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Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (How many transfers is too many?)

Small schools will now develop players for big schools,freshman soph year in Mountain West,Portal to SEC , NIL deal JR SR year, just like the minor leagues .--utx
Indeed, and Texas needs to be super quick to exploit it.
 
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lol. Easy for you to say!
Haha indeed. It’s just a scouting report that we’ve never seen and that seems kind of important. Seems maybe you discovered some things that you weren’t expecting. And it’s better now than right after he commits, if he does. Unless you’re dodging homework because you think there will be a substitute teacher and you won’t have to turn it in. Haha.
 
Haha indeed. It’s just a scouting report that we’ve never seen and that seems kind of important. Seems maybe you discovered some things that you weren’t expecting. And it’s better now than right after he commits, if he does. Unless you’re dodging homework because you think there will be a substitute teacher and you won’t have to turn it in. Haha.
It's coming. Just a matter of time.
 
It's just you. Your constant negativity is beyond old.
Sorry. Trying to be funny, but humour seems to have died in this century. I was raised to have a thick skin in '50s-'60s military. Evidently such training has gone out of fashion with each succeeding generation. To protect one and all, I shall refrain from posting in any of your threads.
 
Sorry. Trying to be funny, but humour seems to have died in this century. I was raised to have a thick skin in '50s-'60s military. Evidently such training has gone out of fashion with each succeeding generation. To protect one and all, I shall refrain from posting in any of your threads.
Now who doesn't have the thick skin...

Look, man, you show up in every thread and are always negative. Who wants to see or be around that all the time?

If pushing back on that means you're going to take your ball and go home because you just can't alter your behavior in a way that stops you from being negative, so be it.
 
I've been thinking about this recently, do you think fewer 'big time' high school school recruits will be going to major programs in the future? If every major program takes 25% - 50% fewer high school recruits each year, are the days of a mid 4 star recruit having offers from most top programs over? That's an interesting byproduct to all of this if it plays out that way.
 
that it's probably unreasonable in most years to get 15 upper end.

Texas had a top 5 class in 2022, but we have to count a bunch of mid four stars to help us get to 10 HS takes in the class.

Sure makes total sense

I think the number of impact transfers you can stack in any one year would be limited as well / that's where my balance came from
 
@Ketchum did you catch the Derby? If I was better at posting I'd put the link to the overhead view here. What that 80-1 horse did the last half mile was astounding.

I DGAF about horse racing for 51 weeks a year, but the damn Derby sure does seem to deliver.

Also thought I'd take the opportunity to say the basketball coverage on OB is fantastic. Keep that shit up!

I wouldn't hate a weekly portion of TTFTW focusing on the conference baseball race and how the Horns are doing outside of Ivan. IMO college baseball is the best sport nobody covers. Wish it would get more national attention.

It's pretty obvious when we get to the dog days of football. More discussion about Boss songs than anything else!
 
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It's coming. Just a matter of time.

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Roster management will be fascinating. I predict another class of player will become valuable: the limited upside HS senior who actually wants a UT education, won't quit football and is willing to bust his ass on special teams.

Give me a recruiting class of :
Five 5* and high 4*s
Five - positions of need
10 transfers - this can be a mix of positions and types but heavy on two types: (a) elite and above average juniors and seniors and (b) freshman and sophomores with upside who have used up their one free transfer
5 - career players with great attitudes, smart and low downside (think old Colts and Patriot rosters)
 
I've been thinking about this recently, do you think fewer 'big time' high school school recruits will be going to major programs in the future? If every major program takes 25% - 50% fewer high school recruits each year, are the days of a mid 4 star recruit having offers from most top programs over? That's an interesting byproduct to all of this if it plays out that way.
I'm not sure. It's possible.
 
Sure makes total sense

I think the number of impact transfers you can stack in any one year would be limited as well / that's where my balance came from
That's true as well, at least it should be if you're actually getting better.
 
