Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (Texas should make the CFP this season...)

[Ketchum]

Except for Land of Confusion, that might be number 10 for me, but it's not even in the Honorable Mentions.

That's a Genesis song.

 

[Ketchum]

I thought a story came out in Texas Monthly that a bunch of his stuff was faked relics?

He has his own page on the official Alamo site.

Phil Collins Collection

Explore exhibits and artifacts from the Phil Collins Collection and more in the new Ralston Family Collections Center!

www.thealamo.org

 

[longhornmjc]

I remember back in Mack's day after the 1st junior day we got 7 to 10 commits that was great until Mack got lazy & started taking kids that said yes to his pitch even though they were not top 20 recruits. I believe that is what led to Mack's downfall at UT he got lazy in everything recruiting coaching letting assistants have to much control.
You look at Alabama & Saban & that man never let his foot off the gas he was driven to be the best I still can't believe Mack let UT fall off completely I mean we went 5 & 7 right after being in championship game

 

[Holy Cow]

That's a Genesis song.

Ahh yes, that's right.

 

[Ketchum]

I remember back in Mack's day after the 1st junior day we got 7 to 10 commits that was great until Mack got lazy & started taking kids that said yes to his pitch even though they were not top 20 recruits. I believe that is what led to Mack's downfall at UT he got lazy in everything recruiting coaching letting assistants have to much control.
You look at Alabama & Saban & that man never let his foot off the gas he was driven to be the best I still can't believe Mack let UT fall off completely I mean we went 5 & 7 right after being in championship game

Mack loved the word "yes".

 

[AllGasNoBrakes34]

@Ketchum I was confused on this part...

Gus Cordova?

(Sell) Not for me. I'm all for second chances (in time), but a scholarship at Texas represents a first chance.

Are we talking about the 2025 DE from Lake Travis? Did something go awry that I completely missed previously?

 

[Ketchum]

@Ketchum I was confused on this part...



(Sell) Not for me. I'm all for second chances (in time), but a scholarship at Texas represents a first chance.

Are we talking about the 2025 DE from Lake Travis? Did something go awry that I completely missed previously?

He was offered by Texas this weekend.

 

[tex17]

aggy needs to drop off this list entirely

 

[Ketchum]

aggy needs to drop off this list entirely

They keep recruiting like they have in 2024 and they will.

 

[edmondhorn2]

I don't think I have ever made out to a Phil Collins song.

You’re a little younger than I am. I’m seeing Boyz 2 Men for your timeline.

 

[Ketchum]

You’re a little younger than I am. I’m seeing Boyz 2 Men for your timeline.

Jodeci.

 

[BigSkyHorn]

I remember back in Mack's day after the 1st junior day we got 7 to 10 commits that was great until Mack got lazy & started taking kids that said yes to his pitch even though they were not top 20 recruits. I believe that is what led to Mack's downfall at UT he got lazy in everything recruiting coaching letting assistants have to much control.
You look at Alabama & Saban & that man never let his foot off the gas he was driven to be the best I still can't believe Mack let UT fall off completely I mean we went 5 & 7 right after being in championship game

Mack’s best string of recruiting was 2010-12. Those were high rated recruits, not just a first come first serve. Lack of developing, lack of game planning, lack of a sense of urgency. That was the downfall.

 

[Ketchum]

Mack’s best string of recruiting was 2010-12. Those were high rated recruits, not just a first come first serve. Lack of developing, lack of game planning, lack of a sense of urgency. That was the downfall.

1999-2002

 

[BigSkyHorn]

1999-2002

Don’t have data back pre-2002. I will say the 2010-2012 were loaded with wasted talent. No developing, horrible records and ZERO in the draft in 2014. The gap between superblue recruits and performance is largest with this group.

 

[Ketchum]

Don’t have data back pre-2002. I will say the 2010-2012 were loaded with wasted talent. No developing, horrible records and ZERO in the draft in 2014. The gap between superblue recruits and performance is largest with this group.

Three 5 star quarterbacks in a 4 year window.

Mack was fearless and had fire in the belly.

No NIL, either.

 

[BigSkyHorn]

Three 5 star quarterbacks in a 4 year window.

Mack was fearless and had fire in the belly.

No NIL, either.

Exactly! “Fire in the belly”

 

[Rotarran9116]

... I enjoyed Baker Mayfield's season ending with him throwing for an interception. Am I a bad person?

