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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From the Weekend (I promise I will not be a damn good Kool-Aid supplier ...)

BUY or SELL: CDC probably didn’t realize how big of shit show Texas can be/is behind scenes when he took the job ?

(Buy) I'm told he was completely taken aback by the sheer volume of Texas employees in the athletic department, especially the number of employees who don't directly interact with Texas athletes.

I don’t have the stats to prove it, but I sense that administrative bloat at The Forty has been absolutely out of control for about the last fifteen or so years. Would love someone knowledgeable to give us the student: professor: administrator ratio in, say, 1998 compared to now.
 
James Harden has had six very good seasons. He has not won a championship. I would not call him an "all-time great" player. I would say that he's been very good. But greatness calls for something different.
He's been better than very good. He's about to be an MVP and is probably one of the top five best offensive players of all-time.
 
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Every year, even the best teams lay eggs and lose a game or two that they shouldn't. OU lost at home to Iowa State last year. Clemson lost to Syracuse. Urban Meyer's 2014 national championship team lost by two touchdowns to a way below average Virginia Tech team. It happens. I don't know if it's completely fair to judge a team on the basis of it's worst performance of the season.
was that the worst performance of the season?
 
Beck is still the OC, and just as importantly, he's still the QB coach.

Both those facts should be enough to keep the koolaid-peddlers at bay.
 
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a. Should means nothing. Tons of confirmation bias in those "should" discussions. Texas fans think Texas should have beaten USC. USC fans think they should have beaten Texas by more points than it did.
b. I wasn't suggesting anyone would be happy with 7-8 wins.

Yep. The one argument that kills "should" is "didnt".
 
This is still a team with uninspiring quarterback play, no definite answers at running back or tight end, and an offensive line that has been below average for 11 consecutive seasons.

6 OL and 2 QB in each incoming class. Program needs numbers and coaching and player responsibility. 11 seasons is beyond ridiculous/inexcusable at Texas.
 
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He's been better than very good. He's about to be an MVP and is probably one of the top five best offensive players of all-time.


Well you've changed your argument from "all-time great" to "probably one of the top five best offensive players of all-time." He's Bob McAdoo without the championships. Bob was a very good player but not an all-time great.

And Harden is not among top-five best offensive players of all-time. You're suffering from recency bias. In his ninth season, Harden has less than 16,000 points. If he stays healthy for about 6-7 more years and continues at the rate of the last six years he'll be in the discussion with Wilt, Michael, Lebron, Kobe, Kareem, Shaq, Karl Malone, Elvin Hayes, Dirk, Julius Erving, Oscar Robertson, Kevin Durant (assuming he stays healthy for 5-6 more years) etc... Offensively, Harden compares with Rick Barry and Russell Westbrook. Very good offensive players, no doubt, but not top five all time.
 
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Good stuff Ketch. You are a good Dad and prepare yourself for more. Keep up the good work and it's ok to dream big.:)
 
Improvement isn’t always incremental in football. In fact, there is often a sudden and unexpected jump in a team’s record. You need talent first, then experience, then depth, and good coaching. Last year was incremental progress - close games against quality opponents instead of blow outs - but a lack of talent in key positions at which injury struck, and strange coaching decisions, resulted in 7-6.

Given the overall talent, experience, developing depth, an exceptional defensive coach and the changes to the offensive staff, I’ll be more surprised by 8 wins than by more than 8. We aren’t a playoff team by any stretch, but we should be a ranked team at the end of the year.

This. Nothing wrong with that either. We’re fans. It’s not harmful or wrong to think this team takes steps forward this year and considering it’s going to be a likely down year in the big 12 and talent on the roster it would be more surprising if it didn’t happen unless Herman just isn’t a good coach
 
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was that the worst performance of the season?
Considering the opponent and the lackluster performance, that game seemed to fit the profile where the better team (slightly) played down to the level of the competition. I think Maryland was bad, but it was somewhat of an anomaly where the defense was had yet to completely jell.
 
Not sure why, but I found this to be one of the most entertaining "10 Thoughts" in a while; maybe because you mentioned my Red Sox. It does help when your first games are against the Marlins and Rays, but scoring 6 runs in the 8th to win the game yesterday, especially coming with 2 outs, was pretty cool. The QB situation will remain the elephant in the room through 12 games next season. Health and clutch misplays will be evident throughout the season, which will keep the elephant prominently placed in the corner, or perhaps in front of the TV set.