@Ketchum did you catch the Derby? If I was better at posting I'd put the link to the overhead view here. What that 80-1 horse did the last half mile was astounding.

I DGAF about horse racing for 51 weeks a year, but the damn Derby sure does seem to deliver.

Also thought I'd take the opportunity to say the basketball coverage on OB is fantastic. Keep that shit up!

I wouldn't hate a weekly portion of TTFTW focusing on the conference baseball race and how the Horns are doing outside of Ivan. IMO college baseball is the best sport nobody covers. Wish it would get more national attention.

It's pretty obvious when we get to the dog days of football. More discussion about Boss songs than anything else!
I saw that video and listened to family members talk about it all day yesterday.

I just forgot that it happened when writing. 🤷‍♂️
 
Roster management will be fascinating. I predict another class of player will become valuable: the limited upside HS senior who actually wants a UT education, won't quit football and is willing to bust his ass on special teams.

Give me a recruiting class of :
Five 5* and high 4*s
Five - positions of need
10 transfers - this can be a mix of positions and types but heavy on two types: (a) elite and above average juniors and seniors and (b) freshman and sophomores with upside who have used up their one free transfer
5 - career players with great attitudes, smart and low downside (think old Colts and Patriot rosters)
I think that guy gets run out of the program by the coaches who are seeking numbers.
 
I have seen Springsteen 16 times, I think, including once at MSG and once on Broadway. I proposed to my wife to a Springsteen song.

I support your Adam Raised A Cain inclusion. That song beats more ass than a frat house paddle. And I can’t really rule out any songs in your top 10 definitively, but room must be made for the criminally underrated Tunnel of Love.
 
I remember Sark in one of his first pressers talking about Texas losing 3 games by 13 points combined the previous year and either directly or indirectly saying that we had the talent needed to win. A 5 - 7 season later and we're turning over 42%+ of our roster year-over-year (almost for sure an all time record). Obviously he changed his mind somewhere along the way.

I don't want to hear any excuses from Sark this year about the team being young or not having played together enough or anything along those lines if/when we start losing a bunch of games. This roster situation is of his making.
 
If I had to guess, I think you're going to see a lot of schools moving forward going at about a 50-50 split, which means something like a 13/12 split in a year when you take 25.

Ketch - a team here or there could theoretically pull of this model, but it just wouldn't work mathematically in any kind of volume. On average about 20 - 25 new freshmen on a per team basis have to join the college football ranks each year to keep 85 kids per team on scholarship.

If team X only wants to deal with 12 freshmen in a year, then team Y needs to take 32 - 35 to even out the model.

I guess Power 5 schools could poach like crazy from the G5 and leave them holding the bag to bring in 32 - 35 freshmen a year, but I'm guessing that would not be tolerated for long.
 
28 transfers is too many. That is a Tennessee kind of number.
It means players being brought in are not cutting it
 
@Ketchum if your looking for a similar market dynamic to what is happening with the transfer portal.

I recommend you take a look at the JUCU—>4yr school impact on high school recruiting.

Take a look at mid level competitive 4 year school rosters and the number of freshman on their rosters.

Some have completely pivoted away from recruiting high school at all.
 
RE #9 (Top 10 Boss songs), several points:
  • I'm not crazy about "Born in the USA," but given its historical context -- including being completely misunderstood by Pres. Reagan -- I'll accept it at 10.
  • Can't see how you left off "Dancing in the Dark" (Boss's highest charting song -- #2 after Prince) and "Promised Land."
  • Adam-Cain doesn't belong on that list.
  • OK, I'm a soft touch for "Blinded by the Light" -- the 1st cut on Boss's 1st CD hooked me. His only song to reach #1 (but by Manfred Mann, ugh).
  • Although I can't put it on the list, "Moonlight Motel" is one of the most heartbreaking and subtly-played songs Bruce has performed.
  • Speaking of performances, "The Ghost of Tom Joad," live with Tom Morello on guitar, is mind-blowing.
I think you mean Spirits in the Night. Great tune that MM made famous.
 
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