Sell - We all enjoyed it

 

[tooker00]

Fisher had it cooking there for a hot minute.

NIL had it cooking...

 

[rylo7956rylo]

This reaction turned these reactors into Youtube stars.

View embedded media

Surprised they hadn't heard of that from the Hangover with Tyson

 

[Ketchum]

NIL had it cooking...

The two go hand in hand these days.

 

[DELRIOHORN]

If anyone remembers, the greatest use of “In the Air Tonight” was on an episode of Miami Vice. I’ll never forget that.

I remember that scene and episode. That scene and music combo is great, but in my opinion surpassed by the scene where Zito is killed in the shower after the boxing match with Steve Windwood's "The River" in the background. Miami Vice had great actors (before they were prime time) and music flow through that show.

 

[Type O]

You’re setting the expectations for 2024 too high IMO, but I suppose you’re an optimist.

I’m not saying the Longhorns will be bad but there’s a lot of unknowns heading into 2024:
- Can Ewers really progress more and mesh with all the new offensive receivers in less than one season?
- Will Ewers stay healthy all season, particularly in October?
- What impact will losing the DTs have on our run D heading into the SEC, which generally plays more smash mouth football (unlike the Big 12 spread offenses)?
- Even if the Longhorns match the talent we had last year, how will this year’s schedule (both OOC and conference) change the win column in 2024?

I’ll be happy if this team overachieves and makes the CFP, but realistically I’m looking ahead to the peak in 2025/2026.

Hook ‘em Horns!

Name me the SEC schools that play “smash mouth” football now? That era passed 10 years ago.

You are waaay over concerned about our DTs. Do we need a couple of our young guys to develop and 1-2 portal for depth? Sure, and I expect both to happen. Going into this past season, no one thought Sweat and Murphy would be special…NO ONE. Everyone expected our run defense to be our weakness.

Finally, pay attention to the talent throughout this team coming back or being added. As Ketch basically laid out, it’s the best since the mid 2000s. The SEC is not going to crush us. Sark has prepped very well for this. Could we lose multiple games? Sure, but we will be favorites or a pick’em against every opponent except Georgia. Embrace it! Good times ahead.

 

[Type O]

I

I hope not, but there’s zero guarantee of that.

Barring something miraculous in the transfer portal upcoming, we’re losing our defense’s greatest strength. Run D. Not a good thing to lose heading into the SEC where most play smash mouth football.

How quickly will Ewers, or even Arch, mesh with all these new receivers? We play Michigan week 2…

We no longer have a soft Big 12 schedule. October will be much tougher than last season.

I’ll be happy with the Longhorns finishing with only 3 losses. If they do better than that, job well done overachieving.

Doubtful we beat Georgia.
Doubtful we beat Michigan at the Big House week 2, with all the new players on offense, and the run D missing.

That’s 2 losses. Add one more mulligan that inevitably happens. That’s 3 losses. I get we’re coming off a CFP berth, but there’s zero guarantee we’ll have the same success in 2024, our first year in the SEC.

I do like the way we’re trending, and the peak will be the 2025/2026 seasons

See my response to your first post to Ketch.

There’s never a guarantee, ever, but…

You are overreacting to the DT situation. Every other position (except MLB) improves and improves drastically. DTs don’t have to be dominant. Hell, when we needed them the most this past year against ou and Washington, they fizzled. They just need to plug the holes, the edge rushers need to get to the QB more, and the DBs need to make more plays on the ball. I expect all of that to happen.

Michigan will be a shell of their team this year. That and I expect Harbaugh is gone. The Big House isn’t that daunting a place to play.

Ewers and the WRs will click. Plus, the WR talent is gonna be better than this year, incredible as that sounds. But even so, this team is going to dominate in the run game…you do realize we have 7 of our top 8 OL returning, and two 5ish-star RBs returning that both showed that talent by season’s end.

I do expect Quinn to get dinged up, but when he does I’m damn sure Arch will play much better than Maalik did.

Stop overrating the SEC! Yes, Georgia will be tough, but of the remaining 7 conference opponents, 5 are predicted to finish towards the bottom of the conference.

Concerning our rivals, we will pile drive ou and Arky this time. aggy is the one that will be tough.