The silent auction story reminds me of the one time I won big with only a $100 donation: an autographed guitar (a good one, signed by Jerry Jeff Walker) AND a round for four at Barton Creek CC. Glad your daughter is better, but dang!

Hook 'em!!!
 
A few of us have been further ahead of the curve when it came to pointing out Shaka's roster mismanagement.
 
The recent buzz on Kerwin Roach leaning towards turning pro and remaining in the NBA Draft, even if it seems unlikely that he'll have any assurances that he'll be drafted, feels like an absolute death blow for the 2018-19 Texas basketball team.​
Given the weight of next season and the current mood of the room around this basketball program, potentially losing the most important upperclassman in the entire program seems exactly like the kind of thing Shaka Smart just can't afford to have happen.
Texas needs to buy Roach a big ole insurance policy to cover him for one season with the promise a successful team and individual season will raise his draft stock dramatically. A&M has done this for a few players in the past. Not sure if we have?
 
@Ketchum

I think it's possible that neither Buechele or Ehlinger ever ascend to Colt McCoy type excellence. But I don't get why you think Buechele can't be an effective, winning QB for Texas. The guy possesses accuracy and he's if he's getting better at getting the ball out of his hand faster... then why can't he be at the very least, a "bridge QB" until Ehlinger is a year older or Thompson or Rising step up to the plate.

Is your skepticism of Buechele because of propensity for injury? What is it exactly?
I'd agree and Buechele is working his tail off. Quicker release and bulked up a bit will help in several directions. Better OL is the key to his type of game.
 
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Well you've changed your argument from "all-time great" to "probably one of the top five best offensive players of all-time." He's Bob McAdoo without the championships. Bob was a very good player but not an all-time great.

And Harden is not among top-five best offensive players of all-time. You're suffering from recency bias. In his ninth season, Harden has less than 16,000 points. If he stays healthy for about 6-7 more years and continues at the rate of the last six years he'll be in the discussion with Wilt, Michael, Lebron, Kobe, Kareem, Shaq, Karl Malone, Elvin Hayes, Dirk, Julius Erving, Oscar Robertson, Kevin Durant (assuming he stays healthy for 5-6 more years) etc... Offensively, Harden compares with Rick Barry and Russell Westbrook. Very good offensive players, no doubt, but not top five all time.


 
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This. Nothing wrong with that either. We’re fans. It’s not harmful or wrong to think this team takes steps forward this year and considering it’s going to be a likely down year in the big 12 and talent on the roster it would be more surprising if it didn’t happen unless Herman just isn’t a good coach
This is still a team with issues at every position on the offense, even wide receivers. The quarterback play could still rank in the bottom half of the Big 12.

In the first six games of the season, Texas plays USC, TCU, at Kansas State and Oklahoma.

2-2 would be improvement.

Then it has road games in Stillwater and Lubbock.

I would be careful with the "It's a down year in the Big 12." That gets said a lot.
 
Considering the opponent and the lackluster performance, that game seemed to fit the profile where the better team (slightly) played down to the level of the competition. I think Maryland was bad, but it was somewhat of an anomaly where the defense was had yet to completely jell.
TCU?
 
C'mon Ketch. Don't be such a hard ass. Shane has had to deal with 3 offensive coordinators, a crap line, ineffective backs, and mia tight ends. Even a proven elite QB would have struggled mightily under such conditions!
An elite quarterback would have a few games to hang is hat on in those last 20+ games. It's time to strop making excuses. He's basically been Case McCoy in his last 20+ games, well... Case McCoy without the big wins.
 
Been less new to a few.
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Is roster management part of coaching? Seems like dang good coaches manage the roster. Running off Young before knowing if Jones will be back or if Roach was going pro does not seem like good coaching to me.
 
Is roster management part of coaching? Seems like dang good coaches manage the roster. Running off Young before knowing if Jones will be back or if Roach was going pro does not seem like good coaching to me.
Smart did a good piece of coaching this year just to keep this team afloat, in part because of poor roster management. It's a layered discussion.
 
Smart did a good piece of coaching this year just to keep this team afloat, in part because of poor roster management. It's a layered discussion.

That's like giving credit to an arsonist for helping to put out a fire he started. We discuss "layers" all we want, but at the end of the day, Shaka is simply not a very good coach. Can he be decent, solid? Perhaps, but even then he has a ways to go, particularly in a Power 5 conference. Right now we literally have, at best, the 8th best HC in the Big 12 hoops.
 
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