Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (Don't be surprised when these things happen...)

Discussion in 'Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend Archive' started by Ketchum, Jul 29, 2018.

  1. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    [​IMG]

    Almost.

    A-l-m-o-s-t.

    We're five days away from the start of August training camp, which means this is the last dead-season column of the year. If you think you guys are desperate for the off-season to end, imagine being a writer with an empty bucket of off-season narratives to analyze. Whatever happens this season is whatever happens, but for the love of God, can we please get on with it?!?!

    Almost.

    Given that actual passes will be thrown, blocks will be made and competition will commence, I thought it might be a good idea to go ahead and put all of the expectations for the next month on the table. The thirst for information is such that it's easy to lose sight of the forest through the trees.

    Here's a list of things I expect to occur over the course of the next month or so. When these things happen, there won't be any reason to have a surprise reaction.

    You've been warned.

    Game-week decision at quarterback

    Nothing about the way Tom Herman is approaching the quarterback competition suggests he'll want to announce a starter until he absolutely has to, which means it'll probably be the Monday before the opener before we know, although it wouldn't surprise me if he waits until the day of the Maryland game before announcing a decision.

    Sam Ehlinger will take the majority of the work with the first-team offense

    Junior Shane Buechele is going to have to play really, really well or Ehlinger is going to have to be a disaster in camp in order for Ehlinger to lose the job of running out with the offense for the first series against the Terps. Throughout this off-season, Ehlinger has been the first guy to run out with the first-team offense. He's received more first-team reps. The expectations inside the program are that Ehlinger will emerge as the starter. Regardless of what Herman says publicly about the matter, Ehlinger enters camp as a heavy betting favorite.

    Defense controls the offense

    There will be days when the offense potentially gets the best of the defense. Hell, it might even happen in a scrimmage at some point, especially if Tom Herman instructs Todd Orlando to go vanilla during the proceedings, but day in and day out, the Texas defense is going to get the better of the Texas offense.

    Offense is a serious work in progress

    Just to be clear, this is an offense that enters the off-season with a quarterback battle taking place, the integration of multiple new running backs that weren't involved in spring workouts, multiple tight ends coming back from injury and an offensive line that still needs to make a leap of progress. Oh, and the unit hasn't established an identity yet that it can lean on. Don't freak out about the lack of hyperbole and don't get too excited if a bit of hyperbole is used in the next month. It is what is.

    Youth will rule

    The 2018 recruiting class is not only the first true group of Tom Herman's guys to enter the program, it's loaded with the kind of talent that can take an upperclassman's job if that upperclassman leaves the door open (even a little). Expect buzz. Expect hyperbole. Expect Herman to embrace it all.

    [​IMG]

    No. 2 - Going out of state ...

    I can't tell which part of the Texas out-of-state recruiting strategy impresses me more ...

    a. The fact that 47 percent of the 2019 recruiting class is from outside of the state of Texas.

    b. The fact that the Longhorns have gone to five different states to put together that 47 percent, including areas in which the current staff doesn't have a lot of history of success.

    Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia and Oklahoma ... this staff goes where the talent is.

    There's some interesting discussion to be had about the importance of balancing recruiting well out of state with the need to lock down the most important regions of the state of Texas (something the Longhorns aren't totally achieving), but don't let the fact that the Longhorns aren't crushing it in-state at the same levels as last signing day get in the way of the reality that this staff is approaching recruiting exactly the way some of us have been begging for the coaches to do for 20+ years.

    I'm a guy that is big about having options and heavily expanding the recruiting map has not only given the staff options in a recruiting year when they are dearly needed, but it has saved the 2019 recruiting class at this point when you consider that six of the team's 10 current Rivals.com four stars are from out of state.

    I never thought any of us would live to see the day when Texas would recruit in this fashion.