Bottom line is this…we’ll have the 2nd or 3rd most talented team in the SEC, we have 14 returning starters (19 if you count the portal guys who were starters for their teams last season. No one else will have close to that), a 3rd year returning QB, and will be ranked in the Top 5 to start the season. Saying this team is “overachieving” if it goes 9-3 and makes the CFP next year is naive.

Frankly, whatever our record is, not making the 12 team CFP would be grossly underachieving and a huge step back.

 

[boernefan]

See my response to your first post to Ketch.

There’s never a guarantee, ever, but…

You are overreacting to the DT situation. Every other position (except MLB) improves and improves drastically. DTs don’t have to be dominant. Hell, when we needed them the most this past year against ou and Washington, they fizzled. They just need to plug the holes, the edge rushers need to get to the QB more, and the DBs need to make more plays on the ball. I expect all of that to happen.

Michigan will be a shell of their team this year. That and I expect Harbaugh is gone. The Big House isn’t that daunting a place to play.

Ewers and the WRs will click. Plus, the WR talent is gonna be better than this year, incredible as that sounds. But even so, this team is going to dominate in the run game…you do realize we have 7 of our top 8 OL returning, and two 5ish-star RBs returning that both showed that talent by season’s end.

I do expect Quinn to get dinged up, but when he does I’m damn sure Arch will play much better than Maalik did.

Stop overrating the SEC! Yes, Georgia will be tough, but of the remaining 7 conference opponents, 5 are predicted to finish towards the bottom of the conference.

Concerning our rivals, we will pile drive ou and Arky this time. aggy is the one that will be tough.

Bottom line is this…we’ll have the 2nd or 3rd most talented team in the SEC, we have 14 returning starters (19 if you count the portal guys who were starters for their teams last season. No one else will have close to that), a 3rd year returning QB, and will be ranked in the Top 5 to start the season. Saying this team is “overachieving” if it goes 9-3 and makes the CFP next year is naive.

Frankly, whatever our record is, not making the 12 team CFP would be grossly underachieving and a huge step back.

Very well said in your two posts.
Thanks for organizing your thoughts for us.

 

[BassHorn]

I just can't help it. I think he'd be a back-up on other rosters.

Perhaps on all rosters save them Cowboys.

 

[Ketchum]

Name me the SEC schools that play “smash mouth” football now? That era passed 10 years ago.

You are waaay over concerned about our DTs. Do we need a couple of our young guys to develop and 1-2 portal for depth? Sure, and I expect both to happen. Going into this past season, no one thought Sweat and Murphy would be special…NO ONE. Everyone expected our run defense to be our weakness.

Finally, pay attention to the talent throughout this team coming back or being added. As Ketch basically laid out, it’s the best since the mid 2000s. The SEC is not going to crush us. Sark has prepped very well for this. Could we lose multiple games? Sure, but we will be favorites or a pick’em against every opponent except Georgia. Embrace it! Good times ahead.

The roster is loaded. Full stop.

 

[Ketchum]

Perhaps on all rosters save them Cowboys.

The Cowboys don't win the division with him at quarterback.

 

[Txhorns10]

The Cowboys don't win the division with him at quarterback.

Yet Purdy won the division and took down the cowboys and eagles this year. It’s hilarious the hate Purdy is getting all of a sudden

 

[Ketchum]

Yet Purdy won the division and took down the cowboys and eagles this year. It’s hilarious the hate Purdy is getting all of a sudden

I don't hate the guy at all. I just question him. It's not the same thing at all.

 

[malvarado]

I just can't help it. I think he'd be a back-up on other rosters.

It will be interesting to see what they do with him contract wise. Is a rookie deal 3 or 4 years?

 

[Ketchum]

It will be interesting to see what they do with him contract wise. Is a rookie deal 3 or 4 years?

Current Contract​

Brock Purdy signed a 4 year, $3,737,008 contract with the San Francisco 49ers, including a $77,008 signing bonus, $77,008 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $934,252. In 2024, Purdy will earn a base salary of $985,000, while carrying a cap hit of $1,004,252 and a dead cap value of $38,504.

 

[Txhorns10]

I don't hate the guy at all. I just question him. It's not the same thing at all.

You have to give the kid credit then. Yes SF has weapons, but the QB still has to be able to operate and functio. Purdy is doing so at a high level, making elite throws and everyone acts like he’s a scrub

 

[Ketchum]

You have to give the kid credit then. Yes SF has weapons, but the QB still has to be able to operate and functio. Purdy is doing so at a high level, making elite throws and everyone acts like he’s a scrub

I thought he played like shit against the Packers.

