Speigelmen told Suchomel he is the best QB in the nation for all of 2020, 2021 and 2022 classes)

7-3? I'm totally fine with this prediction.
It warms my heart with the flood of possible mistakes I make on a daily basis, you have three fairly whack ones to define me by.

* The GG grip is legit. It's 10 years old, by the way and he's still earning NFL paychecks.

* Permission to dream big should forever serve as a warning and yet the important parts are apparently forgotten.

* lol at suggesting that Ewers is a prediction.

Technically, only one of those re predictions...
 
The growing pains with a team basically loaded with Sophs. Granted they were highly recruited Sophs. Hell, most of them got hurt.

Plus players

Sam
Sam
all three RBs
Jake S
Eagles is the wildcard

I believe the rest is our line will be serviceable enough to win the Big12.

best QB in Big12, best WR core, best RB core and the best LT.

D

Coburb
Ossai
Every DB we have can be the man
Overshown is the wildcard
Our dline will be the best in the Big12 as will our secondary.

now can the coaches actually win their confidence, get them to believe, and win at a high level? I think Ash and Yurcich certainly can. They have before. At a very high level.

9-1 Big12 champs and a valiant first round loss to either Bama or Clemson.
wow, you have them in the playoffs and they haven't so much as proven anything to you in front of your very eyes?
 
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