    The issues that Texas has in-state in this year's class isn't ideal and can't continue annually, but the bottom line is that the Longhorns have the seventh-highest average star ranking in the country. There are a lot of ways to put together a nationally elite class. As long as you get there, it doesn't matter the path that led you there.

    No. 3 - But, can he play offensive line...

    Yes, Javonne Shepherd can.

    Given the lack of big-time offensive line options staring at the Longhorns in the face in the 2019 class, securing Shepherd this weekend was incredibly critical. He won't be the highest-ranked member of this class. Hell, he might not finish in the top 10. yet when you consider the desperate need that the Longhorns still have to upgrade the offensive line talent inside the program, few recruits in this class will carry more pure value to the table.

    It also serves as a less than subtle reminder to the members of the Texas A&M football community that the Longhorns can still serve up a five-knuckle sandwich on them in recruiting, just in case anyone started feeling too good about a very good recruiting class that is further away from the Longhorns in average star ranking per prospect than Texas is to Alabama.

    Sunday was a reminder of the proper world order of things.

    Oh, and Shepherd can play offensive tackle. Let's not forget about that.

    No. 4 - This deserves its own section ..

    Rest in peace, Frank Denius. One of the classiest people I've ever had a chance to meet in my time of covering Texas athletics.

    No. 5 - I used to squat 500+ pounds in high school ...

    Imagine if I had been able to work out with Yancy McKnight?


    No. 6 - Story-time with Uncle Ketch...
    [​IMG]

    For those that don't know my full history, I joined Rivals.com in 1999 and spent two years working in the same office as Bobby Burton and Jeremy Crabtree in what was the original recruiting hub of the network before it set up shop in Seattle (and then later in Nashville).

    It was the old days of the Internet ... the true Wild, Wild West.

    Inside this little office, the three of us were no more than 10 feet away from each other at all times, which means that one of the best parts of the job was listening in on the conversations that were taking place around us. You never knew when a national-championship winning head coach would be calling the office to talk recruiting because the industry was just different back then.

    For college coaches across the country, we were dialed into the recruiting scene in ways that has never existed before and coaches loved to call us in the name of swapping information.

    Well, there was one head coach that used to call the office all the time. Frankly, this guy is a legend in the recruiting industry for his ability to recruit nationally.

    One day, this coach called the office with a request.

    It turns out that the coach had been talking to a kid in Florida that his school was recruiting about star rankings. Apparently, the coach had made the kid a promise - if he committed to him, he would help get the kid his missing fifth star.

    "I need you to make him a five-star for me," the coach told Rivals. "I told him I could do it."

    When told that we couldn't move this prospect into five-star territory just because he wanted us to, the coach made a strong case for the player to receive the fifth star. It was the sales job of all sales jobs. The passion during the speech was evident.

    Still, the kid wasn't going to get his fifth star and that was that. Eventually, the coach conceded.

    "That's ok," he relayed back. "He's not my first or second choice, anyway."

    No. 7 – Buy or Sell …

    [​IMG]

    BUY or SELL: Texas ends up with a top-25 defense and a top-50 offense?

    (Sell) I'm iffy on this answer, just for the record. I suppose I'll believe in the offense when it gives me true reasons to do so.

    BUY or SELL: Now that over half of the recruiting class is set, we can confidently predict that Texas will land a consecutive top-5 recruiting class?

    (Sell) In order to pull off a top five class, Texas needs to land a few more monsters, including a number of national top-50 players. A top-10 class is doable, but I'm not sure about a top-5 class.

    BUY or SELL: A 3-star recruit Texas commit almost 100 percent of the time will change to a 4 star months later, not deserving of such?

    (Sell) For a kid that is relatively unknown, a commitment to Texas simply forces an enhanced evaluation that might not have otherwise existed without the commitment, but it doesn't automatically translate to him receiving four-star status. There have been moments of recruiting inflation over the years with Texas commitments, but it's not a consistent issue.

    BUY or SELL: Herman addresses DFW recruiting after next season?