 

[Txhorns10]

I thought he played like shit against the Packers.

Oh 100%. Coincidently his two worst games of his career so far were in heavy rain games. In spite of the issues he had, still led a game winning drive with some damn good throws when it mattered

 

[Yaomingjr]

I went down the damn rabbit hole this weekend and I can only hope the effort was worth it.

Considering the final rankings for the 2024 recruiting year aren't complete and big-time players are still entering the Portal, the reality is that I'm going to need to update the data in a week or two.

Yet, folks were asking about the updated Super Blue Chip rankings and I have to admit … I was kind of wondering how the rankings looked as well.

Therefore, into the recruiting rankings abyss I leaped, but this time I decided to add a twist ... I included the rankings from all of the major services ... Rivals, 247, On3 and ESPN. For those keeping score, here were the blue chips that were used in compiling the data:

2024: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (95+), ESPN (85+), On3 (95+)
2023: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2022: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2021: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2020: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (No rankings)

What I tried to do was keep the numbers as similar to the total number of prospects that usually make up the top two tiers of the rankings (5 stars and high 4-stars), which typically totals somewhere between 65-69 prospects each season. Two quick notes ...

a. Each service has fewer 2024 prospects listed in its highest tiers, but that should flatten out when each service releases its final rankings now that all of the post-season bowl games have been completed.

b. Each service has a different number of players ranked among its top tiers. In 2001, Rivals had 63 players with at least a 6.0+ grade, while On3 had 71 players with a 96+ grade, 247 had 66 players with a 96+ rankings and ESPN had 76 players with a 86+ ranking. The numbers slightly fluctuate with each service in all of the years sampled.

What I ended up creating was two sets of numbers, starting with ...

Consensus Super Blue Chip Rankings

Can a player really be a super blue chip prospect if only one of the four services views him as a super blue chip prospect?

I decided that it would be fun to see what the numbers look like if we counted only players that were ranked as a super blue chip prospect by at least two of the four services. The same is true with transfers, as an incoming transfer had to be ranked in the top 32 by at least two services.

After years of domination by Alabama and Georgia, there's a new leader in the clubhouse.

Super Blue Chips (Mass Quantities)

This is what the numbers look like when we include every single prospect that was ranked as a Super Blue Chip, whether it was by all four services or just one.

For instance, Colin Simmons counts towards the 2024 numbers with a super blue chip ranking by all four services, while Jerrick Gibson makes the list with only ESPN labeling him as a super blue chip.

There are only four schools in the nation with 30 or more super blue chip prospects across all services and Steve Sarkisian has his Longhorns in that group in pretty short order.

No. 2 - Breaking down the Consensus Super Blue Chip Chart ...

In case any of you wondered what the world looked like, here's the full breakdown of the top 10 schools in the updated Super Duper Blue Chip Chart.

(Feel free to skip to section 3 if this is too much for you.)

1. Ohio State

Total number of super blue chips: 29

Transfers: (5) 2023 CB Davison Igbinosun (Ole Miss - 247/On3), 2024 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2024 RB Quinshon Judkins (Ole Miss - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Will Howard (Kansas State - Rivals/On3) and 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Ohio State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) WR Jeremiah Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Aaron Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Mylan Graham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Air Noland (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Eddrick Houston (Rivals/247//ESPN) and DB Bryce West (Rivals/ESPN)

2023: (6) WR Carnell Tate (Rivals/247/On3), WR Brandon Inniss (Rivals/247/ESPN)), DT Jason Moore (Rivals/247), DB Jermaine Matthews (Rivals/On3/ESPN), DB Calvin Simpson-Hunt (Rivals/On3), and WR Noah Rogers (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (4) LB CJ Hicks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), Ath Alex Styles (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Devin Brown (Rivals/247/On3/) and DE Kenyatta Jackson (Rivals/On3)

2021: (7) OL Donovan Jackson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emeka Egbuke (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE JT Tuimoloau (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Jack Sawyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB TreVeyon Henderson (247/On3/ESPN), CB Jordan Hancock (247/On3) and WR Jayden Ballard (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Gee Scott Jr. (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2022 Edge (247/ESPN), 2021 QB Quinn Ewers (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 CB JK Johnson (Rivals/On3), 2021 QB Kyle McCord (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 WR Julian Fleming (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 13.9%

In the NFL: (4) 2021 DL MIke Hall (On3/247), 2020 OL Paris Johnson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Rivals/247) and 2020 QB CJ Stroud (Rivals/247)

2. Georgia

Total number of super blue chips: 26

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Dominic Lovett (Missouri - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 RB Trevor Etienne (Florida - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Ellis Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Justin Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB K.J. Bolden (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Joseph Jonah-Ajonye (247/On3/ESPN), LB Chris Cole (247/On3/ESPN) and TE Jaden Reddell (On3/ESPN)

2023: (9) DE Samuel M'Pemba (Rivals/ESPN), DE Damon Wilson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Jordan Hall (Rivals/247/On3), DB A.J. Harris (Rivals/247/ESPN), OL Monroe Freeling (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Raylen Wilson (247/On3/ESPN), S Joenel Aguero (247/On3/ESPN), LB Troy Bowles (247/ESPN) and TE Pearce Spurlin (Rivals/On3)

2022: (7) DB Jaheim Singletary (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Mykel Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Daylen Everette (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malaki Starks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Brandon Robinson (Rivals/ESPN), OL Earnest Greene (Rivals/247/On3) and LB Jalon Walker (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) LB Smael Mondon (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Arian Smith (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2022 Bear Alexander (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2022 LB Marvin Jones Jr. (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Brock Vandagriff (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Xavian Sorey (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DB Nyland Green (247/On3), 2020 LB MJ Sherman (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 15.8%

In the NFL: (6) 2021 TE Brock Bowers (ON3/247), 2021 OL Amarius Sims (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 CB Kelee Ringo (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 OL Broderick Jones (Rivals/247ESPN), 2020 DL Jalen Carter (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 TE Darnell Washington (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

3. Alabama

Total number of super blue chips: 23

Transfers: (2) CB Domani Jackson (RivalsOn3) and DL LT Overton (Texas A&M - Rivals/247)

2024: (3) DB Jaylen Mbakwe (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Zabien Brown (Rivals/247) and TE Caleb Odom (247/On3)

2023: (8) DE Yhonzae Pierre (Rivals/247/On3), DE Keon Kelly (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Jahlil Hurley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Jalen Hale (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Justice Haynes (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT James Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Qua Russaw (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DL Jordan Renaud (ON3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DE Jeremiah Alexander (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Jihaad Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emmanuel Henderson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Ty Simpson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Tyler Booker (247/On3/ESPN) and DL Khurtis Perry (247/ESPN)

2021: (3) LB Keanu Koht (Rivals/247/On3), LB Deontae Lawson (On3/247) and DT Damon Payne (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Tim Smith (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (18) 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2023 OL Kadyn Proctor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Dezz Ricks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Aaron Anderson (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Shazz Preston (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 WR Isaiah Bond (On3/247), 2022 LB Shawn Murphy (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 OL Elijah Pritchett (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 OL Tommy Brockermeyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Agiye Hall (On3/ESPN), 2021 RB Camar Wheaton (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 WR Jojo Earle (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 Christian Leary (Rivals/On3), 2021 DL Monkell Goodwine (Rivals/On3), 2021 WR Ja'Corey Brooks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 LB Drew Sanders (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Demouy Kennedy (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 37.5%

Headed to the In the NFL: (9) Transfer WR Jermaine Burton, 2021 OL J.C. Latham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Kool-Aid McKinstry (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Dallas Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Terrion Arnold (Rivals/247/On3), 2020 DE Will Anderson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 QB Bryce Young (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 LB Chris Braswell (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 Jase McClellan (Rivals/ESPN)

4. Texas

Total number of super blue chips: 21

Transfers: (4) 2023 QB Quinn Ewers (Ohio State - 247/On3), 2024 WR Isaiah Bond (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 DB Andrew Mukuba (Clemson - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 DE Trey Moore (UTSA - 247/On3)

2024: (5) DE Colin Simmons (Rivals/247/On3/ESP)), OL Brandon Baker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Ryan Wingo (Rivals/247/ESPN), CB Kobe Black (Rivals/247/ESPN) and DB Xavier Filsaime (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2023: (7) QB Arch Manning (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Johntay Cook (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Anthony Hill (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Cedric Baxter (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malik Muhammad (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), S Derek Williams (247/On3/ESPN) and Ath Jelani McDonald (247/On3)