    (Buy) There will be at least one change in the off-season on the coaching staff.

    BUY or SELL: Herman takes over play-calling during the USC game and keeps it going forward?

    (Sell) I think he would view that as desperation and I'm not sure he's close to that point.

    BUY or SELL: Beating the 6 teams we will be HEAVY favorites against (Maryland, Tulsa, Baylor, ISU, Kansas, Tech) and then going 2-4 against the teams we are not heavy favorites against (but still possibly favorites) would be a successful season?

    (Sell) It would be improvement, but it wouldn't be a successful season. A Texas successful season in football ends with either a conference title, a major bowl game or both. Eight wins is barely a successful season at Texas Tech.

    BUY or SELL: Recruiting high talent can overcome an average college strength and conditioning program?

    (Buy) Some will say that the Longhorns overcame it in Mack Brown's most successful stretch.

    BUY or SELL: Do you think Marcus Tillman ends up a 4 Star?

    (Buy) It's certainly possible when you consider he is already very close to that status.

    BUY or SELL: Billy Liucci is the biggest douche bag you have ever met?

    (Sell) Not even close. I actually like Billy.

    BUY or SELL: Will Baker signs with Texas?

    (Buy) Yeah, he's a Westlake kid. I'll always put my money on Texas for a Westlake basketball player.

    No. 8 – Eternal Randomness of the Spotty Sports Mind …

    ... I have never been this disinterested in the Dallas Cowboys in my entire life. It's not any one thing, it's a lot of stuff, but the resigned loss of intensity in the most important pro sports team in my life is real. It's really hard to comprehend.

    ... When Kevin Durant is done playing basketball, he's going to be remembered for his basketball exploits first, all of the social media stuff second. The benefit of winning rings is that it allows your positive narratives to dominate the negative narratives.

    Example: Ray Lewis

    ... As someone that was a kid in the 80s and viewed him as a baseball-playing god, I'm all for
    Dale Murphy being in the MLB Hall of Fame.

    ... It's time for Christian Pulisic to fulfill his destiny as a Liverpool player. Come to Klopp.

    ... Welcome to Liverpool.


    ... Welcome to the MLS.
    [​IMG]

    No. 9 - The List: Best NFL Running Backs of All-Time ...

    10. Adrian Peterson
    9. Tony Dorsett
    8. O.J. Simpson
    7. Eric Dickerson
    6. Earl Campbell
    5. Marshall Faulk
    4. Barry Sanders
    3. Walter Payton
    2. Jim Brown
    1. Emmitt Smith

    Just to be clear, Smith's resume and accomplishments make this an easy call, especially at a position when the players are all quite aesthetically different from each other.

    All-time leading rusher by 1,600+ yards. Three championships. Both a regular-season and Super Bowl MVP. Legendary performances in big games.

    Of the backs in the Super Bowl era, only one put a decade-defining dynasty on his shoulders week-in and week-out.

    No. 10 – And Finally ...

    This isn’t important, but it sure made me smile on Sunday morning.
    Tweet!
     
    1 Ketchum, Jul 29, 2018
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2018
  2. jshorn

    jshorn Everyone's favorite poster
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    In for later
     
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  3. Mr Poon

    Mr Poon Comanche Indian
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    Love the GoPro dog
     
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  4. SparkHorn

    SparkHorn Well-Known Member
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    “BUY or SELL: Herman addresses DFW recruiting after next season?

    (Buy) There will be at least one change in the off-season on the coaching staff.”

    The answer is the head coach at Kansas this season. Former high school coach in DFW for 11 years and absolutely shredded Texas recruiting DFW under Sumlin.

    And he built the Rice no huddle offense with Herman.

    Couldn’t be a better fit or homerun hire for Texas.

    I’d also like to add regarding what a homerun Beaty would be:

    At QB you have Herman & Beck leading the recruitment and it doesnt get any better then those two and by seeing who they have already landed there should be no debate.