2022: (4) OL DJ Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Kelvin Banks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) , CB Terrance Brooks (Rivals/On3) and OL Neto Umeozulu (On3/ESPN)

2021: None

2020: (1) DL Alfred Collins (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (1) Ja'Quinden Jackson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 4.00%

In the NFL: (4) Transfer WR Adonai Mitchell, 2021 TE Ja'Tavian Sanders (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Xavier Worthy (On3/ESPN) and 2020 RB Bijan Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

5. Texas A&M

Total number of super blue chips: 14

Transfers: (2) DE Nic Scourton (Purdue - Rivals/247/On37) and DB Desmond Ricks (Alabama - Rivals/247)

2024: (1) Ath Terry Bussey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT David Hicks Jr. (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Rueben Owens (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Chase Bisontis (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DB Jacoby Matthews (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Shemar Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Conner Weigman (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Enai White (247/On3/ESPN) and DB Bryce Anderson (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) DL Shemar Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Reuben Fatheree II (Rivals/On3)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (11) 2022 DL Walter Nolan (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Evan Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Lebbeus Overton (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 CB Denver Harris (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DL Anthony Lucas (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Chris Marshall (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 OL PJ Williams (247/ESPN), 2021 RB LJ Johnson (Rivals/247), 2021 DE Tunmise Adeleye (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 WR Demond Demas (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 DE Donell Harris (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 42.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2020 DB Jaylon Jones (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Antonio Johnson (Rivals/247)

6. Miami

Total number of super blue chips: 11

Transfers: (2) 2023 OL Javion Cohen (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 QB Cameron Ward (Washington State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Zaquan Patterson (Rivals/247), DT Justin Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Armondo Blount (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Joshisa Trader (Rivals/ESPN), WR Ny Carr (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Marquise Lightfoot (On3/247)

2023: (3) OL Francis Mauigoa (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Samson Okunlola (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DT Rueben Bain (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2022: None

2021: None

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (2) 2020 DB Avante Williams (Rivals/ESPN) and 2021 QB Jake Garcia (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 14.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 DB James Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2021 DT Leonard Taylor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

T7. Clemson

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: None

2024: (2) LB Sammy Brown (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and WR Bryant Wesco (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT Peter Woods (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Tomarrion Parker (Rivals/247) and DL Vic Burley (247/ESPN)

2022: (2) QB Cade Klubnik (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Jeadyn Lukus (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) LB Barrett Carter (Rivals/247/On3) and OL Tristan Leigh (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Demonte Capehart (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2022 CB Toriano Pride (247/On3), 2021 WR Beaux Collins (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 RB Demarkus Bowman (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 QB D.J. Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 21.1%

In the NFL: (5) 2021 RB Will Shipley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Jeremiah Trotter (247/On3/ESPN), 2020 DT Bryan Breese (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 DE Myles Murphy (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Trenton Simpson (Rivals/247)'

T7. Oklahoma:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (1) 2023 DE Dasan McCulloch (Indiana - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT David Stone (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and RB Taylor Tatum (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (5) QB Jackson Arnold (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Peyton Bowen (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Adepoju Adebawore (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Samuel Omosigho (247/On3), WR Jaquaize Pettaway (247/ESPN)

2022: (1) CB Gentry Williams (On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) DB Billy Bowman (Rivals/247)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2023 OL Cayden Green (Rivals/ESPN), 2021 LB Clayton Smith (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Caleb Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Mario Williams (Rivals/On3/ESPN), and 2020 OL Nate Anderson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.3%

In the NFL: 2020 OT Andrew Raym (247/ESPN)

T7. Oregon:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (4) 2023 DE Jordan Burch (South Carolina - Rivals/247). 2024 WR Evan Stewart (Texas A&M - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Dante Moore (UCLA - Rivals/247) and 2024 QB Dillon Gabriel (OU - Rivals/On3)

2024: (2) Edge Elijah Rushing (247/ESPN) and DL Aydin Breland (247ESPN))

2023: (2) DE Matayo Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Jurrian Dickey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (1) OL Josh Conerly Jr. (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (0) None

2020: (1) DB Donta Manning (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2021 QB Ty Thompson (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 OL Kingsley Suamataia (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 CB Jalil Yucker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), and 2020 LB Justin Flowe (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 23.5%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 WR Troy Franklin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 LB Noah Sewell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

10. LSU

Total number of super blue chips: 9

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Aaron Anderson (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT Dominick McKinley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and TE Trey'Dez Green (Rivals/247/On3)

2023: (2) DB Javien Toviano (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Dashawn Womack (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (2) LB Harold Perkins (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Will Campbell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (2) DT Maaron Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Sage Ryan (Rivals/247/ESPN),

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2023 OL Zalance Heard (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Quency Wiggins (Rivals/247), 2022 QB Walker Howard (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 TE Arik Gilbert (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Eli Ricks (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.6%

In the NFL: (3) 2020 WR Kayshon Boutte (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DL Jaquelin Roy (247/ESPN), 2020 Edge BJ Ojulari (247)

No. 3 - Breaking Down Transfer Rates ...

Using the data from the pool of players that make up the Mega list (every single super blue chip by every single service), here's a look at the transfer rates of super blue chips from high school recruiting.

The thing you'll notice about this set of numbers is that a coaching change is almost always going to do a number on a school's numbers.

Note: Texas ranks 16th among schools with 10+ super blue chips with an 11.1% transfer rate. The Longhorns actually have a 0.00% transfer rate among consensus super blue chips (ranked by multiple services)

No. 4 - Setting the record straight ...

One thing you commonly hear from detractors of the Portal is that it's a system that's unevenly weighted in favor of the big boys of college football.

The numbers expose that suggestion to be a falsehood. The reality is that the Portal is the closest thing to socialism that college football has ever seen with regard to talent distribution.

Take a look at the breakdown of Rivals top 50 commitments from the Portal:

In what other world is Purdue and TCU landing the same number of high-end talents as Alabama? A look at the numbers will show you that Duke and Tulane have the same number of top-50 transfers as Georgia and Notre Dame.

Even if you look at the very top of the list with schools like Oregon, Ole Miss and Texas, we're merely talking about a difference of a couple of players vs. the rest of their peers who are active in the Portal.

There are issues with the Portal that need to be addressed, but the fairness of talent distribution simply isn't one of them. If anything, it gives schools that almost never have a chance to land a top-50 prospect in high school recruiting to have a fairer shot at bringing in high-end talent.

No. 5 - Texas Transfer Rankings ...

Here's a look at the ranking of each Texas transfer addition:

WR - Isaiah Bond (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 14 overall, No. 2 WR
On3 - No. 7 overall, No. 3 WR
247 - No. 4 overall, No.1 WR

WR - Matthew Golden (Houston)

Rivals: No. 49 overall, No. 9 WR
On3 - No. 56 overall, No. 12 WR
247 - No. 42 overall, No. 7 WR

WR - Silas Bolden (Oregon State)

Rivals: No. 253 overall, No. 48 WR
On3 - No. 103 overall, No. 20 WR
247 - No. 119 overall, No. 25 WR

TE - Amari Niblack

Rivals: No. 41 overall, No. 1 TE
On3 - No. 37 overall, No. 1 TE
247 - No. 30 overall, No. 1 TE

Edge - Trey Moore (UTSA)

Rivals: No. 59 overall, No. 5 LB
On3 - No. 8 overall, No. 2 Edge
247 - No. 20 overall, No. 4 Edge

LB - Kendrick Blackshire (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 924 overall, No. 98 LB
On3 - No. 322 overall, No. 31 LB
247 - No. 254 overall, No. 21 WR

DB - Andrew Mukuba (Clemson)

Rivals: No. 25 overall, No. 6 DB
On3 - No. 44 overall, No. 3 S
247 - No. 25 overall, No. 2 S

No. 6 - Six Random Longhorns Scattershots...

a. It sounds like Rod Wright has done everything possible to keep his focus on the Houston Texans, but now that the NFL season is over, I'm expecting an announcement for him as the new DL coach in the next 24-48 hours.

b. If you read my Instant Analysis, you'll know I pretty much love new 2025 commitment Lance Jackson. Although he's not yet ranked as a super blue chip by the national services, I believe that's where his ranking will eventually settle.

c. Junior Days sure hit different when you enter them with expectations of almost a minimal amount of action to actually occur. Hell, we didn't even have the staged photos to laugh at this weekend.

d. I don't know if Rodney Terry needed to say he was sorry on Saturday for the whole "Horns Down" mini-controversy from earlier in the week, but that he fell on the sword shows that he's a pretty good dude and easy to root for. Honestly, I didn't think it was that big of a deal.

e. Say it with me... (Tiaoalii Savea) Tee-Oh-Uh-Lee-E-Saw-Vay-Uh.

f. I still think Texas is the favorite for Washington transfer CB Jabbar Muhammad, but Oregon might throw a Brinks truck at him.