    At RB you have Drayton while he’s yet to pull a top dog its coming in either Cain or Evans. The fact we got the #1 RB in the country to come in is very telling. His resume speaks for itself.

    At OL you have Hand who is widely regarded at every stop hes been at as one of the best OL recruiters in the country. He’s already hauling them in and yet to coach a down for us.

    At WR we just lost the best WR instate prospect in years who plays in our backyard. Beaty played WR in college and that was his position he coached majority of his coaching career. You now move him in at WR/co-OC and pay him a buttload.

    At TE you move Mehringer to this position. I know some have doubts on him but he is still young, and is someone Herman trusts to help with the overall gameplan. Plus the offense is moving to putting more TEs on the field including the flex position.

    You reassign Warehime like Bama does as a highly paid quality control coach or send him back down to our minor league affiliate coaching staff at Cougar High for more grooming then call him up when he’s ready or we have more coaches shuffling. Basically what James Casey and Kenny Guiton are doing right now both former Herman players.

    The offense would have stud recruiters at every position.
     
    4 SparkHorn, Jul 29, 2018
    Last edited: Jul 30, 2018
  5. VALonghorns

    VALonghorns Well-Known Member
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    nobody is ahead of Jim Brown at RB
     
  6. egeisler

    egeisler This is my shocked face.
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  7. marinehorn

    marinehorn Well-Known Member
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    I can hang on. Football is almost back and picking up some huge commits this weekend helps.
     
  8. egeisler

    egeisler This is my shocked face.
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    Me likey.
     
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  9. DimiHorn

    DimiHorn Well-Known Member
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    Emmitt Smith is not the best RB ever. He wasn’t even the best of his era.

    Barry Sanders is the greatest. 99% of non Cowboy fans agree on this.
     
  10. LonghornDale

    LonghornDale No one laughs at a master of Quack Fu!
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    that GoPro has probably been eaten by now
     
  11. gls3133

    gls3133 Well-Known Member
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    8a. It happens
     
  12. cyrohud

    cyrohud Well-Known Member
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    If he gets fired, he will have plenty of options imo
     
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  13. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    Mack had a chance to hire him once upon a time and passed. No way Herman would IMO.
     
  14. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    Hard for me to put a guy in that played before the modern era of the sport, even as great as he was.

    Plus, what is the Jim Brown signature moment?
     
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  15. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    Barry Sanders only played in a couple of games that mattered in his entire life and he wasn't great in them.
     
  16. VALonghorns

    VALonghorns Well-Known Member
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    Jim Brown averaged 5.2 yards per carry for his career...mainly from the FB position. He could block, catch, run, throw and kick.
    You are right---it is not close
     
  17. CS

    CS Social Justice Warrior
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    [​IMG]
     
  18. CS

    CS Social Justice Warrior
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    No back that two different head coaches benched for the most crucial carries of the game has any business being ranked ahead of Emmitt Smith.
     
  19. AnwarsFedora

    AnwarsFedora Well-Known Member
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    F$*k Billy Dildo.
     
  20. dlux

    dlux Well-Known Member
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    Elite OOS recruiting is the key to becoming a playoff/championship team.

    Every other powerhouse team recruits nationally on a high-level. We should too. Glad to see it happening early and often.
     
  21. Hsmith

    Hsmith Well-Known Member
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  22. Longhorns4 Life

    Longhorns4 Life Well-Known Member
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    BUY or SELL: Billy Liucci is the biggest douche bag you have ever met?
    (Sell) Not even close. I actually like Billy.

    Of course, you like ole Billy Boy but I agree he's not as big of a douche bag as that bathroom stalker Hamm. I've actually talked to Billy before when I wasn't decked out in my Horns gear. He seemed kinda nice but a tad bit slow in the head when he had to actually think. I guess since I was in that craphole CS he thought I was just another aggy.
     