No. 7 – Updated Texas Scholarship Board …

The Longhorns are sitting at 88 at the moment.

No. 8 – BUY or SELL …

(Buy) I think Texas is about to fill some of the needs in the next month, but some of the needs might be filled in the spring.



(Buy) Everything about that situation is ick and there's only so much ick that Texas athletics should live with. BTW, whatever happened to the audio that would clear him? Screw that dude.



(Buy) The talent is there to make a run at it.



(Sell) Not for me. I'm all for second chances (in time), but a scholarship at Texas represents a first chance.



(Sell) I think he's taking an NFL job. I'm surprised that he's not been named the Chargers coach.



(Buy) Yes, it won't be just three dudes and an occasional snap for No. 4 next year.



(Buy) It's either him or his cousin.



(Buy) Probably. I've had about 20 questions today asking if I think this offense is better than last year's.



(Buy) Maybe not be in a huge role, but I could see him getting 150-200 snaps.



(Buy) Probably.



(Sell) Bad ass players want to play with bad ass players. Did you see how many super blue chips that Georgia has?



(Sell) Strong-side ends.



(Sell) Mack literally psyched opposing coaches out to the point that they wouldn't even decide who to recruit until after Mack selected who he wanted. That's not hyperbole.

No. 9 – Scattershooting on anything and everything …

... Good season, Texans. Getting outclassed by the No. 1 seed in the second half of the Division Round is nothing to shake your head at. It happens. Deep down, I'm quite envious of your potential future.

... Was that the Lamar Jackson playoff breakout game we've all been waiting for?

... I enjoyed Baker Mayfield's season ending with him throwing for an interception. Am I a bad person?

... Jahmyr Gibbs is closer to Bijan Robinson as a player than I would have ever guessed.

... I could really do without the Cowboys jokes that have come with the Detroit win...

... What on earth was Jordan Love thinking by throwing the ball? Live to play another down, my man.

... I still doubt Brock Purdy and nothing about the game against the Packers was overly convincing.

... Looks like former Alabama OL Kadyn Proctor is happy to be home in Iowa. Good for him.

... Is this the year that Bayern Munich gets toppled in the Bundesliga and is it going to be someone other than Dortmund that does it? All eyes remain on you, Bayern Leverkusen?

... Dana White likely won't let it happen, but my biggest takeaway from UFV 207 was that new champion Dricus Du Plessis and dethroned champion Sean Strickland should immediately fight again.

... It's a life-changing moment for Lane.

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... I don't care, she can do whatever she wants...

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No. 10 - Phil Collins Top 10 Songs ...

It's been too long since I've spent a week listening to the world's No. 1 collector of all things Alamo-related.

Let's do this!

Honorable Mention: A Groovy Kind of Love, The Roof Is Leaking, Don't Lose My Number, Separate Lives, Two Hearts, Can't Stop Loving You, If Leaving Me Is Easy and I Missed Again

10. You Can't Hurry Love

Phil covering the Diana Ross and the Supremes classic? Yes, please.

9. Susssudio

I was today's years old when I learned that some people think this song sounds like Price's 1999.

8. Take Me Home

It was a show-closer at his concerts for a long time. Maybe ranked too low?

7. I Don't Care Any More

Phil let his ex have it on this one.

6. One More Night

One of the best songs on nearly a perfect album - No Jacket Required.

5. I Wish It Would Rain Down

One of the rare times when the guitar overshadows the drums in a Collins hit. He can thank Eric Clapton for that.

4. Another Day in Paradise

The best song about homelessness ever written?

3. Easy Lover

Pound for pound, it might be the No. 1 banger in his entire catalog.

2. Against All Odds

My personal favorite Collins song and one of my go-to karaoke songs.

1. In the Air Tonight

If aliens came down and asked to hear the best Phil Collins song, we'd give them the one that YouTubers lost their minds to the most.

great top 10 list this time - the order can be debated but really good ...........this is from my time as a youngster, and I still am a big fan.