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  23. No Avatar

    No Avatar Well-Known Member
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    So is it true like the OU site is reporting that Malik Jefferson bad mouthed the staff to a recruit?
     
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  24. HllCountryHorn

    HllCountryHorn Well-Known Member
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    I had the honor and privilege to spend a little time with him over the last ten to fifteen years. Great American, Texan, Longhorn Fan Number One. RIP Mr. Denius.
     
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  25. Change My Name

    Change My Name Well-Known Member
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    Terrible write-up @Ketchum, but only because I'm reading it under my original username which I've been asking you to change for 2 WEEKS AND COUNTING

    Change
    My
    Name

    Edit: I'll read it later
     
  26. tjgalpin1

    tjgalpin1 Well-Known Member
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    So Sanders pays because the Detroit teams he was on weren't very good other than him? I disagree with that. If Barry and Emmitt switched teams, and especially OL, Barry would have had defining moments too. Barry did more with less better than anybody else I've seen.
     
  27. Hsmith

    Hsmith Well-Known Member
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    Who in your opinion would be the best hire to solve our DFW recruiting issues?
     
  28. Hashtag GetHooked

    Hashtag GetHooked Well-Known Member
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    Sorry Ketch. Smith isn't top 5.

    It has to be Jim Brown, Barry Sanders, Walter Payton, Gale Sayers and OJ Simpson. ANY one of those backs would have been illegal behind the lines Smith ran behind.
     
  29. CS

    CS Social Justice Warrior
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    As long as you don’t need to convert on the goal line or in third and short. Because Dallas would have given those carries to Derick Lassic, Sherman Williams and Lincoln Coleman.
     
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  30. Rotarran9116

    Rotarran9116 Sith Lord
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    Billy is a POS. That's the only answer.

    The GoPro dog rules.

    Overall 8/10 column.
     
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  31. PuroHorns

    PuroHorns It’s nuanced
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    Hopefully better than your Joe Burrow prediction ;)
     
  32. magnahorn

    magnahorn never wrong; sometimes misreinterpreted.
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    Naming Emmitt Smith the top running back of all time is laughable. I'm not sure he's top 10 but he's definitely not number 1.
     
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  33. longhornmark

    longhornmark Well-Known Member
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    Lol at Emmitt being the best all time. GTFOH. He wasn't even the best rb of his era. And I'm a cowboys fan!!
     
  34. PutYourHornsUp

    PutYourHornsUp Always Add Value
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    It comes down to the definition of “greatness.” I believe that winning is a huge part of greatness.

    Karl Malone was an all-pro level PF, but I wouldn’t call him “great.” He didn’t win anything that mattered (outsides of Gold in Barcelona).

    Winning is the point of the game, so you had to actually win champisohips and big games to be “great” IMO.
     
  35. texasd11

    texasd11 Just here so I don't get fined
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    People need to understand the chin pubed one.... first he’s an aggy....2 he HAS to sell subs so he’s gonna pander to the potatoes
     
  36. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    He was great. He's the Bill Russell of the NFL.
     
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  37. bigeye6912

    bigeye6912 I am he as you are he
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    When Richard Pryor used to talk about him?
    (caution: nonPC language and um, profanity in this clip. parental discretion is advised.)

     
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  38. texasd11

    texasd11 Just here so I don't get fined
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    His record says hello
     
  39. CS

    CS Social Justice Warrior
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    Why is Jerry Rice considered the greatest WR of all time? Like Emmitt, he had less physical skill than other contenders for the crown. He played on even better teams with even better teammates. Yet nobody holds those against him, and nobody else is in the running in the GOAT conversation.

    If Emmitt isn’t the greatest running back of all time, then Jerry Rice isn’t the greatest receiver of all time.
     
    39 CS, Jul 29, 2018
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2018
  40. Ketchum

    Ketchum Resident Blockhead
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    Malik loves Texas.
     
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